Rapid Urbanization What can land surveyors do? Paul van der MOLEN. % (millions) % Rural ,974 3, ,

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Rapid Urbanization What can land surveyors do? Paul van der MOLEN What is it all about? population World Urban % Rural % (millions) (millions) (millions) 2011 6,974 3,632 52.1 3,341 47.9 2050 9,306 6,252 67.2 3.053 32.8 Source population growth: UN, 2009, World Population Prospects (the 2008th revision), New York Source urban/rural: UN, 2012, World Urban Prospects, New York UN/Habitat, 2008, State of the world s cities, Nairobi

Development of urban population % 70 60 50 40 30 % urban 20 10 0 1950 2000 2011 2050 Source UN, 2012, World Urban Prospects, New York In emerging economies? Slum dwellers % of urban population 1990 656,739,000 46.1 (of 1,424,596) 2000 766,762,000 39.3 (of 1,977,289) 2010 827,690,000 32.7 (of 2,531,162) UN/Habitat, 2008, State of the world s cities, Nairobi 2012 UN, World Urban Propects, New York tabel less developed countries

Yearly increase slum dwellers persons Annual number increase Source: World Bank, 2012, World Urban Prospects 28 million Annual number lifted Source: UN Millennium Development Goals Reports 2010, 2011, 2012 22 million Increase saldo 6 million Rural and Urban Poverty 2002 total urban % <1.25 $/day 1,207 million 291 million 24.6% 2.00 $/day 2,884 million 752 million 26.6% Source IFAD, 2011, Rural Poverty Report, Rome Poverty = rural until 2040 Source: Baker, J.L., 2008, Poverty: a global view, WB Urban Paper 5(2008)

Need for shelter 2050 number Growth of population 2,500,000,000 Slum dwellers 500,000,000 Extra People need a house 3,000,000,000 Per day 96,150 houses Source: UN/Habitat, 2005, Facts and figures financing urban shelter, Nairobo Source: Augustinus, 2009, Improving access to land and shelter, WB/FIG What to do? : twin track approach Prevention of slum formation Slum upgrading (Source: Payne, G., 2005, Getting ahead of the game, Environment & Urbanization Vol. 17 No 1; UN/Habitat, 2008, State of the World s Cities, Nairobi )

First track: Prevention Conventional masterplanning does not deliver livelihood for growing number of inhabitants Conventional planning criminalizes informal economy Sources FIG, 2008, The road to more sustianable places, FIG Publ 42 UN/Habitat, 2009, Planning sustainable cities, Nairobi COPHRE, 2009, Global survey on forced evictions, Geneva Jaffe, E., 2011, Improving urban planning in Africa, Atlantic Cities 22/2011 Agustinus C, Sorlie, E., 2011, Land governance for rapid urbaniozation, Urban World Febr/April UN/Habitat, 2011, Quick Guide (Land) No. 3, Nairobi Odendaal, N., 2012, Reality check: planning education, Cities 29(2009) Nunas Silva, C., 2012, Urban Planning in Sub Saharan Africa, Cities 29(2012) Conventional masterplanning Too much a controller, not an enabler Too strong building standards Too rigid planning standards Too much land reservation for roads Too large minimum plot sizes Serves the elites rather than the poor Too complicated regulatory framework Sources: Payne, 2005;Agustinus, 2009; Augustinus & Sorlie, 2011, World Bank 2006

New forms of planning Slum upgrading more expensive than slum prevention, so planning necessary Governments should take the lead Make land and trunk infrastructure available Develop services (health, education, employment) Create realistic and enforceable regulations and standards (Source: UN/Habitat, 2009, Planning Sustainable Cities, Nairobi) Examples Strategic spatial planning: give direction on the long term, flexible local projects, planning as coordination (Source: Cities Alliance, 2006, Guide to City Development Strategy CDS, Washington) Urban Management Programmes (Source: World Bank, 1999, Cities Alliance for Cities without Slums, New York)

Planning requires information Information (Source: Sluizas, 2004, Managing informal settlements, Enschede) Land information (Source: UN/Habitat, 2010, Guide to City Wide Planning, Nairobi) Not only legal data (Source: Augustinus, C., 2009, Improving access to land and shelter, WB/FIG; Augustinus, C., Sorlie, 2011, Land governance for rapid urbanization, Urban World Febr. 2011; UN/Habitat, 2011, Quick guide to land, Nairobi) Inclusion of socially marginalized groups (Source: Satterthwaite, D., 2009, Getting land for housing, E&U 2009 21:299) Effective street addressing (Source: World Bank, 2005, Effective Street Addressing and the management of cities, Washington) Enumeration methods (Source: Huchzermeyer, M., 2008, Enumeration as a grassroot tool towards securing tenure in slums, GLTN Working paper; UN/Habitat, 2010, Count me in, Nairobi) Second track: upgrading Slums are characterized by lack of basic services (sanitation, water, waste collection, electricity supply, surfaced roads, road lighting, rain water drainage), substandards housing, overcrowded and high density, unhealthy living conditions, and insecure tenure. (Source: UN/Habitat, 2003, The challenge of slums,nairobi) Property rights are critical to sustainable approaches, amongst better governance, financial systems and social frameworks (Source: Cities Alliance, 1999, Cities without slums, Washington)

A brief history of dealing with slums < 70: neglicence and clearance (Source: UN/Habitat:, 2003, The challenge of slums, Nairobi) Government destroyed more low income houses than they constructed. (Source: Werlin, H, 1999, The slum upgrading myth, Urban Studies Vol 36/9; Mukhija, V, 2002, An analytical framework for slum uprgading, Habitat International 26(2002)). > 70 recognition as an urban reality that require adequate response: development self-help and sites&service programmes. (Source: UN/Habitat:, 2003, The challenge of slums, Nairobi) Sites&services programmes of World Bank obstructed by absence of government policies (Source: World Bank, 2006, Thirty years of shelter lending) Political will is a major precondition (Source: UN/Habitat, 2003, The challenge of slums, Nairobi) Modern slumupgrading Creating awareness and advocacy (monitoring system?) Long term political committment (reduce political unwillingness and apathy) Policy reform and institutional strengthening (housing, land, infrastructure, coordination betweem central and local government) Implementation and monitoring (transparency, pro poor approaches, training, community participation, attention to rent not only ownership) Scaling up (replication) (Source: UN/Habitat, 2011, Quick Guides; World Bank, 2006)

Sound information base Because of existence of poor land record systems and centralized information systems (Source: Fourie, C., 2001, Land and Property registration at cross roads, Habitat Debate 2001(7) 3:16), need for local land registers, inclusive registers, parallel registers, simplified recording of spatial representation (Source: UN/Habitat, 2004, Pro Poor Land Management, Nairobi), for example through LADM (Source: Augustinus, C., 2009, Improving access to land and shelter, WB/FIG) and the continuum of land rights (Source: 23nd Governing Council UN/Habitat Resolution on sustainable urban development through expanding equitable access to land, housing and basic services and infrastructure, 2011, Nairobi) Land and legal security Insecurity tenure = major characteristic of slums Better governance ( local authority = often slumlords or mafia) Granting freehold titles a solution Range of land rights to be recognized A way: group titles Protection against eviction = overriding priority Housing loans (Grameen, WB Slum Upgrading Facility) People have security when - evidence of documentation proof of tenure - protection from eviction

Surveyors contribution or Outsiders say: Only 1.5 billion out of 6 billion land parcels are surveyed and recorded In only about 50 countries some sort of LAS exists Crowdsourced maps are better and quicker than official maps (Haiti?) Land surveyors unreasonable outdated in methods and accuracy requirements. Land surveyors hamper completion of cadastres What we can do: Quick and cheap land spatial information Master non-spatial data such as adresses, enumeration Facilitate plurifom land and housing rights Manage land readjustment Master innovative planning and upgrading Linking informal and formal economy Create tax revenues for cities Be a champion in systemdesign to support all this Thank you for listening.