Acknowledgments State of the Future

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1 Acknowledgments The Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University was sponsored in its research program by: Applied Materials Army Environmental Policy Institute, U.S. Army Dar Almashora, for Kuwait Petroleum Corporation Deloitte & Touche, LLP Ford Motor Company with in-kind support from: Smithsonian Institution World Federation of United Nations Associations World Future Society The 34 chairs and co-chairs of the 26 Millennium Project Nodes, plus their members who help select participants, translate questionnaires, and conduct interviews, were essential for the success of the research conducted in this and previous years. Theodore Gordon, Jerome Glenn, and Elizabeth Florescu were partners in the research through this volume, with research and administrative assistance from Hayato Kobayashi. Special acknowledgment is given for Theodore Gordon's quantitative and conceptual leadership in the further development and assessments of the State of the Future Index in Chapter 2; for Jerome Glenn's leadership on the cumulative research on the 15 Global Challenges in Chapter 1; and for Elizabeth Florescu's research and organization of environmental security issues in Chapter 4. The Global Energy Scenarios presented in Chapter 3 received input from 173 participants around the world. Scenario 1: Business as Usual was written by T. Gordon, Scenario 2: Environmental Backlash was written by J. Glenn, Scenario 3: High-tech Economy was written by Jose Cordeiro, and Scenario 4: Political Turmoil was written by both J. Glenn and T. Gordon. Chapter 5, Tenth Anniversary Reflections, was written and synthesized by J. Glenn with input from the Planning Committee of the Millennium Project. Principal members of the environmental security scanning team who prepared the monthly reports summarized in Chapter 4 were Jerome Glenn, Elizabeth Florescu, John Young, Theodore Gordon, Robert Jarrett, Peter Rzeszotarski, and Hayato Kobayashi. Linda Starke provided editing of the print section. John Young provided proofreading assistance for several sections in both the print and CD sections. Elizabeth Florescu did the production and layout of both the print and CD sections of this book under a very tight deadline, while Elizabeth and Octavian Florescu designed the cover. Special thank you to Susan Jette for her continued additions to the annotated scenario bibliography in the CD, to Peter Yim, President of CIM Engineering, Inc. for hosting the

2 Project's Web site and internal lists, and to Frank Catanzaro for experimental collaborative software applications. The Interns who helped with the Millennium Project in general and updated and improved the 15 Global Challenges were Lucia Castro, Alzbeta Hobstova, Megan Kim, Jeff Love, Jesse Lynch, Steve Mahmud, Yuki Nambu, Theodora Panousakis, Eric St-Pierre, Fouzia Seguer, Martha Vogler, and Hana Yoshimoto. And an additional thank you to Lucia Castro and Alzbeta Hobstova who produced the survey of organizations working on women and gender issues around the world included in the CD, and to Marvin Fried who helped research potential political problems for the global energy scenarios. We wish them all well in their future careers. Special contributions to update and improve the descriptions of the 15 Global Challenges were received from Rosa Alegria, Frank Catanzaro, Cornelia Daheim, Bill Daul, Elizabeth Florescu, Will Forster, Theodore Gordon, John Gottsman, Barbara Haering, Ana Jakil, Edward Martin, Tom Murphy, Concepción Olavarrieta (and members of the Mexican Node), David Schrunk, Paul Werbos, and John Young. Congratulations to the Mexican Node for initiating the Millennium Awards for middle-school children's ideas to address the 15 Global Challenges and the futures dictionary-encyclopedia project, to the Gulf Node for initiating the Global Energy Scenarios study, to the European Millennium Project Initiative (EuMPI) for the Spider project, and to the Central European Node for continuing leadership in studies of Haiti for a Global Partnership for Development (see Chapter 8 on the CD). Special thanks to the sponsors of the Millennium Awards in Mexico: Mexican Ministry of Education, Pfizer, Hewlett-Packard, Ibope-Agb, Editorial Santillana, Pack Tag, El Gallito Camp, and Grupo Nestle Mexico.

3 Millennium Project Node Chairs The Millennium Project interconnects global and local perspectives through its Nodes (groups of individuals and institutions). They identify knowledgeable and creative people in their region, translate questionnaires, conduct interviews, and disseminate the project s findings. The Node Chairs are: Argentina/other Latin American Sub-Nodes Miguel Angel Gutierrez Eduardo Balbi Latin Amrican Center for Escenarios y Estrategia EYE Globalization and Prospective Buenos Aires, Argentina Buenos Aires, Argentina Australia Paul Wildman The Futures Foundation Brisbane, Australia Brazil Arnoldo José de Hoyos and Rosa Alegria São Paulo Catholic University São Paulo, Brazil Brussels-Area Philippe Destatte The Destree Institute Namur, Belgium Canada Ruben Nelson Foresight Canada Lac Des Arcs, AB, Canada Central Europe Pavel Novacek Charles University Prague, Czech Republic China Rusong Wang Chinese Academy of Natural Sciences Beijing, China David Harries ACOC Kingston, ON, Canada Ivan Klinec Institute for Forecasting Bratislava, Slovak Republic Zhouying Jin Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Beijing, China

4 Egypt Kamal Zaki Mahmoud Sheer Egyptian-Arab Futures Research Association Cairo, Egypt France Saphia Richou Prospective-Foresight Network Paris, France Finland Sirkka Heinonen VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Espoo, Finland Germany Cornelia Daheim Z_punkt GmbH The Foresight Company Essen, Germany Gulf Region Ismail Al-Shatti Minister of Communications Government of Kuwait Kuwait, Kuwait Iran Mohsen Bahrami Amir Kabir University of Technology Tehran, Iran India Anandhavalli Mahadevan Madurai Kamaraj University Madurai, India Mohan K. Tikku Futurist / Journalist New Delhi, India Italy Eleonora Barbieri Massini Gregorian University Rome, Italy Japan Shinji Matsumoto CSP Corporation Tokyo, Japan

5 Mexico Concepción Olavarrieta Nodo Mexicano. El Proyecto Del Milenio, A.C. Mexico City, Mexico Russia Nadezhda Gaponenko Russian Institute for Economy, Policy and Law Moscow, Russia Renat Perelet Institute for Systems Analysis Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow, Russia Silicon Valley John J. Gottsman Clarity Group Palo Alto CA, USA South Africa Geci Karuri Human Sciences Res. Council Pretoria, South Africa Bob Day and JP Landman Futurist Consultants Gauteng, South Africa South Korea Youngsook Park Korea 2050 Seoul, Korea Turkey Alper Alsan All Futurists Association Istanbul, Turkey United Kingdom Paul Crake The Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures & Commerce London, United Kingdom Venezuela José Cordeiro Sociedad Mundial del Futuro Venezuela Caracas, Venezuela Experimental Cyber-Node Frank Catanzaro Arcturus Research & Design Group Maui, Hawaii

6 Millennium Project Planning Committee Alper Alsan, All Futurists Association of Turkey, Istanbul, Turkey Ismail Al-Shati, Minister of Communications, Government of Kuwait Mohsen Bahrami, Amir Kabir University of Technology and Nat. Research Council of Iran, Tehran, Iran Eduardo Raul Balbi, Scenarios & Strategies (Escenarios y Estrategia -EYE), Buenos Aires, Argentina Eleonora Barbieri Masini, Gregorian University, Rome, Italy Peter Bishop, Futures Studies, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA Frank Catanzaro, Arcturus Research & Design Group, Maui, Hawaii Paul Crake, The Royal Society for the Arts, Manufactures & Commerce, London, United Kingdom José Cordeiro, Sociedad Mundial del Futuro Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela George Cowan, Founder, Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe NM, USA Cornelia Daheim, Z_punkt GmbH The Foresight Company, Essen, Germany Francisco Dallmeier, Biodiversity, Smithsonian Institution, Washington DC, USA Philippe Destatte, President, The Destree Institute, Namur, Belgium Nadezhda Gaponenko, Russian Institute for Economy, Policy and Law, Moscow, Russia Jerome C. Glenn, AC/UNU Millennium Project, Washington DC, USA Michel Godet, Conservatoire d'arts et Métiers, Paris, France Theodore J. Gordon, AC/UNU Millennium Project, Old Lyme CT, USA John J. Gottsman, President, Clarity Group, Atherton CA, USA Miguel A. Gutierrez, Latin American Center for Globalization and Prospective, Buenos Aires, Argentina Sirkka Heinonen, VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, Espoo, Finland Hazel Henderson, Futurist, Author and Consultant, St. Augustine FL, USA Arnoldo José de Hoyos Guevara, PUC-SP São Paulo Catholic University, São Paulo, Brazil Zhouying Jin, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China Geci Karuri, Chief Research Manager, Human Sciences Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa Anandhavalli Mahadevan, Chair, Futures Research Program, Madurai Kamaraj University, Madurai, India Kamal Zaki Mahmoud Sheer, Secretary-General, Egyptian-Arab Futures Research Association, Cairo, Egypt Shinji Matsumoto, President, CSP Corporation and Member, Japan Society for Future Studies, Tokyo, Japan Ruben Nelson, President, Foresight Canada, Lac Des Arcs, AB, Canada Pavel Novacek, Palacky University, Olomouc, and Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic Concepción Olavarrieta, Nodo Mexicano. El Proyecto Del Milenio, A.C., Mexico City, Mexico Youngsook Park, President, Korea 2050, Seoul, Korea Charles Perrottet, Principal, The Futures Strategy Group, Glastonbury CT, USA Cristina Puentes-Markides, Pan American Health Organization, Washington DC, USA David Rejeski, Director, Foresight and Governance, Woodrow Wilson Center, Washington DC, USA Saphia Richou, President, Prospective-Foresight Network, Paris, France

7 Stanley Rosen, Toffler Associates, Los Angeles CA, USA Mihaly Simai, Director, World Institute of Economics, Budapest, Hungary Rusong Wang, Chinese Academy of Natural Sciences, Beijing, China Paul Werbos, National Science Foundation, Arlington VA, USA Paul Wildman, The Futures Foundation, Brisbane, Australia Sponsor Representatives Fathi Al-Hamdi, Dar Almashora, Kuwait (for Kuwait Petroleum Corporation) William Coplin, Applied Materials, USA John Fittipaldi, Army Environmental Policy Institute, U.S. Army Edward Martin, Director, Global Market Research, Ford Motor Company Michael Stoneking, Deloitte & Touche LLP, USA