Real Estate Market Commentary 08-Sept-13 to 14-Sept-13

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1 Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz MENA REAL ESTATE RESEARCH Research Highlights: A weekly market commentary Contents Market Commentary Charts to Note Activity Monitor: Dubai, Kuwait, Riyadh - KSA, Dammam KSA Qatar Markaz Research is available on: Bloomberg - Type MRKZ <Go> Thomson Research, Reuters Knowledge ReutersRealEstate.com Nooz Zawya Investor ISI Emerging market Fatima T. Razzouqi Trainee Analyst frazzouqi@markaz.com Venkat Ramadoss ACA, CFA Manager vramadoss@markaz.com Bassam N. Al-Othman Executive Vice President bothman@markaz.com Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz P.O. Box 23444, Safat 13095, Kuwait Tel: Fax: markaz.com Real Estate Market Commentary 08-Sept-13 to 14-Sept-13 UAE: According to a news article real estate agents in Dubai and Abu Dhabi have been reporting a growth in the number of residents taking out mortgages regardless of expectations that the Central Bank may limit borrowing. Cluttons noted a 40% increase Y-o-Y in the number of mortgage valuations it has been asked to carry out over the past year. Cluttons stated that this trend is expected to continue due to the recovering market paired with people looking to escape high rents. Comparatively, Prestige Real Estate revealed that the number of clients looking to buy rather as against rent grew by 20% during the past year. It was also mentioned that this could be a result of residents returning to the housing market as a way of avoiding soaring rents. Abu Dhabi: Ipsos Mori s revealed that Abu Dhabi was rated the fourth top city to work and live in globally. Abu Dhabi recorded a score of 47% in the overall cities index and was only topped by New York, London, and Paris. Additionally, Abu Dhabi ranked as the second best city to do business in, while UAE as a whole placed 26 th on the ease of doing business rankings. The research for Ipsos Mori s rankings was based on an international sample of 18,147 adults in 24 different countries. Saudi Arabian residents voted Abu Dhabi as their top city, whereas residents in both Spain and Italy chose the Emirate as their second choice while Brazilian residents designated Abu Dhabi as their third choice. KSA: Figures from Ministry of Municipal and Rural Affairs revealed that official construction licenses issued recorded a decrease from 112,362 in 2011 to 100,756 in According to the Ministry, Riyadh was permitted the most construction licenses last year with 24,084 licenses amounting to 23.9 of the licenses. Makkah followed with 17,261 licenses granted while the Eastern Province was permitted 16,805 licenses. It was reported that construction activity in KSA saw great developments during the past years specifically in the residential sector which experienced the highest rate of growth. This was attributed to the government efforts to find solutions for citizens housing. Qatar: Global consultants EC Harris reported that cost of construction in Qatar is the highest in the Middle East during The study compared building costs in 47 countries while using the UK as a benchmark. The study found that construction costs across the globe were affected by fluctuations in currency. However, since Gulf currencies closely track the US dollar, the impact of these fluctuations has been limited. The report revealed that Qatar and UAE have been placed in the top 20 most expensive locations to build in. KSA has also followed the trend and continues to move up the cost rankings with inflation growing at an average of 5%. Egypt: Pharos Holding for Financial Investments reported macro scenario in Egypt is conducive for a pick-up in the domestic real estate market. The report mentioned interest rates which have declined by c. 2% since Jun-13, the government stimulus plan to settle EGP 2.2 Bn of contractors dues, the absence of other alternative short term investments, and potential inflationary pressures due to monetary stimulus as the drivers to the market pick-up. Developments sourced from various sources including news portals like Gulfbase, Zawya, Reuters, Bloomberg, Trade Arabia, Business 24/7, Arabian Business, The Peninsula, Gulf News, Property wire, Khaleej Times, Saudi Gazette, KUNA etc and also from published reports of real estate brokers and investment research houses.

2 Charts to note Chart 1 : IPSOS MORI Top Cities (2013) Source: Ipsos Mori, Markaz Analysis Chart 2 : IPSOS MORI Top Cities to Do Business (2013) Source: Ipsos Mori, Markaz Analysis Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 2

3 Chart 3 : KSA Permits Distribution (2012) Source: Ministry of Municipal and Rural Affairs, Markaz Analysis Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 3

4 Activity Monitor Dubai Real Estate Transactions (2012 & 2013) Land Transactions Villa Transactions Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 4

5 Apartment Transactions Source: Dubai Land Department Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 5

6 Kuwait Real Estate Transactions (2012 & 2013) Private Residential Property transactions Investment Property transactions Source: MOJ, Kuwait Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 6

7 KSA Real Estate Transactions (2012 & 2013) Riyadh Real Estate Transactions Riyadh Residential transactions Riyadh Commercial transactions Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 7

8 Dammam Real Estate Transactions Dammam Residential transactions Dammam Commercial transactions Source: MOJ Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 8

9 Qatar Real Estate Transactions (2012 & 2013) Source: MOJ Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 9

10 Disclaimer This report has been prepared and issued by Kuwait Financial Centre K.P.S.C (Markaz) and its subsidiaries. Markaz is regulated by the Capital Markets Authority and the Central Bank of Kuwait. The report is owned by Markaz and its subsidiaries and is privileged and proprietary and is subject to copyrights. Sale of any copies of this report is strictly prohibited. This report cannot be quoted without the prior written consent of Markaz and its subsidiaries. Any user after obtaining Markaz and its subsidiaries permission to use this report must clearly mention the source as Markaz and its subsidiaries. The report is intended to be circulated for general information only and should not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy in any jurisdiction. The information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made that such information and data is accurate or complete, and therefore should not be relied upon as such. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute the current judgment of the author as of the date of this report. They do not necessarily reflect the opinion of Markaz and its subsidiaries and are subject to change without notice. Markaz and its subsidiaries has no obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate, or if research on the subject company is withdrawn. This report may not consider the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors are urged to seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and to understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security s price or value may rise or fall. Investors should be able and willing to accept a total or partial loss of their investment. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Kuwait Financial Centre K.P.S.C (Markaz) and its subsidiaries may seek to do business, including investment banking deals, with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. This report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. Except to the extent to which the report refers to website material of Markaz and its subsidiaries, Markaz and its subsidiaries has not reviewed the linked site and takes no responsibility for the content contained therein. Such address or hyperlink (including addresses or hyperlinks to Markaz s and its subsidiaries own website material) is provided solely for your convenience and information and the content of the linked site does not in any way form part of this document. Accessing such website or following such link through this report or Markaz s and its subsidiaries website shall be at your own risk. For further information, please contact Markaz at P.O. Box 23444, Safat 13095, Kuwait; research@markaz.com; Tel: ; Fax: Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 10

11 MARKAZ RESEARCH

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