Annual Monitoring Report

Annual Monitoring Report 2007/2008

CONTENTS 1.0 Executive Summary 2 2.0 Statutory Context 3 3.0 Contact 3 4.0 Introduction 4 5.0 Contextual Information 4 6.0 Key Contextual Characteristics 4 7.0 Unimplemented Policies 4 8.0 Local Development Scheme 6 9.0 Business Development and Town Centres 13 10.0 Housing 19 11.0 Environmental Quality 37 Annex Housing Trajectories 40 A Annex B Calculation of Outstanding Capacity 41 Tables 1 Progress of the Local Development Scheme 7 2 Employment floorspace completed 2007/08 14 3 Employment land supply by type 15 4 Employment floorspace completed in Guildford Town Centre 16 2007/08 5 Approvals for farm diversification 17 6 Net housing completions by year 23 7 Net loss of residential units 29 8 Location of approvals 30 9 Density of approvals 30 10 Type of approvals 2007/08 (excluding mix of dwellings) 31 11 Number of affordable housing units approved 35 12 Sites where affordable housing units have been approved 2007/08 35 Figures 1 % Unemployed Sept 2008 Guildford Borough 13 2 Average Property Selling Prices in Guildford ( 000 s) 20 3 Type of dwelling approved in 2007/08 33 4 Dwellings Approved in 2007/08 by number of bedrooms 34 5 Number of Affordable Units Approved 34 1

1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 Guildford Borough Council has produced an Annual Monitoring Report (AMR) in line with the guidance published by Communities and Local Government (CLG) (Local Development Framework Monitoring: A Good Practice Guide, 2005 & Regional Spatial Strategy and Local Development Framework Core Output Indicators Update 2/2008). 1.2 The AMR examines the progress of the Local Development Scheme (LDS) and monitors the objectives of the Guildford Borough Local Plan (2003) and Core Output Indicators provided in the guidance from CLG between 01/04/2007 and 31/03/2008. The updated guidance from CLG introduces some new Core Output Indicators and removes some previously included in recent AMR s. This AMR only monitors live Core Output Indicators as listed in the updated guidance. 1.3 The Housing Trajectory gives a positive indication of progress against the housing targets set out in the Surrey Structure Plan (2004) and the draft South East Plan. If excess completions above the target can be taken into account the following year, the South East Plan housing target can be met for the next five years. This is without the inclusion of windfall projections, in accordance with Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing. 6.1 The AMR confirms continued progress on various components of the Guildford Development Framework, during the monitoring period including a thorough Issues and Options consultation on the Site Allocations DPD and consultation, revision and adoption of the Woodbridge Meadows Supplementary Planning Document. Submission of the Core Strategy was deferred in October 2007, with the agreement of GOSE and the Planning Inspectorate, to address issues arising from others' LDF examination reports and to allow further development of evidence base, to address the more recent research demands of national planning policy. Considerable work was undertaken during the remainder of the monitoring period - and is continuing to finalise - studies such as the Strategic Housing Market Assessment (SHMA), Strategic Flood Risk Assessment (SFRA) and Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA). 1.4 The majority of the Local Plan objectives are being met. The monitoring of the Core Output Indicators has shown that many associated targets are also being met. The monitoring of the Core Output Indicators and Local Plan objectives has been a very useful exercise to assess the effectiveness of the Local Plan objectives and highlight where improvements are needed to the monitoring system. Improvements will be fed into future AMR s. 1.5 This fourth AMR has been produced before the adoption of the policies in the Guildford Development Framework (GDF). Unlike the Local Plan (2003), the GDF will include indicators to assess the effectiveness of the GDF policies. The AMR is not required to monitor these indicators until the GDF is approved. 1.6 In 2006/07 a preliminary monitoring report was, however, prepared based on the indicators in the Core Strategy; the key strategic Development Plan 2

Document (DPD) in the GDF. Once the Core Strategy has been adopted for a full year, the AMR will formally monitor its indicators. The Core Strategy monitoring report 2006/07 can be downloaded from the Council s website at www.guildford.gov.uk/planningpolicy > Guildford Development Framework > Evidence Base. Annual Monitoring Report (AMR) 2007 2008 2.0 STATUTORY CONTEXT 2.1 The Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act was enacted on 28 September 2004 and introduced a system of Local Development Frameworks (LDFs). Section 35 of the Act requires Local Planning Authorities to prepare an Annual Monitoring Report (AMR) for submission to the Secretary of State. It requires that the AMR must contain information about the implementation of the Local Development Scheme (LDS) and the extent to which policies set out in the Local Development Documents are being achieved. 2.2 This Annual Monitoring Report (AMR) is the fourth to be produced by Guildford Borough Council under the 2004 Planning Act. 3.0 CONTACT 3.1 This report is published by: The Planning Policy Team Planning Services Guildford Borough Council Millmead House Millmead Guildford Surrey GU2 4BB 3.2 The AMR can be viewed at the website address below. 3.3 For advice and information on this AMR, please contact the Planning Policy Team: Email: planningpolicy@guildford.gov.uk Website: www.guildford.gov.uk/planningpolicy > Guildford Development Framework > Evidence Base Telephone: 01483 444465 3

4.0 INTRODUCTION 4.1 Planning Policy Statement 12 (PPS12, 2008) states that monitoring is essential for an effective strategy and will provide the basis on which the contingency plans within the strategy would be triggered (p.18). 4.2 This AMR contains information on the progress of the LDS, the progress made against the Core Output Indicators (supplied by CLG) and, where appropriate, the objectives of the Guildford Borough Local Plan 2003. Work on the Core Strategy has progressed since the last AMR, however, until the document is adopted, the AMR will focus on the objectives in the Guildford Borough Local Plan 2003. 4.3 The AMR monitors the period between 01/04/07 and 31/03/08. 5.0 CONTEXTUAL INFORMATION 5.1 The AMR sets out the key contextual characteristics, issues, challenges and opportunities affecting the Borough. This draws upon the spatial portrait vision and objectives that are required to be developed as part of the preparation of the evidence base, the Sustainability Appraisal and the Guildford Community Plan. 5.2 Contextual indicators are used to describe the wider social, environmental and economic background against which to consider the effects of policies and inform the interpretation of Core Output Indicators. This reflects increasing recognition of the importance of taking into account the social, environmental and economic circumstances when developing policies for the Guildford Development Framework (GDF). 5.3 As part of the preparation of the evidence base for the GDF, the Council produced a series of profile documents which provide statistical information about the borough, including past and future trends. These documents are available on the website at www.guildford.gov.uk > Planning and Building Control > Planning Policy > Evidence Base > Census 2001. 6.0 KEY CONTEXTUAL CHARACTERISTICS 6.1 Guildford Borough is a thriving area with a population of 133,100 people (Nomis, 2006). It comprises two urban areas Ash /Tongham and Guildford and a number of attractive villages and open countryside. The main town of Guildford lies centrally within the borough and, along with many other towns in the South East region, has experienced significant growth over the last ten years, accommodating more residents, visitors and businesses, whilst at the same time maintaining its quality environment and strong heritage. The borough lies largely within the Metropolitan Green Belt and, outside the urban areas, the countryside and villages are subject to restrictive policies that have successfully prevented the spread of the urban areas and the villages and protected the countryside from inappropriate development. 4

7.0 UNIMPLEMENTED POLICIES 7.1 The requirement of the Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act (as amended) is that the AMR must report on the extent to which the policies set out in the Local Development Documents (including those in existing Local Plans) are being achieved. Regulation 48 states that the local planning authority must identify any policies it thinks are not being implemented, the reason why the policy is not being implemented and how this will be addressed. 5

8.0 LOCAL DEVELOPMENT SCHEME (LDS) 8.1 Timetable and Milestones 8.2 This section considers whether the timetable and milestones to 31 March 2008 for the documents set out in the Local Development Scheme (LDS) have been met or progress is being made towards meeting them. The LDS sets out the timetable and milestones for the production of documents within the Guildford (Local) Development Framework. Table 1 sets out the document, key milestones and a commentary on whether or not the timetable was met. 8.3 In May 2007, an updated version of the LDS was brought into effect by Guildford Borough Council. At the time of writing the previous AMR (2006/07), this approved LDS was still in draft format and awaiting comment from the Government Office for the South East (GOSE). The guidance states that the most recent and relevant version of the LDS should be considered. 8.4 This LDS is available to view or download from the Council s website (www.guildford.gov.uk/planningpolicy > Local Development Scheme). 6

Table 1: Progress of the LDS Document Key Stage Date scheduled in LDS Date Achieved Commentary Development Plan Documents Statement of Community Involvement The SCI was adopted in February 2007. Submission to Secretary of State Oct 2007 n/a In liaison with GOSE, a decision was made (Executive, 4 October 2007) to delay submission of the Core Strategy, to amend the Local Development Scheme accordingly and to undertake a second Regulation 26 Preferred Options stage in the light of new evidence. Core Strategy Publish details of Examination Nov/Dec 2007 n/a See above Pre Examination meeting Jan 2008 n/a See above 7

Slyfield Area Regeneration Project Early Stakeholder & Community Engagement Dec 2005 August 2008 Dec 2005 August 2008 Background information has been gathered and studies are either completed or currently underway. These include an ecological assessment, visual and landscape impact study, an initial flood risk assessment and a detailed transport study. Work will continue on further studies over the next year to inform the feasibility of redeveloping the site. If it is shown that development is viable all the partners are committed in taking the project forward. As Government guidance on the new LDF process has emerged, it has become apparent that an Area Action Plan is no longer a practical process to follow for the delivery of this project because it can only be advanced when the authority has in place an adopted Core Strategy. This implies a delay, in conflict with the timescales needed to progress the project. An SPD will therefore be produced conforming with policies in the existing Development Plan (the Local Plan 2003 and Surrey Waste Plan 2008). SEA & SA, Hab Reg Asst, flood risk asst seq test Jan-Aug 2008 Flood risk assessment was commenced in accordance with the milestone. Other aspects (SA, SEA, HRA, EIA, finalisation of FRA including sequential test) will follow further work as described above. 8

Town Centre Area Action Plan Amendments (following 2006 Preferred Options) Sept 2006 Dec 2007 n/a Work on the Town Centre Area Action Plan has, in accordance with the advice of the Planning Inspectorate, been held back to run behind the timetable of the Core Strategy. The revised LDS will reflect this amendment. Final draft to Committee Jan 2008 n/a See above SEA & SA, Hab Reg Asst, flood risk asst seq test Jan 07 Sept 07 Jan 07 Sept 07 This Site Allocations milestone was met. Site Allocations Consultation on issues and options Nov 07 Jan 08 Nov 07 Jan 08 This Site Allocations milestone was met. This is the first round consultation, it is envisaged that a further similar level consultation will be necessary in the future to consult on those additional sites suggested to us during the first consultation. SEA & SA, Hab Reg Asst, flood risk asst seq test Jan 08 Sept 08 See comment Assessment of sites is now underway as part of preparation of the Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA). This work will be completed and the Core Strategy taken forward to an advanced stage before the next round of Site Allocations is pursued. The revised LDS will reflect this amendment. 9

Supplementary Planning Documents SA/SEA, Hab Reg Asst, flood risk asst seq test May June 2007 May June 2007 This LDS milestone was met. First draft SPD presented to Committee Sept 2007 Sept 2007 This LDS milestone was met. Woodbridge Meadows Public consultation (4 weeks) Oct-Nov 2007 Oct-Nov 2007 This LDS milestone was met. The draft SPD was available for public consultation from 17 October 2007 to 28 November 2007 (6 weeks). Amendments Nov Dec 2007 Nov Dec 2007 This LDS milestone was met. 10

Adoption Feb 2008 Feb 2008 This LDS milestone was met. Adoption agreed on 28 February 2008 by the Council s Executive Committee. Woodbridge Meadows Publication March 2008 March 2008 This LDS milestone was met. Adopted SPDs Woodbridge Meadows Date for adoption February 2008 February 2008 See above. The Woodbridge Meadows SPD was adopted in February 2008. The document is available to download from the Council s website or to buy from the Planning Reception at the Council offices, Millmead. Sustainable Development & Construction Date for adoption Dec 2005 Dec 2005 The Sustainable Development & Construction SPD was adopted in Dec 2005 and is currently being used to inform the determination of planning applications. The document is available to download from the Council s website or to buy from the Planning Reception at the Council offices, Millmead. Infrastructure Date for adoption Sept 2006 Sept 2006 The Infrastructure SPD was adopted in September 2006. The document is available to download from the Council s website or to buy from the Planning Reception at the Council offices, Millmead. 11

Vehicle Parking Standards Date for adoption Sept 2006 Sept 2006 The Vehicle Parking Standards SPD was adopted in September 2006. The document is available to download from the Council s website or to buy from the Planning Reception at the Council offices, Millmead. 8.5 Table 1 shows that good progress is being made with the preparation of the Guildford Development Framework, with consultations periods meeting the target dates and the adoption of four SPD s; one within this monitoring period. 8.6 The LDS is presently being updated, in consultation with GOSE to update it to reflect revised national planning policy guidance on preparing Local Development Frameworks (set out in PPS12) and other factors. The AMR 2008/09 will monitor progress against this revised LDS. 12

9.0 BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT & TOWN CENTRES 9.1 Contextual Indicators Source: all NOMIS Official Labour Market Statistics unless otherwise stated Population of Guildford Borough: 134,400 (2007) All economically active people (age 16-74): 78,100 (87.5%) (Jan 2007 Dec 2007) 92.5% of the male population age 16-74 in Guildford are economically active 82% of the female population age 16-74 in Guildford are economically active Of the 12.5% who are economically inactive, 8.9% are not seeking employment. Average Earnings (2007) Full time worker: Guildford - 28,215 (South East - 25,979, Great Britain - 23,868) Male full time worker: Guildford - 33,394 (South East - 29,042, Great Britain - 26,036) Female full time worker: Guildford - 23,072 (South East - 21,923, Great Britain - 20,529) Fig. 1 Unemployment rate (% shows number of Job Seekers Allowance claimants as a proportion of resident workingage people) (September 2008) Guildford: 1.0% South East: 1.6% United Kingdom: 2.5% 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 % unemployed Sept 2008 - Guildford Borough Guildford South East UK Qualifications NVQ4 and above (Jan 2007 Dec 2007) Guildford: 39.9% South East: 30.8% Great Britain: 28.6% Employment by occupation in Guildford Borough (Jan 2007 Dec 2007) Professionals, managers, senior officials: 58.2% Administration & skilled trade occupations: 19.1% Personal service & sales: 13.3 % VAT registered businesses (2006) in Guildford Borough Registrations: 555 (9.3%) Deregistrations: 450 (7.5%) Stock (at the end of the year): 5,975 Employment floor space (Source: Valuation Office 2007) Total employment floor space in Guildford Borough 759,000 sq m (B1, B2 & B8 use classes) Total vacant employment floor space (Source: Valuation Office 2007) There is a vacancy rate of 9% in Guildford Borough *The contextual indicators listed are the latest figures available. 13

9.2 MONITORING OF CORE OUTPUT INDICATORS 9.3 Core Output Indicator BD1: Total amount of additional employment floor space by type Local Plan Objective: To maintain the current supply of employment land. Policy: Local Plan Policy E4 Restraint on Business, Industrial and Warehousing Employment Development. Performance: Table 2: Employment floorspace completed 2007/08 Land use Floorspace (square metres) completed 07/08 B1 9932 B2 7356 B8 10584 Total 27872 Commentary: There has been extensive quality checking of the recording of completions on the monitoring database in the last six months. It is possible that some of these completions may have been completed prior to 2007/08. The quality checking has involved site visits to ensure the data is up to date and accurate. The results show that employment floorspace continues to be provided in the borough, supporting the local economy. 9.4 Core Output Indicator BD2: Total amount of employment floor space on previously developed land by type Local Plan Objective: To support the redevelopment of existing employment premises and land for employment uses. Target: Surrey Structure Plan 2004; 80% of employment development will be provided on land previously used for employment purposes. Policy: Local Plan Policy E2 Redevelopment of Existing Business, Industrial and Warehousing Land in Urban Areas and Within Identified Settlements in the Green Belt Performance: Of the 27,872 sq m of employment floorspace completed in the borough, only 38 sq metres have been on greenfield land. This is 0.1% of the total employment floorspace completed in 2007/08. Commentary: The employment floorspace completed on greenfield land is from the conversion of barns in the Green Belt outside of the Settlement Boundary. Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing defines barns as greenfield land (the definition of previously developed land excludes land that is or has been occupied by agricultural buildings p.26). 14

The Surrey Structure Plan target has been exceeded and the Local Plan objective met. 9.5 Core Output Indicator BD3: Employment land available by type Local Plan Objective: Maintain the current supply of employment land. Target: None identified Policy: Policy E3 (Safeguarding Existing and Allocated Business, Industrial and Warehousing Land) Performance: Table 3: Employment land supply by type Floor space 2003 (sq m) Floor space 2004 (sq m) Floor space 2005 (sq m) Floor space 2006 (sq m) Floor space 2007 (sq m) % Change (2006 2007) Offices (B1) 305,000 303,000 304,000 307,000 323,000 5% General 197,000 Industrial (B2) 200,000 198,000 200,000 197,000-1.5% Warehouses 181,000 (B8) 189,000 225,000 231,000 239,000 3.5% Retail 296,000 300,000 254,000 256,000 257,000 0.4% Total 979,000 992,000 981,000 994,000 1,016,000 2% Source: Valuation Office 2007 Commentary: There is a total of 1,016,000 sq m of commercial floor space in the borough (including retail). There is a total of 759,000 sq m of employment floorspace (excluding retail). There has been a general increase in employment floor space in Guildford Borough over the last 5 years with warehousing experiencing the greatest increase (32% from 2003 to 2007) and a modest increase in B1 office floor space. There has however been an overall slight decrease in the amount of retail floorspace and no overall change in the amount of B2 floorspace. 9.6 Core Output Indicator BD4: Total amount of floor space for town centre uses Local Plan Objective: Maintain the current supply of employment land. Target: Surrey Structure Plan 2004; at least 80% of additional commercial development each year will be located within town centres or at other sites within the urban areas, which have good access. Policy: Policy E3 (Safeguarding Existing and Allocated Business, Industrial and Warehousing Land) 15

Performance: Table 4: Employment floorspace completed in Guildford Town Centre 2007/08 Land use Floorspace (square metres) completed in Guildford Town Centre in 07/08 B1 211 B2 0 B8 0 Total 211 Commentary: The majority of the employment floorspace has been provided outside of the Town Centre (as defined by the Guildford Local Plan 2003). Although a large site (over 1000sq m) was completed in the Town Centre in 2007/08, there have been many smaller losses of B1 floorspace, to reduce the overall provision (for example, 05/P/01072 change of use from B1 to D2 fitness centre, 1 Ward Street, Guildford). The Surrey Structure Plan (2004) target has therefore not been met. It is proposed that the Core Strategy will introduce a policy to safeguard key strategic employment sites, which will include all those in the Town Centre. 9.7 MONITORING OF LOCAL PLAN OBJECTIVES 9.8 Objective (1) promoting employment development on existing allocated sites. Objective (2) Resisting the loss of existing employment premises and land for employment uses. 9.9 Objective (3) Support the redevelopment of existing employment premises and land for employment uses Introduction: The maintenance and renewal of Guildford s economy will depend largely on the redevelopment of existing employment land and premises in the urban areas and village settlements. Policies: E2 Redevelopment of Existing Business, Industrial and Warehousing Land in Urban Areas and within Identified Settlements in the Green Belt. Indicator: 3a) Number of approvals for employment redevelopment in the borough. Performance There have been six planning applications approved for the redevelopment of an employment use in 2007/08. 16

Commentary: The majority of planning applications approved have been for a change of use to or from employment uses, rather than redevelopment within employment use classifications. 9.10 Objective (4) Support the diversification of the rural economy Introduction: In response to the changing circumstances facing agriculture, farmers are increasingly diversifying into other activities to supplement their incomes. Policies: Local Plan Policy RE8 Farm Diversification (Including Farm Shops) Local Plan Policy RE9 Re-use and Adaptation of Rural Buildings to Employment, Community or Recreational Use Indicator: 4a) Approvals in rural areas that involve the diversification of the rural economy. Target: To support the rural economy. Performance Table 5: Approvals for farm diversification Reference Address Ward Former Use New Use The Homestead 03/P/02347 Farm / Mixed use Wanborough The Pilgrims Agriculture agriculture and Business Centre, office / storage West Flexford Lane, Wanborough 07/P/00091 Suffield Farm, Suffield Lane, Puttenham The Pilgrims Farm buildings B1 and B1(c ) 07/P/00261 Sandy Farm, Sands Road, Farnham The Pilgrims Potato barn Office and storage 07/p/01965 Springfield Place, Bailes Lane, Normandy Normandy Barn Office The Local Plan 2003 includes policies that address this issue and offer guidelines for those farmers wishing to diversify. A planning guide was produced in 2005/2006 to offer further support for farmers wishing to diversify. The Council is therefore meeting this objective and actively supporting farmers who wish to diversify. The planning guide is available to download free from the Guildford Borough Council website (www.guildford.gov.uk > planning and building control > publications). 17

9.11 Objective (5) Encourage the provision of premises suitable for small firms Introduction: The Borough Council recognises the importance of small business units to Guildford s economy. The Borough Council will encourage the provision of small units when large sites are redeveloped. Policies: Objective to achieve adequate provision for the retailing needs of all sectors of the borough s community. Paragraphs 6.24-6.26 of the Local Plan refer to the importance of small business units and the Borough Council s objective. Indicator: 5a) Number of applications for small units Performance: No small employment units have been approved in 2007/08. Commentary: A conversion of 2 units to 7 live/work units has however been approved (Titan Sheds, Blacksmith Lane, Chilworth - 06/P/01595). These may be suitable for use by smaller firms. The Local Plan objective is not being met, however, the absence of policy to support the objective makes it difficult to achieve. 9.12 Objective (6) Encouraging redevelopment of inappropriately located premises Introduction: The Borough Council recognises that there are some business, industrial and warehousing premises which are inappropriately located in terms of adverse environmental effects. Where the Borough Council considers that the existing use is inappropriate to the location, and where suitable alternative accommodation could be made available for any displaced firms, it will encourage the redevelopment of such sites. Policies: Local Plan Policy E3 Safeguarding existing and allocated business, industrial and warehousing land Indicator: 6a) Evidence Base Performance: An Employment Land Review is currently considering employment land /sites in Guildford Borough, and assessing if any could be released for a change to an alternative use. Commentary: The Council is actively assessing employment land /sites in the borough and is in the process of identifying land/sites to be protected for employment use only. Other sites will be considered for mixed use schemes or released for an alternative suitable use. The draft Core Strategy document proposes a list of strategic employment sites which should be safeguarded. 18

10.0 HOUSING 10.1 Contextual Indicators Housing Stock in Guildford Borough (comparative figure Surrey) (Source: 2001 Census) Housing Stock: 53,573 Percentage of detached dwellings: 35% (34%) Percentage of semi-detached dwellings: 33% (33%) Percentage of terraced housing: 14% (16%) Percentage of flats/maisonettes: 18% (19%) Number of vacant dwellings: 1,081 (10,660) The quality of the housing stock is generally good but there are some houses in poor condition (Source: Guildford Borough Local Plan 2003) Housing Tenure and Housing Stock (comparative figure Surrey) (Source: 2001 Census) Percentage of owner occupied households (owned outright): 32% (34%) Percentage of owner occupied households (owns with a mortgage or loan): 41% (43%) Percentage of owner occupied households (shared ownership): 1% (1%) Percentage of households rented from the Council: 10% (7%) Percentage of households in Housing Association/Registered Social Landlords properties: 3% (5%) Percentage of households in private rented or letting agency accommodation: 9% (8%) Household Size (no. of rooms) (comparative figure Surrey) (Source: 2001 Census) Average no. of rooms per household: 5.75 (5.82) Household Composition (comparative figure Surrey) (Source: 2001 Census) Average household size: 2.37 people Number of households: 52,350 One person, pensioner: 14% (14%) One person, other: 15% (14%) One family and no others, all pensioners: 9% (10%) One family and no others, married couple, no children: 14% (14%) One family and no others, married couple, with dependent children: 19% (20%) One family and no others, married couple, all children non-dependent: 6% (6%) One family and no others, cohabiting couple, no children: 6% (5%) One family and no others, cohabiting couple, with dependent children: 2% (3%) One family and no others, cohabiting couple with non dependent children: 0.3% (0.3%) One family and no others, lone parent with dependent children: 4% (4%) One family and no others, lone parent, all children non-dependent: 3% (3%) Other households with dependent children: 2% (2%) Other households: students, pensioners and other: 6% (4%) The housing stock in Guildford Borough has more detached houses than other property types, with the majority of houses being owner occupied. *The contextual indicators listed are the latest figures available. 19

House Prices (Source: www.home.co.uk) Figure 2: Average Property Selling Prices in Guildford ( 000's) Apr 2000 Aug 2008 Change Detached 304,258 442,182 +45% Semi 154,010 286,300 +86% Terraced 138,886 295,750 +113% Flat 104,986 224,606 +114% All 178,427 318,210 +78% Aug 2007 August 2008 Change Detached 651,780 442,182-32% Semi 327,778 286,300-13% Terraced 256,861 295,750 +15% Flat 200,167 224,606 +12% All 359,400 318,210-11% Number of Properties Sold in Guildford April 2000 July 2008 Change Detached 36 17-53% Semi 40 33-18% Terraced 36 16-56% Flat 29 26-10% Aug 2007 July 2008 Change Detached 53 17-63% Semi 74 33-55% Terraced 46 16-65% Flat 53 26-51% 20

Summary of Properties for Sale in Guildford (October 2008) Total properties for sale in Guildford: 1,043 Average price of properties for sale in Guildford: 400,553 Median price: 299,000 Average Time on Market: 109 days Properties for Sale in Guildford by Price (October 2008) No. of properties Average time on market under 100,000 16 152 days 100,000 to 200,000 178 109 days 200,000 to 300,000 364 102 days 300,000 to 400,000 198 101 days 400,000 to 500,000 112 126 days 500,000 to 1,000,000 130 115 days over 1,000,000 45 133 days Source: BBC website: Halifax 4 September 2008. Between July 2008 and August 2008, the cost of the average home in the UK dropped by 1.8% to 174,178. Between August 2007 and August 2008, the cost of the average home in the UK dropped by 10.9%, which is the first double digit drop since 1983. 21

10.2 MONITORING OF CORE OUTPUT INDICATORS 10.3 Core Output Indicator H1: Plan period and housing targets Purpose: To show the planned housing period and provision. Target: H1(a): 1/4/2001 to 31/03/2016, 4750 dwellings, Surrey Structure Plan (2004) H1(b): 1/4/2006 to 31/03/2026, 8440 dwellings, draft South East Plan (proposed changes: July 2008) H1(a) = 317 net additional units per annum H1(b) = 422 net additional units per annum Comment: The Surrey Structure Plan will be replaced by the South East Plan when it is adopted (estimated to be autumn/winter 2008). Policy H1 of the draft South East Plan originally proposed Guildford be allocated a target of 322 dwellings a year. The Examination in Public recommended an increase to this figure to 422. The Secretary of State published Proposed Changes to the draft South East Plan in July 2008. The proposed changes followed the Panel s recommendations for Guildford Borough s proposed figure. The target for housing completions in Guildford is proposed at 422 a year until 2026 which is a total of 8,440 dwellings. However, until the South East Plan is adopted, the latest confirmed housing targets remain those from the Surrey Structure Plan (2004). Guildford Borough Council is preparing a Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA) as part of the Guildford Development Framework (GDF) Evidence Base to identify suitable, deliverable sites for housing development for the next 15 years. Until the SHLAA is completed, housing figures included in this AMR are based on monitoring data and the Interim Guildford Housing Land Assessment (June 2008, updated August 2008), which sets out the Council s 5 year housing land availability (www.guildford.gov.uk/planningpolicy > Evidence Base > SHLAA). It remains the ambition of the Council to meet the housing targets in the Urban Areas and Identified Village Settlements of the borough, as set out in the draft Core Strategy spatial strategy. The SHLAA will provide the evidence to show whether this is achievable, informing the Core Strategy publication version. 10.4 Core Output Indicator H2(a): Net additional dwellings in previous years Purpose: To show recent levels of housing delivery Targets: See Core Output Indicator H1 Policy: Surrey Structure Plan Policy LO6 Housing Provision Draft South East Plan Policy H1 Housing Provision 22

Performance: Table 6: Net housing completions by year Year Net completions 2001/02 178 2002/03 276 2003/04 365 2004/05 344 2005/06 484 2006/07 421 Commentary: Table 6 shows housing delivery since the start of the plan period (Surrey Structure Plan 2004). Excluding the reporting year (2007/08), an average of 345 units a year have been completed since the start of the plan period. This average is in excess of the requirement of the Surrey Structure Plan 2004 (317) but not that of the draft South East Plan (422). However, the base date of the South East Plan is 1 April 2006. It is worth noting that there has been a visible increase in completions in Guildford Borough in the last two years (2005/06 & 2006/07), where the number of completions has been in excess of or very close to the annual target of the draft South East Plan (422). Core Output Indicator H2(b): Net additional dwellings for the reporting year Purpose: To show levels of housing delivery for the reporting year. Target: See Core Output Indicator H1 Policy: Surrey Structure Plan Policy LO6 Housing Provision Draft South East Plan Policy H1 Housing Provision Performance: 636 dwellings have been completed in Guildford Borough during this reporting year (2007/2008). Commentary: This is in excess of the annual Surrey Structure Plan (2004) and draft South East Plan target. The average completions (including the reporting year) since 2001 (the start of the Surrey Structure Plan 2004 period) is 386 dwellings per year. This average is in excess of the requirements of the Surrey Structure Plan (2004). The average completions (including the reporting year) since 2006 (the start of the draft South East Plan period) is 529 dwellings per year. This average is in excess of the requirements of the draft South East Plan. However, it cannot be presumed that a similar amount of completions will be recorded next year, as extensive quality checking of monitoring systems has taken place this reporting year to ensure all historic completions have been accounted for. Extensive sites visits have taken place of all sites recorded with outstanding units (units that have permission to be built but have yet to 23

be completed), to check the status of progress on site. It is important that all completions since the start of the plan period have been accounted for. Historic data collection methods cannot always be guaranteed, and thorough quality checking has been required. Site visits have provided updated information on a number of sites with planning permission (approved since the year 2000). If a site visit concluded that a site is completed, then the completions data has been mainly counted in the year 2007/08, although it feasibly may have been completed prior to this date. In the same way, completions that may have been accounted for in the next reporting year, may have been included in the figure reported for 2007/08. Therefore, the most accurate account of completions for this reporting year and the next forthcoming year will be an average of the two years. In conclusion, although the amount of completions reported this year is higher than expected, it is vital, as greater importance is placed on monitoring and accurate data is needed to feed into the SHLAA, that all completions are accounted for. A system of monitoring has been put into place to ensure that site visits are carried out every quarter to maintain up to date accurate monitoring of completions. It is not yet clear from the draft South East Plan or Monitoring Information published by Communities and Local Government (CLG), whether excess completions can be rolled over to the following year. However in the absence of conclusive commentary on this in the South East Plan, it can only be assumed that all completions can be counted, therefore the housing trajectory counts completions cumulatively, including any surplus to the target. 10.5 Core Output Indicator H2(c): Net additional dwellings in future years Purpose: To show likely future levels of housing delivery. Target: See Core Output Indicator H1 Policy: Surrey Structure Plan Policy LO6 Housing Provision Draft South East Plan Policy H1 Housing Provision Performance: See Annex A for the full housing trajectory. Annex A shows three different scenarios as there are many possible accounting methods in this current year of overlap between the current Structure Plan and the Regional Spatial Strategy (the South East Plan). Future projected housing completions Current monitoring year (2008/09) 34 actual units completed so far (April 08 August 08). Current outstanding capacity 1857 (97% implementation rate used for units not yet commenced results in an outstanding capacity of 1812 see Annex B for calculations and further detail). Future development sites listed in the 5 year housing plan = 418 units Future development sites likely to be completed in 6-10 years (as listed in the 5 year housing plan) = 554. 24

This equates to 159.7 hectares of land (not taking into account the 97% implementation rate). In accordance with PPS3: Housing there can be no allowance for windfall in the projection calculations. Commentary: Housing trajectories attempt to illustrate the number of housing units completed in the past, present and future, in comparison to current housing targets. At present, however, there are many variables and unknowns in this equation that bring forward the possibility for different accounting methods and thus outcomes. Past and present completions have been discussed in Core Output Indicator H2(a,b). Future housing completion projections include the outstanding capacity (with the use of an estimated implementation rate where appropriate see Annex B for more detail). It is recognised that the implementation rate is calculated using historic trends, which in the current economic climate, may no longer be accurate. There is no alternative method of calculation as it can take 12-36+ months for changes in the market to impact on the monitoring figures (sites approved have 3 years for work to start before the planning permission expires). It is possible that an impact on completions may be seen in the next 12 months as development on sites with planning permission is stalled to wait for more favourable economic conditions. Future housing completion projections also include sites from the Interim Guildford Housing Land Assessment (IGHLA updated August 2008). These are sites which are believed will come forward in the next 1-5 years and 6-10 years. Although based on evidence, the availability and developability of these sites has not been assessed by a Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA). All sites with outstanding planning permission and all those listed in the IGHLA will, along with many others (including all those listed in the Site Allocations Issues and Options consultation), be assessed as part of the SHLAA. This will determine whether the sites are valid to be included in future housing trajectories. Without a completed SHLAA, accurately estimating future housing completions is less certain. Even with a SHLAA, there remains an element of uncertainty, as sites may be deliverable and developable, but just not come forward due to a slow down in the market, or any other reason. It is important to note that a SHLAA is an assessment of the likelihood of the site being developed, not certainty. It is not clear how the results of the SHLAA will be incorporated into a housing trajectory. For instance, the outstanding capacity is factual; the number of outstanding units with planning permission. In theory, all outstanding units could possibly be built. However, the SHLAA may determine that some of those units are not deliverable, due to changes in circumstances for example. This would introduce data ranges into the housing trajectory. The results of the SHLAA could alter the timeframes of the sites listed in the IGHLA. The SHLAA should however identify additional sites to those listed in the IGHLA for future years. The SHLAA will be updated regularly to take into account any changes in deliverability and developability. 25

The different scenarios in Annex A are caused by uncertainty in how the known housing targets are used in the housing trajectory and how excess completions are counted. The targets are discussed COI H1. Scenario A shows that the target set out in the Surrey Structure Plan (2004) 4750 dwellings in 15 years from 2001 to 2016 - is achievable. Scenario B uses the housing target from the Surrey Structure Plan and the draft South East Plan as, when adopted, the South East Plan figures will replace the Structure Plan figures with a base date of 2006. Scenario C uses the draft South East Plan figures, starting from 2006 (therefore excluding any completions prior to this date) based on the assumption that the 8,440 units required will be provided equally over the plan period (422 a year). The key determinant in analysing housing trajectories is whether excess completions (those in excess of the target), can be carried over to contribute towards future total completion returns. This has previously been the assumption in housing trajectories published in recent AMR s. It is not however clarified in the recently published update to the COI s, or in the draft South East Plan. The target of 422 is described as a minimum rather than a maximum (policy H1 of draft SE Plan), however, in the absence of clarification, it is assumed that completions can be carried over (i.e. assume that the requirement is to meet the total completions at the end of the plan period 8,440, rather than meet the average target each year - 422). Summary In the absence of a SHLAA, the various housing trajectories are encouraging, with the expectation that a 5 year supply to meet all possible targets is possible if excess units can be carried forward. Further clarification of projected housing figures can be provided when the SHLAA is finalised (anticipated to be summer 2009) and the South East Plan adopted (autumn/winter 2008). 10.6 Core Output Indicator H2(d): Managed delivery target Purpose: To show how likely levels of future housing are expected to come forward taking into account the previous years performance. Target: See Core Output Indicator H1 Policy: Surrey Structure Plan Policy LO6 Housing Provision Draft South East Plan Policy H1 Housing Provision Performance: See Annex A. Commentary: See COI H2 (c). This COI suggests excess units can be carried over, although this remains unconfirmed. 26

10.7 Core Output Indicator H3: New and converted dwellings on previously developed land Purpose: To show the number of gross new dwellings being built upon Previously Developed Land (PDL). Local Plan Objective: To promote sites for residential development primarily within the urban areas and which are already built upon or which are underused, including encouraging the conversion of existing buildings. Target: Surrey Structure Plan 2004 90% of new housing development will be provided on Previously Developed Land in urban areas. PPS3 by 2008, at least 60% of additional housing should be provided on Previously Developed Land. Policy: Local Plan Policy H4 Housing in Urban Areas Local Plan Policy H12 Affordable Housing for Local Needs Performance: 98% of completions (gross) in 2007/08 were on Previously Developed Land. The 2% of housing completions on greenfield land were primarily barn conversions. Commentary: The Council is achieving a standard significantly higher than the Government s target and the County target. Development on greenfield land in the borough is low, mainly the conversion of barns (agricultural buildings do not count as Previously Developed Land Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing). 98% of completions on Previously Developed Land is, in comparison to the targets, a significant achievement. 10.8 Core Output Indicator H4: Net additional pitches (Gypsy and Traveller) Purpose: To show the number of Gypsy and Traveller pitches delivered. Local Plan Objective: To maintain and provide for a range of house sizes and types, including housing for people who cannot afford to occupy property generally available on the open market. Target: SEERA s first partial review of the South East Plan (Somewhere to Live: Planning for Gypsies, Travellers and Travelling Showpeople in the South East September 2008) proposes provision of 19 pitches in Guildford Borough. Policy: Local Plan Policy H13 Gypsy Caravan Sites Local Plan Policy H14 Sites for Travelling Show People Performance: No public permanent pitches were made available in 2007/08 as there are no vacancies on any Council owned sites. Sites for further pitches are being considered through the Site Allocations DPD. The Council is actively assessing potential new Gypsy and Traveller sites in Guildford Borough. Some possible sites were subject to public consultation as part of the Site 27

Allocations Issues and Options consultation (November 2007 January 2008). Commentary: In 2006, Guildford Borough, along with two other neighbouring Local Authorities, completed a Gypsy and Traveller Accommodation Assessment (GTAA). The GTAA will inform the allocation of additional Gypsy and Traveller pitches to each area by SEERA, through the South East Plan Partial Review. The allocations will be made through the Site Allocations DPD, and prior to that, initially tested for suitability through the Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA). 10.9 Core Output Indicator H5: Gross affordable housing completions Local Plan Objective: To maintain and provide for a range of house sizes and types, including housing for people who cannot afford to occupy property generally available on the open market. Target: The Local Plan assesses that approximately 400 affordable homes can be provided between 1 October 1998 and 31 March 2006 (80 per year). The Council's Key Delivery Target (2008-2012) is to ensure that 400 new affordable homes are built in the borough by 2012. The Infrastructure SPD indicates that at least 35% of new dwellings on sites above qualifying thresholds will be affordable. The qualifying thresholds are; urban areas - 15 or more dwellings or residential sites of 0.5ha or more, settlements in rural areas where there is a population of 3000 or fewer 10 or more dwellings or residential sites of 0.4ha or more. The Surrey Structure Plan (2004), target 10 states that by 2016, an aspirational target of 40% of new housing completed will be affordable housing. Policy: Local Plan Policy H11 Affordable Housing Infrastructure SPD (2006) Performance: 55 affordable units were completed in 2007/08. Of these 55 units, 16 are shared ownership affordable units, and 39 are social rented affordable units. Commentary: The 55 units completed will contribute towards the Council s Key Delivery Target of completing 400 affordable homes by 2012. 10.10 Core Output Indicator H6: Housing Quality Building for Life Assessments Purpose: To show the level of quality in new housing development. Local Plan Objective: There is no specific relevant policy in the Local Plan, however, the General Policies do cover many issues related to ensuring that new development is of a high standard. Target: There is no specific target relating to this indicator. Performance: This information is not currently monitored. 28

Commentary: Research is needed to ascertain how this can be monitored in the future. 10.11 MONITORING OF LOCAL PLAN OBJECTIVES 10.12 Objective (1) To retain the existing stock of dwellings. Introduction: The Guildford Borough Local Plan seeks to maintain the existing housing stock. Policies: Local Plan Policy H5 Retention of Existing Housing Stock Indicator: 1a) Net loss of residential accommodation on approvals in 2007/2008. Table 7: Net loss of residential units Approvals in Net loss of residential units -2 Number of sites 2 Performance: Two permissions were granted for a net loss of residential units in 2007/08. These involved the demolition of 2 dwellings and replacement with 1 dwelling (in the Green Belt, outside of the settlement boundary, with the overall footprint reduced by 10%), and change of use of a managers flat to an ancillary use associated with a public house. 10.13 Commentary: Of all the planning applications approved in 2007/08, there have only been two that have contravened this objective. Therefore, all other applications have met the objective of retaining Guildford Borough s existing stock of dwellings. Objective (2) To make provision for 3,800 additional dwellings between 1991 and 2006 as set out in Surrey Structure Plan 1994. Introduction: The 1994 Surrey Structure Plan has now been superseded by the adopted 2004 Surrey Structure Plan. Commentary: As reported in the 2005/06 AMR, Guildford Borough Council has met the earlier Surrey Structure Plan (1994) housing requirement up to 2006. The housing trajectory (Annex A) reflects the position in relation to the Surrey Structure Plan 2004 allocation of 4,750 dwellings up to 2016 and the draft South East Plan allocation of 8,440 dwellings up to 2026. 29

Objective (3) To ensure that established environmental policies are maintained and enhanced, including the resistance of inappropriate development in the Green Belt, protection of the countryside for its own sake and maintenance and improvement of the quality of the urban area. Introduction: Local Plan policies seek to protect the valued Green Belt in the borough and also aim to strike a balance between making full use of the urban area and protecting and enhancing its character. Policies: Local Plan Policy G1 General Standards of Development Local Plan Policy H4 Housing in Urban Areas Local Plan Policy H6 Replacement of Dwellings in the Countryside Indicators: 3a) Percentage of approvals in 2007/08 in the Green Belt 3b) Density of approvals in the urban area Performance: 3a) Table 8: Location of approvals Net Number of Units Approved % of Units Approved (net) 2006/07 2007/08 2006/07 2007/08 Green Belt (in settlement 56 52 12.3% 9% boundary) Green Belt (outside 18 39 4% 7% settlement boundary) Countryside Beyond the 0 0 0% 0% Green Belt Guildford Urban Area 365 455 80.6% 81% Ash & Tongham Urban Area 14 14 3.1% 3% 3b) Table 9: Density of approvals 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 Average density of approvals in the Urban Area 73.5 dph 90.3 dph 45.1 dph Average density of approvals in the Guildford 78.4 dph 95.0 dph 47.3 dph Urban Area Average density of approvals in the Ash and 50.8 dph 49.4 dph 37.3 dph Tongham Urban Area Average density of approvals in the Green Belt 30.3 dph 20.4 dph 29.5 dph (in settlement boundary) Average density of approvals in the Green Belt 9.0 dph 9.0 dph 7.9 dph (outside settlement boundary) Average density of approvals in Countryside Beyond the Green Belt 3.71 dph NA NA Commentary: There has not been a significant change in the location of additional dwellings (net) between last year and this reporting year. Over 80% of additional units approved are in the Guildford Urban Area. Only a small proportion of additional units (3%) come from the Ash and Tongham Urban Area. 30

There has, however, been a change in the density of approvals since 2006/07. The average density of approvals in urban areas and the Guildford Urban Area has halved. This may be a reflection of the market and local needs, as more planning permissions have been granted this year for applications solely for housing units, than applications solely for flats. Excluding planning permission for a mix of types of housing on site, the following table helps to explain the decrease in densities. Table 10: Type of Approvals 2007/08 (excluding mix of dwellings) % of schemes granted planning permission (07/08) (excluding mix of uses) Bungalow Flat House Total Ash & Tongham Urban Area 2% 0% 3% 5% Green Belt in settlement boundary 2% 3% 20% 24% Green Belt outside settlement boundary 0% 2% 23% 24% Guildford Urban Area 1% 17% 28% 46% Total 4% 22% 74% 100% As can be seen, 74% of schemes granted planning permission were for housing schemes. Although the number of flats granted planning permission is higher than the number of housing units granted planning permission in this reporting year, the greater number of schemes for houses (consisting of many replacement dwellings, even in the urban areas), reduces the densities, as these housing schemes are usually at a much lower density than flatted schemes. This reporting year, in Guildford Urban Area, over 30 developments were granted planning permission for a density lower than 30dph (compared to just over 10 developments last year), and under 10 sites were granted planning permission for a density higher than 100dph this reporting year (compared to 14 last year). This has impacted on the density figures for this year. The Strategic Housing Market Assessment carried out as evidence base to the Guildford Development Framework is showing a need for more family housing in the borough. If flats are no longer as profitable as previously, encouraging developers to pursue housing development (where prices have still increased p.18) rather than flatted development, then densities are likely to be lower, as seen this reporting year. Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing advises that local authorities should encourage densities above a national indicative minimum of 30 dwellings per hectare to avoid the inefficient use of land and seek greater intensity of development at places with good public transport accessibility. This, however, needs to be balanced against the need to protect the character of areas and market demand. 33% of all planning permissions for new dwellings in 2007/08 were for replacement dwellings. Over half of these (54%) were in the Green Belt outside of the Settlement Boundary, but 20% of these replacement dwellings were in the Guildford Urban Area. Alongside the emphasis on the protection of the character of the area, lower densities of approvals may also be a reflection of a change in the market. 31

10.14 Objective (4) To promote sites for residential development primarily within the urban areas and which are already built upon or which are under-used, including encouraging the conversion of existing buildings. Introduction: In order to minimise the development of greenfield sites, Planning Policy Statement 3; Housing states that at least 60% of additional housing should be provided on Previously Developed Land and through conversions of existing buildings. Policies: Local Plan Policy H4 Housing in Urban Areas Local Plan Policy H7 Conversions Indicators: 4a) Percentage of approvals in 2007/08 in the urban area 4b) Percentage of units approved on Previously Developed Land 4c) Net number of units approved for conversions in 2007/08. Performance: 4a) See Table 10. 4b) 99% of gross units approved in 2007/08 were on Previously Developed Land. Guildford Borough is achieving a percentage significantly higher than the national guidance target. 4c) 6 units (net) were approved in 2007/08 from the conversion of larger residential units. Commentary: Considerable use is being made of Previously Developed Land in the borough. 10.15 Objective (5) To maintain and provide for a range of house sizes and types, including housing for people who cannot afford to occupy property generally available on the open market. Introduction: Despite the general fall in average household size, a range of housing needs to be maintained in the borough. The high price of housing in Guildford means that a significant proportion of the borough s residents cannot afford to buy their own dwellings. Securing affordable housing is one of the Council s Key Delivery Targets (2008 2012). Policies: Local Plan Policy H11 Affordable Housing Local Plan Policy H12 Affordable Housing for Local Needs in Rural Areas 32

Indicators: 5a) The type of dwelling approved in 2007/08 5b) The size of dwelling approved (no. of bedrooms) in 2007/08 5c) The number of affordable units approved in recent years. Performance: 5a) Fig. 3 Type of Dwelling Approved in 2007/08 1% House 45% Flat 54% Bungalow Notably this is the first reporting year where there has not been a significant difference between the proportion of flats and houses approved. Last reporting year (2006/07), 31% of approved units were houses, and 68% were flats. 33

5b) Fig. 4 Dwellings Approved in 2007/08 by number of bedrooms 22% 14% 16% 27% 1 bed 2 bed 3 bed 4 bed+ unknown 21% Less 1 bed units have been approved this year than in previous years, with a greater proportion of 2 bed and 3 bed units being approved. When outline planning permission is granted, the specifications of the number of bedrooms are not always required, and are clarified in a reserved matters application at a later date. This accounts for those unknown. 5c) Fig. 5 Number of Affordable Units Approved 300 250 Number of units 200 150 100 50 0 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 Year 34

Planning Reference Number 07/P/02378 07/P/02376 07/P/01767 07/P/00828 07/P/01013 07/P/01343 05/p/01217 07/P/00621 07/P/00493 Table 11: No. of affordable housing units approved * Approval of 184 affordable units at Queen Elizabeth Barracks Year No. of affordable units approved 2000/2001 67 2001/2002 274* 2002/2003 106 2003/2004 35 2004/2005 55 2005/2006 113 2006/2007 101 2007/2008 200 Table 12: Sites where affordable housing units have been approved 2007/08 Total number of units Approval approved Date Address Ward (gross) 25-Feb- 08 14-Mar- 08 19-Feb- 08 4-Jan-08 13-Aug- 07 25-Sep- 07 27-Jul- 07 12-Nov- 07 22-Jan- 08 Garage site at the back of 24 & 26 Chester Road, Ash Land between 23a-23b and 25 May Crescent, Ash Former DEFRA site, Epsom Road, Guildford, Surrey, GU1 Grove House, Guildford Road, Effingham, Leatherhead, KT24 5QA Bellerby Theatre and adjoining car park, North Place Day Centre and Haydon Place Community Centre, Haydon Place, Guildford, GU1 47-53 Station Road, Shalford, Guildford, GU4 8HB 32-37 Oak Tree Drive, Guildford, GU1 Stoughton Grange Junior School, Grange Road, Guildford, GU2 9PZ Headway House, North Road, Guildford, GU2 9PU Affordable Units Ash 5 5 Ash 7 7 Christchurch 200 70 Effingham 20 7 Friary & St Nicolas 75 75 Shalford 16 6 Stoke 35 12 Stoughton 24 8 Stoughton 10 10 Note 70 affordable units have been approved at the DEFRA site (35% affordable housing), and 75 units on a 100% affordable housing site at the Bellerby Theatre, North Place Day Centre and Haydon Place Community Centre. 35

A total of 200 affordable units approved in 2007/08 is virtually a 100% increase from the previous year. Nearly half of the units approved (97 in total), are from sites providing 100% affordable housing. Commentary: This objective is being met, with a range of dwelling types being approved in the borough. This will be further emphasised through the completion of the Strategic Housing Market Assessment evidence and the Core Strategy, where the mix of dwellings proposed on larger sites will need to reflect the actual housing need (as shown in the Housing Needs Assessment; part of the Strategic Housing Market Assessment). 36

11.0 ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY 11.1 Contextual Indicators Car Ownership (Source: ONS 2001) 75,757 cars registered to households in Guildford Borough (increase of 23.1% between 1991 & 2001) 7,750 households do not own a car (decrease of 23.3% between 1991 & 2001), however, the number of households that do not own a car is very low in comparison to the average for England. Each household in Guildford Borough owns on average 1.45 cars. This is an increase from 1.27 in 1991. Cycling (Source: GBC 2006) 70.9 km of cycle routes 160 cycle stands The total length of cycle routes, the number of cycle stands and the number of Green Transport Plans increases each year. Transport to work (Source: ONS 2001) Over half of 16-74 year olds in employment travel to work by driving a car or a van (lower than the Surrey average and the South East, but higher than the average for England) Of all the boroughs in Surrey, significantly more people travel to work by foot in Guildford Borough (11.2%) than anywhere else. 31,753 workers commute into the Borough and 30,637 workers commute out of the Borough, with a total of 36,500 people living and working in Guildford. This is a change from the previous pattern, where more people used to commute out than into the Borough. Average travel to work time (minutes, 2002-2003) (Local Knowledge) Guildford 23 Elmbridge 25 Mole Valley 21 Surrey Heath 21 Waverley 28 Woking - 23 *The contextual indicators listed are the latest figures available. 37

11.2 MONITORING OF CORE OUTPUT INDICATORS 11.3 Core Output Indicator E1: Number of planning permissions granted contrary to Environment Agency advice on flooding and water quality grounds Purpose: To show numbers of developments which are potentially located where i) they would be at risk of flooding or increase the risk of flooding elsewhere and ii) adversely affect water quality. Local Plan Objective: Avoid development that would increase the risk to people or property from flooding. Target: None identified. Policy: Local Plan Policy G1(6) Flood Protection Surrey Structure Plan Policy SE3 Performance: No applications have been approved contrary to the advice of the Environment Agency. Commentary: Three applications have been approved for residential development in Flood Zone 2, and five applications have been approved for residential development in Flood Zone 3. All applications given planning permission in Flood Zone 2 or 3 will have provided a Flood Risk Assessment as part of the planning application and meet the requirements of Planning Policy Statement 25: Development and Flood Risk (including showing that development will not increase the risk of flooding on site or elsewhere, and will be safe). 11.4 Core Output Indicator E2: Change in areas of biodiversity importance Target: None identified. Policy: Surrey Structure Plan Policy SE6 Biodiversity Performance: Data is currently not available to respond to this Core Output Indicator, however, it is important to note that Guildford Borough Council continues to work intensively with Natural England (formerly known as English Nature) and other Local Authorities affected by the Thames Basin Heath Special Protection Areas (TBH SPA) (a habitat for endangered species of ground nesting birds) to ensure an appropriate balance continues between the protection of the birds and accommodating appropriate development. Commentary: At present, this information is not available to the Council. Advice is being sought from Surrey County Council and Natural England on how best to 38

obtain this information, however, the Council s commitment to protecting areas and populations of biodiversity importance is evident from its dedication to regular engagement with Natural England and other affected local authorities regarding the TBH SPA and the Interim Avoidance Strategy adopted by Guildford Borough Council in 2006. A review of the TBH SPA Interim Avoidance Strategy is planned to take place to take into account the South East Plan and Regional Development Framework, when both are in place. 11.5 Core Output Indicator E3: Renewable energy generation Rationale: To show the amount of renewable energy generation by installed capacity and type. Local Plan Objective: The overall aim of the Local Plan (2003) is to promote development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. Target: Surrey Structure Plan (2004) commercial and residential development should be designed such that a minimum of 10% of the energy requirement is provided by renewable resources. Policy: Local Plan Policy G1 (9) Energy Conservation Performance: At present this indicator cannot be measured. Commentary: Although exact results cannot be provided for this indicator, all on site renewable provision on proposed large scale development is discussed in detail with the Principal Climate Change officer before determination. This also includes significant involvement at pre application stage and will continue in the future on large sites, such as the redevelopment of Guildford College of Further and Higher Education (08/P/01708). Software will be purchased to assess the compliance of small scale development with planning policy requirements in relation to renewable energy provision. The software will record the information to enable monitoring of this indicator. 39

Annex A Housing Trajectory Scenarios Projections Outstanding capacity (units with planning permission that have not been completed) - see Annex B Sites identified in the 5 year housing plan as likely to be completed in the next 5 years - 418 Sites identified as likely to be completed in the next 6-10 years - 554 Completions recorded from April 2008 to August 2008-34 A: Surrey Structure Plan 1/4/2001 to 31/03/2016 - provision of 4750 dwellings There is a presumption that roll over of excess completions is permitted 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/2011 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/2015 2015/2016 H2a Completions 178 276 365 344 484 421 Completions H2b (reporting year) 636 Completions recorded 34 Outstanding capacity 477 477 477 190 191 5 year housing plan 83 83 83 83 86 6-10 year housing supply 111 111 Total completions 178 276 365 344 484 421 636 511 560 560 273 274 86 111 111 c) Target 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 317 H2d Cumulative difference -139-180 -132-105 62 166 485 679 922 1165 1121 1078 847 641 435 H2c (projections) This shows that the target as set out in the Surrey Structure Plan (2004) has been met in 2007/08 and continued delivery at this level (317/yr) is achievable B: Surrey Structure Plan & draft South East Plan (Proposed Changes, July 2008) 1/4/2001 to 31/03/2016 - provision of 4750 dwellings 1/4/2006 to 31/03/2026 - provision of 8440 dwellings There is a presumption that roll over of excess completions is permitted 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/2011 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023 2023/2024 2024/2025 2025/2026 H2a Completions 178 276 365 344 484 421 Completions H2b (reporting year) 636 Completions recorded 34 Outstanding capacity 477 477 477 190 191 5 year housing plan 83 83 83 83 86 6-10 year housing supply 110 111 111 111 111 Total completions 178 276 365 344 484 421 636 511 560 560 273 274 86 110 111 111 111 111 c) Target 317 317 317 317 317 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 Cumulative H2d difference -139-180 -132-105 62 61 275 364 502 640 491 343 7-305 -616-788 -1058-1417 H2c (projections) This shows that the combination of targets from the Surrey Structure Plan and draft SE Plan should be achievable for the next 5 years (excluding the reporting year) The SHLAA process and Site Allocations DPD will also identify sites for the 1-5 year period and 6-10 year period and potentially 10-15 year period. C: draft South East Plan 1/4/2006 to 31/03/2026 - provision of 8440 dwellings 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/2011 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/2021 2021/2022 2022/2023 2023/2024 2024/2025 2025/2026 H2a Completions 421 Completions H2b (reporting year) 636 Completions recorded 34 Outstanding capacity 477 477 477 190 191 5 year housing plan 83 83 83 83 86 6-10 year housing supply 110 111 111 111 111 Total completions 421 636 511 560 560 273 274 86 110 111 111 111 111 c) Target 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 422 Cumulative H2d difference -1 213 302 440 578 429 281-55 -367-678 -989-1300 -1611 H2c (projections) If excess completions can be taken into account, this shows that the SE Plan housing target can be met for the next 5 years (to 2012/13). If excess completions cannot be carried over to the following year, the SE Plan target of 422 can be met until 2010/11 The SHLAA process and Site Allocations DPD will also identify sites for the 1-5 year period and 6-10 year period and potentially 10-15 year period.

Annex B Total outstanding capacity (August 2008) Total outstanding capacity - 1857 of which; 386 are on sites which have commenced (it is assumed that all of these will be built) 585 are on sites approved before 1st August 2005 and therefore have 5 years to start work before the planning permission expires 886 are on sites approved after 1st August 2005 and therefore have 3 years to start work before the planning permission expires Implementation rate Using data on the number of sites which have expired historically, it is calculated that 97% of units approved are built. The guidance published by CLG does not specify the need to include the implementation rate, however it was used in previous Housing Trajectories as part of the AMR. To give as accurate figures as possible, an implementation rate of 97% will be applied to those sites with planning permission that have not yet started. Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Commencements (once started, there is no limit on the time to complete - realistically expected to happen within 5 years) 77 77 77 77 78 Approvals with 5 years (97% implementation rate) - total = 567 114 114 113 113 113 Approvals with 3 years (97% implementation rate) - total = 859 286 286 287 Total 477 477 477 190 191 Note: an implementation rate calculated using historic data cannot account for future fluctuations in the market. This is a trend based prediction that has not taken into account any market changes which may cause the completions of housing units to slow down or halt. 41

Guildford Borough Council Millmead House Guildford Surrey, GU2 4BB Planning Services telephone (01483) 444661 www.guildford.gov.uk