researchproject M.Sc. Pauliina Krigsholm, National Land Survey of Finland PCC conference, November 2017

Transcription

1 Cadastre2035 researchproject M.Sc. Pauliina Krigsholm, National Land Survey of Finland PCC conference, November 2017

2 Theaspectsof theresearch Megatrends Users and stakeholders Global themes Future cadastral system Wild cards 2

3 Megatrends Economic Political Environmental Social Technological 3

4 Thestudydesign Expert selection 1st round Delphi questionnaire Analysis and feedback Final analysis and results 2nd round Delphi questionnaire 4

5 Results Digital culture Ubiquitous intelligence Increasing trend in transparency, accessibility, and open data Urbanization Business ecosystems New patterns of mobility Global risk society Knowledge-based economy -1-0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 Probable Round 1 Probable Round 2 Preferable Round 1 Preferable Round 2 5

6 Key megatrends and their anticipated effects Megatrend Digital culture Ubiquitous intelligence Increasingtrend towards transparency, accessibility and open data Anticipated impacts More convenient use and exchange of information Better and faster public services New formsof public services; Interfaceswith other public data sources; Parallel cadastres should become unnecessary Urbanization Business ecosystems New patternsof mobility Global risk society Knowledge-based economy Building and planning information as part of the cadastre; True 3D; Higher volume (more real property units) New innovations; Shared processesand new formsof collaboration Smarttransportationas part of cadastral data collection; International standardsand harmonizationof cadastraldata; Fully coordinate-based cadastre Cybersecurity threats; Privacy protection and possible conflicts with open data Crowdsourcing/voluntary geographic information; Cadastre as a source material for new innovations 6

7 Step forward: Scenario building exercise Source: Zavialova

8 Futurenarrativesfor Finnishcadastral system Digital, ubiquitous and accessible Antisocial and user-friendly Relative consonance New capitalism Based on Zavialova,

9 Scenario 1: Digital, ubiquitous and accessible cadastral system This probable future includes higher impact of technological megatrends in respect to other PESTE factors Peculiarity: Clear dominance of digital culture and ubiquitous intelligence as drivers of change italiangoodnews.com In the future, cadastre will function as a self-service tool maintained by society; its data willbeutilizedin mobile adhoc wheredata needarises. Theauthoritieswill losetheirfunctionsand soonusersof thecadastralsystemwillnotevenknow wheretheinformationoriginallycomesfrom. It willbeenoughto beup-to-date, reliable, and easy to use. (Respondent C) 9

10 Scenario 2: Antisocial and user-friendly cadastral system This preferred future is built on a very low impact of social and political phenomena Digitalization changes principles of all other service systems as well, but at the same time they all are driven by customer experience. (Respondent H) Augmented reality connects virtual reality and real world. (Respondent B) 10

11 Scenario 4: Cadastral system of new capitalism The core driving force in this vision comes from economic transformations, i.e. changing work world, knowledge-based economy and new consumption patterns Development of the new cadastral system should be modelled together with younger generation (Respondent L) Accenture 11

12 Conclusions - Most of the megatrends examined in this study were seen more as opportunities than as threats for the Finnish cadastral system - Finnish experts view the development of the cadastral system as a technology-driven process - In scenario building technological and economic drivers were in a central role as well - Scenarios seem plausible but they should be further developed into more detailed versions 12

13 Publications Krigsholm, P., Zavialova, S., Riekkinen, K., Ståhle, P., Viitanen, K. Understanding the future of the Finnish cadastral system A Delphi study. Land Use Policy (68) Riekkinen, K., Toivonen, S., Krigsholm, P., Hiironen, J., Kolis, K Future themes in the operational environment of the Finnish cadastral system. Land Use Policy (57),

14 Thankyoufor your attention! Contacts: 14