RETAIL MARKET REPORT Northwest Arkansas 4th Quarter 2016
Table of Contents/ Methodology of Tracked Set Xceligent is a leading provider of verified commercial real estate information which assists real estate professionals, appraisers, owners, investors and developers that make strategic decisions to lease, sell, buy and develop commercial properties. Table of Contents/Methodology of Tracked Set 2 Retail Market Map 3 Northwest Arkansas Retail Overview 4-5 Statistics by Submarket 6 Vacancy Rates & Asking Rents 7-8 Leasing & Absorption 9 New Construction 10 Retail Advisory Board Members 11 Xceligent Northwest Arkansas Team 12 The Northwest Arkansas tracked set consists of an inventory of buildings considered to be competitive within the brokerage community. All buildings within the competitive tracked set have been reviewed and verified by members of the Advisory Boards for each market area. Tracked Inventory The total square feet of all existing single and multi tenant retail properties greater than 10,000 (sf). Total Available (sf) Total Vacant (sf) All of the available leasable space within a building, whether it is occupied or vacant, for direct lease or sublease space. Space can be available but not vacant, for example, if the landlord, or his agent, is marketing space that will be coming available at a future date because a tenant is planning to move. The total of all the vacant square footage within a building, including both direct and sublease space. Direct Vacant (sf) Sublease (sf) Net Absorption The total of the vacant square footage in a building that is being marketed by an agent representing the landlord. Space that is offered for lease by a current tenant, or his agent, within a property. Whether the tenant is paying rent or not, the space is considered vacant only if it is unoccupied. The net change in physically occupied space from quarter to quarter, expressed in square feet. Weighted Average Rents The weighted average of all direct asking lease rents expressed weighted on total direct available square feet. 2
Retail Market Map 3
Northwest Arkansas Retail Overview Overview The Northwest Arkansas retail market closed 2016 with a vacancy rate of 4.7%. Despite Ashley Furniture vacating 46,162 square feet (sf) on Thompson Street, the market closed 2016 with 167,100 sf of positive net absorption. Asking rents remain steady at $12.77 per sf NNN, up $0.42 since 1Q 2016. With vacancy rates below 5.0%, asking rates are expected to trend upward in 2017. With just over 221,000 sf delivered over the past year, including Pleasant Crossing Commons Phase 1 and College Marketplace, new construction has diminished to 16,100 sf for the market. Of the new construction, only 11,100 sf is available for lease. The West Springdale submarket ended 2016 with the largest year-to-date net absorption at 64,103 sf, followed by Lowell at 58,556 sf, both of which are new deliveries. # of Bldgs Inventory (sf) Total Available (sf) Total Vacant (sf) Total Vacancy Rate (%) Total Quarterly Net Absorption (sf) YTD Total Net Absorption (sf) Conv/Strip Ctr 210 3,324,568 325,305 265,675 8.0% 16,134 32,546 General 127 2,398,018 55,837 55,837 2.3% -9,600 30,235 Neighborhood Ctr 32 1,589,837 130,770 114,370 7.2% 574 79,418 Community Ctr 18 2,214,807 76,888 76,888 3.5% 19,950 13,517 Regional Ctr 7 2,255,273 124,229 119,539 5.3% -16,386-31,954 Power Center 23 2,805,964 46,762 46,162 1.6% 2,338 43,338 Overall 417 14,588,467 759,791 678,471 4.7% 13,010 167,100 # of Bldgs Inventory (sf) Sum of Direct Available SF Direct Vacant (sf) Direct Vacancy Rate (%) Direct Quarterly Net Absorption (sf) YTD Direct Net Absorption (sf) Conv/Strip Ctr 210 3,324,568 325,305 265,675 8.0% 16,134 32,546 General 127 2,398,018 55,837 55,837 2.3% -9,600 21,235 Neighborhood Ctr 32 1,589,837 123,284 106,884 6.7% 574 79,418 Community Ctr 18 2,214,807 76,888 76,888 3.5% 19,950 13,517 Regional Ctr 7 2,255,273 124,229 119,539 5.3% -16,386-31,954 Power Center 23 2,805,964 46,162 46,162 1.6% 2,338 43,338 Overall 417 14,588,467 751,705 670,985 4.6% 13,010 158,100 # of Bldgs Inventory (sf) Available Sublease (sf) Sublease Vacant (sf) Sublease Vacancy Rate (%) Sublease Quarterly Absorption (sf) YTD Sublease Net Absorption (sf) Conv/Strip Ctr 210 3,324,568 - - - - - General 127 2,398,018 - - - - 9,000 Neighborhood Ctr 32 1,589,837 - - - - - Community Ctr 18 2,214,807 - - - - - Regional Ctr 7 2,255,273 - - - - - Power Center 23 2,805,964 600 - - - - Overall 417 14,588,467 600 - - - 9,000 4
Northwest Arkansas Retail Overview Historical Vacancy Rate & Net Absorption Absorption Vacancy 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Historical Vacancy Rates by Use Conv/Strip Ctr General Neighborhood Ctr Community Ctr Regional Ctr Power Center 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 70,000 50,000 30,000 10,000-10,000-30,000-50,000 Historical Net Absorption by Use Conv/Strip Ctr General Neighborhood Ctr Community Ctr Regional Ctr Power Center 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 5
Statistics by Submarket # of Bldgs Inventory (sf) Total Vacant (sf) Sublease Vacant (sf) Vacancy Rate (%) Total Quarterly Absorption YTD Total Net Absorption (sf) Bentonville 51 1,295,777 78,378-6.0% 15,418 26,562 Bentonville CBD 7 131,001 8,469-6.5% - -2,919 Fayetteville 129 5,510,022 259,506-4.7% -10,504 44,367 Fayetteville CBD 12 173,173 - - - - - Lowell 20 697,797 9,550-1.4% 48,500 58,556 Rogers 88 3,816,445 187,322-4.9% -21,527 4,620 East Springdale 78 1,781,863 104,689-5.9% -39,927-29,389 West Springdale 18 885,287 30,557-3.5% 21,050 64,103 Springdale CBD 5 118,708 - - - - - Outlying Benton County 8 169,394 - - - - 1,200 Outlying Washington County 1 9,000 - - - - - Overall 417 14,588,467 678,471-4.7% 13,010 167,100 6
Vacancy Rates & Asking Rents Vacancy Rate % Weighted Asking Rates (NNN) 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 Bentonville 6.3% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% $18.55 $17.52 $17.42 $15.95 $15.80 Bentonville CBD 4.2% 5.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% $7.08 $7.08 $7.08 $7.08 $7.08 Fayetteville 4.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% $10.79 $11.03 $13.33 $12.83 $12.94 Fayetteville CBD - - - - - - - - - - Lowell 3.0% 3.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% $11.04 $11.04 $12.81 $12.81 $12.81 Rogers 3.9% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% $12.36 $12.43 $12.30 $15.75 $15.14 East Springdale 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 3.6% 5.9% $9.11 $9.24 $7.94 $8.24 $8.23 West Springdale 6.4% 6.1% 5.8% 5.8% 3.5% $12.53 $12.19 $12.19 $12.11 $13.32 Springdale CBD - - - - - - - - - - Outlying Benton County 0.7% - - - - $17.00 $17.00 - - - Outlying Washington County - - - - - - - - - - Overall 4.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.3% 4.7% $12.35 $12.30 $12.33 $12.75 $12.77 7
Vacancy Rates & Asking Rates 6.0% 4.7% Vacancy Rate by Market 5.9% 4.9% 3.5% 6.5% 1.4% Bentonville Fayetteville Lowell Rogers East Springdale West Springdale Bentonville CBD Weighted Average Asking Rent by Market (NNN) $13.32 $12.81 $15.80 $12.94 $15.14 $8.23 $7.08 West Springdale Lowell Bentonville Fayetteville Rogers East Springdale Bentonville CBD $40.00 $30.00 $20.00 $10.00 $- Asking Rent Range by Type (NNN) $30.00 $22.00 $16.00 $18.50 $14.79 $10.58 $12.72 $13.28 $8.00 $5.40 $9.00 $8.00 $9.00 $7.00 $6.00 Conv/Strip Ctr General Neighborhood Ctr Community Ctr Power Center 8
Leasing & Absorption Property Name Occupied or Vacated (sf) Largest Absorption Changes Tenant Name Market Specific Use Pleasant Crossing Ross; Carpet One; Lux Nails; Famous 48,500 Commons Phase 1 Footware; Pet Supplies Lowell Power Center Ozark Center Point Place 17,750 Fitness for Less; Boy Scouts Of America; Victory Church West Springdale Community Ctr Pinnacle Hills Plaza -19,160 Glowgolf; Famous Footwear Rogers Regional Ctr 3932-3948 S Thompson St -46,162 Ashley Furniture East Springdale Power Center Top Transactions Property Name Sale Price Sold (sf) Buyer Seller Market Specific Use Harp's $8,820,000 61,385 Shoppes at Har Ber LLC et al NWA Holdings LLC West Springdale Freestanding Collier Drug Stores $2,250,000 9,634 DSR Properties LLC David Furr Arkansas Properties LLC Fayetteville Freestanding Greenwich Centre $1,800,000 16,190 Casa Americana Inc Best Choice Holdings LLC Outlying Benton Convenience /Strip Center Fountain Square $1,500,000 24,600 Retrop LLC The Fountain Square Incorporated Rogers Convenience /Strip Center 9
New Construction Construction by Quarter 140,000 123,770 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 62,000 40,000 35,873 29,100 20,000 16,100-4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 10
Retail Advisory Board Members Northwest Arkansas Colliers Flake & Kelley CBRE Mathias Properties Sage Partners NAI Capstone Alan Cole Jordan Jeter Clinton Bennett Brad Cochran TJ Lefler Randy Crossno 11
Xceligent Northwest Arkansas Team This information has been obtained from sources believed reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to independently confirm its accuracy. For more information, please contact : Dannelle Allen Director of Analytics (660) 723-4595 Dallen@xceligent.com Jeff Hays Sales Executive (417) 576-0266 Jhays@xceligent.com Greg Hayden Regional VP of Sales Central Region (816) 303-2833 Ghayden@xceligent.com Brad Hauser Regional VP of Analytics Western Region (281) 782-3944 Bhauser@xceligent.com 12