Lima, Perú. Office Overview, Q GDP Annual Growth: Peru vs. Latin America. CPI and Policy Interest Rates. Economic Overview
|
|
- Dominic Henry
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 , Economic Overview The Peruvian economy is projected to grow by 3% in 2017, according to midyear estimates. This represents a slight deceleration from previous forecasts, though it continues to outperform the rest of the region, and analysts expect the economy to grow at an accelerated pace again in Peru was devastated in March of 2017 by flooding caused by "El Niño Costero, leading to the displacement of over 666,500 mainly in the center and north of the country, and hurting the agricultural and fishing segments of the economy disproportionately. Another important development in 2017 has been the ongoing investigations into the Odebrecht scandal. This has affected public confidence in Peru s political and business leaders, and has stalled the advance of critical public and private investments as the vetting process has greatly intensified. In the first half of the year, the country has been fueled by a strong dynamic in exports of traditional products such as metals, natural gas, and fishery products. Mining, which represents between 1 and 1 of fiscal revenue and around 6 of exports, has particularly buoyed the economy. Copper, Peru s top export, saw a particular boost in price amidst increase Chinese imports and the stoppage of production at some mines in Congo, Canada and Chile. To finance reconstruction after the flooding and provide additional stimulus to the economy, the administration of Pedro Pablo Kuczynski is implementing a fiscal stimulus package worth 0.8% of GDP in 2017, to be followed up by a 3 year rebuilding program financed by credit lines as well as reserves accumulated over the past decade. The move comes with a commitment to establishing a public debt ceiling of 30.0 % of GDP. One of the administration s top priorities, keeping consistent with its predecessors, is the continued development of national infrastructure. Several projects, either under construction or being structured, offer the potential to greatly enhance the country s logistical context, bringing economic and time benefits to consumers and businesses. Some of the key projects already underway are the TrujilloSullana and ChinchaIca highways, the modernization of the San Martin port in Pisco, the future construction of the Chancay port, the construction of a new airport in Cuzco, the proposed airport expansion in Lima, and the construction of lines 2, 3, and 4 of the Lima Metro. Inflation rose sharply in the wake of the flooding, with Peru in March seeing its largest monthly hike in inflation in a long time. However inflation more broadly is on the decline since 2016, and is expected to fall to 3% YoY this year, as price shocks caused by the coastal Niño phenomenon should relax. The Peruvian Sol depreciated 0.8% YoY, affected most by the rise in interest rates of the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Peruvian Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates throughout 2017 to provide yet another stimulus to the economy and to induce currency depreciation, which will ultimately help promote Peruvian exports. Peru continues to struggle with political gridlock. The 2016 presidential election left a hostile divide between President Kuczinsky and the Fuerza Popular party of his leading rival, Keiko Fujimori. The hostility mainly stems from the FP s insistence on the pardoning of her father and polarizing former president Alberto Fujimori. Fuerza Popular will maintain control of congress for the entirety of PPK s term; this has created a political stalemate and even led to the firing of 4 of PPK s ministers. Time will tell whether the two parties can put their differences behind them and come together to work on important legislation % 6% 4% 2% Source: Oxford Economics GDP Annual Growth: Peru vs. Latin America GDP Annual Growth Rate, Peru GDP Annual Growth Rate, Latin America & Caribbean CPI and Policy Interest Rates Source: Oxford Economics CPI Change YoY Peru Interest rate, central bank policy
2 Rentable Area m2 Market Overview Mirroring the greater Peruvian economy, Lima continues to be an attractive office market because of its young and dynamic labor force, economic stability and great openness to foreign direct investment. As of midyear 2017, the office market contains approximately 1,850,000 m 2 of leasable area, having doubled in total stock since Of the main office submarkets, contains the highest stock distribution with 3 of the overall market. This district is considered the business heart of Lima, and therefore of Peru. Following in market inventory is the submarket of Este (conformed of the districts of Surco, San Borja and La Molina), with 28% of the total stock. Este contains the fastest growing parts of the city and offers comparatively low rents for high quality properties. Other major submarkets include Miraflores, which despite being one of the main tourist sectors in Lima only contributes 1 of the total stock, and, a core area that has one of the most important business clusters in Lima, also with 1 of the overall stock. However as traditional parts of the city become increasingly expensive to invest in, the office market is decentralizing into new areas. These include Magdalena, which this year will feature the delivery of several new projects, obtaining 8% of the total stock. Another is the old city downtown, where a rediscovered dynamism has induced some developers to purchase assets for cheap and invest in their renovation. Finally, new and mostly lowcost projects in isolated pockets of the city like Santa Anita, San Miguel, and Lince make up 4% of the stock, and provide opportunities for users looking to optimize their real estate. In the past year production and absorption have each reached historically high levels for Lima. New office deliveries in 2016 surpassed 300,000 m 2, with demand absorbing approximately 180,000 m 2 of that. This year production is estimated to reach 232,000 m 2, in 27 new projects, while net absorption boosted by a surprisingly dynamic first half of the year, should exceed 200,000 m 2. Not only is this significant historically, but it makes Lima one of the most dynamic markets in all of Latin America for this year and last. Despite higherthanexpected absorption, vacancy remains historically high due to the extremely high level of new supply. Lima s vacancy rate has jumped from just 3 years ago to over 2 in However vacancy seems to have fallen since December to 17% today, beating many analysts forecasts. It is worth noting that the majority of new supply to be delivered in 2017 about 7 will happen in the second half of this year. This should push vacancy back up towards 2 by the end of this year. An analysis of future construction shows approximately 375,000 m 2 to be delivered over the next 30 months, with nearly half of this to be completed by the end of By comparison, stock delivered over the past 30 months amounts to approximately 650,000 m 2. JLL therefore concludes that Lima is entering into an adjustment period where the coming supply pipeline is drying out. This should give the market time to absorb excess space, putting downward pressure on the vacancy rate. By 2019, the vacancy rate should fall back below 1, bringing the market back to a healthier dynamic. Falling vacancy will give landlords more leverage in negotiations, which will push rents up. We are already beginning to see these trends manifest themselves: the current context of high vacancy and low rents has hurt investor cash flows and compressed office cap rates. As a result, many projects are being postponed or cancelled altogether due to skepticism in the market both by small and institutional investors. Lima Office Market Map Historic Production, Absorption and Vacancy Production (m2) Net Absorption (m2) Fundamentals 2017 net absorption forecast (m2) 208, production forecast (m2) 242,000 Under construction (m2) 405,000 Total vacancy rate 17% Total vacant area (m2) 316,000 Asking rent: Class A (USD/m2/month) * $1522 Asking rent: Class AB (USD/m2/month) * $1120 Average Sale: Class A (USD/m2) $1,7002,350 Average Sale: Class AB (USD/m2) $1,5002,200 Typical Cap Rate 812% Sample Size 290 buildings * Rents do not include parking, which is quoted separately. Parking are between USD $ per space per month.
3 Rentable Area (m2) Rentable Area (m2) Rentable Area (m2) Supply and Demand For this year, expected that net absorption exceeds 200,000 m 2, reflecting more than a 5 increase over last year. High demand is a result of several factors, most notably the strong economic growth of the Peruvian economy that has attracted many companies to establish operations here. Another key factor is the scaling up of operations: many multinationals and local companies first began to lease quality space around when the market began to open up. A good number of these companies are now close to reaching, or have already reached, the expiration of those leases and have likely grown in headcount, and they are now leasing larger areas. Some companies are selling owned assets to free up capital and are leasing their offices instead. Others are simply taking advantage of the plethora of options available on the market to upgrade their facilities. All of these types of office seekers are enticed by rents that have reached their lowest point since the early 2010s as a result of the oversupplied market Stock and Vacancy by Submarket Stock Clase B+ Stock Clase AB Stock Clase A Centro Este Magdalena Miraflores Others This year newlydelivered buildings show a vacancy rate of 6, while buildings delivered in 2016 show a vacancy rate of 5; this implies that the reduction in the overall vacancy rate in Lima is not due to a lack of demand which stands at record levels but rather too many new buildings being completed at the same time and therefore taking a long time to fill up. The most widely available submarkets are precisely those where production is highest: Magdalena (24% vacancy), Miraflores (2), (19%), and Este (14%). Vacancy has fallen sharply in the Este submarket from a year ago due to significant absorption in new buildings like Panorama Plaza, Lima Central Tower, and Capital Derby, where landlords have dropped rents to as low as USD $14/m2/month, a lower rent than many Class B buildings. In the first half of the year, the Este submarket has accounted for approximately 61,000 m 2 of the 116,000 m 2 of total net absorption. This is followed by Magdalena with 36,000 m 2 of new net absorption and with just over 20,000 m 2 in the first half of the year. Net absorption was very low in Miraflores,, and Others due to a lack of new supply in these areas. Compared to other key markets in the region, Lima shows a relatively higher proportion of simplified buildings meaning buildings that are owned completely by one entity as opposed to strata title buildings which are characterized by a fragmented ownership structure with many landlords. The Lima market is 43% simplified, 44% fragmented, and 13% single user (buildings occupied by one company, such as La Positiva, BBVA, Scotiabank, or Movistar). However the market has moved towards a more fragmented structure in recent years as many smaller and less recognized developers look to build projects and finance them through presales. Since 2015, approximately 6 of the new construction in Lima is characterized by strata title ownership, and these types of buildings show a higher vacancy rate than simplified properties. Currently, strata title buildings account for close to 6 of the vacancy on the market while simplified ownership buildings account for 4. The divide is more pronounced in submarkets that are dominated by strata title properties such as Magdalena and Este. Also notable among the new class of office buildings in Lima is the prevalence of LEED certified architecture, which offer users cost savings in energy efficiency. In Peru there are approximately 50 LEED certified projects, however there are another 160 that are in process of Production and Absorption by Submarket, Q Production, 2017 (m2) Centro Este Magdalena Miraflores Net Absorption, MY 2017 (m2) Vacancy MY 2017 (%) City : 17% Other Vacancy by Submarket and Ownership Structure Centro Este Magdalena Miraflores Vacancy: Simplified : Simplified Other Vacancy: Strata Title : Strata Title
4 Asking Rents (USD/m2/month) certification, suggesting that they are recently becoming more common. Rents and Sale Prices Oversupply and high vacancy have led to a sharp decline in office rental prices since 2013, as the market has become highly favorable to tenants and landlords must offer extremely competitive rents to attract demand. Average Class A and Class AB rents have also converged in recent years as Class A landlords have had to lower rents to the point where there is little if any premium awarded to Class A buildings; this trend is especially strong in strata title buildings, where landlords in the same building or even the same floor must compete against each other. It is highly likely that rents will hit bottom this year before rising again moderately in 2018 and beyond, due to the decrease in new supply and a lower expected vacancy rate. $24 $22 $20 $18 $16 $14 $12 $10 Historic Rents and Vacancy Class A Class AB The highest prices are seen in the submarket, which offers great amenities and has not been bogged down by oversupply. In this submarket, tenants are generally closing leases between USD $1924/m 2 /month. and Miraflores have maintained rents generally in the range of USD $1620/m 2 /month. Este and Magdalena, the areas that are most affected by oversupply, have seen rents fall to USD $1418/m 2 /month. Rents are lowest in the Centro and Others submarkets, where users can find spaces for as low as USD $10/m 2 /month. It is worth noting that these rents do not include the cost of parking, which is obligatory in Lima, and adds between USD$ 35/m 2 /month. Rents by Submarkets, Office sale prices are typically between USD$ 1,7002,350/m 2 for Class A spaces and between USD$ 1,5002,200/m 2 for Class AB, not including the price of parking. Sale prices are generally the lowest in the submarkets of Este and Magdalena, though there are an abundance of sale opportunities in as well. Office investors can expect to earn cap rates of between 812%, though cap rates have fallen recently given the market context. Latin America Office Rental Clock Market Outlook The JLL Office Rental Clock has positioned Lima at 5:00, which indicates that rents are bottoming out. Falling rents and high vacancy have made office investments less attractive, and the market has responded by postponing or cancelling many projects that otherwise may have broken ground. JLL estimates that annual production will fall in 2018 to 148,000 m 2, and to only 71,000 m 2 in This will return the market to a context of reasonable vacancy levels, which will embolden landlords and cause rents to moderately rise. Macroeconomic conditions in Peru continue to breed optimism. A multitude of new infrastructure projects will boost the economy in the long term, and the fiscal stimulus should provide a push in the short term. While the government faces political turmoil, this should not significantly affect the generally positive direction that Peru is heading in.
5 Standard Unit of Measurement Unit of Measurement Square Meters (m 2 ) Rent Typical Lease Term Frequency of Rent Payment Deposit / Lease Guarantee Security of Tenure Statutory Right to Renew Basis of Rent Increases or Rent Review Frequency of Rent Increases or Rent Review Foreign Ownership Land Title Strata Title (Partial ownership of the building) Security Deposit Legal Fees Other Transaction Costs Local Property Taxes VAT / GST Payable on Rent & Service Charge (known as IGV) Lease Contracts Quoted in US$ /m² /month 35 years Monthly Casebycase, usually 2 months rent are required. Only for the duration of the tenancy. No guarantee beyond the original lease term No (unless an option to renew is agreed at the outset and specified in the lease) Typically equal to US CPI or between 3. Annual Purchasing Properties No restrictions Mainly freehold Common, but less so than most other markets Casebycase 3% paid by the Seller and split between the two brokers Typically paid by Buyer Taxes Landlord, annually 18%, payable by tenant Incentives Rent Free Period Casebycase basis, often 13 months The rent free period is not standardized in the local market, however typically occurs. The length of this period is negotiated between the parties and is also a factor of how much (if any) tenant improvement allowance is provided. Service Charges, Repairs and Insurance Service Additional to the rental charge and Charges/Managements Fees payable monthly in advance Utilities (Separately metered) Electricity, telephone, AC, etc. paid by tenant according to consumption Car Parking 1 space per 4050 m2 obligated in lease contract. Spaces cost US $ /space/month depending on submarket and building. Storage Deposits Depends on availability, not obligatory. Cost is between US$1012/m²/mes Internal (Tenant Space) Tenant Common Areas Landlord (charged back via service (reception, lift, stairs, etc.) charge) External / Structural Landlord Building Insurance Landlord Disposal of Leases SubLetting & Assignment Typically yes, subject to landlord s approval Early Termination Case by Case Tenant's Building Reinstatement Responsibilities at Lease End Transaction Fees 2 month s rent + VAT Landlord / Tenant (payable by Landlord / Tenant) Stamp Duty 50/50 Legal Fees (payable by Landlord / Tenant) Public Registry Fee Class A+ Class A Class AB Class B+ Typically requested in original condition, given normal wear and tear. Buildings Clasiffication The best buildings in the city, which have a good location, the size of plant is over 800m2, high standards of construction, good corporate image and a simplified or unified ownership structure. Buildings of superior quality which meet at least 4 of the abovementioned criteria. Buildings that meet at least 3 of the abovementioned criteria. They are buildings of quality, although they are typically smaller and inferior to Class A properties. B + buildings fall between AB and B. Although they have notable deficiencies, it is worth referencing them because they have some important feature (location, quality of construction, etc.). JLL Peru Zach Cheney Director Zach.Cheney@am.jll.com Karla Peña Senior Consultant Karla.Pena@am.jll.com Anette Matienzo Research Analyst Anette.Matienzo@am.jll.com
$70 $60 $50. Billions of USD $40 $30 $20 $10 20,0 18,0 16,0 14,0 12,0 10,0 8,0 6,0 4,0 2,0 0,0
Billions of USD Billions of USD Economic Overview The Colombian economy grew by 1.1% in the first half of the year, falling short of government forecasts. Still, Colombia continues to outpace most of its
More informationOffice Market Report JLL Research Report. San José, Costa Rica
Office Market Report 2017 JLL Research Report San José, Costa Rica 2 Office Market Report San Jose, Costa Rica 2017 Macroeconomic Overview The Costa Rican economy continued to perform very well in 2017,
More informationSantiago. Americas Research. Office Market, Year End Economic Overview
Americas Research Santiago Office Market, Year End 2012 Economic Overview In a year with a glooming forecast for the world s largest economies mainly due to the euro zone debt crisis, 2012 s aftermath
More informationSantiago. Americas Research. Office Market, Year-End Economic Overview. Economic data
Americas Research Santiago Office Market, Year-End 2013 Economic Overview The global economy exhibited signs of performance improvement during the second semester of 2013, explained mostly by the recovering
More informationResidential Commentary Sydney Apartment Market
Residential Commentary Sydney Apartment Market April 2017 Executive Summary Sydney Apartment Market: Key Indicators 14,200 units are currently under construction in Inner Sydney with completion expected
More information>> Hollywood Market Activity Flattens
Research & Forecast Report Central Los Angeles OFFICE Q2 216 Accelerating success. >> Hollywood Market Activity Flattens Key Takeaways > There is currently 533,6 square feet () of office product under
More informationSummary. Houston. Dallas. The Take Away
Page Summary The Take Away The first quarter of 2017 was marked by continued optimism through multiple Texas metros as job growth remained positive and any negatives associated with declining oil prices
More informationCURRENT OUTLOOK LIMA RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Q OFFICE. located in the San Miguel area, began operations.
Q1 2015 OFFICE LIMA RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT CURRENT OUTLOOK INDICATORS PRIME MARKET Q4-2014 Q1-2015 VACANCY RATE NET ABSORPTION NEW SUPPLY RENTAL PRICE INDICATORS B+ MARKET Q4-2014 Q1-2015 VACANCY RATE
More informationCITI HABITATS. Manhattan Residential Sales Market Report
Manhattan Residential Sales Market Report Contents 4/7 12/17 3 8 9 10 Market Wide 4 Sales / Days on Market 5 / Months of Supply 6 7 Market Share Resale Co-ops Resale Condos New Developments 11 Luxury Neighborhoods
More informationIndianapolis MARKETBEAT. Office Q Economy. Market Overview INDIANAPOLIS OFFICE
INDIANAPOLIS OFFICE Economic Indicators Q2 17 Q2 18 MSA Employment 1.1M 1.1M MSA Unemployment 3.3% 3.0% U.S. Unemployment 4.3% 3. Market Indicators (Direct, All Classes) Q2 17 Q2 18 Total Market Vacancy
More information>> 2017 Begins With Continued Strong Demand
Research & Forecast Report Central Los Angeles OFFICE Q1 217 Accelerating success. >> 217 Begins With Continued Strong Demand Key Takeaways > Hudson Pacific's Icon at Sunset property delivered 323,3 square
More informationLas Vegas Valley Executive Summary
ARROYO MARKET SQUARE Las Vegas Valley Executive Summary Retail Market 4th Quarter 2013 THE DISTRICT AT GREEN VALLEY RANCH January 23, 2014 Re: Commercial Real Estate Survey: 4th Quarter, 2013 Dear Reader,
More information>> 2016 Off to A Good Start for Tri-Cities
Research & Forecast Report TRI-CITIES OFFICE Q1 216 Accelerating success. >> 216 Off to A Good Start for Tri-Cities Key Takeaways > The Tri-Cities office market saw vacancy decline for the seventh consecutive
More informationCommercial Research BETWEEN THE LINES. Sunshine Coast Industrial Overview. June 2018
Commercial Research BETWEEN THE LINES Sunshine Coast Industrial Overview June 2018 The Sunshine Coast has witnessed a strong growth in population over the past ten years, fuelled by the release of land
More informationCZECH REPUBLIC RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Q Accelerating success.
CZECH REPUBLIC RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Accelerating success. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT CZECH REPUBLIC PRAGUE OFFICE PROPERTY MARKET SUPPLY METRIC KEY OFFICE FIGURES MEASURE Total Stock 2,773,296 m
More informationSoaring Demand Drives US Industrial Market to New Heights
Soaring Demand Drives US Industrial Market to New Heights Capitas (DIFC) Limited I June Issue: 2017 THIS ISSUE COVERS: The Amazon Factor a seismic shift in the way people shop Industrial real estate hitting
More information>> Market Records Strong Demand To End 2016
Research & Forecast Report Central Los Angeles OFFICE Q4 216 Accelerating success. >> Market Records Strong Demand To End 216 Key Takeaways > There is currently 61,4 square feet () of office product under
More information>> Asking Rents Increase As Space Remains Limited
Research & Forecast Report MID-COUNTIES INDUSTRIAL Accelerating success. >> Asking Rents Increase As Space Remains Limited Key Takeaways > Average asking rents increased $0.02 Per Square Foot (P) Triple
More informationSeptember 2016 RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT
September 2016 RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT The real estate investment market in Japan has had an abundance of capital (both domestic & foreign) over the past couple of years. This, along with the low (now
More informationIndustrial Market Review
Q1 2012 industrial Stockton San JoAquin County, California research & forecast Report Industrial Market Review Momentum built-up from 2011 carried the industrial market into its fifth consecutive quarter
More informationHOUSING MARKET OUTLOOK: SAN LUIS OBISPO, CA AND SURROUNDING AREA
HOUSING MARKET OUTLOOK: SAN LUIS OBISPO, CA AND SURROUNDING AREA GABE RANDALL SCOTT KELTING April15, 2009 National Market Overview April 15, 2009 2008: A Year in Review Starting between 1999 and 2000,
More information>> Orange County Vacancy Continues to Decline
Research & Forecast Report ORANGE COUNTY OFFICE Accelerating success. >> Orange County Continues to Decline Key Takeaways > The South County submarket led the Orange County market in overall net absorption
More informationDemocratising Property Investments
Democratising Property Investments What I wish to share today 1. Property sector outlook 2. How theedgeproperty.com can help you make better property investment decisions Property Sector Outlook The property
More informationCANADIAN RECOVERY REMAINS FRAGILE
Q3 OFFICE COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL MARKET REPORT WATERLOO REGION ONTARIO Waterloo Region Well-Positioned for 11 O QUEBEC Ottawa Waterloo Region Toronto Montré Burlingto CANADIAN RECOVERY REMAINS FRAGILE
More informationHas The Office Market Reached A Peak? Vacancy. Rental Rate. Net Absorption. Construction. *Projected $3.65 $3.50 $3.35 $3.20 $3.05 $2.90 $2.
Research & Forecast Report OAKLAND METROPOLITAN AREA OFFICE Q1 Has The Office Market Reached A Peak? > > Vacancy remained low at 5. > > Net Absorption was positive 8,399 in the first quarter > > Gross
More information>> Vacancy Falls To Lowest Rate Ever
Research & Forecast Report San Gabriel VALLEY INDUSTRIAL Accelerating success. >> Vacancy Falls To Lowest Rate Ever Key Takeaways Market Indicators Relative to prior period Forecast Construction Rental
More informationIndianapolis MARKETBEAT. Office Q Economy. Market Overview INDIANAPOLIS OFFICE
INDIANAPOLIS OFFICE Economic Indicators Market Indicators (Direct, All Classes) Direct Net Absorption/Direct Asking Rent 4-QTR TRAILING AVERAGE Direct Vacancy Q3 17 Q3 18 MSA Employment 1.05M 1.07M MSA
More informationSlow Start to the Year as Hollywood Awaits Construction Deliveries
office CENTRAL LOS ANGELES market report Slow Start to the Year as Hollywood Awaits Construction Deliveries Market overview MARKET indicators - VACANCY 19.1% NET ABSORPTION 24,300 CONSTRUCTION 1,242,600
More information>> Orange County Rents Increase to Start 2017
Research & Forecast Report ORANGE COUNTY OFFICE Accelerating success. >> Orange County Rents Increase to Start 2017 Key Takeaways > The Orange County office market saw positive demand for the first part
More informationIndustrial Outlook. An in-depth look at the Louisville industrial market. Analysis includes leasing, sales, construction and employment.
Industrial Outlook Louisville An in-depth look at the Louisville industrial market. Analysis includes leasing, sales, construction and employment. JLL Research Insight Industrial market quick out of the
More information>> New Construction Delivers to the Orange County Office Market
Research & Forecast Report ORANGE COUNTY OFFICE Accelerating success. >> New Construction Delivers to the Orange County Office Market Key Takeaways > Three new office developments were delivered to the
More informationHigh-priced homes have a unique place in the
Livin' Large Texas' Robust Luxury Home Market Joshua G. Roberson December 3, 218 Publication 2217 High-priced homes have a unique place in the overall housing market. Their buyer pool, home characteristics,
More informationQ Cape Town Office Market Report. In association with Baker Street Properties
Cape Town Office Market Report 217 set for rental growth as economy improves, but the city continues to struggle to cater to large occupiers Q4 216 In association with Baker Street Properties 1 Central
More informationMarket Research. Market Indicators
colliers international LAS VEGAS, NV Market Research OFFICE Third Quarter 2009 Market Indicators Net Absorption Construction Rental Rate Q3-09 Q4-2009 Projected Clark County Economic Data Jul-09 Jul-08
More informationREGIONAL. Rental Housing in San Joaquin County
Lodi 12 EBERHARDT SCHOOL OF BUSINESS Business Forecasting Center in partnership with San Joaquin Council of Governments 99 26 5 205 Tracy 4 Lathrop Stockton 120 Manteca Ripon Escalon REGIONAL analyst april
More informationCranes are Lifting Skylines and Future Vacancy
MARKET REPORT NORTHERN VIRGINIA OFFICE Fourth Quarter 2016 Cranes are Lifting Skylines and Future Vacancy Northern Virginia continued to see increased demand in the fourth quarter, although 2016 numbers
More informationEconomy. Denmark Market Report Q Weak economic growth. Annual real GDP growth
Denmark Market Report Q 1 Economy Weak economic growth In 13, the economic growth in Denmark ended with a modest growth of. % after a weak fourth quarter with a decrease in the activity. So Denmark is
More informationThe Market Is Energized By Increased Development In Hollywood
OFFICE CENTRAL LOS ANGELES MARKET REPORT The Market Is Energized By Increased Development In Hollywood MARKET OVERVIEW MARKET INDICATORS - VACANCY 20.5% NET ABSORPTION 24,100 CONSTRUCTION 574,000 RENTAL
More informationIndustrial Insight Report. Calgary & Area Q4 2016
Industrial Insight Report Calgary & Area Q4 2016 Table of Contents Calgary & Area Overview 1 Calgary & Area Map 2 Submarkets Northeast & Balzac 3 Southeast 4 South Central 5 Contacts 6 Pricing Demand Supply
More informationStrong Marketwide Leasing Activity Points To A Strong Finish for Tri-Cities
OFFICE TRI-CITIES MARKET REPORT Strong Marketwide Leasing Activity Points To A Strong Finish for Tri-Cities MARKET OVERVIEW MARKET INDICATORS - VACANCY 14.9% NET ABSORPTION 254,6 CONSTRUCTION 113,8 RENTAL
More informationSan Francisco Bay Area to Sonoma County Housing and Economic Outlook
San Francisco Bay Area to 2020 Sonoma County Housing and Economic Outlook Economic Forecast Summary 2017 Presented by Pacific Union International, Inc. and John Burns Real Estate Consulting, LLC On Nov.
More informationSecond Quarter: Suburban Maryland s Uptick in Leasing has yet to be Realized in Absorption Numbers
Q2 2013 OFFICE SUBURBAN MARYLAND SUBURBAN MARYLAND MARKET REPORT Second Quarter: Suburban Maryland s Uptick in has yet to be Realized in Numbers Updated May 2012 MARKET INDICATIONS Q2 2013 Q3 2013 (p)
More informationLease Rates in Rio de Janeiro will Rise until 2016.
1 ST SEMESTER 2011 OFFICE A AND A+ RIO DE JANEIRO OFFICE MARKET REPORT OFFICE RESEARCH REPORT - CLASS A AND A+ Lease Rates in Rio de Janeiro will Rise until 2016. Economy PRICE ABSORPTION VACANCY CONSTRUCTION
More informationSan Francisco Bay Area to Santa Clara and San Benito Counties Housing and Economic Outlook
San Francisco Bay Area to 2020 Santa Clara and San Benito Counties Housing and Economic Outlook Economic Forecast Summary 2017 Presented by Pacific Union International, Inc. and John Burns Real Estate
More informationFederal Spending: The Road to Recovery
MARKET REPORT NORTHERN VIRGINIA OFFICE First Quarter 2017 Federal Spending: The Road to Recovery As federal spending growth and the Northern Virginia economy generates new jobs, the office market continued
More informationVacancy Net Absorption Construction Rental Rate. Vacancy Rate 1.7% Change from Q3 17 (Basis Points) -20 BPS. Construction Completions
Forecast Vacancy Net Absorption Construction Rental Rate Vacancy Rate 1.7% Change from Q3 17 (Basis Points) -2 BPS Net Absorption 394,4 Construction Completions 191,7 Average Asking Rent Change from Q3
More informationRESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT
Q2 2012 OFFICE LAS VEGAS NEVADA RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Recovery Without Job Growth? Despite office employment still trending downwards, Southern Nevada s office market posted positive net absorption
More informationMonthly Market Snapshot
SEPTEMBER 2018 Vacancy continues to fall. Nearing the end of the third quarter, the vacancy rate dropped 10 basis points to 6.4%, compared to this time last month at 6.5%. Occupancy of the 1.1 million
More information3 November rd QUARTER FNB SEGMENT HOUSE PRICE REVIEW. Affordability of housing
3 November 2011 3 rd QUARTER FNB SEGMENT HOUSE PRICE REVIEW JOHN LOOS: HOUSEHOLD AND PROPERTY SECTOR STRATEGIST 011-6490125 John.loos@fnb.co.za EWALD KELLERMAN: PROPERTY MARKET ANALYST 011-6320021 ekellerman@fnb.co.za
More informationGreater Toronto Area Industrial Market Report
1 ST QUARTER 16 Greater Toronto Area Industrial Report Partnership. Performance. Overview The record-setting momentum felt through 15 in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) industrial market showed signs of
More informationEconomic and Market Outlook: SAN ANTONIO OFFICE Q1 2016
Economic and Market Outlook: HOUSTON SAN ANTONIO AUSTIN Table 1. Key market indicators for Q1 2016, and their percent (%) change on a quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) and year-over-year (YoY) basis (Class A
More informationNegative Absorption And Sharp Rise In Total Vacancy to Begin 2014
OFFICE TRI-CITIES MARKET REPORT Negative Absorption And Sharp Rise In Total to Begin 214 MARKET OVERVIEW MARKET INDICATORS - VACANCY 19.4% NET ABSORPTION -154,9 CONSTRUCTION 155, RENTAL RATE $2.63 P UNEMPLOYMENT
More informationNational Presence. Local Focus
Metropolitan DC Market Overview 4Q 214 Overall Market Summary The Washington, DC Metropolitan commercial real estate market is comprised of approximately 41.9 million square feet of rentable office space
More informationINLAND EMPIRE REGIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT. School of Business. April 2018
INLAND EMPIRE REGIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT April 2018 Key economic indicators suggest that the Inland Empire s economy will continue to expand throughout the rest of 2018, building upon its recent growth.
More information2Q 17. Office Market Report
2Q 17 Office Market Report Low vacancy rates and steady rental rates characterize the Portland office market Portland s office market has reached a level of strength not seen since the great recession.
More informationSan Fernando Valley & Ventura County Industrial Market $0.48 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15
industrial SAN FERNANDO VALLEY & VENTURA COUNTY market report Rents Continue To Rise As Vacancy Rate Continues To Decrease Market overview MARKET indicators - VACANCY 2.9% AVAILABILITY 5.2% NET ABSORPTION
More informationECONOMIC CURRENTS. Vol. 5 Issue 2 SOUTH FLORIDA ECONOMIC QUARTERLY. Key Findings, 2 nd Quarter, 2015
ECONOMIC CURRENTS THE Introduction SOUTH FLORIDA ECONOMIC QUARTERLY Economic Currents provides an overview of the South Florida regional economy. The report presents current employment, economic and real
More informationNAB COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SURVEY Q4 2017
EMBARGOED UNTIL 11.30 AM WEDNESDAY 21 FEBRUARY 2018 NAB COMMERCIAL PROPERTY SURVEY Q4 2017 Date February 2018 NAB Behavioural & Industry Economics KEY FINDINGS The NAB Commercial Property Index (a measure
More informationStronger Office Market Looking Into Future
Research & Forecast Report Long Island OFFICE MARKET Q2 2015 Stronger Office Market Looking Into Future Rose Liu Research & Financial Analyst Long Island Takeaways Class A & B Long Island economic and
More informationOFFICE MARKET ANALYSIS
OFFICE MARKET ANALYSIS KYLE BROWN RMLS Fellow, Master of Real Estate Development Candidate Amid some encouraging signs nationally, the Portland office market has maintained its stability, with the CBD
More informationOffice Continues Stable Growth, Meanwhile. High-End Residential Market Starts To Cool
MARKETVIEW Phnom Penh, Q1 218 Office Continues Stable Growth, Meanwhile High-End Residential Market Starts To Cool Average High-end Condominium Price $3,147/SQM Prime Condominium Rent $15./SQM Prime Office
More informationBriefing Office sector August 2015
Savills World Research Xi'an Briefing Office sector August 2015 SUMMARY Image: Xi an Center, High-tech Zone, Xi an The Xi an Grade A office market is currently going through a period of upgrade, with an
More informationSan Francisco Bay Area to Marin, San Francisco, and San Mateo Counties Housing and Economic Outlook
San Francisco Bay Area to 019 Marin, San Francisco, and San Mateo Counties Housing and Economic Outlook Bay Area Economic Forecast Summary Presented by Pacific Union International, Inc. and John Burns
More informationMANHATTAN OFFICE 2017
Research Report MANHATTAN OFFICE 2017 Accelerating success. % $ ± Market Indicators Full Year 2016 Full Year 2017 Y-O-Y Change AVAILABILITY RATE 10.3% 10.0% -0.3pp AVERAGE ASKING RENT ($/SF/YR) $73.24
More informationGreater Toronto Area Industrial Market Report
3 RD QUARTER 15 Greater Toronto Area Industrial Report Partnership. Performance. Overview With the end of the third quarter, 15 is shaping up to be an incredible year for the Greater Toronto Area (GTA)
More informationSpring Market trends
2016 Spring Market trends Report NATIONAL SUMMARY Vancouver and Toronto continued to see significant price appreciation in the first quarter of the year. Greater Vancouver s average residential sale price
More informationBriefing Office and retail
Savills China Research Dalian Briefing Office and retail August 218 Image: Labor Park, Qingniwa Area, Zhongshan District SUMMARY A lack of new supply saw rents and occupancy rates in both the Grade A office
More informationEconomic Indicators City of Oakland
Economic Indicators City of Oakland PREPARED BY: THE OFFICE OF ECONOMIC AND WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT CITY OF OAKLAND JULY 2014 CITY OF OAKLAND ECONOMIC INDICATORS 1 Introduction to Quarter 1, January March
More informationFOURTH QUARTER 2013 LEASING ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BE BETTER THAN EXPECTED MARYLAND OFFICE MARKET REPORT MARKET SUMMARY ABSORPTION
Q4 2013 MARYLAND OFFICE MARYLAND OFFICE MARKET REPORT FOURTH QUARTER 2013 LEASING ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BE BETTER THAN EXPECTED MARKET SUMMARY Updated April 2013 MARKET INDICATORS Q4 2013 Q1 2014* VACANCY
More informationRALEIGH-DURHAM MULTIFAMILY Year End 2017
Research Report -DURHAM MULTIFAMILY Year End 2017 Multifamily Growth Expected to Continue in 2018, Despite a Moderate Decrease in Permitting Totals Emily Bostic Research Analyst Raleigh-Durham Key Takeaways
More informationARLA Members Survey of the Private Rented Sector
Prepared for The Association of Residential Letting Agents ARLA Members Survey of the Private Rented Sector Second Quarter 2014 Prepared by: O M Carey Jones 5 Henshaw Lane Yeadon Leeds LS19 7RW June, 2014
More informationChicago s industrial market thrives during the third quarter.
CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL MARKET MONITOR THIRD QUARTER 2015 Chicago s industrial market thrives during the third quarter. Demand across the Chicago industrial market remains high sending absorption up and vacancy
More information16 April 2018 KEY POINTS
16 April 2018 MARKET ANALYTICS AND SCENARIO FORECASTING UNIT JOHN LOOS: HOUSEHOLD AND PROPERTY SECTOR STRATEGIST FNB HOME LOANS 087-328 0151 john.loos@fnb.co.za THULANI LUVUNO: STATISTICIAN 087-730 2254
More informationPROPERTY BAROMETER Residential Property Affordability Review The recently improving Housing Affordability trend stalled in the 1 st quarter of 2017
21 June 2017 MARKET ANALYTICS AND SCENARIO FORECASTING UNIT JOHN LOOS: HOUSEHOLD AND PROPERTY SECTOR STRATEGIST FNB HOME LOANS 087-328 0151 john.loos@fnb.co.za LIZE ERASMUS: STATISTICIAN 087-335 6664 lize.erasmus@@fnb.co.za
More informationDENVER. Office Research Report. First Quarter Partnership. Performance.
DENVER Office Research Report First Quarter 2018 Denver Market Facts 61,614 Jobs added in the last 12 months ending in February, a 4.1% increase in employment. 3.1% Unemployment in Denver, lower than the
More informationThe Improvement of the Industrial Market
Research & Forecast Report Long Island industrial MARKET Q2 2015 The Improvement of the Industrial Market Rose Liu Research & Financial Analyst Long Island Takeaways The overall economy on Long Island
More informationResearch. MARKET expectations BUENOS AIRES 1Q16 OFFICE MARKET. Current Conditions
MARKET expectations Current Conditions The Office Market Buenos Aires remained Argentina s largest office market with nearly 18.2 million square feet of total stock, including 11.4 million square feet
More informationHomestretch: Office Market Set to Finish Strong
Research & Forecast Report RENO OFFICE Q3 2016 Homestretch: Office Market Set to Finish Strong >> Vacancy drops significantly the largest drop quarter over quarter in 2016 >> Rental rates are not increasing
More informationMarket Report Q ///////// Orange County Industrial. ///////////////L o s A n g e l e s /////////////
///////////////L o s A n g e l e s ///////////// ///////////O r a n g e C o u n t y /////////// ////////////V e n t u r a ///////////////// ////////// I n l a n d E m p i r e //////////// Market Report
More informationPositive Net Absorption Recorded For The Ninth Consecutive Quarter
OFFICE SAN FERNANDO & VENTURA MARKET REPORT Positive Net Absorption Recorded For The Ninth Consecutive Quarter MARKET OVERVIEW MARKET INDICATORS - VACANCY 15.2% NET ABSORPTION 116,700 CONSTRUCTION 120,933
More informationHOUSING MARKET OUTLOOK
HOUSING MARKET INFORMATION HOUSING MARKET OUTLOOK Ottawa 1 C A N A D A M O R T G A G E A N D H O U S I N G C O R P O R A T I O N Date Released: Fall 2017 Figure 1 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Ottawa
More information>> Negative Net Absorption Despite Completions
Research & Forecast Report MID-COUNTIES INDUSTRIAL Accelerating success. >> Negative Net Absorption Despite Completions Key Takeaways > This quarter, 542,000 square feet of industrial space finished construction,
More informationReal Estate Market Analysis
One of the challenges facing the West Berkeley shuttle is to consider whether to expand the service beyond the current operations serving major employers, to a system that provides access to a more diverse
More information>> Vacancy Rises With New Deliveries
Research & Forecast Report DOWNTOWN L.A. OFFICE Q1 217 Accelerating success. >> Rises With New Deliveries Key Takeaways > After seven consecutive quarters of declining or unchanged vacancy, the overall
More informationSekisui House, Ltd. < Presentation >
Sekisui House, Ltd. Transcript for Earnings Results Briefing for the Second Quarter of FY2018 (Telephone Conference) Date: Participants: September 6 th, 2018, Thursday 17:00 18:00 JPT Shiro Inagaki, Representative
More informationOffice Stays Positive
Q2 2014 OFFICE LAS VEGAS NEVADA RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT Office Stays Positive While it may not always be pretty, Southern Nevada s office market continues to improve. Net absorption increased in the
More informationThe Ridge Apartments $2,950, Units in the Chattanooga TN Market Area. Great Property Great Location. Asking Price:
Great Property Great Location The Ridge Apartments 40 Units in the Chattanooga TN Market Area Asking Price: $2,950,000 3400 Lisa Dr & 3400 Gail Dr East Ridge, TN 37412 Recently renovated property in the
More informationSurvey of Emerging Market Conditions
Bergstrom Center for Real Estate Studies Warrington College of Business Administration University of Florida Survey of Emerging Market Conditions Quarter 2 2013 Published August 2013 Lead Researcher Dr.
More informationHousing Indicators in Tennessee
Housing Indicators in l l l By Joe Speer, Megan Morgeson, Bettie Teasley and Ceagus Clark Introduction Looking at general housing-related indicators across the state of, substantial variation emerges but
More informationHISTORICAL VACANCY VS RENTS. Downtown Los Angeles Office Market Q Q RENTS VACANCY $31 2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q13 2Q14
www.colliers.com/losangeles OFFICE LOS ANGELES MARKET REPORT Rate Decrease Below 20% As Market Activity Remains Flat MARKET OVERVIEW MARKET INDICATORS - VACANCY 19.5% The Downtown Los Angeles market in
More informationMarket Commentary Brisbane CBD Office
Market Commentary Brisbane CBD Office May 2016 Executive Summary There was a relatively soft start to the year for the CBD office leasing market with net absorption of 2,614 sqm recorded in 1Q16. Just
More informationMultifamily Market Commentary February 2017
Multifamily Market Commentary February 2017 Affordable Multifamily Outlook Incremental Improvement Expected in 2017 We expect momentum in the overall multifamily sector to slow in 2017 due to elevated
More informationFICCI QUARTERLY SURVEY ON INDIAN MANUFACTURING SECTOR FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY FICCI QUARTERLY SURVEY
FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY FICCI QUARTERLY SURVEY ON INDIAN MANUFACTURING SECTOR October 2018 Manufacturing Division CONTENTS Page No. Introduction & Quarterly Assessment for
More informationConstruction Investment Cools In Lead Up To General Election
Phnom Penh, Q2 218 Construction Investment Cools In Lead Up To General Election Average High-end Condominium Price $3,211/SQM Prime Condominium Rent $14.3/SQM Prime Office Rent $25.5/SQM Prime Retail Mall
More informationMiami: How Does It Compare?
Miami: How Does It Compare? An in-depth look at Miami s industrial market and how it compares with other similar markets around the nation. Statistical comparisons are made for population, business climate,
More informationHow Does the City Grow?
This bulletin summarizes information from the City of Toronto s Land Use Information System II, providing an overview of the development projects received by the City Planning Division between January
More information>> Rents Rise To Highest Point Ever
Research & Forecast Report SAN FERNANDO VALLEY & VENTURA COUNTY INDUSTRIAL Accelerating success. >> Rents Rise To Highest Point Ever Key Takeaways > Asking rental rates rose $.2 P NNN to $.69 P NNN. Rents
More informationCBRE Houston ViewPoint
CBRE Houston ViewPoint DOWNTOWN HOUSTON: THE NEW GATEWAY MARKET? by Sara R. Rutledge Director, Research and Analysis INTRODUCTION Investor interest from both domestic and foreign sources has revived in
More informationREAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW
www.first-qatar.com Qatar October, 216 REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW CONTENTS SUMMARY ECONOMIC OVERVIEW OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW RESIDENTIAL MARKET OVERVIEW RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW SOURCE & REFERENCE SUMMARY
More informationMultifamily Outlook 2018
Multifamily Outlook 2018 Page 1 Canada Multifamily From strength to strength The Canadian commercial real estate sector continues its steady upward performance amid a silently moving economic engine. Owners,
More information