MonthlyStatistics APRIL 2018

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Transcription:

MonthlyStatistics APRIL 2018

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE May 1, 2018 Sales Holding Steady Amid Rising House Prices NANAIMO, BC Sales of single-family homes in the VIREB area rose by 20 per cent month over month in April but remained static from one year ago. Last month, 476 single-family homes sold on the Multiple Listing Service (MLS ) System compared to 398 in March and 476 one year ago. The number of apartments changing hands in April decreased by six per cent year over year while townhouse sales rose by 26 per cent. VIREB s inventory of single-family homes climbed by eight per cent from March 2018 but decreased by six per cent from one year ago. The supply of apartments dropped in April, down 12 per cent from one year ago, but townhouse inventory rose by 30 per cent. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that housing sales in many B.C. jurisdictions are down compared to last year. Guideline B-20 and uncertainty surrounding new provincial taxes appear to be taking their toll on sales in some markets. Broadening the scope of the Foreign Buyer Tax to include the Regional District of Nanaimo (RDN) should not have a significant impact on the VIREB housing market. Only 4.4 per cent of RDN residential real estate transactions in 2017 involved foreign buyers. More troubling is the new speculation tax, which is supposed to be implemented later this year. The tax will apply to Nanaimo and Lantzville, but it will take a few months to see whether it has a detrimental impact on sales. BCREA also expects the Bank of Canada to increase interest rates in the next couple of months, which introduces another risk factor into the housing market. For now, however, demand is still outpacing supply in the VIREB area, particularly in some price ranges. Properties in the $300,000 to $500,000 range generate multiple offers and sell quickly. However, higher-priced homes are taking longer to sell. Janice Stromar, 2018 Past President, encourages sellers to take advantage of our current market conditions before any economic headwinds weaken demand. Our market has favoured sellers for a long time now, but it won t last forever, says Stromar. However, even in a sellers market, you need to price your home correctly because overpriced homes take longer to sell. In a competitive housing market, using a REALTOR can help streamline the buying and selling process to ensure the best possible outcome while mitigating associated risks, adds Stromar. REALTORS are equipped with sales tools, such as custom analytics, to help buyers prepare winning offers and ensure sellers receive the best price for their home, says Stromar. In April 2018, the benchmark price of a single-family home in the VIREB area reached $499,600, up 18 per cent from one year ago. (Benchmark pricing tracks the value of a typical home in the reported area.) The benchmark price of an apartment last month rose to $305,300, up 25 per cent board-wide from the previous year, while the benchmark price of a townhouse hit $393,200, a 22 per cent increase from April 2017. Last month, the benchmark price of a single-family home in the Campbell River area climbed to $410,000, an increase of 22 per cent over April 2017. In the Comox Valley, the benchmark price reached $487,100, up 17 per cent from last year. Duncan reported a benchmark price of $444,700, an increase of 17 per cent compared to April 2017. Nanaimo s benchmark price rose 16 per cent to $537,800 while the Parksville-Qualicum area saw its benchmark price increase by 18 per cent to $562,800. The cost of a benchmark home in Port Alberni reached $282,000, up 24 per cent from one year ago. - 30 -

ABOUT VIREB VIREB represents over 1,000 REALTOR members in nearly 90 member offices on Vancouver Island (north of Victoria). VIREB cautions that average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate the actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differential between geographic areas. Trademarks are owned or controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA (REALTOR ) and/or the quality of services they provide (MLS ). Visit our website for updated information at www.vireb.com. Contact: Don McClintock, President: 250.748.7200 Kaye Broens, President-Elect: 250.751.1223 Janice Stromar, Past President: 250.758.7653 Darrell Paysen, Manager, Member Services: 250.390.4212 Or, for further localized comments, please contact: Campbell River: Chris Quinn 250.286.1187 Comox Valley: Kevin Reid 250.334.3124 Cowichan Valley: Lovina Miller 250.748.0320 Nanaimo: Janice Stromar 250.758.7653 Kaye Broens 250.751.1223 Parksville-Qualicum: Erica Kavanaugh 250.248.8371 Port Alberni-West Coast: Sandy Rantz 250.591.4601 MLS HPI Media Contact Communications Department Vancouver Island Real Estate Board communications@vireb.com 250.390.4212

Backgrounder About the MLS Home Price Index On November 1 st, VIREB adopted the MLS Home Price Index (MLS HPI) as a new method of reporting price trends in the market. The MLS HPI determines the value for a typical benchmark home, which is a notional dwelling that shares a specific set of qualitative and quantitative attributes. Benchmark prices tend to be slightly lower than corresponding medians and averages The MLS HPI, based on the information entered into the MLS System at the time of sale, is the best and purest way of determining price trends in the housing market. It was pioneered by six founding partners: the real estate boards of Calgary, Fraser Valley, Montreal, Toronto, and Vancouver, and the Canadian Real Estate Association. In 2009, the partners contracted with Altus Group to develop the MLS HPI, which subsequently launched in January 2012. Others have since joined the program, with 10 partners and growing. Why an MLS Home Price Index? The MLS HPI captures and analyzes Canadian home prices based on both quantitative and qualitative housing features. Quantitative features captured by the index are, for example, number of rooms and bathrooms, living area above ground and the age of the home. Qualitative features include finished basement, if the home is new or resale, and the home s proximity to shopping, schools, transportation, hospitals and so on. The MLS HPI gauges Vancouver Island prices relative to January 2005, and tracks price trends for benchmark housing types: Single-family homes o One-storey o Two-storey Townhouses Condominium apartments The complete methodology is available at http://homepriceindex.ca/hpi_resources_en.html Why Does It Matter? Average and median home prices are often misinterpreted, are affected by change in the mix of homes sold, and can swing dramatically from month to month (based on the types and prices of properties that sold in a given month). The MLS HPI overcomes these shortcomings. Compared to all other Canadian home price measures, the MLS HPI identifies turning points sooner, is the most current, and is the most detailed and accurate gauge for Canadian home prices. How to Read the Tables Benchmark Price: Estimated sale price of a benchmark property. Benchmarks represent a typical property in each market. Price Index: Index numbers estimate the percentage change in price on typical and constant quality properties over time. All figures are based on past sales. In January 2005, all indices are set to 100 Month/Year change %: Percentage change of index over a period of (x) month(s) year.

Single-Family Home Benchmark Price

Apartment Benchmark Price

Townhouse Benchmark Price

HPI Data

MLS Sales Summary Copies of archived Statistics are available at our website. Go to www.vireb.com and under Resources in the top menu, choose Market Statistics. You are encouraged to contact any of the Directors of the Vancouver Island Real Estate Board to obtain local comments.

Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 Average, Median, and Benchmark Price (HPI) Comparisons $550,000 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 VIREB Board Area MLS Sales Single Family - Average, Median and Home Price Index Average Sale Price Median HPI Copyright 2018 VIREB $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 VIREB Board Area MLS Sales Condo (Apt) Average, Median and Home Price Index Average Sale Price Median HPI Copyright 2018 VIREB $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 VIREB Board Area MLS Sales Condo (Twnhse) - Average, Median and Home Price Index Average Sale Price Median HPI Copyright 2018 VIREB

Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 Single-Family Active Listings / Listings and Sales 2000 1500 1000 500 0 VIREB Board Area - Single Family Active MLS Listings Active Copyright 2018 VIREB 1000 800 600 400 200 0 VIREB Board Area - Total Single Family New MLS Listings and Sales Listed Sold Copyright 2018 VIREB