REIDIN REAL ESTATE INDICES: APRIL 2014 RESULTS MAY 16, 2014

Transcription

1 REIDIN REAL ESTATE INDICES: APRIL 2014 RESULTS MAY 16, 2014

2 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDICES: APRIL 2014 RESULTS Issue: 65

3 INDEX SUMMARY The residential sales prices for existing homes increased 1.40% in Turkey overall, 1.29% in Adana, 1.02% in Ankara, 0.38% in Antalya, 0.46% in Bursa, 1.88% in Istanbul, 0.65% in Izmir and 0.68% in Kocaeli during April The residential rental prices for existing homes increased 1.48% in Turkey overall, 1.42% in Adana, 1.66% in Ankara, 0.98% in Antalya, 1.97% in Bursa, 1.52% in Istanbul, 1.19% in Izmir and 1.18% in Kocaeli during April 2014.

4 INDEX SUMMARY APRIL 2014 Turkey Composite House Sales Price Index (June 2007 = 100) Turkey Composite Rent Index (June 2007 = 100) Gross Rental Yield (Turkey Overall) 5.80% Price-to-Rent Ratio (Turkey Overall) 17.7 YEAR Housing Affordability Index (Turkey Overall-For 10 Year Mortgage Loan) 84.0 Monthly Mortgage Loan Interest Rate 1.11% Total Amount of Mortgage Loans 103,082,454,000 TL Consumer Confidence Index Consumer Price Index (2003=100) USD/TL Exchange Rate (Monthly Average) USD/TL BIST-REIT Index (Monthly Average) (28/12/1999 = 21,180.77) 35,822

5 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL REIDIN.com PROPERTY EmlakEndeks PRICE INDEX: SALES Satılık-Türkiye Kompozit

6 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL REIDIN.com PROPERTY EmlakEndeks PRICE INDEX: SALES Satılık-Türkiye Kompozit

7 % CHANGE IN RESIDENTIAL SALES PRICES The residential sales prices for existing homes increased 1.40% in Turkey overall, 1.29% in Adana, 1.02% in Ankara, 0.38% in Antalya, 0.46% in Bursa, 1.88% in Istanbul, 0.65% in Izmir and 0.68% in Kocaeli during April 2014.

8 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: CHANGES IN RESIDENTIAL SALES PRICES Turkey Composite Index Value: April 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % 16.94% Adana % 12.02% Ankara % 11.70% Antalya % 6.47% Bursa % 10.03% İstanbul % 21.63% İzmir % 12.77% Kocaeli % 8.52% Base Period: June 2007=100

9 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: RENT

10 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: RENT

11 % CHANGE IN RESIDENTIAL RENTAL PRICES The residential rental prices for existing homes increased 1.48% in Turkey overall, 1.42% in Adana, 1.66% in Ankara, 0.98% in Antalya, 1.97% in Bursa, 1.52% in Istanbul, 1.19% in Izmir and 1.18% in Kocaeli during April 2014.

12 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: CHANGES IN RESIDENTIAL RENTAL VALUES Turkey Composite Index Value: April 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % 13.25% Adana % 11.11% Ankara % 10.18% Antalya % 3.01% Bursa % 3.82% İstanbul % 16.88% İzmir % 9.28% Kocaeli % 8.67% Base Period: June 2007=100

13 REIDIN TURKEY PRICE-to-RENT RATIOS (YEAR)

14 REIDIN TURKEY GROSS RENTAL YIELDS (%)

15 REIDIN HOUSING AFFORDABILITY INDEX

16 HOUSE PRICES VS. MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES AND MORTGAGE LOANS

17 HOUSE PRICES VS. CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX AND CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

18 HOUSE PRICES VS. USD/TL EXCHANGE RATE INDEX AND BIST-REIT INDEX

19 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDICES The REIDIN Turkey Residential Property Price Indices (TRPPIs), supported by GARANTI, are designed to be a reliable and consistent benchmark of housing prices in Turkey. The purpose is to measure the average differences in house prices in a particular geographic market. Methodology Index series are calculated monthly for sales and rent covering 7 major cities (Adana, Ankara, Antalya, Bursa, Istanbul, Izmir and Kocaeli), their 71 districts and 481 sub-districts. The national TRPPI (Turkey Composite Index) is a weighted average of those city indices. The REIDIN TRPPIs use a stratified median index approach and are calculated by the Laspeyres price index formula. Indices are set at 100 starting at the beginning of June 2007 (June 2007=100) Coverage REIDIN TRPPI, uses monthly sample of offered/asked listing price data, covering over 200,000 house listings per month.

20 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX: APRIL 2014 RESULTS Issue: 41

21 INDEX SUMMARY According to the results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, in April 2014 there is 1.03% increase with respect to the previous month and in compliance with April 2013 there is 13.80% increase. According to April 2014 results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, Branded Projects in Istanbul European side shows 1.37% increase and 0.58% increase in Asian side. According to April 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index shows the increase of 0.75% in 1+1 flat type; increase of 1.61% in 2+1 flat type; increase of 1.03% in 3+1 flat type and increase of 0.81% in 4+1 flat type with respect to the previous month. According to April 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index reveals that there is 0.56% increase in 51-75sqm size; 0.83% increase in sqm; 1.54% increase in sqm size; 0.96% increase in sqm and 0.88% increase in 151sqm and bigger sized properties with respect to the previous month.

22 INDEX SUMMARY APRIL 2014 REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index (January 2010=100) REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index-Istanbul Asia (January 2010=100) REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index-Istanbul Europe (January 2010=100) Monthly Mortgage Loan Interest Rate 1.11% Total Amount of Mortgage Loans 103,082,454,000 TL Consumer Confidence Index Producer Price Index (2003=100) USD/TL Exchange Rate (Monthly Average) USD/TL BIST-REIT Index (Monthly Average) (28/12/1999 = 21,180.77) 35,822

23 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX (JANUARY 2010=100) New Home Index Index Value: April 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % Change in Base Period % 13.80% 47.60%

24 % CHANGE IN REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX According to the results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, in April 2014 there is 1.03% increase with respect to the previous month and in compliance with April 2013 there is 13.80% increase.

25 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX: ISTANBUL ASIAN-EUROPEAN SIDE PROJECTS (JANUARY 2010=100) According to April 2014 results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, Branded Projects in Istanbul European side shows 1.37% increase and 0.58% increase in Asian side.

26 TYPE OF HOUSES: NUMBER OF ROOMS (JANUARY 2010=100) According to April 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index shows the increase of 0.75% in 1+1 flat type; increase of 1.61% in 2+1 flat type; increase of 1.03% in 3+1 flat type and increase of 0.81% in 4+1 flat type with respect to the previous month.

27 TYPE OF HOUSES: NUMBER OF ROOMS Type of Houses Index Value: April 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % Change in Base Period New Home Index % 13.80% 47.60% % 15.37% 47.90% % 13.62% 51.80% % 15.02% 47.00% % 7.86% 37.20% Base Period: January 2010=100

28 TYPE OF HOUSES: SIZE RANGE (JANUARY 2010=100) According to April 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index reveals that there is 0.56% increase in 51-75sqm size; 0.83% increase in sqm; 1.54% increase in sqm size; 0.96% increase in sqm and 0.88% increase in 151sqm and bigger sized properties with respect to the previous month.

29 TYPE OF HOUSES: SIZE RANGE Type of Houses Index Value: April 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % Change in Base Period New Home Index % 13.80% 47.60% SQM % 13.39% 44.80% SQM % 15.86% 45.40% SQM % 16.40% 51.90% SQM % 15.50% 46.80% 151 SQM % 8.87% 37.40% Base Period: January 2010=100

30 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOUSING STOCK Last month's data are provisional.

31 NEW HOME PRICES VS. MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES AND MORTGAGE LOANS

32 NEW HOME PRICES VS. CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX AND CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

33 NEW HOME PRICES VS. USD/TL EXCHANGE RATE INDEX AND BIST-REIT INDEX

34 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX What is? It is the indicator index, which is developed from the properties of corporate real estate investment firms generally known as Branded Projects", and recently has been produced in many countries like USA, Australia, Canada. Methodology The monthly REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index uses a stratified median index approach for index calculation an approach that is widely used for indexing housing prices. Taken January 2010 (January 2010=100) as the base period, is calculated with the formula of Laspeyres. Coverage REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index is calculated on 70 projects and with a monthly average number of 22,500 properties presented by 27 developers.

35 PARTICIPANT DEVELOPERS

36 REIDIN TURKEY REAL ESTATE INDICATORS Indices REIDIN - GYODER New Home Price Index REIDIN - GYODER Office Index REIDIN - Residential Property Price Index (Sales and Rent) REIDIN - Housing Affordability Index REIDIN - Rental Affordability Index REIDIN - Gross Rental Yield Index Modules REIDIN - Property Valuation Analysis Module REIDIN - Loan-to-Value Calculation Module REIDIN - Price-Rent Ratio Calculation Module

37 CONTACT US REIDIN.com Europe Bilek İş Merkezi, K:4 D:5, Eski Büyükdere Caddesi No: 29, 4. Levent, İstanbul, Turkey Tel Fax