Welcome Mike Dahilig, County of Kaua i Planning Director

Transcription

1 Community Advisory Committee Meeting 5 September 29, :00 PM to 5:00 PM Moikeha Building Room A Welcome Mike Dahilig, County of Kaua i Planning Director

2 Overview of Today s Meeting David Tarnas, Marine & Coastal Solutions International Meeting Facilitator 1. Project Update and CAC Schedule Cheryl Soon, SSFM 2. Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation Ka aina Hull and Marie Williams, COK Planning Department 3. Entitled Lands - Melissa White, SSFM 4. Land Use and Buildout Analysis Roy Takemoto, PBR Hawai i 5. Discussion 6. Public Comments 7. Next Activities Project Update & CAC Schedule Cheryl Soon, SSFM International

3 Project Update: Where We Are Today Nov Mar 2015 Work Plan Public Engagement Strategy Technical Paper Review April 2015 Existing Conditions, Issues & Opportunities CAC Kickoff Media Campaign Website May 2015 Community Meetings Policy Development Strategy June June 2016 Vision, Goals, Policy Development Ongoing CAC, Agency Briefing Public Engagement August- September 2016 Administrative Draft Plan Public Review Draft Community Meetings Fall Early 2017 Planning Commission Review Council Review Adoption WE ARE HERE The Latest 1. Issues and Opportunities paper complete (pick up a copy on your way out also available online at Informed by a review of technical studies and available plans & policies Issues were tested and verified through pop-up week, community meetings, and small group meetings The paper will be a reference throughout the CAC process 2. Technical studies online and distributed to the CAC 3. Community input compiled and posted online 4. Input from Farm Fair, CAC meeting 3, and other sources is being used to update the Vision Statement 5. County is working to engage middle and high school students; Kaua i Community College

4 Policy Development Process Gather Information - Review existing plans and policies - Identify current best practices - Take stock of what has happened since the 2000 General Plan - Analyze policy issues and opportunities Incorporate Input - Interview agencies and departments to identify challenges and opportunities - Engage the CAC in discussions about policy issues and direction for the future - Collect input from the community on policy issues and priorities Develop Policy - Using the information and input collected, evaluate the existing 2000 General Plan policies and recommend whether to retain, update, or replace them. - Incorporate any new information or policies that were not addressed in the 2000 General Plan - Test and refine proposed policies with County and community input Implementation Roadmap - Implementing Actions -Regulatory Maps - Prioritization of Actions -Benchmarks - Performance Measures Kaua i General Plan Working Schedule for the CAC (refer to your handouts) GP Chapter Topics Covered Associated Technical Reports CAC Meetings 1. Introduction - GP Process & Policy Framework - Public Involvement 2. Vision for the Future - Where We Are Today: Challenges and Successes - Demographic and Socioeconomic projections - Vision for Kaua i - Guiding Principles 3. Protecting Natural & Cultural Resources 4. Providing for Healthy, Resilient, and Vibrant Communities - Historic & Cultural Resources - Scenic & Open Space Resources - Land and Water - Shoreline Areas - Climate Change & Natural Hazards - Community Health - Disaster Preparedness - Self-Sufficiency - and Community Networks - Social Equity - Entrepreneurialism - Arts and Culture 5. Planning for the Future - Land Use - Economic Development (Agriculture, Tourism, Growth Areas) - Infrastructure & Energy - Housing - Transportation 6. Implementing the Vision - Vision & Policies for each planning district - Shared Kuleana Implementation Tools and Roadmap 7. Measuring Progress - Performance Measures & Monitoring - Accountability Socioeconomic Analysis & Forecasts (SMS Research, Feb 2014) Climate Change and Coastal Hazards Assessment UH Sea Grant, June 2014) Community Health Improvement Plan (June 2014), Wilcox Hospital, COK, KCC, DOH, DOE Climate Change and Coastal Hazards Assessment UH Sea Grant, June 2014) Land Use Buildout Analysis, (PBR Hawai i, 2014) Important Agricultural Lands Study (University of Hawai i, Dec 2014) Infrastructure Analysis, (RM Towill, May 2015) #1 (March 30, 2015): CAC Kickoff and Introduction to the Process #2 (April 30, 2015): Demographic and Socioeconomic Data #3 (July 22, 2015): Proposed Vision for Kaua i 2035 #6 (October 20, 2015): Natural & Cultural Resources; Open Space; Hazards & Climate Change #13 (June 2016): Public Facilities and Social Equity #4 (July 28, 2015): Place Typing and Form Based Code #5 (September 29, 2015): Land Use Buildout & Entitled Development #8 (January 2016): Transportation (vehicle, bicycle, pedestrian, transit) #9 (February 2016): Infrastructure (Water, Wastewater, Solid Waste #10 (March 2016): Agriculture #12 (May 2016): Economic Development (tourism, clusters) #7 (November 30, 2015): Place Typing Concepts and Vision by District #11 (April 2016): Draft Land Use Map and Policies #14a (June 2016) Implementation Tools & Fiscal Analysis #14b (June 2016) Monitoring & Performance Measures DRAFT PLAN Review of Draft Plan August-September 2016

5 Chronological Schedule Month/Year GP Chapter CAC Topics Covered March Introduction CAC Kickoff and Introduction to the Process April Vision for the Future Demographic and Socioeconomic Data July Vision for the Future Proposed Vision for Kaua i 2035 July Planning for the Future Place Typing & Form-Based Code September Planning for the Future Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation Land Use Buildout Analysis Entitled Development October Protecting Natural & Cultural Resources Natural, Historic & Cultural Resources Open Space Climate Change & Natural Hazards November Implementing the Vision Place Typing Concepts and Vision by District January Planning for the Future Transportation (vehicle, bicycle, pedestrian, transit) February Planning for the Future Infrastructure (Water, Wastewater, Solid Waste) March Planning for the Future Agriculture April Implementing the Vision Draft Land Use Map and Policies May Planning for the Future Economic Development (tourism, clusters) June Providing for Healthy, Resilient, and Vibrant Communities 6. Implementing the Vision 7. Measuring Progress Public Facilities and Social Equity Implementation Tools & Fiscal Analysis Monitoring & Performance Measures August-September 2016 Review of Draft Plan Technical Studies The first Technical Study on Socioeconomic Projections was discussed at Meeting 2 Today will include a presentation on the Land Use Inventory and Buildout Analysis

6 Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation Ka`aina Hull and Marie Williams County of Kaua i Planning Department Kaua i County General Plan 2000 IMPLEMENTATION Planning Department Implementation Efforts

7 Overview September 29, 2015 Zoning Amendments Agriculture Cluster Subdivision Lateral Shoreline Access Gated Community Ban AG ADU Sunset Subdivision Traffic Calming Superstore Ban Shoreline Setback Bills Open District Density Cap Transient Vacation Rental Bills Small Wind Energy Conversion Farm Worker Housing Bill Increase in Zoning Violation Fine Bill Land Coverage Calculation for Shared Use Paths AG Solar CZO Update Reduce Block Length Homestay Community Planning K lauea Town Plan East Kaua i Community Plan L hu e Town Core Urban Design Plan SPA D, E, F, & G South Kaua i Community Plan SPA H, I, J L hu e Community Plan 2 Zoning Amendments AG Cluster Subdivision x 3

8 Zoning Amendments Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843) Gated Community Ban Lateral Shoreline Access (777, 801) x AG Cluster Subdivision x 4 Zoning Amendments Open District Density (896) Shoreline Setback (863) Superstore Ban (849) Subdivision Traffic Calming x Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843) Gated Community Ban Lateral Shoreline Access (777, 801) x AG Cluster Subdivision x 5

9 Zoning Amendments Farm Worker Housing (903) Small Wind Energy Conversion Transient Vacation Rental Bills (864, 876, 904) Open District Density (896) Shoreline Setback (863) Superstore Ban (849) Subdivision Traffic Calming x Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843) Gated Community Ban Lateral Shoreline Access (777, 801) x AG Cluster Subdivision x Increase in Zoning Violation Fine (919) x 6 Zoning Amendments Farm Worker Housing (903) Small Wind Energy Conversion Transient Vacation Rental Bills (864, 876, 904) Open District Density (896) Shoreline Setback (863) Superstore Ban (849) Subdivision Traffic Calming x Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843) Gated Community Ban x Lateral Shoreline Access (777, 801) AG Cluster Subdivision x Homestay (987) Reduce Block Length (946) CZO UPDATE (935) AG Solar Facilities (928) Land Coverage Calculations (924) Increase in Zoning Violation Fine (919) x 7

10 Community Planning K lauea Town Plan Land Use Plan for Expansion 45 acres residential 60% affordable Bypass road 8 Community Planning K lauea Town Plan East Kaua i Community Plan Regional Plan Launched in 2006 Explored growth scenarios Not finalized Policy work to be integrated into General Plan 9

11 Community Planning K lauea Town Plan East Kaua i Community Plan L hu e Town Core Urban Design Plan L hu e Community Plan Town Core Plan Infill and mixed use development SPA D SPA E SPA F SPA G Regional Plan Recommended new SPAs Add 4 5K homes by Community Planning K lauea Town Plan East Kaua i Community Plan L hu e Town Core Urban Design Plan L hu e Community Plan South Kaua i Community Plan Regional Plan New Growth Area Add 2k homes by 2035 SPA H SPA I SPA J 11

12 Community Planning K lauea Town Plan East Kaua i Community Plan L hu e Town Core Urban Design Plan L hu e Community Plan South Kaua i Community Plan SPA D SPA E SPA F SPA G SPA H SPA I SPA J 12 Entitled Lands Analysis Melissa White, SSFM International

13 Entitled Lands Analysis Methodology Data on entitled projects was collected from the COK Planning Department: Major projects with an existing PDU or Class IV Zoning Permit; and Large zoned projects, with or without subdivision approvals, but with a master plan. Projects at the Land Use Commission, requesting SLUD Boundary Amendment Entitled projects were mapped and tabulated by district and project type (Housing, Commercial, Resort) Entitled Lands Analysis Caveats Many of these projects have been on the books for years and their current status is uncertain. Outreach is being conducted to major landowners to obtain the status of known projects and identify future plans that may be proposed during the GP planning horizon. Build-out is subject to multiple factors not within County s control: the market, construction costs, landowner willingness, State DOT infrastructure requirements, etc. There are no expirations on certain types of County permits, meaning that once projects are entitled, there are limited options for modifying or preventing them from proceeding. This may be something that the General Plan can address in its Update.

14 Entitled Lands Analysis How the Analysis Will be Used This analysis, along with the Land Use Buildout Analysis, represent key pieces of information that tell us how Kaua i will grow over the next twenty years and identify opportunities that exist for shaping that growth to meet the vision. The understanding of where growth is planned and desired to occur will inform the development of land use policy and maps. Landowner Outreach General Outreach County issued a press release to media outlets, posted online at State & Federal Landowners Coordination is commencing with DHHL on their lands A letter was sent to PMRF Targeted Outreach A certified letter was sent to the following major landowners: Alexander & Baldwin Gay & Robinson Grove Farm HG Kaua i Joint Venture LLC Thane Inc. Discovery Land Company Kikiaola Land Company My Kapa a LLC Leland R Bertsch Cornerstone I Condominium Anaina Hou Land LLC Princeville Mauka Village LLC

15 Entitled Projects: East Kaua i Entitled Projects: East Kaua i Housing Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Designation Status Agriculture Permitted as an Agricultural development 2 Kapa a Highlands Phase II 769 Urban Center, Agriculture, Open 3 Pi ilani Mai He Kai (DHHL Anahola) Resort TOTAL 1, Urban Center, Agriculture, Open Seeking SLU Amendment Phase II began in 2012 Map # Project Name Resort Units GP Land Use Designation Status 4 Coconut Plantation 192 Resort Submitted annual status report (2/8/11) 5 Coco Palms 350 Resort Approved March Coconut Beach Resort 335 Resort Construction to start 2015 TOTAL 877

16 Housing Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status Commercial 1 Waiola Phases I- III 196 Urban Center, Open, Residential 2 Koamalu 220 Urban Center 3 GroveFarm Wailani Residential 4 KoheaLoa D.R. Horton 5 DHHL, Phase I Resort Map # TOTAL 2,498 Project Name 1,450 Urban Center 444 Urban Center Final Approvals Submitted Annual Status Report Negotiating infrastructure and access issues Submitted 2013 Status Report 188 Agriculture No plans for development within GP timeframe Resort Units GP Land Use Status 9 Kaua i Lagoons 700 Resort Submitted annual status report (2/8/11) TOTAL 700 Map # Project Name Sq. ft. GP Land Use 3 Grove Farm Wailani Commercial 6 Hokulei Village 7 Weinberg Foundation Renovation 8 Weinberg Foundation/ Ahukini TOTAL 1,398,549 1,132,299 Urban Center 222,000 Urban Center 24,250 Urban Center 20,000 Urban Center Status Unknown Under construction Phase I complete Seeking building permits

17 - Ele ele - Ele ele Housing Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use 1 Lima Ola (affordable) 450 Agriculture, Open 2 A&B Ele ele Residential TOTAL Urban Center Status Master Plan Complete, requires GP/SLU Amendment Unknown

18 Entitled Projects: Waimea-Kekaha Entitled Projects: Waimea-Kekaha Housing Map # Project Name 1 Mauka 2 Field 14 TOTAL 326 Housing Units GP Land Use Status 270 Residential Unknown 56 Open, Residential Not Constructed Resort Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 3 Kapalawai Resort LLC 250 Resort Unknown TOTAL 250

19 Entitled Projects: South Kaua i Entitled Projects: South Kaua i Housing Map # Project Name 1 Brydeswoo dranch (A&B) 2 Koloa Creekside 3 Kukuiula Employee Housing Housing Units GP Land Use Status 24 Open, Unknown Agriculture 72 Residential Ongoing 100 Residential, Land deeded to Open County 4 Kukuiula 750 Residential, Resort Final subdivision map approval for parcels M1, M4, Y 5 The Village 34 Residential Unknown at Koloa Town 6 Koloa Camp 50 Residential Underway - Waihononu 7 CIRI (CLDC) 10 Resort Planning Subdivision Commission approved 8/26/14 TOTAL 1,040 Commercial Map # Project Name Sq. ft. GP Land Use Status 5 Town 8 Rum Company Store and Cafe 9 Kukuiula ABC Store 10 Marketplace 11 Old Glass Warehouse TOTAL 209,200 96,000 Residential Unknown 9,000 Residential Agriculture Open 21,000 Residential Open Approved Planning Commission (June 2014) Approved Planning Commission (Nov. 2014) 76,000 Residential Unknown 7,200 Residential Approved Planning Commission (Nov. 2014)

20 Entitled Projects: South Kaua i Continued Resort Map # Project Name Resort Units GP Land Use Status 12 Poipu Beach Estates 110 Resort Several lots are built out 13 Village at Poipu 51 Resort Moving forward 14 Pilimai at Poipu 191 Resort Under construction 15 Kiahuna Poipu Golf Resort 282 Resort Unknown 4 Kukuiula 750 Residential Final subdivision map approval for, Resort parcels M1, M4, Y 16 Palms at Poipu 56 Resort Unknown 17 Sheraton Kauai 173 Resort Unknown Expansion TOTAL 1,613 Entitled Projects: North Shore

21 Entitled Projects: North Shore Housing Map # Project Name 1 Kolopua (Princeville Affordable) TOTAL 44 Housing Units GP Land Use Status 44 Resort Under Construction Commercial Map # Project Name Sq. ft. GP Land Use Status 2 Crossings 6,070 Residential Unknown 3 Town Center 4 Hanalei Halelea Office 46,800 Residential Commercial Shopping Center 2,000 Residential Approved by Commission 2013 TOTAL 54,870 Entitled Projects: Total by District Housing District Total Entitled Units 2,498 East Kaua i 1, Ele ele Waimea- 326 Kekaha South 1,040 Kaua i North 44 Shore Total Island 5,681 Commercial District Total Commercial Square Footage 1,398,549 South 209,200 Kaua i North Shore 54,870 Total Island 1,662,619 Resort District Total Entitled Units East Kaua i South 1,613 Kaua i Waimea 250 Total Island 3,440

22 Land Use Inventory and Buildout Analysis Roy Takemoto, PBR Hawai i Land Use Technical Study Overview Study Objectives Land Use Inventory: Compile inventory of existing and proposed residential, commercial/industrial, resort uses Zoning Capacity. Analyze the capacity of existing zoning relative to 2035 population and economic projections Growth Scenarios: Pose growth policy questions based on alternative buildout assumptions Monitoring Implementation: Suggest a land use data system to monitor buildout Methodology Existing land use inventory. Data sources; GIS analysis Buildout model. Community Viz (ArcGIS extension) suitability and buildout tools

23 Existing Land Use Inventory Residential Census dwelling unit data per SMS Study Not parcel-level Multi-family dwelling units data weak Resort Visitor Plant Inventory Not parcel-level TVR data weak, but will improve with registration system Commercial/Industrial PITT code + Pictometry footprint calculation No accounting for multi-story establishments Previous inventory provides foundation for parcel-level data RESIDENTIAL Existing Land Use Inventory Single-family residential (PITT 100) Urban-zoned Residential-zoned: 14,500 parcels Commercial/industrial-zoned: 50 parcels Resort-zoned: 32 parcels (PITT 100 & 200) Open and Ag areas Open: 2,100 parcels Agricultural : 200 parcels Vacant and occupied parcels in the homestead areas: 1,200 parcels in the SLU Agricultural District (5,500 acres) Tracking actual residential growth Problems tracking multi-family dwellings Problems tracking second homes vs. transient vacation units Problems tracking residential use in multiuse structures Problems tracking ADU

24 RESIDENTIAL Population Projection (SMS Study) North Shore East Kaua i South Kaua i - Ele ele Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL Census ,002 20,992 14,683 11,696 6,157 5,561 67,091 % 12% 31% 22% 17% 9% 8% 100% 2035 Projection 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 88,014 % 10% 29% 27% 19% 8% 7% 100% Growth Rate 0.17% 0.55% 3.48% 1.75% 1.57% 0.69% 1.25% - Ele ele Census % Waimea- Kekaha 8% North Shore 12% - Ele ele 8% 2035 Projection Waimea-Kekaha 7% North Shore 10% South Kaua i 18% East Kaua i 31% South Kaua i 19% East Kaua i 29% 22% 27% RESIDENTIAL Zoning Capacity North Shore East Kaua i - South Kaua i Ele ele Waimea- Kekaha 1 Zoning Capacity (units) 3,054 5,724 6,206 5,576 1,604 1,235 2 HH Size Population Capacity (persons) 8,521 16,829 18,370 15,390 4,988 3, Projected Population 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 5 Surplus (Deficit) Population (412) (8,281) (5,086) (1,465) (2,106) (3,046) 6 % Surplus (Deficit) -5% -33% -22% -9% -30% -46% Notes: 1. Zoning capacity: number of dwelling units that could fit within Residential zoning districts based on zoning density 2. HH size: average household size from SMS Study 3. Population capacity: Row #1 (dwelling units) x Row #2 (persons/dwelling unit) 4. Population projection: from SMS Study 5. Surplus (deficit): Row #3 (zoning capacity population) Row #4 (projected population) 6. %: Row #5 (surplus/deficit divided by Row # (zoning population capacity)

25 RESIDENTIAL Entitled Projects North Shore East Kaua i South - Kaua i Ele ele Waimea- Kekaha Zoning Capacity 1 (units) 3,054 5,724 6,206 5,576 1,604 1,235 2 HH Size Population Capacity (persons) 8,521 16,829 18,370 15,390 4,988 3, Projected Population 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6, Surplus (Deficit) Population ,281-5,086-1,465-2,106-3,046 % Surplus (Deficit) -5% -33% -22% -9% -30% -46% 7 Surplus (Deficit) Units (148) (2,817) (1,718) (531) (677) (1,069) 8 Entitled Units Difference (104) (1,695) (26) (743) Notes: 7. Surplus/deficit units: Row #5 (surplus/deficit population) divided by Row #2 (persons/household) 8. Entitled units: from slide #26 9. Difference: Red= entitled # units exceed projected need; Green= entitled # units less than projected need RESIDENTIAL Takeaways Population projections by Planning District are based on past trends and the existing General Plan policy to Based on past-trends scenario, residential zoning changes in the spatial development pattern are desired (such as upzoning in certain areas). Rezoning needed in all other districts. Few areas zoned to allow duplexes and multi-family units Residential use also occurs in Open and Agricultural districts, especially North Shore and homestead areas

26 RESORT Existing Land Use Inventory VDA Size vs. Existing Visitor Units South Kauai and North Shore have largest VDAs, but existing visitor units relatively equally distributed among South Kauai, North Shore, East Kauai, and Lihue Higher density visitor units in East Kauai and Lihue Visitor Units Visitor units inventory by HTA fluctuates yearly due to TVR count South Kauai has highest number of units, followed by North Shore North Shore has highest % of acreage Residential districts within the VDA (10%) Tracking actual resort growth Problems identifying dwellings used as TVR HTA s visitor inventory not parcel level No county data on hotel and timeshare unit counts to verify HTA Waimea 1% VDA Acres South Kauai 52% North Shore 33% Lihue 10% Visitor Units East Kauai 4% - - Ele ele 0% Waimea- Kekaha 2% North Shore East Kaua i South Kaua i Waimea- - Ele ele Kekaha TOTAL Visitor Units 1,751 1,946 1,437 2, ,701 South Kaua i 31% 19% North Shore 23% East Kaua i 25% RESORT Visitor Arrivals Distribution (from SMS Study) North Shore East Kaua i South Kaua i - Ele ele Waimea- Kekaha TOTAL Visitor Arrivals Existing (2010) 239, , , , ,000 1,033,000 Projected (2035) 320, , , , ,000 1,330,000 Increase 81,000 82,000 19, , , ,000 Average annual % 1.36% 1.46% 0.42% 1.21% 0.00% 0.31% 1.15% - Ele ele 0% Existing (2010) Waimea-Kekaha 1% - Ele ele 0% Projected (2035) Waimea-Kekaha 1% South Kaua i 37% North Shore 23% South Kaua i 37% North Shore 24% East Kaua i 22% East Kaua i 23% 17% 15%

27 RESORT Zoning Capacity North Shore East Kaua i South Kaua i - Ele ele Waimea -Kekaha TOTAL 1 Projected Need (2035) 2,767 2,645 1,720 4, , Projected Supply (2035) 2,459 2,745 2,209 4, ,186 Surplus (Deficit) Projected Need: number of visitor units projection from SMS Study 2. Projected Supply: number of proposed visitor units from Visitor Plant Inventory 3. Surplus/deficit: Green= supply less than demand; Yellow= supply exceeds demand by less than 100 units; Red = supply exceeds demand by greater than 300 units RESORT Entitled Projects North Shore East Kaua i South Kaua i - Waimea- Ele ele Kekaha TOTAL 1 Projected Need (2035) 2,767 2,645 1,720 4, ,498 2 Projected Supply (2035) 2,459 2,745 2,209 4, ,186 3 Surplus (Deficit) Entitled Units , ,440 5 Unentitled Supply 1,868 1,509 2, ,287 6 % Unentitled 68% 68% 63% 42% 52% Notes: 4. Entitled Units. From slide # Unentitled Supply. Row #2 (proposed units) Row #4 (entitled units) 6. % Unentitled. Row #5 divided by Row #2 (proposed units)

28 RESORT Takeaways There is a surplus of resort units in all districts except for the North Shore More than half of the proposed units are not entitled Options open to better integrate resort uses with other policies (e.g., workers live closer to employment, setbacks for climate change, public access and trails) The County has policies in place to control transient accommodations outside of resort zoned lands and Visitor Destination Areas COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Existing Land Use Inventory Commercial has 49% of the commercial floor area, followed by East Kaua i and South Kaua i Industrial. has 81% of the floor area, followed by the Port Allen area of - Ele ele Methodology. PITT Code 300 was relied upon to identify commercial properties, and PITT Code 400 for industrial properties. To determine floor area, building footprint data from the County (derived from Pictometry aerial photos) and assumed all commercial and industrial buildings as one story.

29 1 COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Projection North - Shore East Kaua i South Kaua i Ele ele Waimea- Kekaha TOTAL Commercial Floor Area 307,751 1,244,271 3,203, , , ,239 6,521,759 2 Existing Population (2010) 8,002 20,992 14,683 11,696 6,157 5,561 67,091 3 Commercial Ratio Projection 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 88, Commercial Floor Area 343,557 1,488,360 5,117,817 1,207, , ,933 3,884,148 5 Notes 1. Existing Commercial Floor Area. Identified commercial properties using PITT Code 300; calculated floor areas using Pictometry footprint; assumes 1-story 2. Existing Population. From Census Commercial Ratio. Row 1 (floor area) divided by Row 2 (population). Economic projection did not include a finer breakdown into job types such as retail, office, resort, agriculture-related, and industrial that would have enabled a floor area per employee projection. Workaround: Ratio of existing population to commercial and industrial floor area was developed for each Planning District basd on assumption that this ratio adequately serves the existing population Population Projection. From SMS Study Projected Floor Area. Row 4 (2035 population) multiplied by Row 4 (projected population). East Kaua i s ratio seemed significantly low relative to commercial potential of visitor units. COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Zoning Capacity & Entitled Projects Planning District North Shore Kapa a- Wailua South Kaua i - Ele ele Waimea- Kekaha County of Kaua i Floor Area (ft²) 343,557 1,488,360 5,117,817 1,207, , ,933 9,238,175 2 CG/CN Zoning Capacity 2,293,241 1,240,467 14,623,523 6,184, ,465 1,000,689 26,209, % Zoning Capacity 15% 120% 35% 20% 70% 47% 35% 4 Entitled 54,870 1,398, ,200 5 % Entitled of % 27% 17% Notes: 1. Projected 2035 Floor Area. From previous slide # Commercial-Zoned Capacity. Calculated in GIS using Community Viz Buildout Wizard. 3. Projected Floor Area as a % of Zoning Capacity. Row 1 (2035 floor area) divided by Row 2 (zoning capacity. 4. Entitled Floor Area. From slide # Entitled Projects as a % of Projected Need. Row 4 (entitled floor area) divided by Row 1 (2035 projected floor area need).

30 COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Takeaways Methodology. Best practice methodology is to estimate projected floor area to absorb projected employment. Incorporate job types in future economic projections. Zoning Capacity. Based on population-ratio methodology, existing commercial zoning more than adequate to accommodate future population projection. Industrial. Light industrial can be accommodated within commercial districts. Existing zoning provides for heavy industrial areas near harbors and airports that require buffering from other uses. General Plan Designation. Current General Plan does not have a separate Commercial designation, encouraging commercial uses to be mixed with other uses in the Urban Center, Residential Community, or Resort designations. Mixed Use. Mixed use zoning (vs. single-use commercial or industrial zoning) provides flexibility for market to determine land use requirement rather than trying to zone in accordance with floor area projections. Buildout Scenarios Comparison Status Quo Scenario Directed Growth Scenario

31 Comparison of Buildout Scenarios Status Quo Scenario Choice Drivers: People will choose to live in existing areas and most affordable areas Growth Pattern: Preference for larger and affordable lots encourage more growth in Open and Ag districts; growth in all districts as projected in SMS Study Directed Growth Scenario Choice Drivers: People will choose to live in affordable, close to work, livable mixed used centers; disincentives discourage living in Open and Ag districts Growth Pattern: Lihue, East Kauai, and South Kauai would receive significant proportion of future growth; other districts would receive less growth than SMS projection. Buildout Scenarios vs. Building Permit Trends Building Permits, Status Quo Scenario Directed Growth Scenario Past buildout trends (per Building Permits) similar to Status Quo Scenario-- substantial past growth in Agricultural and Open districts Directed Growth Scenario directs future growth to Residential and Mixed Use districts

32 Building Permits (15 Years, ) vs. Entitled Residential Units Number of entitled future units substantially exceed the building permits issued in the last 15 years in all districts except North Shore Entitled number of units for Lihue substantially greater than all districts Discussion: Facilitated by David Tarnas Marine & Coastal Solutions International

33 Existing GP Policy Framework for Land Use and Development (Section 5.1.1) The 2000 General Plan frames the issue of land use and development in terms of the goal of preserving Kaua i s rural character. It identified the following policies: Enhance Urban Centers and Towns and maintain their identity by defining the Town Center and the edges of each Town. Concentrate shopping and other commercial uses in Encourage residential development within Urban and Town Centers and in Residential Communities contiguous to them. Promote compact urban settlements in order to limit public service costs and to preserve open space. Define and conserve Scenic Roadway Corridors along the roadways that connect Towns, Resort areas, and Residential Communities. These corridors are intended to conserve the open space between towns and to prevent sprawl and commercial strip development. Existing GP Policies for Future Growth (Section 5.1.2) The 2000 General Plan set forth the following policies to provide for growth and development while preserving rural character: Allow incremental growth of Towns, contiguous to existing development. Concentrate primary shopping facilities within the Town Center. Support infill development. Provide for build-out of existing Residential Communities, to include areas zoned R-1 or higher. Allow small, neighborhood-oriented commercial sites in Residential Communities. Support growth of residential and business uses in masterplanned developments in the Puhi- - Center and at -Kukui ula.

34 Existing GP Policies for Future Growth (Section 5.1.2) In the outlying West Side and North Shore districts, plan for additional residential use to meet regional demands for housing Expansion contiguous to an existing town or residential community is preferred over a new residential community. Allow build-out of properties in existing low-density agricultural communities, including the homestead areas of Wailua, Kapa a, Omao subdivisions in other parts of the island, while taking measures to assure the adequacy of County road, drainage, and water supply systems. Limit the development and dispersal of new agricultural communities through zoning regulations. Discussion Question 1 1) Given the priorities outlined in the 2000 General Plan, how should the General Plan Update address currently entitled lands and set guidelines for future entitlements? Examples might be, do nothing, Have a time limit to use the designations, or re-negotiate requirements to meet current policies. What are the pro s and con s of these strategies? Should a time limit on permits be considered for the future?

35 Discussion Question 2 2) The (2015) both emphasized Mixed Use development and created special zoning overlays for it in the town core areas. Is this objective applicable in the other planning districts? What is the same? What is different? Discussion Question 3 3) The (2015) both emphasized Mixed Use development and created special zoning overlays for it in the town core areas. In some cases, design guidelines were also developed for Mixed Use areas. a) Is this objective applicable in the other planning districts? b) It can be achieved through Special zoning overlays, through regulation, and/or through design guidelines. What might be the reasons for keeping Mixed Use designations the same islandwide? What might be reasons for allowing differences between planning districts?

36 Discussion Question 4 4) The land use buildout analysis showed that 25% of housing is being built on Agriculture zoned districts and 8% in Open Districts. Is this an acceptable trend? Why or why not? Are the existing General Plan policies working to manage growth in the Agricultural District, and how might they be improved upon? Discussion Question 5 5) The Land Use Buildout analysis shows that Industrial lands are concentrated around the ports and harbors. Is there a need for industrial lands elsewhere? If so, where, and why?

37 Any additional questions or comments from the CAC members? Public Comment

38 Next Activities: CAC Meeting #6, October 20: Natural and Cultural Resources Open Space Climate Change and Hazards ADVANCE READING: Technical Report on Climate Change and Coastal Hazards; Issues and Opportunities Paper Place Typing Charrettes 11/2-6: Waimea-Kekaha North Shore - Ele ele MAHALO! 64