Brad O Connor, Ph.D. Chief Economist FloridaRealtors

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2 Brad O Connor, Ph.D. Chief Economist FloridaRealtors brado@floridarealtors.org

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7 Overall, statewide sales growth has been stagnant since Q4 of 2015

8 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

9 State of Florida Q % Q % Q % Q % Q % Q % Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

10 Overall, statewide sales growth has been stagnant since Q4 of 2015 This trend is not uniform across the state Single family home markets south of the I-4 Corridor have generally experienced negative sales growth Sales in North and Central Florida single family home market have generally risen

11 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

12 Overall, statewide sales growth has been stagnant since Q4 of 2015 This trend is not uniform across the state This trend is not uniform across sale price tiers

13 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

14 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

15 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

16 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

17 Overall, statewide inventories of active listings have not changed much since the outset of 2013

18 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

19 Overall, statewide inventories of active listings have not changed much since the outset of 2013 This trend is not uniform across sale price tiers Inventories of existing homes selling for $200K and up are *rising* Inventories of existing homes selling for less than $200K are *plummeting*

20 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

21 Overall, statewide inventories of active listings have not changed much since the outset of 2013 This trend is not uniform across sale price tiers This trend is not uniform across the state in part due to local differences in stocks of homes from different price tiers

22 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

23 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

24 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

25 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

26 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

27 Only part of this decline is due to rising home values

28 Rising home values Florida is running out of distressed properties

29 Active Listings: Non-Distressed Distressed Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

30 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by CoreLogic

31 Closed Sales: Non-Distressed Distressed Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

32 Continued high year-over-year growth in Median Sale Prices each month Double-digit percentage growth remains the norm in many single family home markets Home values are rising, but not at the pace indicated by this Median Sale Price growth and to understand why, we first need to evaluate the recent trends in sales and inventory

33 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

34 State of Florida Q % Q % Q % Q % Q % Q % Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

35 State of Florida Q % Q % Q % Q % Q % Q % Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

36 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by Florida s multiple listing services

37 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by the Fla. Dept. of Revenue, Florida s county property appraisers, and Florida s MLSs

38 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by the U.S. Bureau of the Census

39 Metro Area Pct. Growth U.S. Rank The Villages + 4.3% 1 Cape Coral-Fort Myers + 3.3% 3 Punta Gorda + 2.8% 9 North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton + 2.7% 11 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford + 2.6% 13 Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island + 2.6% 14 Lakeland-Winter Haven + 2.3% 21 Port St. Lucie + 2.3% 22 Sebastian-Vero Beach + 2.2% 29 Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach + 2.1% 30 Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville + 2.0% 36 Jacksonville + 2.0% 37 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater + 2.0% 40 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by the U.S. Bureau of the Census

40 Metro Area Pct. Growth U.S. Rank Cape Coral-Fort Myers + 3.3% 2 North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton + 2.7% 5 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford + 2.6% 6 Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island + 2.6% 7 Lakeland-Winter Haven + 2.3% 12 Port St. Lucie + 2.3% 13 Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach + 2.1% 17 Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville + 2.0% 21 Jacksonville + 2.0% 22 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater + 2.0% 24 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by the U.S. Bureau of the Census

41 Produced by Florida Realtors Research with data provided by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

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