Housing the World: London, Toronto, and Amsterdam. Isabel Monteleone Research Analyst, Bay Area Council Economic Institute

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Transcription:

Housing the World: London, Toronto, and Amsterdam Isabel Monteleone Research Analyst, Bay Area Council Economic Institute January 2019

The Bay Area is a global economic success model. If it were a country, the Bay Area would be the 18th largest economy in the world, with a GDP of $837.544 billion. Source: BEA, IMF Data Mapper World Economic Outlook (April 2018) Analysis: Bay Area Council Economic Institute

The Bay Area has built fewer homes per 1,000-person increase in population than other peer regions Ratio of Housing Units Permitted Per 1,000-Person Increase in Population,2003 2017 Boston Population Growth: 390,632 Units Permitted: 173,989 445 Seattle Population Growth: 741,213 Units Permitted: 302,606 408 New York Population Growth: 1,717,766 Units Permitted: 694,056 404 Atlanta Population Growth: 1,355,480 Units Permitted: 533,266 393 Houston Population Growth: 1,906,028 Units Permitted: 741,172 389 Austin Population Growth: 766,536 Units Permitted: 272,545 356 Denver Population Growth: 648,471 Units Permitted: 224,794 347 Bay Area Population Growth: 794,015 Units Permitted: 247,813 312 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits Survey and U.S. Census Bureau Metropolitan and Micropolitan Data Analysis: Bay Area Council Economic Institute

The Bay Area s percentages of housing-cost-burdened households are exceeded only by LA and New York metro Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey Analysis: Bay Area Council Economic Institute

These global cities all of which are growing economies like the Bay Area demonstrate housing similarities and differences that the Bay Area can learn from London Amsterdam Toronto

London, England 1.5+ million new jobs in the last two decades Median rent for one bedroom in Westminster: 1842 Stock of planning permissions has grown faster than its housing completions

London, England Cont. In 2017, London completed its highest number of builds since 1977 Recent strategy under Mayor to diversify who builds and where 250 million Land Fund to buy and build more affordable housing

Toronto, Canada Fastest growing tech jobs market in North America for 2017 Resale price of home jumped by 80% (2013-2017) Average rent in 2017 (CAD 2,020) increased by 15% from 2016

Toronto, Canada Cont. CAD $10 billion plan by the Creative Housing Society to create 50,000 affordable units in Toronto and Vancouver in 10 years Prime Minister Trudeau s CAD $40 billion National Housing Strategy Tax breaks, reduced fees, and faster approval times to incentivize developers to build affordable housing Private sector and developers taking the lead on homelessness issue

Amsterdam, Netherlands Average household in the Netherlands spent 1/3 of income on housing (2015) Rising prices due to lack of available homes Shortage: country needs 700,000 more homes by 2025

Amsterdam, Netherlands Cont. Commitment to permanent supportive housing Highly inclusive housing model Dutch law: illegal for landlords to evict tenants Innovative architecture

Creative solutions to a housing shortage: IJburg

Takeaways and Moving Forward Highly desirable areas = more expensive Successful economies = high housing costs Increased involvement at the regional/state level is needed CASA Compact