REIDIN REAL ESTATE INDICES: JUNE 2014 RESULTS JULY 16, 2014
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1 REIDIN REAL ESTATE INDICES: JUNE 2014 RESULTS JULY 16, 2014
2 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDICES: JUNE 2014 RESULTS Issue: 67
3 INDEX SUMMARY The residential sales prices for existing homes increased 1.24% in Turkey overall, 1.13% in Adana, 1.16% in Ankara, 1.11% in Antalya, 0.27% in Bursa, 1.54% in Istanbul, 0.84% in Izmir and 0.76% in Kocaeli during June The residential rental prices for existing homes increased 1.18% in Turkey overall, 1.84% in Adana, 1.60% in Ankara, 2.30% in Antalya, 0.77% in Bursa, 0.93% in Istanbul, 1.59% in Izmir and 1.83% in Kocaeli during June 2014.
4 INDEX SUMMARY JUNE 2014 Turkey Composite House Sales Price Index (June 2007 = 100) Turkey Composite Rent Index (June 2007 = 100) Gross Rental Yield (Turkey Overall) 5.82% Price-to-Rent Ratio (Turkey Overall) 17.6 YEAR Housing Affordability Index (Turkey Overall-For 10 Year Mortgage Loan) 90.0 Monthly Mortgage Loan Interest Rate 1.00% Total Amount of Mortgage Loans 105,174,492,000 TL Consumer Confidence Index Consumer Price Index (2003=100) USD/TL Exchange Rate (Monthly Average) USD/TL BIST-REIT Index (Monthly Average) (28/12/1999 = 21,180.77) 35,891
5 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL REIDIN.com PROPERTY EmlakEndeks PRICE INDEX: SALES Satılık-Türkiye Kompozit
6 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL REIDIN.com PROPERTY EmlakEndeks PRICE INDEX: SALES Satılık-Türkiye Kompozit
7 % CHANGE IN RESIDENTIAL SALES PRICES The residential sales prices for existing homes increased 1.24% in Turkey overall, 1.13% in Adana, 1.16% in Ankara, 1.11% in Antalya, 0.27% in Bursa, 1.54% in Istanbul, 0.84% in Izmir and 0.76% in Kocaeli during June 2014.
8 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: CHANGES IN RESIDENTIAL SALES PRICES Turkey Composite Index Value: June 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % 17.07% Adana % 12.45% Ankara % 12.53% Antalya % 6.03% Bursa % 9.40% İstanbul % 21.99% İzmir % 11.79% Kocaeli % 9.07% Base Period: June 2007=100
9 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: RENT
10 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: RENT
11 % CHANGE IN RESIDENTIAL RENTAL PRICES The residential rental prices for existing homes increased 1.18% in Turkey overall, 1.84% in Adana, 1.60% in Ankara, 2.30% in Antalya, 0.77% in Bursa, 0.93% in Istanbul, 1.59% in Izmir and 1.83% in Kocaeli during June 2014.
12 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX: CHANGES IN RESIDENTIAL RENTAL VALUES Turkey Composite Index Value: June 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % 14.39% Adana % 13.59% Ankara % 11.98% Antalya % 6.37% Bursa % 5.01% İstanbul % 17.62% İzmir % 11.04% Kocaeli % 11.11% Base Period: June 2007=100
13 REIDIN TURKEY PRICE-to-RENT RATIOS (YEAR)
14 REIDIN TURKEY GROSS RENTAL YIELDS (%)
15 REIDIN HOUSING AFFORDABILITY INDEX
16 EXISTING HOUSE PRICES VS. FINANCIAL INDICATORS
17 EXISTING HOUSE PRICES VS. FINANCIAL INDICATORS
18 REIDIN TURKEY RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDICES The REIDIN Turkey Residential Property Price Indices (TRPPIs), supported by GARANTI, are designed to be a reliable and consistent benchmark of housing prices in Turkey. The purpose is to measure the average differences in house prices in a particular geographic market. Methodology Index series are calculated monthly for sales and rent covering 7 major cities (Adana, Ankara, Antalya, Bursa, Istanbul, Izmir and Kocaeli), their 71 districts and 481 sub-districts. The national TRPPI (Turkey Composite Index) is a weighted average of those city indices. The REIDIN TRPPIs use a stratified median index approach and are calculated by the Laspeyres price index formula. Indices are set at 100 starting at the beginning of June 2007 (June 2007=100) Coverage REIDIN TRPPI, uses monthly sample of offered/asked listing price data, covering over 200,000 house listings per month.
19 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX: JUNE 2014 RESULTS Issue: 43
20 INDEX SUMMARY According to the results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, in June 2014 there is 0.34% increase with respect to the previous month and in compliance with June 2013 there is 12.05% increase. According to June 2014 results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, Branded Projects in Istanbul European side shows 0.37% increase and 0.43% increase in Asian side. According to June 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index shows the decrease of 0.13% in 1+1 flat type; increase of 0.39% in 2+1 flat type; increase of 0.41% in 3+1 flat type and decrease of 0.07% in 4+1 flat type with respect to the previous month. According to June 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index reveals that there is 0.07% decrease in 51-75sqm size; 0.14% increase in sqm; 0.33% increase in sqm size; 0.48% increase in sqm and 0.07% decrease in 151sqm and bigger sized properties with respect to the previous month.
21 INDEX SUMMARY JUNE 2014 REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index (January 2010=100) REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index-Istanbul Asia (January 2010=100) REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index-Istanbul Europe (January 2010=100) Monthly Mortgage Loan Interest Rate 1.00% Total Amount of Mortgage Loans 105,174,492,000 TL Consumer Confidence Index Consumer Price Index (2003=100) USD/TL Exchange Rate (Monthly Average) USD/TL BIST-REIT Index (Monthly Average) (28/12/1999 = 21,180.77) 35,891
22 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX (JANUARY 2010=100) New Home Index Index Value: June 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % Change in Base Period % 12.05% 48.80%
23 % CHANGE IN REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX According to the results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, in June 2014 there is 0.34% increase with respect to the previous month and in compliance with June 2013 there is 12.05% increase.
24 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX: ISTANBUL ASIAN-EUROPEAN SIDE PROJECTS (JANUARY 2010=100) According to June 2014 results of REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index, Branded Projects in Istanbul European side shows 0.37% increase and 0.43% increase in Asian side.
25 TYPE OF HOUSES: NUMBER OF ROOMS (JANUARY 2010=100) According to June 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index shows the decrease of 0.13% in 1+1 flat type; increase of 0.39% in 2+1 flat type; increase of 0.41% in 3+1 flat type and decrease of 0.07% in 4+1 flat type with respect to the previous month.
26 TYPE OF HOUSES: NUMBER OF ROOMS Type of Houses Index Value: June 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % Change in Base Period New Home Index % 12.05% 48.80% % 10.94% 48.00% % 11.92% 54.00% % 13.75% 48.10% % 7.09% 37.40% Base Period: January 2010=100
27 TYPE OF HOUSES: SIZE RANGE (JANUARY 2010=100) According to June 2014 results, REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index reveals that there is 0.07% decrease in 51-75sqm size; 0.14% increase in sqm; 0.33% increase in sqm size; 0.48% increase in sqm and 0.07% decrease in 151sqm and bigger sized properties with respect to the previous month.
28 TYPE OF HOUSES: SIZE RANGE Type of Houses Index Value: June 2014 % Change in Month % Change in Past Year % Change in Base Period New Home Index % 12.05% 48.80% SQM % 9.17% 45.20% SQM % 11.80% 45.90% SQM % 14.51% 53.90% SQM % 14.73% 48.00% 151 SQM % 7.17% 37.50% Base Period: January 2010=100
29 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOUSING STOCK Last month's data are provisional.
30 NEW HOME PRICES VS. FINANCIAL INDICATORS
31 NEW HOME PRICES VS. FINANCIAL INDICATORS
32 REIDIN-GYODER NEW HOME PRICE INDEX What is? It is the indicator index, which is developed from the properties of corporate real estate investment firms generally known as Branded Projects", and recently has been produced in many countries like USA, Australia, Canada. Methodology The monthly REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index uses a stratified median index approach for index calculation an approach that is widely used for indexing housing prices. Taken January 2010 (January 2010=100) as the base period, is calculated with the formula of Laspeyres. Coverage REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index is calculated on 70 projects and with a monthly average number of 22,500 properties presented by 27 developers.
33 PARTICIPANT DEVELOPERS
34 REIDIN TURKEY REAL ESTATE INDICATORS Indices REIDIN - GYODER New Home Price Index REIDIN - GYODER Office Index REIDIN - Residential Property Price Index (Sales and Rent) REIDIN - Housing Affordability Index REIDIN - Rental Affordability Index REIDIN - Gross Rental Yield Index Modules REIDIN - Property Valuation Analysis Module REIDIN - Loan-to-Value Calculation Module REIDIN - Price-Rent Ratio Calculation Module
35 CONTACT US REIDIN.com Europe Bilek İş Merkezi, K:4 D:5, Eski Büyükdere Caddesi No: 33, 4. Levent, İstanbul, Turkey Tel Fax Although all values, statements and visual materials in this report are provided, indicated and calculated neatly by REIDIN.com, we make no warranty, assurance or guarantee that materials and values are absolutely accurate. REIDIN.com highly recommends that this report should not be taken as an endorsement of or recommendation on any participation by any intending investor or any other party in any transaction whatsoever. This information is presented exclusively for use by REIDIN.com clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior written permission of REIDIN.com.
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