Towards Seismic Hazard
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1 Towards Seismic Hazard Curves Collaboration with; UoM, UniCT, INGV P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
2 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
3 Earthquake Emergency Phase t ~ seconds Earthquakes do not kill Post Emergency t ~ months Preparation Phase t ~ decades P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
4 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
5 ITALY (Eastern Alps, Malagnini et al, 2002; Apennines, Malagnini et al, 2000, Eastern Sicily, Scognamiglio et al., 2001, Western Alps, Morasca et al., 2003) CENTRAL EUROPE (Malagnini et al, 2000) SWITZERLAND (Bay et al, 2002) TURKEY (Erzincan region, Akinci et al, 2002; Marmara region, Akinci et al, 2004, Western Anatolia, Akinci et al., 2013) USA (CALIFORNIA, BASIN AND RANGE, Malagnini et al. 2010) TAIWAN (D Amico et al., 2012) P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
6 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
7 The regional propagation term Project co-financed by the European Union European Regional Development ~ Geometrical Spreading: Propagation of a spherical wave front in an homogeneous and isotropic space (principle of conservation of energy) Attenuation: It is due to the anelastic absorption and scattering. It is lose of energy due to the friction of the materials, temperature and inhomogeneity in the path
8 Small events are insensitive to Ds in the frequency band of our interest, and can be used to calibrate k 0. Spectra of radiated energy of large earthquakes must be used to calibrate the stress parameter. P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
9 SUMMARY Region Q 0 n k (sec) (distanceindependent network average) Central- Southern Apennines Ds (MPa) (Brune stress drop of largest events) r max Eastern Alps Western Alps Eastern Sicily P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
10 CAP & SLUMT methods D Amico et al. (2010, 2013) Herrmann (2008) GF for a distance from 5 to 500km and a depth range from 5 to 60km with a spacing of 2km. Grid-search over: Mw, Depth, Strike, Dip, Rake Mw + depth
11
12 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
13 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
14 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
15 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
16 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
17 INCLUDING SITE EFFECTS P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
18 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
19 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
20 Xemxjia Bay (Urban Area) Anchor Bay (Amusement Park Area) Golden Bay (Cultural Heritage Area)
21 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
22 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
23 H/V < 1 implies velocity inversion Complex frequency response P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
24 Xemxjia Bay (Urban Area) Anchor Bay (Amusement Park Area) Golden Bay (Cultural Heritage Area)
25 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
26 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
27
28 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
29 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
30 CONCLUSIONS Regionalization shows substantial variations in the attenuation parameters, even within a relatively small country like Italy; Variations must be taken into account in order to produce reliable seismic hazard maps; Regional ground motion scaling can be properly defined by using the background seismicity; Site effects can be included in the computation of hazard curves and to study ad-hoc test sites P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
31 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
32 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
33 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
34 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
35 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
36 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
37 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
38 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
39 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
40 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
41 P.O Italia-Malta progetto SIMIT (Codice B1-2.19/11):
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