COULD THE LONG WAIT FOR SUCCESS BE OVER?

Similar documents
HCMC MARKET INSIGHTS Q2/2013

VIETNAM ECONOMY Q ECONOMIC OVERVIEW. Presented by: Dung Duong (Ms.) July 8, 2013 Q2/2012 Q1/2013 Q2/2013

Da Nang City MarketView

Vietnam Property Market Overview 2016

CBRE HCMC Office Services 2010 Tenants Evening Part I:

REPORT ON PROJECT STATUS AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRESS IN Respectfully submitted to: THE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS

P R E S S R E L E A S E

SUPPLY, DEMAND & PIPELINE PROJECTS

QUARTERLY REPORTS FOR HCMC & HANOI. Market Insights from CBRE s HCMC Quarterly Report Q4 2010

MARCH 2014 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT HO CHI MINH CITY. CBD MARKET Report.

Serviced Apartment Overview

VINGROUP NEWSLETTER. 17 November. Investor & Analyst Update

Hanoi Quarterly Report

Hanoi Quarterly Report

HANOI. Economics Quick Stats. Hot Topics. Hanoi s GDP (%) Hanoi s CPI (%) HANOI

CBRE VIETNAM, HCMC MARKET OVERVIEW Q4/2013 PRESENTED BY: GREG OHAN, DIRECTOR, VIETNAM

HANOI. Economics Quick Stats. Hot Topics. Real GDP Growth Rate & GDP per Capita in Vietnam & Hanoi

Quarterly Market Briefing Vietnam Q4/2016

growth in September slowed down to 0.82% m-o- m. The GDP increased by 5.76% y-o-y in first 9 months.

THE PINNACLE OF CLASS

Ho Chi Minh City MarketView

3Q2018 EARNINGS CALL. November 08 th, 2018

3Q 2017 ANALYST BRIEFING

inflationary control policy. Inflation in Q1/2011 stood at 12.8% y-o-y, or 2.2% m-o-m rter, with State Bank raising both its discount

Q MARKET INSIGHTS OFFICE SECTOR HANOI

OCTOBER 2014 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT HO CHI MINH CITY CBD MARKET REPORT.

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE - TIME TO RECALIBRATE Presented by: Marc Townsend Managing Director, CBRE Vietnam 2 nd July, 2015

HCMC Quarterly Report Q4/2012 Review and 2013 Outlook

ANALYST MEETING Results Presentation February 14 th, 2019

EZLAND PRESENTATION AFFORDABLE HOUSING MARKET OVERVIEWS JANUARY 2016

Research Report April Vietnam Property Market Brief Q

HANOI. Economics Quick Stats. Hot Topics. Hanoi s CPI (%)

NOVEMBER 2014 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT HO CHI MINH CITY. CBD MARKET Report.

AUGUST 2014 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT HO CHI MINH CITY CBD MARKET REPORT.

VINGROUP NEWSLETTER. 17 August. Investor & Analyst Update

DA NANG CITY. Economics Quick Stats. Hot Topics. Real GDP Growth Rate & GDP per Capita Da Nang

HANOI 9M GDP 7.9% SLUGGISH GDP GROWTH AS FEARS OF INFLATION RESURFACE INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION SHOWING CONTINUED GROWTH

VIETNAM RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT 4Q Accelerating success

THE PINNACLE OF CLASS

Quarterly Market Briefing Viet Nam Q3/2017

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET

APRIL 2014 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT HO CHI MINH CITY CBD MARKET REPORT.

HANOI Q3 GDP 7.9% y-o-y. VNINDEX 17.7% y-o-y IMPROVING LEGISLATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE PROVIDES FURTHER IMPETUS FOR GROWTH.

Market Research. Presented to VINCOM JSC. FINAL REPORT March 25, 2012

Your satisfaction is our happiness.

REPORT ON PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION IN 2011

DECEMBER 2015 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT CBD MONTHLY MARKET REPORT

JULY 2014 HCMC CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT HO CHI MINH CITY CBD MARKET REPORT.

Quarterly Market Briefing HCMC, Vietnam Q4/2016

DA NANG. Economics Quick Stats. Hot Topics. Trade Balance of Da Nang City

CBRE Vietnam Q HCMC Tenants Evening

RETAIL: INCREASED RENT BUT DECREASED OCCUPANCY

Press Release DANANG REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT. 16 March I. COMMERCIAL Soft performance of hotel market 1. RETAIL

Although total registered FDI slightly decreased -1% YoY, disbursed FDI in 2018 increased 9% to over US$19 billion.

TRADING PLACES. Presented by: Mr Richard Leech Executive Director CB Richard Ellis Vietnam August 11th, 2010

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE REPORT Q1/2018

REAL ESTATE Highlights

Fearless Forecast Do not let a good crisis go to waste

REAL ESTATE Highlights

TAN VIET TIN (TVT) CONSTRUCTION CO., LTD. PROJECTS PRESENTATION

Market Briefing Vientiane, Laos Q4/2016

ITAXA Building, M Level, 126 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai St., District 3, HO CHI MINH CITY, VIET NAM

LEADVISORS TOWER. Render Images Area Schedule Specifications Floor Plan PHAM VAN DONG, BAC TU LIEM, HANOI. Exclusive Leasing Agent

Tan Hung Investment Joint Stock Co.,

GDP exceeded the 2017 target and at 6.8% achieved the highest growth in five years. GDP per capita was US$2,385 and increased 10% year on year (YoY).

Consultancy and Feasibility Reports

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Q3/2013 Key Economic Indicators. Presented by: Ngoc Le (Ms.) Thursday, 3rd October, 2013

VinaLand Limited. Update July 2015

urrent difficult economic condition and the sustainable development remain key economic tasks in Export turnover reached US$96.

Ho Chi Minh City trip report: The opportunity lies in building homes. Aug 2016

2Q 2014 VIETNAM OVERVIEW VIETNAM KNOWLEDGE REPORT. The Vista, District 2, HCMC.

4, , CONSULTANCIES PROPERTIES 655,646 DEALS CLOSED WORTH M 2 MILLION MILLION US$ US$ OFFICE COMMERCIAL SPACE QUARTERLY REPORTS

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE THE INVESTMENT WAVE FROM JAPAN

Keppel Land Limited 1H2004 Results 28 July 2004 Presentation Highlights Financial Results Operations Review Market Outlook Going Forward

VIETNAM REAL ESTATE REPORT Q1/2018

ASIA PACIFIC OFFICE OVERVIEW April - June 2017

LIMITS TO GROWTH From Formosa to West Lake. 5-Oct-16: Hanoi s air pollution reaches hazardous level rank 2 nd in the world

Quarterly Market Briefing Da Nang, Vietnam Q4/2016

HO CHI MINH QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT. Q Accelerating success

ORGANIZATION STRUCTURE

Construction Investment Cools In Lead Up To General Election

Although total registered FDI slightly decreased -1% YoY, disbursed FDI in 2018 increased 9% to over US$19 billion.

The Making of an ASEAN Real Estate Community and Moulding its Future

Office Snapshot Q1 2016

HVK Co., Ltd Posco E&C Viet Nam: Chắc nền tảng tài chính. Vững kinh nghiệm lâu bền.

REAL ESTATE Highlights

Property. Mashreq. Economic Overview. Wealth Gauge.

CBRE MARKET INSIGHT - Q th September, 2015

vietnam quarterly KNOWLEDGE report

NOVALAND GROUP - OUTPERFORM (NVL: HSX - Real Estate)

REAL ESTATE Highlights

UDIA WA PROPERTY MARKET STATISTICS

UDIA WA DEVELOPMENT JUNE 2018

VinaLand Limited. David Blackhall Deputy Managing Director. VinaLand Investor Update US/ Europe/ Japan 31 Oct 9 Nov 2011

REAL ESTATE Highlights

INLAND EMPIRE REGIONAL INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Time for Retail to Take Stock

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 2018/H1. YoY Growth Rate

APAC REALTY REPORTS NET PROFIT OF S$24.2 MILLION IN FY2018

State of the Nation s Housing 2008: A Preview

Transcription:

THE SLOW ROAD BACK Presented by: Marc Townsend, Managing Director, CBRE Vietnam Park Hyatt Saigon, HCMC 1 July, July 213 COULD THE LONG WAIT FOR SUCCESS BE OVER? Andy Murray ended Britain's 77 year wait for a men's Wimbledon champion British and Irish Lions ended barren 16 years with a crushing victory How much longer for the Vietnamese real estate market? 2 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

RECOVERY IS JUST AROUND THE CORNER 3 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK THE ECONOMY THE ECONOMY MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION

1H 213 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Gold and Bank Deposits Become Less Attractive sell price (VND million) Local gold 5 2, 46 1,8 42 1,6 38 1,4 34 1,2 3 1, 9/211 12/211 3/212 6/212 9/212 12/212 3/213 6/213 Source: SJC Glob al gold price (US$) Global gold price: decreases 24% YTD. Local gold price: reached its bottom in June (down 22%) and currently down 19% YTD Deposit rates: 8bps reduction LOCAL GOLD GLOBAL GOLD over the last 18 months. CPI (y-o-y, Vietnam) Rediscounting Rate Refinancing Rate CPI (m-o-m, Vietnam) CPI (% y-o-y) / In nterest rates (%) 25 Inflation surged 4 2 Monetary expansion 3 15 2 1 1 5 Monetary contraction Inflation controlled -1 Dec-1 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Source: State Bank of Vietnam CPI (% m-o-m) 5 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK 1H 213 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Stock Market Recovers, Real Estate to Come Back into Focus? Source: Bloomberg Regional stock markets, y-o-y return as of July 9, 213: Thailand (SET) up 23.1%; Singapore (SGX) up 19.9%; Indonesia (JCI) up 12.8%; Vietnam (VNINDEX) peaked at 528 points in June, up 26%, but dropped back to 24%. REAL ESTATE INDEX 2Y 1Y 6M 3M 1M Current Real Estate Holding & Development Listed Companies (66) Real Estate Services Listed Companies (2) 55.5 44.8 39.5 41.9 42.2 45.4 84.4 25 23.8 25.3 22.3 26.1 Source: Stockbiz Soc 6 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

GOVERNMENT POLICIES Support on the Way Fiscal Policies - Tax Cut (from July 213) Expansion Monetary Policies (as June 27) For social housing: Corporate tax rate: 1%; VAT: cut from 1% to 5%. Personal income tax: Level of deduction: increased to VND9 million/month from VND4 million/month. Level of deduction for each dependent: increased to VND3.6/month from VND1.6 million/month for one dependent. Boost domestic consumption and production Devaluation of the dong 1% versus the U Dollar (to VND21,36) The interest-rate ceilings on short-term dong-denominated bank deposits: lowered to 7.% from 7.5% The ceiling on dollar deposits: For institutional depositors: fall to.25% from 1.% For individual dua depositors: s fall to 1.25% from 2.%. Improve trade balance Reduce banks' funding costs => Lend at lower rates Encourage people to transfer USD for VND Bolster foreign-exchange reserves 7 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK GOVERNMENT POLICIES VAMC come back next year 8 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

SOME PEOPLE ARE STILL SPENDING Car Sales Volume Recovers Vietnam Car Sales Volume 6, Registration fee reduced from 1% - 2% to 1% - 15% in April. 4,.6.2 2, -.2 - Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 28 29 21 211 212 212 No. of cars selling % change YoY -.6 GM and Ford accounted 18% of total personal car sales in 5M/213 Source: VAMA 9 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK SOME ARE STILL BUILDING Steady Construction Progress at Some Major Development Sites Liberty Central Riverside C.T Leman Plaza MB Sunny Tower New Pearl Vietcombank Tower Him Lam Riversideid 1 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

THOUGH LESS THAN AT THE END OF 212 According to BCI Asia.. All Future Projects Ba Ria - HCMC Hanoi Da Nang Can Tho Khanh Hoa (213-222) Vung Tau Hai Phong Office 269 529 74 43 15 36 2 Retail 124 284 39 5 5 3 6 Hospitality &SA 45 68 38 9 47 22 11 Residential 383 556 191 18 26 49 19 Total 821 1437 342 75 93 137 56 % Change compared to end of 212-12% -6% % % -9% 3% 3% Projects Under Construction HCMC Hanoi Da Nang Can Tho Khanh Hoa Ba Ria - Vung Tau Hai Phong Office 131 153 16 16 6 11 9 Retail 52 64 3 3 1 7 4 Hospitality &SA 2 16 12 2 7 5 2 Residential 144 149 25 3 4 1 3 Total 347 382 56 24 18 33 18 % Change compared to end of 212-14% -13% -11% 71% -22% -11% 13% Source: www.bciasia.com; CBRE, 4 July 213 11 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HOWEVER, INFRASTRUCTURE MOVING AT PACE Metro Line 1, Metro Line 2, Saigon Bridge 2, Flyover Metro Line No. 1 is making good progress 12 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

METRO LINE NO. 1 IS TAKING SHAPE Infrastructure Development Will Increase Property Values The Vista Thao Dien Pearl Imperia An Phu Future projects Existing projects Metro line 1 The Estella Cantavil Premier 13 RESIDENTIAL MARKET HEATING UP M t station Metro t ti Source: CBRE CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

REGIONAL LUXURY CONDOMINIUM Prices in HCMC Rank Second after Bangkok Condominium Selling Price (US$/sm) US$/sm 6, 5, Bangkok, 5,157 4, 3, Ho Chi Minh, 3,838 Hanoi, 2,596 2, Yangon, 1,611 1, Phnom Penh, 1,47 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 Q1 213 Source: CBRE Research Bangkok Ho Chi Minh Hanoi Phnom Penh Yangon * HCMC s CBD Luxury projects: The Lancaster, Sailing Tower, Avalon, Saigon Luxury Apartment, Leman CT Plaza. (Except: Vincom Center B) ** Hanoi Luxury projects: Pacific Place, Vincom Park Place, Golden Westlake, Landmark 72 (Keangnam Landmark), Indochina Plaza Hanoi, Hoang Thanh Tower, D Palais de Louis 15 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK GOVERNMENT POLICIES Resolution 2/NQ A Push For Real Estate 3 trillion loan scheme for residential real estate: Unit size: < 7 sm each Price: < VND15 million psm The interest rate will be capped at 6% per annum for 1 years. Khang Gia Tan Huong (Tan Phu District) - 289 units - the first project in HCMC to benefit from the loan scheme Address apparent demand issues by providing mortgages to buyers Encourages developers to focus on the mass market 16 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

HCMC RESIDENTIAL MARKET Unsold Stock Improved 18, 16, 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, thanks to flexible payment terms plus incentives Q2 212 Q1 213 Q2 213 due to some New New launches Unsold inventory Paused/On-hold/Distressed projects converted to social housings or changed to other components Source: CBRE 17 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HIGH-END HAS BECOME MIDDLE-CLASS HOUSING While affordable is now truly affordable Units Sold by Segment, Q1/213 Units Sold by Segment, Q2/213 Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable 3% 3% 42% Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable % 43% 4% Affordable units continued to be the most-sought after. 26% Units Sold by Quarter 2, Sold U nits 1, Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 17% $2,5 $2, $1,5 $1, $5 $ (US$/m2) Average pprice ( More units sold in high- end segment y-o-y thanks to more attractive payment terms plus incentives. Source: CBRE 211 212 213 18 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

HCMC RESIDENTIAL MARKET Prices Tropic Garden District 2 388 units Current asking price: $1,1-$1,3/sm Good payment terms: hand-over when 5% paid, the rest payable with % interest rate in 3 years Improved payment schedules for purchasers, with reduced interest rates on a temporary basis increase d sales Xi Riverview Palace District 2 258 units Current asking price: $2,2-$2,5/sm High discount: 18% if 98% payable The Estella District 2 719 units Current asking price: $1,6-$1,8/sm Good payment terms: hand-over when 5% paid, the rest payable with % interest rate in 2 years Imperia An Phu District 2 Him Lam Riverside District 7 314 units Current asking gp price: $1,357 - $1,457/sm Good payment terms: 5% hand-over, the rest payable in 2 years with % Happy Valley District 7 541 units Current asking price: $1,5 - $1,7 /sm Longest payment schedule (3 months) in PMH NUA Free parking 7 units Current asking price: $1,5-$1,8/sm Excellent payment terms: hand-over when 1%-3% paid, the rest payable with % interest rate Free parking Furniture package Gym free for 1 year Sunrise City (North) District 7 554 units Current asking price: $1,119 - $1,428/sm Smaller unit size, lower price than P1, Good payment terms (54 months) Source: CBRE Central towers 19 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK MORE DEVELOPER CONFIDENCE More launches coupled with more advertising activities nit Number of U Units Launched by Year Some 2, 15, 1, 5, Annual launch Q2 launch 28 29 21 211 212 213 delayed projects were resumed and introduced to the market: PetroVietnam Landmark (D2), New Pearl (D3), Central Plaza (Tan Binh). Others starting to prepare for construction or launch. New launches increased by 51.% q-o-q and 234.5% y-o-y y. Source: CBRE Residential Projects Advertised, HCMC, 213 t No of Project 3 25 2 15 1 5 March April May June MTD July Tracked on: Tuoi Tre; Mua & Ban; Tap chi Bat Dong San (Property Magazine); Thanh Nien; Nhip Cau Dau Tu; Doanh nhan Sai Gon; Saigon Times Daily; Vietnam Investment Review; Vietnam News. 2 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

HCMC RESIDENTIAL MARKET New Launches 1H/213 The Prince Residence Phu Nhuan District 277 units by Novaland @$2 $2, -$2,6/sm Happy Valley (P1+P2) District 7, 429 units Phu My Hung Corp. @ $1,5/sm Metro Apartment (Screc II) District 2, 14 units by Saigon Corp. & Hung Thinh Land @ $811/sm Nhat Lan 3 Binh Tan District 24 units by BCCI @ $571 - $619/sm Ehome 3 P2 Binh Tan District 161 units by Nam Long @ $794/sm Sunrise City (North) District 7, 182 units (total 554) by Novaland @$1119 $1,119 - $1,428/sm Dragon Hill Residence & Suite* Nha Be District, ~15 units by Phu Long RE Corp. @$1 $1,19 19 - $1,286/sm Homyland 2 District 2, 425 units by Bao Son Co., Ltd. @ $761 - $881/sm Dream Home* Go Vap District, 518 units by Dream Home Co., Ltd. @ $567/sm * Soft launch 21 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK THE REST OF THE MARKET THE REST OF THE MARKET STILL TURNING

VIETNAM BECOMING REGIONALLY ATTRACTIVE Yangon is seriously overpriced Office Rent (US$/sm/month) USD/sm 9 8 Yangon (Grade B), 83 7 6 5 4 Hanoi (Grade A), 33 3 Ho Chi Minh (Grade A), 31 2 Bangkok (Grade A), 27 Phnom Penh (Grade B and C), 1 21 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 Q1 213 Bangkok (Grade A) Ho Chi Minh (Grade A) Hanoi (Grade A) Phnom Penh (Grade B and C) Yangon (Grade B) Source: CBRE Research 23 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HCMC OFFICE Highlights 85 office leases signed in 6 months by HCMC Office market performance Grade A&B 1,, CBRE Vietnam, up 2% on 212. 8, Healthy absorption as market sentiment 6, improves and Average Grade A office rents rise.5% q-o-q. Oversupply a 4, misconception! 2, $25. $23. $21. $19. $17. Major occupiers FLIGHT TO QUALITY in 1H 213 and CONSOLIDATION taking advantage of available opportunities in new buildings. Local banking sector emerging as the largest occupiers of prime District 1 office buildings. 1% 24% New office buildings showing strong commitment, while major delayed projects have seen no movement. CBRE 13% $15. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 211 212 213 Leased Area Vacant Area Asking Rent Tenant breakdown 1H/213 (based on CBRE deals) 13% 8% Finance 16% Source: CBRE 16% Pharmaceutical Others Technology Manufacturing Retail Legal 89.5 % 1.5 % 24 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK Local Foreign

HCMC OFFICE Oversupply is beginning to disappear Number of successful deals during the first half of 213 done by CBRE Vietnam went up 2% on 212. CBRE Office Vacancy Spaces NLA (sm) Office net absorption (Grade A &B) NLA (sm) Grade A Grade B 4% 3% 2% 1% % Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 211 212 213 Source: CBRE 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, - Grade B Grade A Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 211 212 213 25 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HCMC OFFICE President Place - LEED Office building achieved noticeable performance Key facts More than 75% of total space occupied after 3 months of official opening with the remaining 25% under offer 1% of Tenants are multinational organisations, with 66% of committed occupiers technology based clients Key tenants: Canon Diageo Vietnam Limited Microsoft Vietnam LLC Schindler Vietnam President Place Developer Address Total GFA Sapphire Vietnam 93 Nguyen Du, D1 11,475 sm A pioneering office development becoming Ho Chi Minh City's first LEED Gold accredited office building. Point of difference is key Note: Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) consists of a suite of rating systems for the design, construction and operation of high performance green buildings, homes and neighborhoods. 26 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

HCMC OFFICE Limited supply from prolonged planning/under construction projects HCMC Office Supply Forecast (Grade A & B), GFA sm 213 to 215 Completed - Q1/213 Existing Space - GFA (sm) 2,, Limited supply New Space Come Online 18,24sm, 8 quarters 1,5, 1,, 5, Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 213 214 215 Source: CBRE To be completed - Q3/213 27 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK RETAIL RENTS Regional Comparison Retail Rent (US$/sm/month) 14 12 Bangkok, 117 US$/sm 1 8 6 Ho Chi Minh, 17 Hanoi, 12 Siam Paragon, Bangkok 4 Phnom Penh, 4 2 Yangon, 21 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 Q1 213 Bangkok k Ho Chi Minh Hanoi Phnom Penh Yangon Vincom Center A (Eden A), HCMC Source: CBRE Research 28 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

ASIAN RETAIL Retailer Expansion: Asia is Not Easy but Still THE Strategy Top Cities for New Retailer Entries, 212 Asia Pacific will continue to drive global retail growth in 213. Slower economic growth poses significant obstacles for retailers planning to expand. 213 5 th store opening Source: CBRE Global Research & Consulting 29 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HCMC RETAIL Taxation and Infrastructure Create Cost Burdens Restricting Both Retailers & Consumers Net absorption (NLA, sm) Net Absorption (sm) Vacancy Rate (%) 6, 23% 4, 17% 2, 11% 21 211 212 213 5% -2, -1% -4, -7% Source: CBRE 3 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

HCMC RETAIL Busy High-street Leasing The retail market is still driven by high-street leasing due to ready availability. Retail is constrained by infrastructure, mass public transport that generates foot traffic. CBRE Number of shop houses for lease 1H/212 2H/212 1H/213 Hai Ba Trung 1 8 1 Mac Thi Buoi 4 1 2 Le Loi 3 4 4 Nguyen Trai 7 5 8 Cao Thang 3 2 2 Vo Van Tan 3 6 5 31 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HOTEL Regional Comparison Hotel ADR (US$) 3 S$) ADR (US 25 2 15 1 5 Yangon, 235 Phnom Penh, 15 Ho Chi Minh, 135* Bangkok, 18 Hanoi, 13 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 Q1 213 Bangkok Ho Chi Minh Hanoi Phnom Penh Yangon Source: CBRE Research 32 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

HOTEL Flurry of Construction Activity at Significant Projects LIBERTY CENTRAL RIVERSIDE 17 Ton Duc Thang, D1 No. of rooms: 17 Completion: Q4/213 SAIGON HOTEL 41 47 Dong Du, D1 No. of rooms: 1 Completion: 214 PULLMAN 148 Tran Hung Dao, D1 No. of rooms: 35 Completion: 214 SENLA BOUTIQUE HOTEL 111 Hai Ba Trung, D1 No. of rooms: 6 Completion: 214 33 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK HOTEL 1H 213 an enjoyable season for budget hotels Budget hotels are still a favourable choice for tourist arrivals the city given the spending power of tourists. Budget hotels within the CBD, particularly 2-3 star hotels around Ben Thanh Market, enjoyed a very good season with average occupancy rate around 8%. International tourist arrivals to HCMC in 1H 213: 2 million, up 5% y-o-y. No. of 3-star hotels 1H/213 212 Ly Tu Trong 1 8 Le Thanh Ton 9 6 Thi Sach 8 6 Le Anh Xuan 3 2 34 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

CAPITAL MARKETS THAW Vietnam reappears on the radar As forecast earlier in the year, Vietnam has seen transactional activity pick up. Deal velocity has increased in the first half, but with investment t enquiries i to CBRE up 2 3% in the first half, notable capital still remains unserviced on the side lines. CBRE 35 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK FOREIGN INVESTORS REVIEW STRATEGY Greater Clarity Needed for Investors Sourcing Deals With capital remaining on the Capital Placement: Evolution 25-213 sidelines, fundamental and basic changes are still necessary to further increase deal flow. Investors, across Asia, are favouring a more direct form of investment, where visibility of deals is key. CBRE FOREIGN INVESTOR FUND ENTITIES REAL ESTATE FOREIGN INVESTOR CLUB DEALS REAL ESTATE 36 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

DOMESTIC PLAYERS NEED TO FORGET 25 Quite simply - It is called Investment, not Charity Foreign investors are not here VALUATION to make you rich! The big four questions still remain without a realistic and honest approach to these, foreigners will look elsewhere. TRANSPARENCY STRUCTURING TRACK RECORD 37 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK CBRE S FORECASTS - 2H 213 From our Crystal Ball After several years of hurt, Vietnam shows opportunity and return.; (Unfortunately, where ever there is a winner, there will always be a loser) Residential Real Estate again becomes attractive to Vietnamese investors as other alternatives ti (gold, stock market, deposit accounts) offer limited it returns; By the 214 Fearless Forecast the residential market will have passed the bottom As Andy Murray will testify, a win does not come easily; Those already committed to Vietnam, still have many battles to survive; Particularly for residential developers, flexibility will still be the key for success buyers still need to be nurtured; 38 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK

CBRE S FORECASTS 2H 213 A Few More Thoughts. The next round of interest cuts proves to be one of the most decisive in improving residential purchaser sentiment; Middle-class housing projects, such as those seen on the Hanoi Highway in District 2, will see over 5% of the lights switched on by year end; Grade A office rents finish the year unchanged or slightly up as vacancy drops below 1% and new options on the horizon look slim; High street corners to become further dominated by foreign brands looking to expand their foot print; Investment deal flows continues to be at heightened levels as in the first half; However, many foreign investors still fly out of Vietnam without their wallets having been opened; Vietnam upgraded from completely toxic to just toxic; however further upgrades expected later this year. 39 CBRE BIG BREAKFAST 213 THE SLOW ROAD BACK CBRE QUARTERLY REPORT Available now with new pricing options, longer historical data and more in-depth analysis. quarterlyreports@cbrevietnam.com For more information regarding this presentation please contact: MARC TOWNSEND Managing Director T +84 8 3824 6125 F +84 8 3823 8418 Email: marc.townsend@cbre.com