深圳甲级写字楼市场. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Shenzhen Grade A Office Market Q THE KNOWLEDGE MARKET OVERVIEW 市场概览

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Q2 213 THE KNOWLEDGE RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Shenzhen Grade A Office Market 深圳甲级写字楼市场 MARKET OVERVIEW 市场概览 In the second quarter of 213, two Grade A office developments were launched in Shenzhen,

1 Q2 213 THE KNOWLEDGE RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Shenzhen Grade A Office Market 深圳甲级写字楼市场 MARKET OVERVIEW 市场概览 In the second quarter of 213, two Grade A office developments were launched in Shenzhen, adding 1,645 square meters of new supply to the market. The overall vacancy rate rose by.27% to 15.22%. 213 年第二季度, 两栋甲级写字楼相继入市, 为市场带来总计 1,645 平方米的甲级写字楼新增供应整体空置率较上季度相比轻微上升.3 个百分点至 15.2% PRICE RATE RENTAL 213 Q2 Leasing demand remained strong, primarily stemming from the finance, energy, service, media, investment and consolidation and relocation activities, rentals continued with its upward trend throughout 2Q13, with the average rent growing by 1.7% Q-o-Q to RMB183 psm per month. The Shenzhen sales market continued to be active and the sales price remained an upward trend in 2Q213, the average sales price of Grade A office buildings increased by 1.4% to RMB 46,246 per square meter per month. Looking forward, It is expected that the Grade A office rental to decrease slightly and the vacancy rate to rise in the near future by a new supply of 328,47 sq m, including Futian Technology Center, and SCC IFC etc., launched onto market in 213. And the gross yield is facing downward pressure due to the drop of rental but high level of capital value. 本季度, 写字楼的需求在第二季度保持强劲, 主要源自金融能源服务媒体投资和电子等行业伴随活跃的扩租整合和搬迁活动, 租金维持上涨趋势平均租金环比上涨 1.7%, 至 183. 元每月每平方米本季度深圳甲级写字楼投资市场延续上一季的活跃状态, 市场售价继续呈上升态势本季度全市甲级写字楼平均售价为每平方米 46,246. 元, 环比上升 1.1% 展望未来,213 年下半年深圳预计有包括福田科技广场 SCC 深长城金融中心等约 32.8 万平方米的新增项目落成入市预计未来短期之内甲级写字楼租金将面临向下轻微调整压力, 而空置率会有所上升考虑面临下行压力的租金水平和较高的售价水平, 深圳甲级写字楼租金回报率预计将有所下降 Table 1 Major Economic Indicators of Shenzhen 表 1 深圳市主要经济指标 Figure 1 Shenzhen GDP Growth vs. National GDP Growth 图 1 深圳 GDP 增长率 VS. 全国 GDP 增长率 INDICATOR 指标 Shenzhen GDP 深圳 GDP % 15.1% 16.6% 14.8% 12.1% 1.7% 12.2% 1.% 1.% Shenzhen GDP 深圳 GDP China GDP 中国 GDP China GDP 中国 GDP % 1.7% 11.4% 9% 8.7% 1.4% 9.2% 7.8% CPI 居民消费价格指数 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 4.1% 5.9% -1.3% % 2.8% 贷款基准利率 ( 一 5.76% 5.76% 6.3% 7.47% 5.76% 5.76% 到三年期商业贷款利率 ) Source: Guangzhou Statistics Bureau, Colliers International 资料来源 : 深圳市统计局, 高力国际 Source: Shenzhen Statistics Bureau, Colliers International 资料来源 : 深圳市统计局, 高力国际

2 RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT I Q2 213 I SHENZHEN GRADE A OFFICE MARKET OVERALL SUPPLY & DEMAND AND VACANCY In the second quarter of 213, the completion of the Exchange Tower of SZSE in Futian CBD and the China Merchants Plaza in Shekou added about 1,645 sq m new supply to the Grade A office market in Shenzhen. The overall vacancy rate rose by.27% to 15.22%. Luohu and Futian remained focus of large leasing transactions, the vacancy rate of Luohu continued to decline and the vacancy rate of Futian remained stable. Comparatively, the vacancy rate of Nanshan District went up apparently by the new supply. Luohu district is a traditional business district with convenient traffic and well-developed city supporting facilities. The vacancy rate of Luohu fell in this quarter mainly due to limited supply and active leasing demand from the domestic small and medium-sized companies. Therefore, the existing stock of Luohu was continually being absorbed along with a drop of vacancy rate of 2.95 percent. The vacancy rate was recorded 9.96% this quarter. Although the completion of the Exchange Tower of SZSE in Futian CBD added new supply to the Grade A office market, the vacancy rate of Futian district keep on 13% since the robust demand, mainly attributable to MNCs and large-scale domestic enterprises aggressive expansion of businesses in the locality. Leasing demand remained strong in 2Q13, primarily stemming from the finance, energy, service, media, investment and consolidation and relocation activities. Noticeable leasing transactions in the quarter include follows: Sino-life leased 8, square meters at the Rongchao The Seventh Tower. China National Offshore Oil Corporation occupied 1, square meters at the China Merchants Plaza. AIA leased 2, square meters at the Diwang Commercial Centre. 整体供应, 需求及空置状况 213 年第二季度, 位于福田中心商务圈的深圳证券交易所营运中心和位于蛇口的招商局广场的入市, 为深圳市场新增约 1,645. 平方米的甲级办公面积, 整体空置率较上季度相比轻微上升.3 个百分点至 15.2% 本季度, 与仍是大面积成交的集中区域, 其中罗湖的空置率相较上季度有所下降 ; 的空置率保持稳定 ; 而南山区的空置率则因新增供应明显升高在, 尽管有部分企业搬迁至福田, 但由于该区域在交通配套等方面仍具有优势, 吸引中小型或发展型企业, 新空置面积能迅速被市场吸纳, 加之新增供应较少, 因此该区域写字楼空置率保持平稳下降趋势, 本季度平均空置率环比下降 2.9 个百分点至 9.9% 在, 尽管深交所运营中心大楼的落成给市场带来新增供应, 但由于跨国公司及国内大型企业积极扩张本地业务带来充盈的写字楼需求, 因而本季度的平均空置率保持稳定在 13% 写字楼的需求在第二季度保持强劲, 主要源自金融能源服务媒体投资和电子等行业本季度典型成交案例包括 : 生命人寿荣超大厦约 8, 平方米办公面积 ; 中国海洋石油总公司招商局广场约 1, 平方米办公面积 ; 此外, 友邦保险地王大厦约 2, 平方米办公面积 Figure 2 Guangzhou Grade A Office Supply, Take-up and Vacancy Rate 图 2 深圳甲级写字楼市场供应量吸纳量和空置率 sqm 平方米 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Supply 供应量 Take-up 吸纳量 Vacancy Rate 空置率 F 3% 2 % RENTAL TREND Rentals continued with its upward trend throughout 2Q13, with the average rent growing by 1.7% Q-o-Q to RMB183 psm per month. The expansion of the rental growth, compared to 1Q13, was mostly a result of asking rental levels in Shenzhen s Grade A office market continued to rise, as landlords chased long-term yields rather than a reduction in vacancy rates. By submarket, the most expensive office submarket was the Futian CBD in 2Q13, with rents averaging at RMB195.2 psm per month, followed by Luohu, where average rents rested at RMB188.8 psm per month. In Nanshan, some of these potential tenants slowed down their pace of signing the contract faced with more available projects in the market and different kinds of leasing preferences offered by landlords. The average rental decreased by 3.8% Q-o-Q in this quarter. 租金趋势 213 年第二季度, 租金维持上涨趋势平均租金环比上涨 1.7%, 至 183. 元每月每平方米本季租金增幅略高于第一季度, 主要是由于相比起减少空置率而言, 大多数业主更倾向于提升定价以追求更高的租金回报按子市场划分, 本季租金最高的子市场是福田中心区, 平均租金达到元每月每平方米紧随其后的是, 平均租金达到元每月每平方米而南山由于市场可选择项目增多以及在条款上业主让步空间有所增大, 催生部分潜在租户的观望情绪本季度南山甲级写字楼平均租金环比下降 3.8% P. 2 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL

3 RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT I Q2 213 I SHENZHEN GRADE A OFFICE MARKET Figure 3 Shenzhen Grade A Office Average Rent and Growth Rate 图 3 深圳甲级写字楼平均租金和增长率 RMB/sq m/month Av Rent 平均租金 Growth Rate 增长率 Districts 分区 3% Q1/1 Q3/1 Q1/11 Q3/11 Q1/12 Q3/12 Q1/13 2 % Table 2 Shenzhen Grade A Office Average Effective Rent by Districts 表 2 深圳甲级写字楼分区平均租金 Luohu Futian Nanshan 南山区 Average Effective Rent (RMB/sq m/m) 平均租金 ( 人民币 / 平方米 / 月 ) PRICE TREND 售价趋势 The Shenzhen sales market continued to be active and the sales price remained an upward trend in 2Q213. No en bloc transactions were recorded but the projects for sale including Century Plaza and Diwang Commercial Centre acquired good sales performance with several largesize transaction records. For example, Hopesea bought 2, square meters at Diwang Commercial Center and nearly 1, sq m of Century Plaza were sold. This quarter, the average sales price of Grade A office buildings increased by 1.4% to RMB 46,246 per square meter per month. 本季度深圳甲级写字楼投资市场延续上一季的活跃状态, 市场售价继续呈上升态势尽管无整栋交易成交, 但世纪汇广场地王大厦等可售项目均有大面积整层或多层投资成交譬如, 华富洋供应链在地王大厦购买约 2, 平方米办公面积 ; 世纪汇广场成交近 1, 平方米的办公面积本季度全市甲级写字楼平均售价为每平方米 46,246 元, 环比上升 1.4% Figure 4 Shenzhen Grade A Office Average Sales Price and Growth Rate 图 4 深圳甲级写字楼平均售价和增长率 RMB/sq m Av Sales Price 平均售价 Growth Rate 增长率 5, 45, 4, 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, Q1/9 Q3/9 Q1/1 Q3/1 Q1/11 Q3/11 Q1/12 Q3/12 Q1/13 % P. 3 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL

4 RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT I Q2 213 I SHENZHEN GRADE A OFFICE MARKET OUTLOOK During the first half of year 213, the overall vacancy rate of Great A office market was increased, by the new supply of Rongchao The Seventh Tower, China Merchants Plaza and Exchange Tower of SZSE. However, Shenzhen government took multiple measures to stimulate the local economy, the demand of companies from financial and insurance services, high-technical industries that start business or expand in Shenzhen market continued to support the healthy and stable development of Grade A office market. Looking forward, It is expected that about a new supply of 328,47 sq m, including Futian Technology Center, and SCC IFC etc., will be launched onto market in 213, most of which located in Futian district and Nanshan district. The increasing new supply will intensify the competition among landlords, and the rental negotiation between landlords and tenants should become more elastic against the global and domestic economic backdrop. Colliers expect the Grade A office rental to decrease slightly and the vacancy rate to rise in the near future. The gross yield is facing downward pressure due to the drop of rental but high level of capital value. 市场展望 213 年上半年, 由于荣超大厦深圳证券交易所营运中心招商局广场等多个新项目入市, 深圳甲级写字楼市场空置率有所上升, 但得益于深圳政府继续积极推进产业转型升级, 并通过一系列措施促进经济发展, 刺激经济逐步趋稳回升, 来自国内金融保险服务高新技术等行业企业在本地开展业务或扩张的需求支撑深圳甲级写字楼的健康稳定发展展望未来,213 年下半年深圳预计有包括福田科技广场 SCC 深长城金融中心等约 32.8 万平方米的新增项目落成入市, 基本都位于和南山区市场方面, 未来新增供应的持续增加将会使市场竞争更加激烈, 并且在全球和国内经济形势背景下, 业主和租户之间的租金谈判空间弹性更大高力国际预计未来短期之内甲级写字楼租金将面临向下轻微调整压力, 而空置率会有所上升考虑面临下行压力的租金水平和较高的售价水平, 深圳甲级写字楼租金回报率预计将有所下降 Table 3 Major Office Leasing Transactions in Shenzhen Q2 表年第二季度深圳写字楼成交案例 Company 公司名称 Hopesea 华富洋供应链 Sino-life 生命人寿 China National Offshore Oil Corporation 中国海洋石油总公司 NYK 日本邮船 AIA 友邦保险 Project 楼盘 Diwang Commercial Centre 地王大厦 Rongchao The Seventh Tower 荣超大厦 China Merchants Plaza 招商局广场 Rongchao The Seventh Tower 荣超大厦 Diwang Commercial Centre 地王大厦 Transaction Type 交易类型 Sale 购买 Area (sq m gross) 面积 ( 建筑平方米 ) 2, 8, 1, 4, 2, Location 区域 Luohu District Futian District Nanshan District 南山区 Futian District Luohu District COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL P. 4

5 RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT I Q2 213 I SHENZHEN GRADE A OFFICE MARKET 482 offices in 62 countries on USA: 14 Canada: 42 Asia: 38 Australia and NZ: 157 Latin America: 2 EMEA: 85 $2. billion in annual revenue 1,12 million sq m under management Over 13,5 professionals Tel: Fax: Tel: Fax: 由高力国际物业服务有限公司制作的这份报告仅作为参考资讯虽然信息来源被视为可靠, 但高力国际并不为其准确性作出任何保证或担保任何有关的当事人需要自行承担关于资讯正确性的调查责任高力国际特此声明, 对文件中的直接间接推断性或默认的保证或说法不负上任何责任, 不承担由此产生的任何损失责任和赔偿责任有关本报告及其它市场调研报告信息, 请查阅本公司网页高力国际在全球 62 个国家拥有 522 家办事处

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