City of San José. Housing Market Update Q 2. Produced by City San José Department of Housing
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1 City of San José Produced by City San José Department of Housing Housing Market Update Q
2 Q San José Housing Market Rents continue to set records, grow 11% annually Renters must earn around $52/hour ($109,440/year) to afford the average rent for a two bedroom apartment 1 No-cause evictions filed with City continue to rise Median single-family home prices continue to set record highs, up 9% year over year (YoY); townhome prices increase even more, up 20% YoY Only 1 in 5 families can afford to purchase a median priced home in the San José, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara Metropolitan Service Area (MSA), compared to 3 of 5 families, nationally 2 1 Based on Realfacts average rents, income calculation assumes rents are 30% of income, 40 hour work week,and a single income household 2 National Association of Home Builders Housing Opportunity Index, Q
3 Q Multi-Family Residential Permit Activity Trends Low (all Market-Rate) Permits Pulled vs 1,287 Permits in Q ,500 Number of Multifamily Residential Permits 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, To-Date Multifamily Market Rate Multifamily Affordable SOURCE: City of San José Housing Department, Q
4 Average Rent Continues to Rise, Up 8% Quarterly and 11% YoY $3,173 $2,736 $2,407 $2,186 $1,749 SOURCE: RealFacts Q Data only includes rental projects with 50 apartments or more 4
5 SJ Vacancy Rate rises from 3.3% in Q1 to 4.7% in Q2 2015, Just Below the Natural Rate 5 % 4.7% 4.3% SOURCE: RealFacts Data Q2, 2015 Data only includes rental projects with 50 apartments or more 5
6 Rents in Some Areas Trend Higher than Average Citywide Rents Project 1BR 2BR Average Citywide Rents (Q Realfacts) Riverview (North SJ) Sycamores at North Park (North SJ) One South Market (Downtown SJ) 101 San Fernando (Downtown SJ) Ascent Apartments (Edenvale SJ) $2,186 $2,736 $2,645 - $3,185 $3,335 - $3,685 $2,650 - $3,215 $3,130 - $3,520 $2,616 - $3,316 $3,342 - $8,858 $2,348 - $2,894 $3,393 - $3,893 $2,136 - $2,526 $2,809 - $3,382 SOURCE: Zillow, Aug 11,
7 Market Rents Significantly Out of Reach for Many San José Workers SOURCE: Employment Development Department (EDD) May 2015 Wages; Income to rent calculation assumes rent at 30% of income and a single income household 7
8 No Cause Evictions Filed with the City Continue to Climb Evictions Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q Evictions Source: City of San José Housing Department Does not include all evictions in San Jose, only evictions filed with the City on rent controlled buildings. 8
9 San José Housing Affordability Remains Low Relative to the Nation (5 th least affordable) Only 1/5 th of San José s Families Can Afford a Median Priced Home % of Homes Affordable to Families Earning Median Income Q % Q % Q3 14 Q3 13 Q3 12 Q3 11 Q3 10 Q3 09 Q3 08 Q3 07 Q3 06 Q3 05 Q3 04 Q1 02 Q1 01 Q1 00 Q1 99 Q1 98 Q1 97 Q1 96 Q1 95 Q1 94 Q1 93 Q1 92 San Jose, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara Metropolitan Area HOI National HOI SOURCE: National Association of Home Builders, Housing Opportunity Index Q
10 Mortgage Rates Record Slight Increase from Q % 2.54 % 0.13% SOURCE: Federal Reserve, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, June
11 Single-Family Median Home Prices Continue to Climb after Reaching Record Levels, Up 10% (SCC) & 9% (SJ)YoY $1,000,000 $997,000 $900,000 $865,000 Median Single Family Home Price ($) $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Santa Clara County San José SOURCE: Santa Clara County Association of Realtors, June
12 Townhome/Condo Median Price at Record High, Up 22% (SCC) and 20% (SJ) YoY $675,000 $642,000 Median Towhome Price ($) $575,000 $475,000 $375,000 $275,000 $550,000 $175,000 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Santa Clara County San José SOURCE: Santa Clara County Association of Realtors, June
13 Inventory remains low 4,000 3,500 3,000 San José Data 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 New Listings Sales Total Listings Jun-14 Jun-15 SOURCE: Santa Clara County Association of Realtors, MLS Listings June
14 Hot Market - DOM at Lowest Level since Mid 2005, SF down by 4 days and Condo down by 9 days from Q Days on the Market in San Jose Days 0 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Single Family Condo/Townhomes 14 Days SOURCE: Santa Clara County Association of Realtors June
15 Foreclosure Filings Stay Low, at Pre-Recession Levels 1,400 1,200 1, Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Number of Filings in San José Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Notice of Defaults Auctions Bank-owned SOURCE: San José PropertyRadar.com June
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