MIGRATION OF COMPANIES SHALL PREVAIL IN 2014

Transcription

1 st QUARTER 24 OFFICE São paulo MARKET REPORT OFFICE CLASSES A+, A AND B OFFICE MARKET REPORT MIGRATION OF COMPANIES SHALL PREVAIL IN 24 Exinting Inventory: 4.3 million sqm Under Construction Inventory: 96 thousand sqm Under Project Inventory: 22 thousand sqm Delivered in the Quarter: 2 thousand sqm Availability: 3.5%: Market 8.8%: A+ and A 7.7%: B Net Absorption: 6 thousand sqm: Market - 8.6: A+ and A : B Avg Asked Price: R$ 6/sqm/month: Market R$ 9/sqm/month: A+ and A R$ 88/sqm/month: B MARKET OVERVIEW The characteristic that shall prevail during 24 and probably 25 is the migration of companies. Actually, the market is going through a moment of transformation and modernization. This process occurred in a very fast pace compared to the historic and how the market has behaved in last years. This increase ally with economic uncertainties issues is contributing to potential tenants get good negotiations. The migrations mentioned not always means expansions, since in most part of the old buildings there are loss of efficiency due to the constructive model and lack of applied technology. The current number of modern properties allows in some cases, even with a decreasing occupied space to remain stable or increase the efficiency. Another important feature concerns to the unification of some operations that were distributed in several buildings. Prices are expected to become more sensitive during the course of the year, since according to developers forecast, a total of 278,sqm will be added to the high standard market up to December. EXISTING INVENTORY With the delivery of 2,sqm, Q ended with 4.3 million sqm of existing inventory considering classes A+, A and B. As occurred in the last periods, the amount received was lesser than the previously estimated by the developers. The buildings that have been delivered are: Design Tower / Vila Olímpia, Corujas / and Sphere Corporate /. HISTORICAL EXISTING INVENTORY (MILION SQM) CLASSES A+, A AND B Q 24 Classes A+ and A Class B The submarket of has 3% of inventory under construction, with an expected delivery of most of these projects for next two years, followed by submarket of Vila Olímpia with 2% with a massive participation of the two towers of Camargo Correa.

2 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 DISTRIBUTION OF EXISTING INVENTORY BY SUBMARKET (%) HISTORICAL OF AVAILABILITY RATE (%) MARKET Santo Antonio 6 6 Vila Olimpia 5 8,6 3, 3, ,2 2, Q 24 For Q2 ending around,sqm are expected in through the buildings Berrini One, Thera Corporate, LWM Corporate Center, The Bridge Tower and CEB Centro Empresarial Berrini. In submarket the expected deliveries are the projects Vera Cruz and Praça. Opposite to the observed in last quarter, the percentage of Class A + decreased because this is the profile of property with the highest occupancy rates. For classes A and B there was an increase, a situation that may prevail or fluctuate during the course of the year. INVENTORY UNDER CONSTRUCTION BY SUBMARKET (%) AVAILABILITY RATE BY CLASS (%) Vila Olimpia Santo Antonio 2 A+ A B Market Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q 24 AVAILABILITY RATE The availability rate keeps the already expected increase for the course of 24 ending at 8.8% for Class A+ and A, and 7.7% for Class B. Considering all three classes, the percentage calculated is 3.5% against 3.% in the previous quarter. The increase is explained by the negative quarterly net absorption, due to the moving of companies from old to modern properties as mentioned previously. The greatest variation occurred in the submarket of Vila Olímpia, which decreased by 7% compared to the fourth quarter of 23, explained by leases in the buildings Sky Corporate and Vila Olímpia Corporate. In contrast, the submarket of had a significant increase due to the devolutions on building Eldorado Business. and submarkets also showed an increase. Colliers International p. 2

3 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 EXISTING INVENTORY (THOUSAND SQM) X AVAILABILITY RATE (%) Santo Antonio Vila Olimpia Inventory Availability NET ABSORPTION Considering the classes A+, A and B, the net absorption verified was -6,sqm. Class A buildings contributed in higher proportion to the total with -9.sqm. The main devolutions were in the buildings: CENU Centro Empresarial Nações Unidas and Berrini 5, located at and Brazilian Financial Center in the submarket of. Class A + buildings had a positive net absorption of.sqm. NET ABSORPTION BY CLASS (SQM) A+ A B Market Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q 24 NET ABSORPTION BY SUBMARKET (THOUSAND SQM) Santo Antonio Vila Olimpia p. 3 Colliers International

4 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 PRICES The average asked lease price (classes A +, A and B) at the end of the first quarter was R$ 6.45, compared to R$ 8.73 in the fourth quarter of 23. Considering only classes A + and A, the average of R$ 9.26 represents a decrease of 2% compared to the third quarter of 23. The asked lease prices for Class B increased by.7% from the previous quarter. HISTORICAL AVERAGE ASKED LEASE PRICE (R$/SQM/MONTH) R$ 7.45 R$ 23.6 R$ 25.5 R$ 2.73 R$ 9.26 R$ 89.5 R$ R$ R$ 62.9 R$ Q 24 Classes A+ and A Class B AVERAGE ASKED LEASE PRICE BY SUBMARKET (R$/SQM/MONTH) R$ 5.6 R$ 45. R$ 67.7 R$ 6. R$ 3. R$ R$ 27.5 R$ 7.88 R$ R$ R$ 77. R$ R$ 9.2 R$ R$ R$ 7.82 R$ 8.2 R$ R$ R$ 6. R$ 3.76 R$ 88.8 R$ R$ 63.5 R$ 5.75 R$ Santo Antonio Classes A+ and A Class B Vila Olimpia is the submarket with the highest average asked lease price, with R$ is the one with the lowest average, with R$ Colliers International p. 4

5 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 STATISTICS TABLE TOTAL A+ A AND B (EXISTING MARKET) SUBMARKET TOTAL AREA (SQM) AVG A+ A (R$/ SQM/MONTH) AVG B (R$/SQM/ MONTH) AVG MARKET (R$/ SQM/MONTH) AVAILABLE AREA (SQM) AVAILALIBILTY (%) 7,45 R$ 77. R$ R$ ,2 3.7% 557,9 R$ 5.6 R$ 9.2 R$ ,96 2.7% Santo Antonio 24,49 R$ R$ R$ , % 8,247 R$ 45. R$ 7.82 R$ ,75 3.9% 397,63 R$ 67.7 R$ 8.2 R$ ,86 6.3% 337,93 R$ 6. R$ R$ ,46 5.2% 245,9 R$ 3. R$ R$.93 3, % 26,29 R$ R$ 6. R$ 84.,56 38,66 3.2% 347,24 R$ R$ 3.76 R$ , % 284,43 R$ 27.5 R$ 88.8 R$ ,726.2% 379,87 R$ 7.88 R$ R$ , % 274,524 R$ 63.5 R$ 5.75 R$ ,96 9.9% Vila Olímpia 628,24 R$ R$ R$ ,83 9.% Total 4,35,87 R$ 9.26 R$ R$ ,6 3.5% ALPHAVILLE Exiting Inventory: 52 thousand sqm Under Construction Inventory: 36 thousand sqm Availability: 34.9% Net Absorption: -2,5 thousand sqm Avg Asked Price R$ 54.7/sqm/month EXISTING INVENTORY AND AVAILABILITY RATE Alphaville office market ended the first quarter of 24 with 52 thousand, sqm, and the same amount of the previous period. The availability rate remained stable in comparison to the previous quarter at 34%. The buildings that have the largest amount of square meters available for lease remains: Canopus Alphaville, itower and Brascan Century Plaza. p. 5 Colliers International

6 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 AVAILABILITY RATE (%) X EXISTING INVENTORY (THOUSAND SQM) AVERAGE ASKED LEASE PRICE (R$/SQM/MONTH) R$ R$ 56.2 R$ R$ 54.7 Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q 24 Inventory Availability Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q 24 NET ABSORPTION AND PRICES The net absorption of Q is -2,546sqm. Class A + properties contributed to the negative net absorption. NET ABSORPTION BY CLASS (THOUSAND SQM) A+ A B Market Q2 23 Q3 23 Q4 23 Q 24 The average asked lease price decreased by 5% compared to last quarter. STATISTICS TABLE TOTAL A+ A AND B (EXIsTING MARKET) SUBMARKET TOTAL AREA (SQM) AVG A+ A (R$/ SQM/MONTH) AVG B (R$/ SQM/MONTH) AVG MARKET (R$/SQM/ MONTH) ABSORÇÃO LÍQUIDA (mil m²) AVAILABLE AREA (M²) AVAILALIBILTY (%) Alphaville 52,966 R$ 6.84 R$ R$ ,685 73, Colliers International p. 6

7 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 SOME CHARACTERISTICS BY CLASS MAIN CHARACTERISTICS A+ A B Average Leasable Floor Area (sqm),6, 75 Average Unit Leasable Area (sqm) Average Building Leasable Area (sqm) 28, 2, 7, Average of Floors Floor Type Raised Raised Floor Channel/Raised Building Management System Complete Partial Optional Parking Ratio per Square Meter of Leasable Area parking space/32 sqm parking space/35 sqm parking space/44 sqm << Alphaville 8 km International Airport (Guarulhos) >> 22 km Rod. Castelo Branco Marginal Tietê Marginal Av. Rebouças MAP OF SÃO PAULO SUBMARKETS Vila Olímpia Av. Bandeirantes Av. Nações Unidas Sto. Antonio Domestic Airport (Congonhas) Collies International Corporate Office p. 7 Colliers International

8 MARKET REPORT OFFICE st QUARTER 24 COLLIERS OPPORTUNITIES Ed. São Luiz Gonzaga - SP Total Area: 2,32 sqm Ref: 346 Ed. Chicago - SP Total Area: 2,6 sqm Ref: 345 Ed. DOMO Corporate ABC São Bernardo do Campo - SP Total Area: 38 sqm to 3.6 sqm Ref: 39 Ed. Memorial Office Building SP Total Area: 2,5 sqm Ref: 343 Colliers International More than 482 offices in 62 countries in 5 continents USA: 4 Canada: 42 LATAM: 2 Asia: 38 ANZ: 57 EMEA: 85 EENU (Espaço Empresarial Nações Unidas) Sto. Antonio - SP Total Area: 3,5 sqm Ref: 34 Ed. Tenente Negrão Bibi SP Total Area: 5 sqm Ref: 339 US$,95 billion in annual revenue More than 4 millions sqm under management More than 3,5 profissionals CONTACTS REAL ESTATE MARKET vocabulary Sao Paulo R. Olimpíadas, Sao Paulo SP TEL Absorption: Amount of sqm occupied in the previous period. Development Category: Real estate properties are classified as A+, A, B and C. Stock / Inventory: Amount of usable constructed area in square meters. Availability Rate: Ratio between area available area and total area. Ceilings Height: Space between the finished flooring and the st structure ceiling interference. Build-to-Suit: Customized construction Colliers international do brasil REAL ESTATE CONSULTANCY for INDUSTRIAL, office, retail, land, rural, HOTels, HOSPITAls and educational institutions. Real Estate Investments. Tenant and Landlord Representation - Leasing, Acquisition and Sale. Advisory and Disposals for real estate assets and/or portfolios. Build-to-Suit and Sale & back Operations. Administration and Property Management. Real Estate Valuation for Leasing, Acquisition, Sale and Guarantee. Market and Technical-Financial studies, Highest and Best use studies. Advisory for Investment Funds and Private Investors. Research and Market Intelligence. Green Consulting for LEED certification Rio de Janeiro Av. Almirante Barroso, Rio de Janeiro RJ TEL Recife Av.Gov. Agamenom Magalhães, Recife PE TEL Fortaleza Av. Dom Luis, Fortaleza CE TEL More information: RESEARCH AND MARKET INTELLIGENCE research@colliers.com.br OFFICE office@colliers.com.br This document was prepared by Colliers International Brazil. All information in this material may be changed without prior notice. Colliers International is a worldwide affiliation of independently owned and operated companies. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and /or its licensor(s). 23. All rights reserved. Accelerating success. p. 8 Colliers International