BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW

Transcription

1 January 31, 2017 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW Presented by: Steve LaMotte, Dane Wilson & Dan Gable Central Midwest Multifamily

2 Agenda Bloomington Economic & Demographic Trends Rents & Occupancies New Construction Transactions Debt Market Overview 2 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

3 Bloomington MSA Established Employment Current Unemployment Rate Total Number of Jobs 76,500 76,200 76,400 76,400 76,000 Bloomington 4.0% 75,500 75,400 75,400 75,100 Indiana 4.0% U.S. 4.7% 75,000 74,500 74,700 74,600 74,900 74,900 74,000 U.S. & State unemployment as of December 2016 Local unemployment as of November 2016 Seasonally Adjusted Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics 73, Preliminary Thru Dec 16 3 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

4 MSA Population Trends Number of People 170, , , , , , , , , , , , , , % 168, % +12.1% 3.41% 3.33% 13.9% Est Proj. Source: CBRE 4 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

5 MSA Household Trends 70,000 67,518 Number of Households 65,000 60,000 55,000 55,180 63, % 15.6% 65, % 3.4% +2.7% 5.1% 50, Est Proj. Source: CBRE 5 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

6 Indiana University Enrollment 55,000 50, % Total Students Enrolled 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 38,990 40,354 42,347 42,464 42,731 42,133 46,817 46,416 48,514 49,695 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 ' BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

7 Indiana University Enrollment - Forecast 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% Enrollment(L) Enrollment Growth(R) Source: Axiometrics 7 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

8 Bloomington Submarket Map 8 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

9 Bloomington Submarket Overview SUBMARKET NO. OF PROPERTIES NO. OF UNITS NO. OF BEDS AVG. AGE Campus Walk years Downtown , years East 29 3,964 7, years West 10 1,447 3, years North 23 1,610 3, years South 23 3,444 6, years 9 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

10 Bloomington By The Numbers Overall Market Unit Type 0/1 1/1 2/1 2/1.5 2/2 2/2.5 3/1 3/1.5 3/2 3/2.5 4/2 4/4 $/SF $1.68 $1.12 $0.91 $0.78 $1.12 $1.03 $0.83 $0.74 $1.02 $0.88 $1.33 $1.62 $/Bed $628 $762 $367 $380 $552 $576 $274 $309 $403 $427 $451 $652 $/Unit $628 $762 $734 $760 $1,104 $1,153 $821 $926 $1,208 $1,281 $1,803 $2,606 Avg. SF YOY Rent Growth ,257 1,188 1,459 1,357 1, % 3.3% 2.9% 1.4% 3.6% 2.0% 1.1% -2.2% 1.3% 8.7% -8.0% -1.9% Avg. $/SF $1.07 Avg. $/Bed $510 Avg. $/Unit $980 Avg. SF 919 *Averages above include all unit styles 10 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

11 Bloomington Overall Rents & Occupancy 100% 98% $937 $958 $980 $1,000 $ % 96% $892 $909 $900 Occupancy Rate 94% 92% 90% 88% $742 $823 $814 $834 $860 $850 $800 $750 Average Rent/Unit 86% $700 84% $650 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 11 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

12 Bloomington Overall Rents & Occupancy 100% $550 98% 1.7% Occupancy Rate 96% 94% 92% 90% $496 $500 $510 $500 $450 Average Rent/Bed 88% 86% 84% $400 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 12 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

13 Campus Walk Submarket Rents & Occupancy $595 per Bed Occupancy Rate 100% 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% $708 $833 $834 $883 $895 $909 $915 $921 $948 $970 $1,000 $950 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 $650 $600 Average Rent/Unit 86% $550 84% $500 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 13 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

14 Downtown Submarket Rents & Occupancy $765 per Bed 100% 98% $1,960 $2,000 $1,900 Occupancy Rate 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% $1,421 $1,682 $1,560 $1,505 $1,589 $1,632 $1,674 $1,713 $1,701 $1,800 $1,700 $1,600 $1,500 $1,400 $1,300 $1,200 Average Rent/Unit 86% $1,100 84% $1,000 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 14 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

15 East Submarket Rents & Occupancy $518 per Bed 100% 98% $921 $979 $953 $954 $970 $1,000 $950 Occupancy Rate 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% $784 $812 $833 $857 $880 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 $650 $600 Average Rent/Unit 86% $550 84% $500 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 15 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

16 West Submarket Rents & Occupancy $472 per Bed 100% 98% $1,023 $1,039 $1,056 $1,100 $1,050 Occupancy Rate 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% $771 $773 $799 $833 $853 $865 $1,000 $950 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 Average Rent/Unit 86% $647 $650 84% $600 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 16 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

17 North Submarket Rents & Occupancy $462 per Bed 100% $930 $950 Occupancy Rate 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% $732 $795 $807 $831 $833 $839 $837 $852 $858 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 $650 Average Rent/Unit 88% $600 86% $550 84% $500 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 17 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

18 South Submarket Rents & Occupancy $452 per Bed 100% $850 Occupancy Rate 98% 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% $632 $659 $679 $718 $726 $747 $755 $766 $784 $797 $800 $750 $700 $650 $600 Average Rent/Unit 86% $550 84% $500 Average Rent Average Occupancy Source: CBRE 18 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

19 Bloomington MSA Building Permits 1,350 Total Permits 1, '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Single Family Multifamily December 2016 (p) Source: US Census Bureau 19 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

20 New Construction City Flats on Walnut JC Hart 82 Units / 84 Beds 20 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

21 New Construction Moonburn Olympus Properties 33 Units / 33 Beds 21 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

22 New Construction Urban Station Sila Capital & H.M. Mac 54 Units / 155 Beds 22 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

23 New Construction Echo Park Sila Capital & H.M. Mac 153 Units / 230 Beds 23 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

24 New Construction Patterson Pointe Sila Capital & H.M. Mac 177 Units / 488 Beds 24 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

25 New Construction Name TBD (611 N. Rogers) Pedcor 36 Units / 65 Beds 25 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

26 New Construction - REDEVELOPMENT Dunnhill 265 Units / 746 Beds 26 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

27 Transactions 2017 Oakdale Square 200 Units / 436 Beds Seller: Justus Buyer: Barratt Asset Management 27 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

28 Transactions 2016 Campus Corner 253 Units / 796 Beds Seller: ACC Buyer: Saban Real Estate 28 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

29 Transactions 2016 The Fields 285 Units / 537 Beds Seller: CPP JV GIC JV Scion Group Buyer: Alex. Brown Realty JV ACH 29 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

30 Transactions 2016 Copper Beech Townhomes & Colonial Crest 313 Units / 699 Beds Seller: Campus Crest Buyer: Harrison Street The Quarry The Arch 30 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

31 Transactions 2016 Union Square 20 Units / 85 Beds Seller: Orion Buyer: Hunter Properties 31 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

32 Transactions 2016 Red Brick 36 Units / 68 Beds Seller: Peter Nguyen Buyer: JSA Investments 32 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

33 Active Lenders 33 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

34 Active Lenders 1 - CMBS: (42%) 5 & 10 year fixed rate terms / 30 Year Amortization 70% - 75% LTV I.O. available at 70% LTV Prefer 12 month leases / Focus on collection seasonality Non-recourse Replacement Reserves of around $100 - $125/bed Pricing on a 10/30 with 2 years of I.O. is around 4.70% 34 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

35 Active Lenders 2 - Fannie Mae: (42%) 5, 7, 10, 12, 15 year fixed rate terms / 30 year Amortization 7 and 10 year floating rate terms 70% - 75% LTV Prefer 12 month leases Non-recourse Replacement Reserves of around $100-$125/bed Pricing on a fixed rate 10/30 with 2 years IO is around 4.80% Pricing on a 7 year floating rate loan is around 3.60% Freddie Mac Currently shy on student housing 35 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

36 Active Lenders 3 - Balance Sheet Lenders: (16%) Transaction/Relationship Banks: 5 10 year terms / Year Amortization Select lenders can go beyond 10 year terms 65% - 75% LTV Sponsor strength/relationship potential can be a major factor Non-recourse and recourse options Pricing on a 5/25 at full leverage is around 4.35% with recourse 36 BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW CENTRAL MIDWEST MULTIFAMILY

37 January 31, 2017 Central Midwest Multifamily Steve LaMotte, Jr. Senior Vice President Dane Wilson First Vice President BLOOMINGTON APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW Dan Gable Vice President