Solutions Real Estate MARKET UPDATE

Transcription

1 Solutions Real Estate MARKET UPDATE Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes Trends in Pricing Current Levels of Supply and Demand Value Metrics Report for the week of December 16, 2013 Presented by Solutions Real Estate Solutions Real Estate - Kelly@KellySwinney.com (760) Powered by Altos Research LLC Copyright Altos Research LLC

2 This Week Real-Time Market Profile Trend The median list price in CARLSBAD, CA this week is $896,900. The 191 properties have been on the market for an average of 87 days. Inventory has been decreasing lately but the Market Action Index is falling also. With days-on-market climbing, these are relatively negative implications for the market. Supply and Demand Home sales continue to outstrip supply and the Market Action Index has been moving higher for several weeks. This is a Seller's market so watch for upward pricing pressure in the near future if the trend continues. Median List Price Average List Price Asking Price Per Square Foot Average Days on Market (DoM) Inventory of Properties Listed Most Expensive Listing Least Expensive Listing Average Age of Listing Percent of Properties with Price Decrease Percent Relisted (reset DOM) Percent Flip (price increased) Median House Size (sq ft) Median Lot Size Median Number of Bedrooms Median Number of Bathrooms Market Action Index Altos Research Value Statistics Seller's Advantage $ 896,900 $ % 20 % 9 % ,001-10,000 sqft The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer. Trend Key: ±+ No change $ 1,291, $ 29,000,000 $ 449,900 ±+ ±+ == == == Strong upward trend Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend Slight downward trend 21 Characteristics per Quartile Quartile Median Price Sq. Ft. Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOM Top/First $ 1,575, acre Most expensive 25% of properties Upper/Second $ 1,092, acre Upper-middle 25% of properties Lower/Third $ 797, ,501-8,000 sqft Lower-middle 25% of properties Bottom/Fourth $ 627, ,501-8,000 sqft Least expensive 25% of properties Page 2 of 6

3 Median Price The market seems to have paused around its high point. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability of this trend. Quartile Prices Prices in most of the market have been showing strength. Only Quartile 4 at the low end of the market is in a price decline. Watch the Market Action Index to determine whether demand in Quartile 4 will begin to reverse the trend and push prices higher here too. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 3 of 6

4 Price per Square Foot The market plateau is seen across the price and value. The price per square foot and median list price have both been reasonably stagnant. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator before the market moves from these levels. Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply. Page 4 of 6

5 Market Action Index The CARLSBAD market is currently in the Seller's Advantage zone (greater than 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at which indicates that demand is strong and available supply of homes gets snapped up relatively quickly. Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all segments in the market are showing high levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the whole market changes. Often one end of the market (e.g. the high-end) will weaken before the rest of the market and signal a slowdown for the whole group. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. Page 5 of 6

6 Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 87 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 70 or so days. Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles. First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom Page 6 of 6