Walter Johnson Cluster: Secondary School Projections

Transcription

1 Walter Johnson Cluster: Secondary School Projections OFFICIAL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENT SCHOOLS Walter Johnson H.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available North Bethesda M.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Tilden M.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available

2 Walter Johnson Cluster: Elementary School Projections OFFICIAL ENROLLMENT PROJECTED ENROLLMENT SCHOOLS Ashburton E.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Addition opens Farmland E.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Garrett Park E.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Kensington-Parkwood E.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Addition opens Luxmanor E.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Rev/Ex opens Wyngate E.S. Program Capacity Enrollment space available Cluster Elementary Program Capacity Enrollment space available Addition to North Bethesda MS scheduled to open in August 218. Revitalization/expansion of Tilden MS scheduled to open in August 22. Addition at Ashburton ES scheduled to open in August 219. Addition at Kensington-Parkwood ES scheduled to open in August 218. Revitalization/expansion of Luxmanor ES scheduled to open in January 22.

3 Updated "Southwest" Housing Yield Factors February 216 Southwest Region Elementary Middle High Single Family Detached Single Family Attached Multi-Family Low to Mid Rise Multi-Family High Rise Bethesda Chevy Chase, Churchill, Walter Johnson, Richard Montgomery, Rockville, Whitman and Wootton clusterrs. Previous "Southwest" Housing Yield Factors December 213 Southwest Region Elementary Middle High Single Family Detached Single Family Attached Multi-Family Low to Mid Rise Multi-Family High Rise Bethesda Chevy Chase, Churchill, Walter Johnson, Richard Montgomery, Rockville, Whitman and Wootton clusterrs. Updated "Southwest" Multi Family Yield Factors February 216 Southwest Region Elementary Middle High Multi-Family Low to mid Rise Multi-Family High Rise Bethesda Chevy Chase, Churchill, Walter Johnson, Richard Montgomery, Rockville, Whitman and Wootton clusterrs. Walter Johnson Cluster Multi Family Yield Factors February 216 Walter Johnson Cluster Elementary Middle High Multi-Family Low to mid Rise Multi-Family High Rise Sample of 16 multi family buildings, with 1,252 MF MR units, and 4,77 MF HR units.

4 Walter Johnson Cluster Multi-family Housing Samples Yields from February 11, 216 Student Generation Ratio School Number Students Residing in Units (#of Students/ # Units) Service Area Complex Name Address of Units Elementary Middle High Elementary Middle High Ashburton ES Grosvernor Park 121 & 141 Grosvernor Place and 15 Rockville Pike 1235 high rise Avalon at Rock Springs Rock Forest Drive 414 mid-rise Jefferson at Inigo's Crossing 545 Tuckerman Lane 473 high rise Garrett Park ES The Grande 581 Nicholson Lane 546 high rise Meridian at Grosvernor Station 523 Tuckerman Lane 31 high rise North Bethesda Market West Woodglen Drive 21 mid-rise North Bethesda Market East Rockville Pike 187 high rise Luxmanor ES The Gallery at White Flint 1171 Old Georgetown Road 453 high rise in two buildings The Sterling 117 Old Georgetown Road 197 high rise Wentworth at N. Beth. Cntr. (LCOR) 5411 McGrath Boulevard 312 high rise Aurora at N. Beth. Cntr. (LCOR) 541 McGrath Boulevard 341 high rise Midtown North Bethesda 575 Bou Avenue 23 high rise Windsor Villa 1175, 118 Old Georgetown Rd. 261 mid-rise Strathmore Court 544 Marinelli Road 22 mid-rise The Monterey 591 Montrose Road 432 high rise Persei Apts 9 Persei Place 174 mid rise TOTALS 1,252 mid-rise ,77 high rise

5 Number of Students Residing in New Housing Occupied From 27 to 215 February 17, 216 Number of New Units Students Residing in New Housing Elementary School Housing Complex Occupied 27 to 215 K Service Area Jefferson at Indigo's Crossing 473 MF High-rise Ashburton Meridian at Grosvenor Station 31 MF High-rise 16 3 Garrett Park North Bethesda Market I - East (NoBe) 187 MF High-rise 5 2 Garrett Park The Sterling 197 MF High-rise Luxmanor Wentworth House at North Bethesda Center 312 MF High-rise Luxmanor The Aurora at North Bethesda Center 341 MF High-rise Luxmanor Subtotal High-rise 1,811 High-rise Avalon at Rock Springs 414 MF Mid-rise Ashburton North Bethesda Market I - West (NoBe) 21 MF Mid rise Garrett Park PerSei 174 MF Mid-rise 3 1 Luxmanor Subtotal Mid-rise 789 Mid-rise Symphony Park 112 TH Garrett Park Number of Students from New Housing Projects listed were completed and occupied between 27 and 215. Amount of Enrollment Increase Attributed to New Housing Completions, 27 to 215 Approximate Total School Percent of Enroll Number of Students Enrollment Increase from School Level Residing in New Housing Change New Housing Elementary (Ashburton + Garrett Park + Luxmanor) % Middle (North Bethesda + Tilden) % High (Walter Johnson) % Combined, enrollment at Ashburton ES, Garrett Park ES and Luxmanor ES increased by 765 students from 27 to 215. Combined, enrollment at North Bethesda MS and Tilden MS increased by 454 students from 27 to 215. Enrollment increased by 328 students at Walter Johnson HS from 27 to 215. Enrollment increases not attributed to new housing are caused by the followin factors: * Increases in births in school service areas. * The aging of larger cohorts of students up through the grades. * Migration of students into school service areas caused by turnover of existing housing to households with school-age children, preschoolers, or plans to have children. * Movement of students from private schools into public schools, especially in the aftermath of the Great Recession.

6 Estimated Students at Build-out of 9,8 Units Based on 216 Southwest Region Rates Elementary Middle High

7 Elementary School Students Estimated in Each Stage Stage 1 By about 225 Stage 2 By about 235 Stage 3 By about Middle School Students Estimated in Each Stage Stage 1 By about 225 Stage 2 By about 235 Stage 3 By about High School Students Estimated in Each Stage Stage 1 By about 225 Stage 2 By about 235 Stage 3 By about 245