STAMFORD STAMFORD. Overview. Map. Summary of Last Twelve Months vs. Historical Minimum, Maximum, and Average
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1 PPR undamentals STAMORD Overview Map Putnam Middlesex airfield NEW HAVEN Westchester STAMORD BRIDGEPORT Summary of Last Twelve Months vs. Historical Minimum, Maximum, and Average 95 Map Layers County PPR Markets U.S. Cities State Capital Major Cities Secondary Cities Miles 21 Property & Portfolio Research Apartment Office Retail Warehouse Hotel Current Vacancy* Net New Supply (S)** (S)** 9.% 1, % 9.7% , ,343 85:2 96:1 94:4 87:4 95:1 87:4 14.9% 873-1, % 21.6% ,61-1,163 4,223 82:1 9:4 94:2 89:1 2:1 87:4 11.6% % 19.8% 318 1, ,532 87:1 82:2 84:3 97:4 91:1 83:4 12.3% % 14.1% -87 1, ,263 84:2 9:2 94:4 87:4 89:4 87:4 62.3% % 55.3% -45 2, ,1 1:1 91:2 95:2 86:3 2:1 1:1 *Occupancy for Hotels **Apartment and Hotel data are in units. 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
2 STAMORD PPR undamentals Analysis/Economy Notable Economic and Real Estate Market Events ECON Local employment continues to hold up slightly better than the national average, falling.9% during the 12 months ending in June, and conditions have begun to show signs of stabilizing. Manufacturing remains the source of the majority of recent job losses, although declines in the local sector are significantly slower than those nationally on a percentage basis. More than 3,8 manufacturing jobs were lost during the year ending in June and declines have continued with a recent announcement by Bridgeport Machines that it is shutting down and laying off its 225 employees. Losses in the retail sector have also been substantial (2,9 jobs), and with Ames closing its doors this year, losses should continue to rise. Wal-Mart recently received 3, applications for 25 3 jobs at a store it is opening in Waterbury. Not unlike most metro areas in the northeast, weak demographic trends will limit economic expansion over the forecast. APT The metro s economic woes and weak demand growth have pushed vacancies to 9%, but vacancies have likely reached their peak this cycle. Construction levels pale in comparison to those of the late 198s, but have been relatively substantial for this market, which saw virtually no activity through most of the last decade. AvalonBay recently completed a redevelopment project in the city of Stamford. The project is a 368-unit high-rise called Avalon Bedford. The REIT is also active on new projects, with its 323-unit Avalon on Stamford Harbor and 14- unit Avalon New Canaan set to complete this year. Archstone-Smith has also been an active developer here and has a 244-unit project in the pipeline. Development has been quieter around. AvalonBay was met with stiff local opposition when it proposed a 284-unit project in Milford. Even as the local economy recovers, weak demographics are expected to limit the market s recovery over the forecast. O While holding below their historical average, office vacancies have risen in recent quarters to near 15% levels. Conditions appear to be leveling off despite American Express s decision earlier this year to return to Manhattan, and new demand is beginning to crop up. Andor Capital recently picked up nearly 15, S of sublease space from Crompton Corp. at One American Lane in Greenwich, and Marsh & McLennan has leased 91, S at the speculative 256, S 61 Merrit 7 Corporate Park in Norwalk (although the firm will vacate a smaller block of space in the CBD). The lack of construction in this market has prevented a more severe downturn, particularly as companies such as American Skandia, Crompton Corp., and Hyperion Solutions have put space back on the market. Construction is expected to remain limited over the forecast. Proposals for two 5, S+ projects in the CBD have yet to come to fruition and future development is likely to consist of smaller properties such as the 275, S office component of Strand/BRC s proposed Admiral s Wharf Development. RET Slower job growth and weaker consumer confidence has pushed economic vacancies steadily higher since 2. Current conditions have loosened fundamentals despite the metro s above-average incomes and relatively restrained development. Big-box construction has been steady here in recent quarters, but while some retailers such as Kohl s,, and Wal-Mart will continue to expand, others such as Home Depot appear to be taking a respite. IKEA is reportedly interested in building a store at the proposed site of the now cancelled Galleria at Long Wharf. The recent announcement that Ames is closing its doors (including 22 stores in Connecticut) will push physical vacancies higher. WHS The impact of the changing economic climate has been relatively mild on the local warehouse market. Construction has been minimal and demand is driven by local users. Tenant activity has centered on Bridgeport and. United Technologies leased 128, S of industrial space in Bridgeport, while H&M has taken 13, S of distribution space in northern. On the down side, Bindley Western is vacating 158, S in Orange and SureSource is vacating space in Trumbull for a new facility it plans to build in Shelton. HOT Hotel occupancies continue to tumble lower in response to weak demand. Developers have focused on smaller limited-service product such as the 128-room Marriott Courtyard and the 16-room Spring Hill Suites, which both recently completed in Danbury. Demographic Trends Annual Growth Rates 22* Category Market U.S. Market U.S. Market U.S. Market U.S. Population 1, ,644.4% 1.%.4% 1...9% Households ,955.8% 1.3%.5% 1.3%.4% 1.1% Median Household Income $61,965 $44, % 4.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.4% 3.4% Apartment-Renting Households 21 36,52.3% 1.7%.%.5%.7% 1. Real Retail Sales Per Capita $5,42 $4, % 1.5% 1.% 1.8% 1.3% 1.5% Employment Trends 22* Annual Growth Rates Location SIC Category Employment Quotient Market U.S. Market U.S. Market U.S. Total Services % 2.6% 3.7% % Business Services % 6.6% 5.5% % 3.1% Other Services % 3.8% 1.8% 3.% 2.% 2.5% Retail Trade %.5% 2.%.9% 1.6% Government % 1.6% 1.7% 1.3%.1%.7% Manufacturing % -.6% -2.3% -.6%.1% -.3%.I.R.E % % 1.5% 2.6%.9% Wholesale Trade 4.9.6% 1.3% -1.% 1.4% 1.% 1. Trans., Comm., Util % 1.1%.5% 2.%.6% 1.% Construction % 1.4% 2.9% 4..6%.6% Mining % -6.% % -2.4% -1. Total Employment % 1.9%.8% 2.% % Office-Using Employment % 3.% % % Trucking/Warehouse Employment % 1.5% -1.% 1.7%.5% 1. *All units (except for dollar denominated figures) in thousands. Current Economic Indicators Employment Labor orce Unemployment Employment Net Migration () Cost Indices (U.S. = 1) Growth 6/2 Growth 6/2 Rate 6/2 Volatility Ratio 21 Business Living -.9% -.4% 3.7% Sources: PPR; Economy.com 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y & P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
3 STAMORD Supply, Demand, and Vacancy Demand & Supply (Units) 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, -1, Apartment Market Statistics (Units) Vacancy Rate PPR undamentals Apartment 24 Percentage Vacant Apt. Vacancy 9.1% 8.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.5% 9.% 8.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.1% Apt. 49 1,726 1,44 1, % 1.8% 1.4% 1.3%.3%..8%.5%.7%.9% Multifamily 1,126 2, % 85.5% -67.7% 35.8% % -7.7% 3.3% -3.9% 38.6% Net Apt. Completions -11 1,183 1, , Apt. Inventory 17,335 18,518 19,812 11, ,86 112,72 113, , , ,759 -.% 1.1% 1..9% 1.%.8%.5%.4%.4%.5% Apt. Rent Index % -.6%.3% 1.5% 1.1% % 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% PPR/Dodge Pipeline Summary Current Activity (Units) Multifamily by Subclass 2,5 Change in Rent vs. Change in Rent 3% Bidding inal Pre- Deferred Abandoned 5 1, 1,5 2, 2,5 3, Apartments Townhouse/Condo Low Income Unclassified (Units) % 68% 3 % % 2, 1,5 1, % 1% 1% % -1% -1% - Sources: PPR; McGraw-Hill Construction - Dodge; National Real Estate Index 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C All Rights Reserved.
4 STAMORD Supply, Demand, and Vacancy Demand & Supply (S) 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, -1, Vacancy Rate PPR undamentals Office Percentage Vacant , Office Market Statistics (S) Vacancy % 11.8% 11.5% 14.3% 15.1% 13.8% 12.5% % 1,252 1, , ,299 1, % 2.6% 1.5% 1.1% -1.9%.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.1%.6% 56 1, ,413 1, % 192.3% -43.3% 68.6% -24.8% -43.7% -8.1% % 14.5% Inventory 59,299 59,631 6,35 6,515 61,262 62,79 62,654 63,183 63,645 64,115.8%.6%.7%.8% %.9%.8%.7%.7% Rent Index % 3.3% 7.4% 4.1% -.3% -2.9% -.1% 3.1% 1.9%.9% PPR/Dodge Pipeline Summary Bidding inal Pre- Deferred Abandoned Current Activity (S) 5 1, 1,5 2, 2,5 3, Low Rise Mid Rise High Rise Office R&D Unclassified Office by Subclass (S) % 92 78% % - % - % 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, Change in Rent vs. Change in Rent 8% 6% 4% % - -4% Sources: PPR; McGraw-Hill Construction - Dodge; National Real Estate Index 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
5 STAMORD Supply, Demand, and Vacancy PPR undamentals Retail Demand & Supply (S) 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, , Retail Market Statistics (S) Vacancy Rate Percentage Vacant Vacancy Inventory % 13.1% 9.8% 8.9% 1.9% 11.6% 1.7% 1.9% 713 1,82 2,484 1, % 4.1% 5.5% %.6% 1.9%.8% 983 1, , % 1.7% -27.4% 57.8% -22.9% % 4.6% 1,638 1, ,832 52,319 53,12 53,815 54,6 55,382 55,878 56, % 1.6% % 1.6% % 5.7% ,191 58,34 3.3% 2.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4%.9% 1.% 1.3% 1.5% Rent Index % 1.4% 2.7% 3.6% 1.9% -1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2. PPR/Dodge Pipeline Summary Retail Current Activity by Subclass Change in Rent vs. (S) Change in Rent 1,4 4% Bidding inal Pre- reestanding Stores Deferred Neighborhood Center Community Center Abandoned Regional Super Regional Outlet Unclassified Sources: PPR; McGraw-Hill Construction - Dodge; National Real Estate Index 5 1, 1,5 2, 2,5 3, 3,5 (S) % % 33 4% - % - % - % 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved % 7 1,2 1, % 1% % -1% -
6 STAMORD Supply, Demand, and Vacancy PPR undamentals Warehouse Demand & Supply (S) 1,4 1,2 1, Warehouse Market Statistics (S) Vacancy Rate Percentage Vacant Vacancy 1.7% 1.3% % 12.4% 11.3% 1.8% 11.% % 3.3% 2.7% 1.7% -.5%.% 1.9% 1..9%.8% % -43.% % 22.4% -51.5% -28.5% 41.9% % Inventory 21,632 22,238 22,821 23,21 23,427 23,681 23,829 23,984 24,237 24, % 2.8% 2.6% 1.7%.9% 1.1%.6%.6% 1.1% 1.1% Rent Index % -1.9% -1.6%.3%.8% -.8%.1% 1.7% 1.1%.9% PPR/Dodge Pipeline Summary Bidding inal Pre- Deferred Abandoned Current Activity (S) Distribution Warehouse/lex Light Industrial Unclassified Warehouse by Subclass (S) % 16 21% - % % 1, Change in Rent vs. Change in Rent 1% 1% % -1% -1% % , 1,2 1,4 1,6 1, Sources: PPR; McGraw-Hill Construction - Dodge; National Real Estate Index 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
7 PPR undamentals STAMORD Hotel Supply, Demand, and Occupancy Demand & Supply (Rooms) 1,2 1, Occupancy Rate Percentage Occupied Hotel Market Statistics (Rooms) Occupancy 66.9% 65.8% 65.7% 67.5% 63.4% 62.% 63.8% 65.8% 66.3% 66.9% , % -.% 5.7% 8.3% -4.7% -.4% 3.7% 3.8% 1.8% 2.1% , % 44.6% 7.5% -65.5% -52.5% 26.3% -39.8% 61.6% 14.4% 6.5% ,9 1, Inventory 16,998 17,29 18,299 19,31 19,576 19,962 2,99 2,211 2,413 2, % 5.8% 5.5% 1.4% 2.%.7%.6% 1.% 1. Room Rate Index % 9.6% % -3.1% -.1% 1.8% 3.9% 4.4% 5.% RevPar Index % 5.6% 3.3% 8.% -1.7%. 6.7% 5.6% 5.3% 5.9% PPR/Dodge Pipeline Summary Current Activity Change in Room Rate vs. (Rooms) Change in Room Rate 1,4 1 Bidding 1,2 1% inal Pre- Deferred Abandoned 1, % 6% 4% % - -4% Sources: PPR; McGraw-Hill Construction - Dodge; Smith Travel Research 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y & P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
8 PPR undamentals STAMORD Single amily Housing Single amily Multifamily 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, Single amily Market Single amily 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Change in Home Price 3% 25% 15% 1% 5% % -5% % Sources: PPR; Economy.com Single amily Market Statistics ,112 3,461 3,499 3,2 2,731 3,77 2,92 2,977 2,772 2,83 4.4% % -13.7% -9.6% 12.7% -5.1% 2.% -6.9% 1.1% Completions 3,97 3,258 3,646 2,992 2,881 3,8 2,885 3,7 2,819 2,798 Apartment Market Statistics Multifamily 1,126 2, % 85.5% -67.7% 35.8% % -7.7% 3.3% -3.9% 38.6% Apartment Completions -11 1,183 1, , Sources: PPR; McGraw-Hill Construction - Dodge 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
9 PPR UNDAMENTALS STAMORD PPR undamentals Apartment Projects Projects Title Address Units Stage 'Signature Place' Residential -Retail (3 Bldgs Units) Tresser Blvd & Greyrock Place, Stamford 932 Deferred airfield Start Completion Avalon on Stamford Harbor Stamford 323 1/ 12/2 Stamford our Winds Residential Community Mountain View Dr, Shelton 316 Planned airfield Avalon Community at River View Plaza Belden Avenue, Norwalk 314 Planned Norwalk Greyrock Towers (Avalon Greyrock) 36 Completed 6/2 Stamford Avalon Community (Milford) Int. of Wolf Harbor and Wheelers arms Rds., Milford 284 Planned Bridgeport Archstone Washington Boulevard Washington Boulevard, Mill River Corridor 244 Planned 4/2 Stamford Jefferson at Milford Apartment Complex (24 units) Woodmont Rd and Brooklawn Rd, Milford 24 Planned Archstone Stamford Bedford, North, and Summer Streets 16 Completed 6/ 12/1 Stamford Park Square West Residential/Retail Development Ph I 143 Completed 12/1 Stamford 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
10 PPR UNDAMENTALS STAMORD PPR undamentals Office Projects Projects Title Acorn Technology Campus Address S () Stage Start Completion 6 Derby Ave, Rte. 34 nr Maltby Lakes), West Haven 1,143 Planned 4/2 9/3 Bridgeport Landing - mixed use project Steel Point, Bridgeport Waterfront 1, Planned Bridgeport Biotech Office Park 38 Mather St, Hamden 732 Cancelled The Towers at Merritt River Office Complex 25 & 35 Glover Ave, Norwalk 639 Planned 5/2 airfield 425 Atlantic 425 Atlantic St. (int. of Atlantic and Tresser Blvd.), Stamford CBD 58 Planned Stamford CBD Connecticut Place Richmond Hill Ave, Stamford CBD 574 Deferred Stamford CBD CuraGen Corp Building (New) E Main St, Branford 437 Proposed 2 Westport Road Wilton, Wilton 335 Completed 3/ 12/1 Tenants: News America, Louis Dreyfus South Central Merrit 7 Corporate Park - Bldg 61 Norwalk 256 Completed 6/2 Norwalk Constitution Square Office Building (Waterview Dr) Waterview Dr (north side, Shelton 231 Planned airfield 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
11 PPR UNDAMENTALS STAMORD Projects PPR undamentals Retail Projects Title Address S () Stage Start Completion Galleria at Long Wharf Downtown 1,3 Cancelled Tenants: Nordstrom, ilenes, Macy's L&T Wal-Mart Store # Connecticut Ave, Norwalk 2 Planned airfield Downtown Retail Complex Broad Street 2 Planned Stamford CBD Wal-Mart Store # Dixwell, Waterbury 142 5/2 Stamford CT Shop Rite Supermarket & Retail Stores Commerce Rd & Laddin Rock Rd, Stamford 136 Deferred Sw airfield Costco Retail Store (Norwalk CT) Richards Ave / Connecticut Ave, Norwalk 133 Planned airfield Wal-Mart Store #2585 JNT 15 Barnum Avenue Cutoff, Stratford 13 Completed 8/1 3/2 airfield (Bethel CT) Store (new) Sky Edge Drive, Bethel 127 Cancelled airfield Wal-Mart Store # Newtown Rd, Danbury 126 Planned 7/2 airfield Dept Store 25 Boston Post Rd, Orange 125 Planned 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
12 PPR UNDAMENTALS STAMORD Projects PPR undamentals Warehouse Projects Title Address S () Stage Start Completion Waterview Corporate Park 675 Waterview Ave, Bridgeport 25 Planned airfield Office, Manufacturing & Warehouse acility NEGOTIATED 1475 State St, Bridgeport 2 Deferred airfield Pond Ledge Park Ph II 837 Main St, Monroe 2 Proposed airfield Orchard Research Park (MASTER REPORT) 688 E Main St, Branford 1 Planned Warehouse/Industrial Building (E Washington Ave) 867 E Washington Ave, Bridgeport 76 Planned airfield Warehouse (Addition) 13 Scott Rd, Waterbury 6 Proposed Pepsi Sales & Distribution Center (Stratford CT) 355 Benton St, Stratford 46 Proposed airfield 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
13 PPR UNDAMENTALS STAMORD Projects PPR undamentals Hotel Projects Title Address Rooms Stage Start Completion Hotel/Apartments (New) off Ann St, Norwalk 35 Proposed airfield Hilton Residential Suites/Pool (149 Units)(NEGOTIATED) Hawley Road, Stratford 149 Deferred airfield Staybridge Suites Hotel (Pool)(NEGOTIATED) 695 Main St, Stratford 135 Completed 2/1 2/2 airfield Marriott Courtyard/Pool (125 Units) 17 Eagle Rd, Danbury 125 Completed 5/1 6/2 airfield Extended Stay Hotel (Milford CT) Schoolhouse Road, Milford 122 Deferred Wallingford CT Spring Hill Suites-Pool NEGOTIATED 18 Leigus Rd, Wallingford 114 Deferred Spring Hill Suites/Pool (Design/Build)(NEGOTIATED) 4 Old Ridgebury Road, Danbury 16 Completed 9/1 6/2 airfield Hotel & Conference Center (Phase 1) Bee St, Meriden 88 AmeriSuites Hotel (Milford CT) (New) 19 Old Gate Ln, Milford 86 Country Inn & Suites (Madison CT) New Rd, Madison 83 Cancelled 2Q22 PPR undamentals 22 by P R O P E R T Y P O R T O L I O R E S E A R C H, L L C. All Rights Reserved.
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