ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT. Spring

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Transcription:

ROMANIAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET REPORT Spring - 2017

CONTENTS 5 6 7 9 11 21 22 23 25 28 29 30 31 Foreword Market overview Residential price index to date Price trends across main cities Price trends across neighborhoods Cluj-Napoca Bucharest Timisoara Number of listings - for sale Number of listings - for rent Construction of new dwellings New residential projects Demand for residential properties for sale Time on market in Bucharest Negotiation margin About us

FOREWORD The Romanian real estate market is continuously developing, adapting itself not only to new Romanian living standards but also to the new economic context. Through this report, we want to offer our readers firsthand information about the dynamics of the Romanian real estate market. Therefore, we focus on: National price index Residential projects Price trends in cities & neighborhoods Demand levels Number of listings Time on market New dwellings Negotiation margin 2016 was a tumultuous year, full of unpredicted changes in government and bank policies. We witnessed an increase of bank loans advance up to 40% and a very slow return to a more common rate of 15%, in less than 6 months. This major change, caused by the giving in payment law, was supposed to drop prices by at least 10%. The reality proved that even in these precarious conditions the market demand continued to grow, generating a price increase per sq. m. of 4%, at a national level. Regarding the construction of new dwellings, the area of Bucharest-Ilfov is the only one in Romania that exceeded the level registered in 2008. The rest of the main areas of the country are still way beyond the maximum level in 2008. Dorel Niță Head of Data and Research, Imobiliare.ro Even though the real estate market is rapidly evolving and the prices are rising in an accelerated way, we are still considerably under the levels of 2008. Right now, the market is able to absorb the continued price increase as demand in the main cities is very high, being stimulated by an advantageous bank loans policy and the government s social program, Prima Casa. Adrian Erimescu, CEO Imobiliare.ro 5

MARKET OVERVIEW 1. IT IS A GROWING MARKET FROM A PRICE AND NO. OF TRANSACTIONS POINT OF VIEW The residential market started this year under much better economic conditions compared to 2016, when the beginning of the year was marked by uncertainties regarding the effects of the giving in payment law and the rapid depletion of Government funds for the Prima Casa program. Thus, the existence of a pre-determined threshold for the Prima Casa program, acceptable bank loan advances of 15%-20% for mortgage financing and a varied and better adapted offer to existing market demand are the factors that will determine a positive evolution of the residential market in 2017. Considering the major negative impact that the giving in payment law had on the mortgage segment for several months in 2016, we estimate that this year banks will give more loans, generating an increase in the number of transactions. We estimate that prices for new apartments will register an average increase of 5% to 7% in 2017, depending on local market conditions and demand. This increase is also determined by land prices that are trending higher and constructions costs with materials and labor that are also likely to suffer price increases. 2. IS THE RELATIONSHIP WITH BANKS IMPROVING? In the first quarter of 2017 we observed a major reduction of the effects of the giving in payment law on bank mortgage conditions. Now, almost all financial institutions have reduced the advances required for granting a mortgage, transforming this product into a reliable and attractive alternative to finance the acquisition of new housing. The rapid development of residential construction encouraged financial institutions to reconsider investing in this segment. In the last few months, more and more developers obtained funding for developing residential projects. This is clear evidence that the relationships with banks are improving. 3. DEVELOPERS FACE MAJOR DIFFICULTIES WHEN IT COMES TO AUTHORIZATIONS AND CONSTRUCTION DELIVERIES Coldwell Banker data show that about 1,800 new apartments in Bucharest and surrounding areas have been delivered in 2017 or will be delivered in the near future, although initially announced for completion in 2016. We identified four main reasons for these delays: difficulties in obtaining authorizations; difficulties in making the legal forms of reception of the construction works; difficulties encountered in the labor market; optimistic deadlines originally announced for delivery. 4. THE LAND MARKET AND ITS EFFERVESCENCE After the comeback of commercial and office spaces, the land market started to register a steady and significant demand especially from developers of residential projects side. Even if in the last two years the land market witnessed a significant increase in number of transactions, we still encounter land owners that have unrealistic expectations regarding the sale price, a situation that impedes developers from conceiving viable residential projects. Andrei Sârbu Managing Partner Coldwell Banker 6

RESIDENTIAL PRICE INDEX TO DATE In the past twelve months (ranging from the first quarter of 2016 to the same period of 2017), Romania registered the fastest growth of asking prices since 2008 onwards, amounting to 12.9%. The current value of this particular index (Q1 2017) is 99, having thus almost reached the baseline value of 2010 (100). However, there is still a considerable distance from the highest value of approximately 176 reached by the local market in Q1 2008. For the same time frame, a rising trend, but with a slight dip in the third quarter of 2016 (possibly due to all the changes and uncertainty in the mortgage market), is also shown by the INS (National Statistics Institute) index which takes into account actual selling prices. In Q4 2016, this had reached a level of about 90 (compared to 95 for the asking price index). It is thus clear that, at least for the past year, the growth rate of the asking prices is steeper compared to the selling prices. It is interesting to note that both local indices are at a lower level compared to the House Price Index (HPI) for the European Union. Here, transaction prices have returned to the baseline value since the second part of 2014 and have been slowly rising since, to the current level of almost 108 (Q4 2016). Compared to the Romanian market, the European market is visibly more stable when it comes to price changes, even despite the economic recession. Residential price index (2010=100), quarterly data 180 Romania 160 140 European Union INS 120 100 80 60 40 2004-Q1 2004-Q3 2005-Q1 2005-Q3 2006-Q1 2006-Q3 2007-Q1 2007-Q3 2008-Q1 2008-Q3 2009-Q1 2009-Q3 2010-Q1 2010-Q3 2011-Q1 2011-Q3 2012-Q1 2012-Q3 2013-Q1 2013-Q3 2014-Q1 2014-Q3 2015-Q1 2015-Q3 2016-Q1 2016-Q3 2017-Q1 and Eurostat 7

Quarterly rate of change As can be seen in the graph below, we may conclude that, since 2014, the local market has recovered from the crisis. House values have been on a positive trend in the local market for the past eleven quarters (since Q3 2014, to be exact), at an average rate of 2.4%. Consequently, prices today are at basically the same level as in 2010. 4%. This is actually the second largest increase in the past two and a half years, only being outranked by a 4.2% increase in Q4 2014. It is necessary to note that, although significant, current price growth rates are considerably lower than the spurts registered in 2006-2008, which were generally over 5% per quarter and reached even as high as 16% (Q1 2008) and 13% (Q3 2006). In the first quarter of 2017, Romanian residential property prices have registered a pretty solid growth rate compared to the previous three months, of approximately Quarterly rate of change 20 15 10 5 0-5 -10-15 -20 Average over the last 4 quarters Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 8

PRICE TRENDS ACROSS MAIN CITIES Due to its sustained rising trend in the past years, Cluj-Napoca has managed not just to outrank Bucharest in terms of apartment prices, but also to keep this position for a considerable amount of time (more than a year). Thus, in Q1 2017 the median asking price for an apartment (regardless of its construction time) was 1,260 euros per square meter in Cluj-Napoca, while in Bucharest it had reached 1,200 euros per square meter. However, sellers in the Capital city are giving clear signs of wanting to surpass this difference, as they have raised their expectations the most lately, both in the last quarter (3.4%) and in the past twelve months (13%). On the other hand, price growth in Cluj-Napoca has slowed down to 2.9% (in the last quarter) and to 9.9%, (in the past twelve months). At a current value of 1,040 euros per square meter, Timisoara is the third regional city in Romania where the average listing price surpasses the psychological threshold of 1,000 euros per square meter however, the western city is closely followed by Constanta, where an apartment may be bought for 980 euros per square meter, after a 6.7% increase in the past twelve months. In Brasov and Iasi, average asking prices now stand at 930 and 900 euros per square meter, respectively. Price trends across main cities (apartments) +9.9% +13% +6.1% +6.7% +4.9% +5% +2.9% +3.4% +2% +2.7% +1.8% +2.6% % price change over last 12 months % price change over last 3 months Median price per sq.m. ( ) 1,260 Cluj-Napoca 1,200 Bucharest 1,040 Timisoara 980 Constanta 930 Brasov 900 Iasi 9

Price trends across cities - apartments Among the capital cities of Romanian counties, the largest price increases in the past three months have been registered in Baia Mare (11.4% growth, to 730 euros per square meter), Oradea (+10%, to 780 euros per square meter) and Zalau (+10%, to 550 euros per square meter). On the other hand, in the last quarter there have also been noted decreases of the median asking price, such as is the case of Ramnicu Valcea (-2.7%, to 680 euros per square meter), Alexandria (-1.2%, to 520 euros per square meter) or Vaslui (-0.8%, to 620 euros per square meter). If the highest apartment asking prices may be seen in the largest cities of the country (Bucharest, Cluj-Napoca, Timisoara, Constanta and Brasov), Resita and Giurgiu are the cheapest among the counties' capital cities, with values below 500 euros per square meter (430 and 440 euros per square meter, respectively). However, local sellers' expectations have also been on the rise since the beginning of the year. Largest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Largest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months +2.9% +3.4% +2% +2.7% +1.8% +11.4% +10% +10% +9.3% +8% 1,260 1,200 1,040 980 930 730 780 550 660 600 Cluj-Napoca Bucharest Timisoara Constanta Brasov Baia Mare Oradea Zalau Braila Miercurea-Ciuc Smallest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Smallest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months -2.7% -1.2% -0.8% -0.7% -0.5% +1.6% +3.7% +6% +5.3% -1.2% 680 520 620 640 700 430 440 500 510 520 Ramnicu Valcea Alexandria Vaslui Piatra-Neamt Galati Resita Giurgiu Drobeta Turnu-Severin Sfantu Gheorghe Alexandria 10

PRICE TRENDS ACROSS NEIGHBORHOODS Cluj-Napoca Bucharest Timisoara

Cluj-Napoca / price per sq. m. 1,260 Median price per sq. m. 2.9% % price change over last 3 months 9.9% % price change over last 12 months

Cluj-Napoca apartments In Cluj-Napoca (the most expensive regional city in Romania), the cheapest apartments, even below the 1,000 euros per square meter threshold, may be found in Floresti (a median asking price of 710 euros per square meter) and Baciu (910 euros per square meter). At the opposite end, in the downtown area of the city prices reach a high of 1,440 euros per square meter, while neighborhoods like Plopilor (1,430 euros per square meter) and Gheorgheni Andrei Muresanu (1,380 euros per square meter) follow closely behind. When it comes to price fluctuation in the first quarter of 2017, the largest increases took place in Floresti (+5.8%), Iris (+4.5%) and Grigorescu (+4.4%), while the smallest ones were noted in Someseni (0%), Baciu (+0.8%) and Zorilor (+1.2%). Neighborhoods with the largest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months +3.8% +1.7% +3.9% +1.2% +4.4% 1,440 Central Ultracentral 1,430 Plopilor 1,380 Gheorgheni Andrei Muresanu 1,320 Zorilor 1,320 Grigorescu 13

Neighborhoods with the largest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Neighborhoods with the smallest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Neighborhoods with the smallest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Floresti 710 / +5.8% Iris 1,120 / +4.5% Grigorescu 1,320 / +4.4% Someseni 1,000 / 0% Baciu 910 / +0.8% Zorilor 1,320 / +1.2% Floresti 710 / +5.8% Baciu 910 / +0.8% Someseni 1,000 / 0% Gheorgheni Andrei Muresanu 1,380 / +3.9% Plopilor 1,430 / +1.7% Iris 1,120 / +4.5% Central Ultracentral 1,440 / +3.8% Marasti Intre Lacuri Aurel Vlaicu 1,300 / +2.5% Manastur Borhanci Campului 1,190 / +3.1% 14

Bucharest / price per sq. m. 1,200 Median price per sq. m. 3.4% % price change over last 3 months 13% % price change over last 12 months

Bucharest apartments Compared to the other main cities of the country, the price difference between the cheapest and most expensive neighborhoods is considerably larger in Bucharest, reaching to approximately 1,700 euros per square meter. Thus, while an apartment may be bought for 2,580 euros per square meter in Kiseleff-Aviatorilor, sellers settle for an average of 870 euros per square meter in Ghencea. This difference suggests a larger and more diverse market, which may be an important advantage for buyers. In terms of price dynamics over the last quarter, the largest growths took place in Decebal-Calea Calarasilor (+6.4%), Tei (+6.3%) and Parcul Carol/Cantemir-Marasesti (+5.9%). At the other end, decreases were registered in areas like Herastrau-Nordului (-4%), Dacia-Eminescu (-3.3%) and Iancului-Mihai Bravu (-0.6%). Neighborhoods with the largest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months +4.6% -4% +3.3% +2.2% +3.5% 2,580 Kiseleff Aviatorilor 2,260 Herastrau Nordului 1,930 Dorobanti Floreasca 1,670 Aviatiei 1,630 Unirii 16

Neighborhoods with the largest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Neighborhoods with the smallest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Neighborhoods with the smallest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Decebal Calea Calarasilor 1,560 / +6.4% Herastrau Nordului 2,260 / -4% Ghencea 870 / +3.8% Tei 1,200 / +6.3% Parcul Carol (Cantemir-Marasesti) 1,390 / +5.9% Dacia Eminescu Iancului Mihai Bravu 1,370 1,250 / -3.3% / -0.6% Rahova 880 / +5.7% Giulesti 890 / +0.5% Giurgiului 900 / +1.7% Rahova 880 / +5.7% Stefan Cel Mare 1,350 / +4.9% Ferdinand 1,270 / +0.5% Giulesti 890 / +0.5% Berceni 970 / +2.2% 17

Timisoara / price per sq. m. 1,040 Median price per sq. m. 2% % price change over last 3 months 6.1% % price change over last 12 months

Timisoara apartments Compared to Bucharest and even Cluj-Napoca, the difference between the most expensive and cheapest neighborhoods is much more subdued in Timisoara. Thus, while the lowest median price is about 1,010 euros per square meter (in areas like Sagului, Iosefin, Steaua, Dorobantilor, Mircea cel Batran etc.), the highest apartment values, of approximately 1,350 euros per square meter, may be found in the downtown area of the city (including Medicina and Piata Unirii). In the past quarter, prices have been on the rise in all areas of the city. However, the most significant advance was noted in the downtown area (including Medicina and Piata Unirii), where sellers increased their expectations by 3.8%; growth rates of at least 3% were also registered in neighborhoods like Torontalului, Balcescu, Circumvalatiunii, Take Ionescu, Soarelui, Girocului etc. At the other end, house values in Lipovei and Aradului rose by just 0.7%. Neighborhoods with the largest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months +3.8% +3.6% +3% +3.4% +1.6% +1.5% 1,350 Ultracentral Medicina P-ta Unirii 1,100 Torontalului 1,090 Circumvalatiunii 1,070 Central Balcescu Take Ionescu P-ta Maria 1,070 Complex Studentesc Dacia Elisabetin Olimpia-Stadion 1,060 Braytim 19

Neighborhoods with the largest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Neighborhoods with the smallest price increase per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Neighborhoods with the smallest price per sq. m. Median price & % price change over last 3 months Ultracentral Medicina P-ta Unirii 1,350 / +3.8% Torontalului 1,100 / +3.6% Central Balcescu Take Ionescu P-ta Maria Girocului Soarelui Buziasului 1,070 1,040 / +3.4% Circumvalatiunii 1,090 / +3% Complex Studentesc Dacia Elisabetin Olimpia-Stadion 1,070 / +3% / +1.6% Lipovei Aradului Sagului Dambovita Iosefin Steaua Bucovina Simion Barnutiu Garii Dorobantilor Mircea cel Batran Braytim Girocului Soarelui Buziasului Braytim Complex Studentesc Dacia Elisabetin Olimpia-Stadion 1,040 / +0.7% 1,010 / +1.1% 1,010 / +1.5% 1,060 / +1.5% 1,070 / +1.6% 1,040 / +3% Sagului Dambovita Iosefin Steaua Bucovina Simion Barnutiu Garii Dorobantilor Mircea cel Batran Lipovei Aradului Girocului Soarelui Buziasului 1,010 / +1.1% 1,040 / +0.7% 1,040 / +3% Braytim 1,060 / +1.5% Complex Studentesc Dacia Elisabetin Olimpia-Stadion 1,010 / +1.5% 1,070 / +1.6% 20

NUMBER OF LISTINGS - FOR SALE In the first quarter of 2017, the number of sale listings available on the market reveals a downward trend of the residential supply compared to the same time-frame of 2016. In terms of new entries, the six analyzed major cities of the country registered a 20% overall decline (it is important to note, however, that the number of properties introduced on the market in Q1 2017 exceeds that of the previous three months by almost 27%). The greatest annual decrease in new listings, amounting to 27%, was registered in Constanta, while Bucharest ranks second, with a 22% drop; Iasi, on the other hand, boasts the lowest drop, of approximately 8% Looking at the total number of properties available for sale in Q1 2017, the decreasing annual trend is even sharper, reaching an average of 33%. Constanta is, once again, at the highest end of the scale, with a 37% drop (followed closely by Bucharest, with -35%), while Iasi stands at the opposite end, with a 25% drop. Number of listings for sale across main cities (existing dwellings) 8,000 4,020 2,350 1,910 1,220 920 1,260 1,180 1,140 630 560 580 Bucharest Cluj-Napoca Timisoara Iasi Constanta Brasov % change over last 12 months -22% -35% -13% -29% -20% -32% -8% -25% -27% -37% -20% -31% New listings All listings 21

NUMBER OF LISTINGS - FOR RENT Unlike the sales market, rentals show a significant annual increase (10.4% overall) when it comes to properties put out for sale in the first quarter of 2017. The largest increase (25.3%) took place in Brasov, while the smallest one (6.4%) was noted in Bucharest. In terms of all rental listings available in Q1 2017, supply registered a slight decrease (-0.9%) compared to the same time last year. The direction of the market depends, however, on the city: while in Bucharest, Cluj-Napoca and Timisoara there are now less homes available for rent than in 2016, in Brasov, Iasi and Constanta there are more. Number of listings for rent across main cities (existing dwellings) 9,330 6,920 2,090 1,680 1,570 1,060 1,340 1,210 1,010 730 750 950 Bucharest Cluj-Napoca Timisoara Constanta Iasi Brasov % change over last 12 months +6.4%+ -3.5% +10.2% -0.3% +13% -5.1% +22.9% +2% +18.8% +12.5% +25.3% +12.7% New listings All listings 22

CONSTRUCTION OF NEW DWELLINGS According to data published by the INS (the National Statistics Institute), 52,206 new dwellings were completed across Romania in 2016, which shows an 11% increase compared to the previous year. Official data reveal that more houses were built in urban areas (53.4%) than in rural ones (46.6%). Although the residential construction market has been on a steady rising trend for the past few years, we are still some way off from its 2008 peak, when 64,414 units were delivered nationwide. In relation to this maximum point, the different regions of the country have had a different dynamic over the past two years: while most have yet to grow in order to reach the activity levels of before the crisis, there have also been cases in which the 2008 baseline has been surpassed. In the Bucharest-Ilfov area, for example, 11,082 dwellings were completed in 2015, more than the 10,192 units delivered in 2008. (Although players in the market estimated another increase for 2016, to a total of 12,000-13,000 units, preliminary data from INS show a setback of about 1,000 houses from the previous year, probably due to difficulties in obtaining construction paperwork.) Interestingly, the West area of the country managed to surpass its pre-crisis peak last year, albeit only slightly, by about 100 units. Bucharest - Ilfov Center North West West South West Oltenia South Muntenia South East North East Construction of new dwellings by regions (INS) 10,022 11,082 10,192 6,189 5,654 7,671 8,658 6,167 13,713 4,806 4,112 4,707 2,342 2,400 4,293 5,348 4,969 7,132 5,915 4,936 8,060 8,926 7,664 11,487 2016 2015 2008 Source: INS 23

Construction of new dwellings - nationwide (INS) 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Construction of new dwellings in Q4 2016 (INS) In excess of 15,000 dwellings were delivered in the last quarter of 2016, according to official statistics. Compared to the same time the previous year, a contrasting market trend may be seen in various parts of the country: some regions experienced decreases, while others recorded significant increases. The Bucharest-Ilfov area, for example, took the largest plunge, of about 29%; in light of this sharp decline, it may be conjectured that some of the units (roughly) finalized during this time may not have been officially registered - explaining, at least in part, the area's lower than expected overall result. At the opposite end, the highest rise in terms of completed dwellings (21%) was recorded in the Western region of Romania. Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 11.8% 16.5% 16.5% 9.0% Source: INS 18.0% 4.8% 10.8% 12.6% Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Regions North-East South-East South: Muntenia South-West: Oltenia West North-West Center Bucharest-Ilfov Total Source: INS 2016 Q4 (no. of units) 2,740 1,927 1,654 739 1,365 2,520 1,792 2,512 15,249 % evolution from previous year -16% -3% +8% +11% +21% +20% +12% -29% -4% 24

NEW RESIDENTIAL PROJECTS

CURRENTLY AVAILABLE IN THE MAIN CITIES IASI CLUJ-NAPOCA Apartments Apartments & Houses Houses Residential projects 55 4 1 60 Apartments Apartments & Houses Houses Residential projects 75 2 13 90 TIMISOARA Apartments Apartments & Houses Houses Residential projects 56 2 11 69 BRASOV Apartments Apartments & Houses Houses Residential projects 54 2 19 75 BUCHAREST Apartments Apartments & Houses Houses Residential projects 226 7 44 277 CONSTANTA Apartments Apartments & Houses Houses Residential projects 64 2 5 71 26

Main residential projects Bucharest Project name Sales agent No. of units built until 2017 No. of units to be built in 2017 No. of units in the offer in 2017 No. of units sold 2015 2016 2017 Forecast Average price per net sq. m. ( ) Cosmopolis Coldwell-Banker Mosilor 2,400 500 540 444 470 540 1,050 Belvedere Residences Coldwell-Banker Mosilor 0 238 600 0 85 370 1,380 BROWN RESIDENCE (Metalurgiei Park) SudRezidential.ro 500 500 500 200 300 500 900 Estic Park Coldwell Banker Unirii 124 103 207-20 150 992 Greenfield Greenfield 1,600 - - 374 450-1,070 Politehnica Park Coldwell-Banker Mosilor 218 216 90 0 344 90 1,175 TOP HOUSE RESIDENCE (Metalurgiei Park) SudRezidential.ro 600 600 600 300 300 600 900 VIVA RESIDENCE (Metalurgiei Park) SudRezidential.ro 600 600 600 300 300 600 900 VIVA RESIDENCE (Metalurgiei Park) SudRezidential.ro 1,700 1,550 1,550 0 1,500 1,550 900 Gran Via Park Imoteca 289 299 336 0 252 336 1,250 Valletta Residence Imoteca 94 88 153 0 29 124 1,150 27

DEMAND FOR RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES FOR SALE With 60% of potential buyers interested in newly built dwellings, Q1 2017 data show that demand for residential properties is on the rise an obvious contrast to the supply trend shows that demand tends to take the lead in today's market. In the six largest cities of Romania, interest for buying homes has increased by an overall 36% compared to the previous three months. The largest jump (57%) may be seen in Iasi, while Bucharest stands at the other end of the scale, with a 31% advance. Compared to the first quarter of 2016, we notice the same rising trend, although at a slower pace, reaching a 16% average annual change. The only exception is Cluj-Napoca, where demand has dropped by 7% in the past twelve months. The most significant growth (38%) was recorded in Brasov and the smallest one (13%) in Bucharest. Demand for residential properties for sale in Q1 2017 98,900 20,300 18,300 14,600 14,000 12,400 Demand in Q1 2017 Bucharest Timisoara Constanta Brasov Cluj-Napoca Iasi +13% +27% +29% +38% -7% +31% % price change over last 12 months % price change over last 3 months +31% +43% +41% +42% +37% +57% 28

TIME ON MARKET IN BUCHAREST In Q1 2017, the average time an apartment spent on the Bucharest market (before being sold) reached an average of 98 days - compared to an average of 209 days for a house. Both of these figures show an increase compared to the same time the previous year, when it took about 83 days for an apartment to be sold, while a house needed 174 days. Since the beginning of 2014, the time for concluding an apartment sale has remained, despite seasonal changes, between roughly the same margins; when it comes to houses, however, a steadily increasing trend may be noted, from 105 days in Q1 2014 to the current value of over 200 days. As a result, the time required to sell a house is now more than double that required for an apartment, while in Q1 2014 it stood at a 64% difference. As for the best time to sell a residential property, in terms of sales speed, that would be the second quarter of the year; in the first quarter, on the other hand, buyers are more reluctant to make transactions, although actively looking for information this is usually a good time for property price adjustment, when needed. Time on market in Bucharest - average no. of days 250 200 150 100 50 0 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Apartments Houses 29

NEGOTIATION MARGIN In terms of actual selling prices, statistics show a (relatively) tight negotiation margin agreed upon by the two parties. In all the analyzed major cities of the country, this parameter now stands below the 4% threshold, ranking the highest in Cluj-Napoca (a 3.8% average) and the lowest in Timisoara (1.6%). These figures indicate that the distance between owners' and buyers' financial expectations is pretty close at the present time, which would allow for a "normal" functioning of the market. Negotiation margin for apartments for sale +3.8% +3.5% +3.5% +2.9% +2.2% +1.6% Cluj-Napoca Brasov Bucuresti Constanta Iasi Timisoara 30

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