Dubai Residential Market Report Q42015

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1 Dubai Residential Market Report Q42015

2 Dubai Residential Market Report Q Content Price performance Rent performance Residential supply Cavendish Maxwell Residential Market Survey Q Sale price movement Q Q % 1% Q Q % 8% Cavendish Maxwell

3 Dubai Residential Market Report Q Sale performance Apartments Apartment prices declined, on average, by 1% in Q4 2015, where International City declined slightly faster at 2%. During the last 12 months, apartment price declines varied significantly across Dubai, dropping an average of 6% with peripheral locations such as Discovery Gardens, International City and Motor City declining the most at 9%, 9% and 10% respectively. Figure 1 Apartments sale performance 2,500 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2,000 2% 2% Average price AED / sq V 1,500 1,000 6% 4% 6% 6% 5% 4% 6% 4% 6% % change 8% 500 9% 9% 10% 10% 0 Business Bay Discovery Gardens Downtown Burj Khalifa Dubai Marina Dubai Sports City Emirates Living (Views and Greens) InternaOonal City Q Q QoQ % change 12 month change Jumeirah Beach Residences Q Q QoQ % change Q Q month % change Q Q Motor City Palm Jumeirah (Shoreline Apartments) 12% Source: Property Monitor Index Cavendish Maxwell

4 Dubai Residential Market Report Q Sale performance Villa prices have declined by an average of 1% in Q4 2015, slower than the 2% in Q On average, villa prices have declined by approximately 8% in the last 12 months. Prices at more established villa communities such as The Meadows and Springs declined by 12% and 18% respectively as buyers opted to purchase in the newer and upcoming communities. Figure 2 sale performance 1,800 1,600 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% Average price AED / sq ft 1,400 1,200 1, % 7% 6% 5% 6% 10% 7% 12% 7% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% % change % % 18% 0 Al Furjan Arabian Ranches Jumeirah Golf Estates Jumeirah Islands Jumeirah Park Jumeirah Village Triangle The Lakes The Meadows The Springs Victory Heights 20% Q Q QoQ % change Q Q month % change Q Q Source: Property Monitor Index Cavendish Maxwell

5 Dubai Residential Market Report Q Rent performance Apartments Apartment rents have slightly declined by 1% in Q and approximately 3% during 2015 across Dubai. The rate of decline varies from one development to another with International City rents declining at a higher rate of 2%, similar to the sale price trend in Q On average, studio rental rates have increased while one and two bed rents have during Q Villa rents have followed a similar trend as apartments with an average drop of 1% in Q from Q and a 3% decline during Rents in prime villa communities such as Arabian Ranches, Jumeirah Golf Estates and Jumeirah Islands remained relatively stable in Q as in Q Rents of three and five bed villas remained stable, whereas four bed villa rents have declined in Q Apartments rental performance rental performance Rental rate AED/sq ft/annum Q Studio Rental rate 1 bed 2 bed AED/sq ft/annum 3 bed 4 bed 5 bed Q Business Bay Al Furjan Discovery Gardens Arabian Ranches 69 Dubai Marina Jumeirah Golf Estates Dubai Sports City Jumeirah Islands International City Jumeirah Park Jumeirah Beach Residences Jumeirah Village Triangle Motor City The Lakes Palm Jumeirah (Shoreline Apartments) The Meadows The Greens The Springs 74 The Views Victory Heights 75 Figure 3 Source: Property Monitor Index Figure 4 Source: Property Monitor Index Cavendish Maxwell

6 Dubai Residential Market Report Q Residential supply 2015 Completions Approximately 8,800 additional residential units entered the Dubai market in Over % of those are apartments with the remainder being villas and townhouses. Major completions in Dubai Sports City, Dubai Silicon Oasis and Dubailand. Pipeline Approximately 7,000 units have been delayed from 2015 to Excluding those, 30,000 units have been scheduled for delivery in 2016, which may be subject to potential delays. The Dubai government budget for 2016 was increased by 12% to AED 46.1 billion, of which 14% allocated to infrastructure, which shows continued commitment toward the growth of Dubai leading up to Cavendish Maxwell

7 Dubai Residential Market Report Q Cavendish Maxwell Residential Market Survey Looking back Q sales and rents predictions vs reality 36% of agents surveyed had predicted villa prices to decline by up to 5% Villa prices fell by 1% 40% of agents surveyed had predicted apartment prices to remain unchanged. Apartment prices fell by 1% Majority of agents surveyed had predicted that rents would remain the same for both apartments and villas. Apartment and villa rents declined by 1% Q sales outlook Apartments Percentage of agents who predicted apartment prices would: 0% Percentage of agents who predicted villa prices would: 0% 7% 14% 18% 5% Q rents outlook Apartments Percentage of agents who predicted apartment rents would: 3% 9% 11% Percentage of agents who predicted villa rents would: 2% 14% 5% 46% 33% 39% 38% 34% 43% 34% 45% increase by more than 5% increase by up to 5% not change decrease by up to 5% decrease by more than 5% increase by more than 5% increase by up to 5% not change decrease by up to 5% decrease by more than 5% Figure 8 Source: Cavendish Maxwell Residential Market Survey Figure 9 Source: Cavendish Maxwell Residential Market Survey Cavendish Maxwell

8 PROPERTY SERVICES MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA Jay Grant MSc IRRV (Hons) Managing Partner M: E: Miles Phillips BSc (Hons) MRICS ACIArb Partner Head of Operations UAE M: E: Also contact us for: Jonathan Brown BSc (Hons) FRICS Head of Abu Dhabi Office M: E: Residential Valuation Commercial Valuation Sofia Underabi BPropEc AAPI Partner Head of Residential Valuation M: E: Machinery and Business Assets Valuation Investment and Commercial Agency Dima Isshak BSc Research Manager M: E: Project and Building Consultancy Development Advisory and Real Estate Research CavendishMaxwell.com T: +971 (0) E: info@cavendishmaxwell.com 2205 Marina Plaza, Dubai Marina, P.O. Box , Dubai, United Arab Emirates 1006 Corniche Bakery Building, Al Firdous Street, Tourist Club Area, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Hotels, Hospitality and Leisure Property Monitor

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