Ian Perry and Your Housing Group
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1 Ian B Perry
2 Ian Perry and Your Housing Group
3 Ian B Perry CEO Harvest Housing Group for 26 Years Founder of YHG and Transition Lead Chair of Key PFI, Procurement & Development Organisations RICS Management Board RICS School of the Built Environment IoD Director of the Year Committed to Driving Positive Policy & Projects Forward in UK Housing
4 Introduction to Your Housing Group Merger of Arena Housing Group & Harvest Housing Group 2012 Over 32,000 homes in 32 local authority areas From Merseyside, Greater Manchester into Yorkshire and from Cumbria to Staffordshire and the West Midlands Turnover 150 million 1400 Staff Substantial development programme
5 Challenge for today Understand the scale of the opportunity Examine why off site not more popular Propose solutions
6 Setting the scene Big Question of the day
7 Examine The economic and financial context Housing market trends
8 The economic and financial context
9 The context Coalition government Financial crisis, economic downturn & slow recovery Labour market changes Austerity & public spending cuts Public borrowing continuing to rise Public policy change across the board A struggling housing market Mortgage rationing & wider credit restrictions Low housing transactions numbers House building at record lows Affordable housing numbers low too
10 Stagnant economic growth
11 Progress to recovery Source: National Institute of Economic & Social Research
12 Public spending plans
13 The end of big government?
14 Housing market trends
15 UK Housing Demographics Population growth UK total 63.2 million in million (7%) increase from 2001 Immigration Was mainly New Commonwealth Now EU Accession States Questions over economic and social impact Smaller households 1971 average was 2.91 persons, 2.35 in 2011 Ageing population numbers and proportion
16 UK Housing Current Issues Crisis driven & reactive Demographic change a major driver Linked always to the wider economy Housing policy used to achieve short term economic objectives Affordability Standards issues sustainability/eco Planning and land issues Efficiency of construction offsite
17 The role of Housing Providers Do what is possible Plan for the future Make the case for housing Provide for a wider range of housing needs Look at the needs of older people develop extra care schemes and other models Meet the needs of younger people for quality housing but for job mobility Develop flexible tenure models that meet people s needs at different stages in their lives More efficient ways of delivering new housing
18 Struggling supply
19 A supply recovery?
20 Supply recovery?
21 Demand Mortgage availability
22 House prices
23 House price increases
24 Affordability Median Gross Weekly Earnings April 2012 Prices to earnings multiple 2012 London North East West Midlands Yorkshire and The Humber South East East East Midlands South West North West England Sources: ONS mix-adjusted house prices, ONS earnings estimate Annual Survey Hours & Earnings
25 Unaffordable private rents
26 Government s housing policy Direct investment 1.8bn for 170,000 submarket rent 300m for 15,000 affordable homes & 5,000 empties 1bn support for private rented homes 570m 16,000 stalled sites 30m for self build 60m for travellers sites 3.5bn for 74,000 shared equity homes Supporting investment Debt guarantees up to 10bn Guarantees to support 130bn of mortgages Planning reform Public sector land release / Build Now Pay Later New Buy 730m Growing Places for infrastructure The rise of financial instruments & guarantees
27 The new world housing investment & supply 67% cut in investment 4.5bn over 4 years But 170k homes How do they do it?! Affordable rent up to 80% market Grant rates down to c15% HAs borrow more funded by higher rents on new homes and on existing homes conversions deal with DWP on benefit impacts NewBuy first use of government guarantees in housing
28 The new world housing investment & supply September package, Autumn Statement & Budget bn guarantees 450m additional grant for aff homes 50k homes on large sites 1bn pump priming fund for private rent Guarantees to support 130bn mortgages 3.5bn for 74k shared equity homes 190m public land disposal 100m bring public land forward 60m Enterprise Zones small scale infrastructure Pay to stay higher rents for households earning over 60,000
29 How to rise to the efficiency challenge?
30 Ian B Perry Ian.perry@yourhousinggroup.co.uk iperry@btinternet.com
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