Financial Instruments: Supply- and Demand-Side Examples Day 13 C. Zegras. Instruments

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Financial Instruments: Supply- and Demand-Side Examples 11.953 Day 13 C. Zegras Supply Side Instruments Value capture Joint development Impact fees Various densification bonuses, etc. Demand Side Location efficient mortgages 1

A Supply Side Example: Impact Fees A form of exaction requirement for real estate developer contribution to infrastructure in-kind exactions actual provision of infrastructure typically on-site financial exactions payments towards infrastructure provision (impact fees) typically off-site (i.e., trunk roads) Exactions can provide for efficient infrastructure delivery Developers face the costs resulting from growth Cannot guarantee efficient infrastructure use Combination with user fees better justified Or, second best: making impact fees represent cost differentials among development types and locations Impact Fees v/s Value Capture Work in opposite direction, hinge ultimately on different precepts. Value capture (or valorization) recaptures increased property values due to public investments in infrastructure (or other government interventions) for example, betterment taxes most often used in already built-up areas Impact fees charge for the direct impacts real estate projects will have on infrastructure typically used for new developments in high growth areas 2

Impact Fees - Precedents Pioneered in the US during the 1970s Originally adopted on a trial-and-error basis, often producing legal battles Today, generally legally enabled In the Developing World Various forms of exactions exist, not well documented, often not well-enforced Jakarta Indonesia has had a betterment tax (valorization) since 1972 Most Latin American countries have national legislation allowing valorization Colombia s contribución de valorización in use since at least the 1960s Transport Impact Fees Impact Fee = (ADT i * TL i )/2 * C Credits i Cap ADT = Average daily trip ends for land use i TL i = Average trip lengths for land use i Cap = Capacity of lane at planned LOS standard. C = Cost of right-of-way acquisition and construction per km of road lane. Credits i = Discounted, PV of the stream of road user revenues to finance capital costs for each use, i. 3

9 Principles for Assessing Impact Fee Use Principle Explanation 1. Guidance On the type of facilities eligible for impact fee financing and the conditions for use as supplement to existing financing sources 2. Demonstrated For impact fees within the context of a capital Need improvement plan, comprehensive plan 3. Links to Exactions Clarifying relationship to in-kind exactions 4. Rational Nexus Between real estate project and infrastructure needs 5. Demonstrated That new infrastructure needs result from new Responsibility development (not existing deficiencies); requires appropriate planning process and cost apportioning Principle 9 Principles for Assessing Impact Fee Use Explanation 6. Clear Benefits Establishing the connection between fee expenditure and benefits: 1) reasonable expectation that contributing projects will use the facilities; 2) facilities must be proximate and available in reasonable time 7. Minimal Housing Cost Impact Designing the fees and payment schemes to minimize the ultimate impacts on housing affordability, i.e. through: avoiding exacting fee at permitting stage, delaying levy until project is occupied; allowing payment over time, at subsidized interest rates 8. Uniformity Assessing the fees on each development in a similar way 9. Mitigate Adverse Considering the effects of the fees on other policy Effects priorities (i.e., affordable housing, industrial development). Source: Derived from Lillydahl, et al. 1988, The Need for a Standard State Impact Fee Enabling Act, JAPA. 4

Transport Impact Fees in Santiago In-kind exactions date to at least early 1970s More recently formalized in regulations In early 1990s, 2 rapidly growing suburban Municipalities turned to an ad hoc roadway impact fee scheme to finance trunk road connections to the rest of the urban area More recently, national authorities are using impact fee financing in response to massive suburbanization in the north of Santiago Currently attempting to formalize their use Suburbanization in Chacabuco 5

Impact Fees in Chacabuco (Northern Santiago) National authorities developed transport plan Minimum network to satisfy peak period demand from 14 proposed real estate projects with a total of 40,000 households by 2010) Accounted for each real estate projects size, location, socio-economic characteristics and subsequent travel demand US$106 million in non-concessionaire road infrastructure 62 Kms of roads, several major interchange upgrades Impact Fees in Chacabuco Based on each real estate project s peak demand (veh/hour) Developed an index of infrastructure consumption to allocate total infrastructure cost to individual real estate projects. Travel demand from low income housing exempted from fees Government ultimately agreed to cover 39% of total costs 6

Assessing Santiago Experience 1. Guidance Currently does not exist; ad-hoc, case-by-case negotiation. 2. Demonstrated Need Transport plans for Chacabuco developed in accordance with Chilean planning principles. 3. Links to Exactions No clear differentiation in agreements between impact fees and exactions. Further complications from disconnect with environmental impact fees. 4. Rational Connection Nexus between real estate projects and the infrastructure needs has been shown. 5. Demonstrated Responsibility Without the planned real estate projects, the road infrastructure would likely not be required. However, complications inherent to modeling the system Treatment of future developments (or expansions to existing developments) not clear. Other user charges ignored (i.e., no consideration of credits). Assessing Santiago Experience (cont d) 6. Clear Benefits Clearly established link between the expenditure of fees (development of infrastructure) and benefits to the individual projects. 7. Minimal Housing Cost Impact Upfront payment means fees will likely be passed on to homebuyers. Knowing the true effects requires more analysis. 8. Uniformity Current application has been uniform Uncertain whether it will continue (in Chacabuco, elsewhere, or for other land uses). 9. Mitigate Adverse Impacts Exempting low income housing closely allies with housing policy. Use in Chacabuco may positively affect ostensible policy of controlling urban expansion. Impacts on urban and regional form and efficiency require more study. The effects on attempts to introduce congestion pricing remains to be seen. 7

Fulfillment of Principles in Chacabuco Case Principle Fulfilled? 1. Guidance No 2. Demonstrated Need Yes 3. Links to Exactions Partially 4. Rational Connection Yes 5. Demonstrated Responsibility Partially 6. Clear Benefits Yes 7. Minimal Housing Cost Impact Uncertain 8. Uniformity Uncertain 9. Mitigate Adverse Effects Partially Recommendations for Improvements 1. Over-arching legal guidance required Will also help ensure a uniform approach in future applications. 2. Clarification of relationship to other financial instruments To clarify the difference between impact fees and other user charges and the potential need for credits. 3. Better understanding of the ultimate incidence who will ultimately bear the burden (i.e., the owners of undeveloped land, new or existing residents, landowners)? 4. Consider extending impact fees to non-residential land uses 5. Better assess the effects on other public policy goals and potential integration with other relevant instruments 8

Lessons for Other Developing Countries 1. Administrative capacity and growth management controls perhaps the most important prevailing condition necessary 2. Government concerns with efficiency and fairness Chilean authorities have consistently shown a predisposition towards self-financing of transportation infrastructure and services 3. Attention to unintended and unanticipated consequences i.e., potential to displace growth to other parts of the metropolitan area; the relation of impact fees to other user charges 4. The public finance context Best to deploy impact fees within a clear and transparent public finance framework, in order to better justify the fees, understand their relationship to other charges, and to calculate any credits Final Considerations Impact fee use can precede explicit legal authorization Santiago (like the US case) may not be the best example of viability in developing countries Impact fees most promising for cities with concentrated areas of large-scale new real estate projects, with few alternatives Structuring fees to promote transport-efficient development and/or to finance public transport infrastructure (e.g., dedicated busways) Cannot solve such challenges as housing provision, employment 9

A Demand Side Example: Location Efficient Mortgage Also known as Smart Commute Mortgage Basic Theory: Driving less increases household disposable income Can qualify for better mortgage characteristics (higher mortgage-to-income qualifying ratio) Basically attempt to capitalize on the locationtransport cost trade-off Goals Housing and Community Development Increase income diversity in neighborhoods Increase homeownership Land Use Planning Reduce expansionary pressures (reduce relative costs of infill sites) Increase demand for mix uses Transportation Planning Increase public transport and NMT demand Even in case of self-selection; increase the possibilities of sites to select to (increase supply) 10

Players Mortgage industry Transit agencies and others Community development organizations A Demand Side Example: Location Efficient Mortgage Underlying Analysis VMT and HH auto ownership predicted f (household income, persons/hh, HH density, pedestrian factor, transit access) VMT and HH auto ownership translated into expenses Costs subtracted from a base case 11

Decision Process 1. Household relocating (potentially in the market) 2. Interested in buying (in the market) 3. Attracted to location efficient areas 4. Qualified to buy 5. Interested in LEM Hypothetical Example Item Without LEM With LEM Applicant Income (per month) $2,100 $2,100 Available for down $6,000 $6,000 payment Housing to Income 28% 28% Ratio Limit Transport Savings n.a. $653 (per month) Mortgage Available $76,000 $115,611 12

Major Risks LEM has the effect of reducing the down payment as share of property value Assumes household will Reduce vehicle ownership Reduce transport expenses Testing the Rhetoric Basic hypothesis Location efficiency reduces mortgage risk How to test? Efficient locations should be negatively correlated with mortgage default rates, ceteris paribus Data 8,000 mortgages from 1,000 census tracts in Chicago Analytic Approach Probability of Default = f (Sociodemographic and other controls, location efficient characteristics) Findings Location factors have no influence on default rates Blackman, 2002; Blackman & Krupnick, 2001 13

Interpretations & Implications Possible Explanations Savings not large enough to influence Counter-factual (location inefficient location) is inaccurate VMT and ownership model wrong Or, real estate market already capitalizing financial benefits. i.e., value already captured Implications Might still have other benefits But, must be weighed relative to costs Whither the LEM? Housing Market 14

North Point The Passaic Studio Assignment III 15