SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND COMMUNITIES I PROTOCOLLI GREEN BUILDING PER RIGENERARE IL TESSUTO INDUSTRIALE DI MILANO 1 Chapter Lombardia arch. Gianluca Padula 25.05.2018
LEED + WELL The International WELL Building Institute (IWBI) has joined forces with Green Building Certification Institute (GBCI) to facilitate third- party certification services for WELL Certification The IWBI administers certification under the WELL Building Standard in collaboration with the Green Building Certification institute (GBCI), the same organization that certifies LEED green buildings. GBCI will provide third-party accreditation services through its collaboration with the IWBI. Page 6 WELL CERTIFICATE
? 4 sprawling urbano
5 estratto dal PGT Milano
6 estratto dal PGT Milano
NO LEED 72002 Bodio Center Milano
LEED 82005 Porta Nuova Milano
92018 Porta Nuova Milano
102018 Porta Nuova Milano
LEED (ex-post) 11 2006 City Life Milano
12 2006 City Life Milano
13 market trasfromation
Energy Park WEST Energy Park EAST 14 ENERGY PARK la fase successiva
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* 2016 2017 Q1 2018 NET ABSORPTION 2018 Sq m 200000,0 14 % 150000,0 12 100000,0 50000,0,0 10 8 6 4-50000,0 2-100000,0 0 Net absorption vacancy rate % Source: CBRE Research, Q1 2018; *Net absorption figure for 2015 has been amended. 15
T H E M I L A N OFFICE MARKET Malpensa Airport SSG Orio al Serio Airport Vimercate M3 M5 M2 PERIPHERY Maciachini Bicocca CityLife PN BD Segrate CBD Forlanini M4 Linate Airport CENTRE M1 SEMI- CENTRE Lorenteggio Centro Leoni SDM MILANOFIORI Source: CBRE Research 16
T H E M I L A N OFFICE MARKET SSG Stock Av g. Take-up Vacancy rate Prime rent 356,400 sq m 3,220 sq m 7.6% 200 /sq m/y HINTERLAND Stock * Avg. Take-up * Vacancy rate Prime rent 2,295,501 sq m 28,038 sq m 17.3% 200 /sq m/y PERIPHERY Stock * Avg. Take-up * Vacancy rate Prime rent 2,941,800 sq m 106,100 sq m 18.3% 240 /sq m/y PN BD Stock * Avg. Take-up * Vacancy rate Prime rent 1,226,900 sq m 63,491 sq m 6.0% 500 /sq m/y CBD SEMICENTRE Stock * Avg. Takeup * Vacancy rate Prime rent 2,357,057 sq m 75,130 sq m 7.1% 300 /sq m/y Stock *Avg. Take-up * Vacancy rate Prime rent 1,510,200 sq m 41,800 sq m 5.6% 560 /sq m/y MILANOFIORI Stock * Avg. Take-up * Vacancy rate Prime rent 464,800 sq m 10,421 sq m 4.3% 220 /sq m/y * Yearly Av g. Take-up is calculated on the period 2016-2018. * Vacancy rate: percentage of v acant space calculated on the sub-market s stock. Source: CBRE Research 17 CENTRE Stock * Avg. Take-up * Vacancy rate Prime rent 830,000 sq m 14,117 sq m 10.1% 400 /sq m/y SDM Stock * Avg. Takeup * Vacancy rate Prime rent 465,600 sq m 4,335 sq m 6.5% 200 /sq m/y
Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18,000 Sq m Q3 2005 Q1 2006 Q3 2006 Q1 2007 Q3 2007 Q1 2008 Q3 2008 Q1 2009 Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 Q1 2018,000 Sq m MILAN OFFICE MARKET TAKE-UP, RENTS & VACANCY 400 350 Take-up by sub-markets CBD Centre Hinterland Milanofiori Periphery Porta Nuova BD SDM Semicentre SSG 16% 14% Vacancy rate % 300 12% 250 200 150 100 50 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 5.8% 11.4% Rents CBD 560 Porta 500 Centre 400 Semicentre 300 Periphery 240 Milanofiori 220 Avg. rent 2018 Hinterland 200 SDM 200 Prime rent 2018 SSG 200-30 70 170 270 370 470 570 1.800 1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 Vacancy by quality Euro sqm annum Grade A Grade B+C Source: CBRE Research 18
MILAN OFFICE MARKET RENT CYCLE London City London West End Istanbul Geneva Moscow Warsaw Zurich Dusseldorf Frankfurt Lisbon Madrid Oslo Zagreb Amsterdam Barcelona Berlin Copenhagen Milan Munich Prague Paris Birmingham Brussels Hamburg Helsinki Luxembourg Manchester Rome Stockholm Bucharest Budapest Dublin Edinburgh Rotterdam Vienna Rental Decline Accelerating Rental Decline Slowing Rental Growth Accelerating Rental Grow th Slowing Source: CBRE Research, Q4 2017 19
MILAN LETTING TRANSACTIONS Q1 2018 PERIPHERY + HINTERLAND = 61% Source: CBRE Research 20
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 000 Sq m MILAN OFFICE MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY Pipeline 2018-21 Peak of completions from 2009 to 2012. The largest contribution arriv ed from the dev elopment of Porta Nuova BD. Pipeline 393,143 sq m 350 300 250 All under construction 231,888 sq m 200 150 100 50 Spec. under construction 188,225 sq m 0 Office completions Office under construction Source: CBRE Research 21
Viale Richard 1 GB Two Via Broletto 16 Symbiosis Ed. A+B Via Cordusio 2 - Sorgente Cernaia 8-10 Via Principe Amedeo 5 Via Cesare Cantù/Via Orefici Ex sede Luxottica - Via Orefici Green Gate Palazzo del Credito Italiano Via Ugo Foscolo 2 H&M Broletto 16 Galleria Passarella Cortile della Seta Sq m Viale Liberazione, 16-18 The Corner Torre Libeskind Piazza Gae Aulenti 8 Torre Unipol, P.za Gae Aulenti Via Melchiorre Gioia 22 Via Pola 9 Sede INPS Via Melchiorre Gioia - UTC Symbiosis De Gasperi EST MILAN MAJOR DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Pipeline is still subdued: landlords looking for financing or to agree a pre let before starting construction works. 100,000 2018 2019-20 2020+ 50,000 0 Under Construction Under construction pre let Pipeline Source: CBRE Research 22
MILAN 2018-21 MAJOR OFFICE UNDER CONSTRUCTION VIALE DON LUIGI STURZO 45 25,000 sq m Q4 2021 THE CORNER 19,890 sq m Q2 2019 CITY LIFE TORRE LIBESKIND 33,520 sq m Q4 2019 VIA BONNET 10 16,100 sq m Q1 2020 PIAZZA GAE AULENTI 8 20,000 sq m Q4 2019 VIA DELLA MOSCOVA 33 21,000 sq m Q3 2019 Source: CBRE Research 23
MILAN POTENTIAL PROJECTS TO BE DEVELOPED EXPO AREE FALCK CASCINA MERLATA BOVIS A GRECO BREDA FARINI LAMBRAT E CITY LIFE NEST IDROSCAL O P.TA GENOVA P.TA ROMANA SAN CRISTOFORO SCHIEVANO SYMBIOSIS ROGOREDO CONNECTO Large mixed use regeneration areas Planned Under construction ASSAGO NORD Source: CBRE Research 24
GRAZIE PER L ATTENZIONE GIANLUCA.PADULA@CBRE.COM 25