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1 Taxation Tariffs and the Sustainability of Collusion: Ad Valorem versus Specific Taxes Tariffs Helmuts Azacis and David Collie Cardiff University

2 Introduction The comparison of ad valorem and specific tariffs/taxes has been analysed in international trade and public finance. Under perfect competition, the effects of an ad valorem tariff/tax are identical if they both lead to the same price whereas, under monopoly, an ad valorem tariff/tax yields higher revenue than a specific tariff/tax that results in the same price. Under oligopoly, Delipalla and Keen (1992) and Anderson, De Palma, and Kreider (2001) show that an ad valorem tax yields higher revenue than a specific tax that results in the same price.

3 Recently, Colombo and Labrecciosa (2013) compared the effects of ad valorem and specific taxes on the sustainability of collusion in infinitely-repeated games under Cournot and Bertrand oligopoly. They claim that a switch from specific to ad valorem taxation will make it easier for firms to sustain collusion. Consequently, in contrast to conventional wisdom, they claim to demonstrate that the specific tax may yield higher tax revenue than an ad valorem tax when collusion is sustainable with the ad valorem tax but is not sustainable with the specific tax.

4 This presentation will reconsider this argument using a different method of comparing ad valorem and specific taxes. Assuming constant marginal costs, with general demand functions under Cournot and Bertrand oligopoly, it will be shown that the critical discount factor required to sustain collusion is the same with both taxes. Assuming increasing marginal cost (quadratic costs) and linear demand, under Cournot duopoly, it will be shown that is easier to sustain collusion with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax, but revenue is always higher with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax that results in the same price.

5 The Model: Constant Marginal Cost Consider a Cournot oligopoly (possibly a foreign oligopoly exporting to another country) with n firms with marginal cost and inverse demand function P PQ. The government imposes an ad valorem tax or a specific tax t. Set the specific tax equal to t so that both taxes result in the same consumer price. The profits of the ith firm with an ad valorem and a specific tax, respectively, are: i Pqi qi 1 t Pqi i Pqi qi tqi 1 qi1i 1

6 A similar expression is obtained by Anderson, De Palma, and Kreider (2001), and the implication is that whatever quantities maximise profits with an ad valorem tax will also maximise profits with a specific tax, but profits are 1 times higher with a specific tax than with an ad valorem tax. Now consider the sustainability of collusion using Nash-reversion strategies, the critical discount factor required to sustain collusion for the two taxes is given by: t t q q q q t D M M t D M M t D qm qn D qm qn

7 Since quantities are the same with the two taxes and profits with the specific tax are 1 times profits with the ad valorem tax, the two critical discount factors are the same. Proposition 1. In the Cournot oligopoly supergame with collusion being supported by Nash reversion strategies the critical discount factor is the same with an ad valorem tax as with a specific tax that results in the same price in the collusive phase. Now consider the sustainability of collusion using optimal punishment strategies, the optimal punishment output is given by the condition for the credibility:

8 , z z z z qm qp D qp qp z t The critical discount factor is given by the sustainability condition:, z z z z qm qp D qm qm z t Since quantities are the same with the two taxes and profits with the specific tax are 1 times profits with the ad valorem tax, the two critical discount factors are the same. Proposition 2. In the Cournot oligopoly supergame with collusion being supported by optimal punishments strategies the critical discount factor is the same with an ad valorem tax as with a specific tax that results in the same price in the collusive phase.

9 The extension to the case of Bertrand oligopoly with symmetrically differentiated products is straightforward. Proposition 3. In the Bertrand oligopoly supergame with collusion being supported by Nash reversion strategies the critical discount factor is the same with an ad valorem tax as with a specific tax that results in the same prices in the collusive phase. Proposition 4. In the Bertrand oligopoly supergame with collusion being supported by optimal punishments strategies the critical discount factor is the same with an ad valorem tax as with a specific tax that results in the same price in the collusive phase.

10 Cournot Duopoly with Quadratic Costs The case of increasing marginal costs can be analysed by considering the case of a Cournot duopoly assuming linear demand and quadratic costs. It can be shown that in this case, the critical discount factor required to sustain collusion (using Nash-reversion strategies or optimal punishment strategies) is lower with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax. In the range of values for the critical discount factor where collusion is not sustainable with a specific tax but is sustainable with an ad valorem

11 tax, Colombo and Labrecciosa (2013) assume that the outcome will be the Cournot-Nash equilibrium outputs. Then, they show that a specific tax may yield higher revenue than an ad valorem tax that results in the same price. If instead it is assumed that there will be partial collusion with the specific tax then revenue is always higher with the ad valorem tax than with a specific tax that results in the same price. Proposition 5. In the Cournot duopoly supergame with linear demand and quadratic costs where collusion is supported by Nash-reversion trigger strategies, tax revenue is higher with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax that results in the same price in the collusive phase.

12 Proposition 6. In the Cournot duopoly supergame with linear demand and quadratic costs where collusion is supported by optimalpunishment strategies, tax revenue is higher with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax that results in the same price in the collusive phase. Conclusions With constant marginal cost, the switch from a specific tax to an ad valorem tax has no effect on the sustainability of collusion under Cournot or Bertrand oligopoly when collusion is sustained by Nashreversion or optimal punishment strategies.

13 With increasing marginal costs, it may be easier to sustain collusion with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax, but revenue will always be higher with an ad valorem tax than with a specific tax.

14 Anderson, Simon P., André de Palma, and Brent Kreider "The Efficiency of Indirect Taxes under Imperfect Competition." Journal of Public Economics 81 (2): doi: (00) Colombo, Luca, and Paola Labrecciosa "How Should Commodities Be Taxed? A Supergame Theoretic Analysis." Journal of Public Economics 97 (0): doi: /j.jpubeco Delipalla, Sofia, and Michael Keen "The Comparison between Ad Valorem and Specific Taxation under Imperfect Competition." Journal of Public Economics 49 (3): doi: (92)90073 O.

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