Nottingham City Council Whole Plan & Community Infrastructure Levy Viability Assessment. January Executive Summary NCS. Nationwide CIL Service

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1 Nottingham City Council Whole Plan & Community Infrastructure Levy Viability Assessment January 2016 Executive Summary NCS Nationwide CIL Service

2 Contents 1. Executive Summary Page 2 2. Introduction Page Methodology/Engagement Page Viability Appraisal Assumptions Page Viability Appraisal Results Page Site Allocation Appraisals Page Conclusions Page 54 Appendix 1 - Heb Surveyors Valuation Report July 2015 (Separate Report) Appendix 2 Gleeds Construction Cost Study Update June 2015 (Separate Report) Appendix 3 NCS Approach to Developer Profit Return NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 1

3 Executive Summary Purpose of the Study 1.1 The purpose of the Whole Plan Viability Study is to appraise the viability of the Nottingham City Council s (NCC) Local Plan Part 2 in terms of the impact of its policies on the economic viability of the development expected to be delivered during the Plan period to The study considers policies that might affect the cost and value of development (e.g. Affordable Housing and Design and Construction Standards) in addition to the potential to accommodate Community Infrastructure Levy Charges. The area covered by the study is the Nottingham City Council administrative area. 1.2 Section 173 of the National Planning Policy Framework requires that plans should be deliverable ensuring that obligations and policy burdens do not threaten the viability of the developments identified in the plan. An assessment of the costs and values of each category of development is therefore required to consider whether they will yield competitive returns to a willing land owner and willing developer thus enabling the identified development to proceed. 1.3 The study also includes an assessment of the ability of different categories of development within the Local Plan area to make infrastructure contributions via a Community Infrastructure Levy (having taken account of the cost impacts of Affordable Housing delivery and other relevant policies) although further work with regards to CIL may be carried out in the future. If there is any additional return beyond these reasonable allowances then this is the margin available to make CIL contributions. This information is provided to enable the Council to make informed decisions on the scope for future introduction of the Levy if supported. Methodology 1.4 The viability assessment comprises a number of key stages as outlined below: EVIDENCE BASE LAND & PROPERTY VALUATION STUDY 1.5 Collation of an area-wide evidence base of land and property values for both residential and commercial property EVIDENCE BASE CONSTRUCTION COST STUDY 1.6 Collation of an area-wide evidence base of construction costs for both residential and commercial property NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 2

4 Executive Summary IDENTIFICATION OF SUB-MARKETS 1.7 Sub market identification informed by the valuation evidence gathered at stage one above, Large differences in values across a study area indicate the need to define independent sub areas for viability testing purposes and in turn these will inform the creation of different charging zones for Community Infrastructure Levy Purposes. POLICY IMPACT ASSESSMENT 1.8 Identification of the policies within the plan, which will have a direct impact on the costs of development and hence the viability of development. Typical policy impacts include affordable housing requirements, sustainable construction requirements and SUDs provision. VIABILITY APPRAISAL 1.9 Viability assessment for both residential and commercial development scenarios based on a series of typologies which reflect the development likely to emerge over the plan period. The assessments are conducted for both greenfield and brownfield development as it is recognised this can result in significant difference in viability. STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT 1.10 Consultation with local developers/landowners with regard to the appropriateness of assumptions used to conduct the appraisals with regard to prevailing market conditions and any local factors The assessment of viability is an iterative process and therefore a number of stages are revisited when new or updated information is received for example, following consultation at stage 6. RESULTS 1.12 The viability results for both residential and commercial development typologies have been summarised below. The figures represent the margin of viability per square metre taking account of all development values and costs, plan policy impact costs and having made allowance for a competitive return to the landowner and developer. In essence a positive margin confirms whole plan viability. RESIDENTIAL VIABILITY 1.13 The assessments of residential land and property values indicated that there were significant differences in value across the City to justify the existence of sub-markets. Three sub-markets were identified as indicated on the plan below. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 3

5 Executive Summary 1.14 The following table shows the viability margins for both sub-markets produced across the different residential typologies for greenfield and brownfield development Nottingham City Residential Viability Results for Plan Wide Viability Assessment Charging Zone/Base Land Value Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Conversion Student New Build 1 Low Greenfield 881, ,325-1,659, ,473 21,293 NA 79,605 Brownfield 249, ,758-1,857,532 57,431 11, ,127 18,406 2 Medium Greenfield 1,547, , , ,656 29,662 NA 79,605 Brownfield 732, , , ,169 20, ,127 18,406 3 High Greenfield 2,192,633 1,180,822-37, ,118 40,125 NA 79,605 Brownfield 1,525, , , ,631 30, ,127 18,406 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 4

6 Executive Summary 1.15 The testing showed that the Nottingham City Local Plan Policies are broadly viable and all forms of housing development and demonstrate that Affordable Housing delivery at the Council s policy target of 20% delivery proposed by the Plan is broadly viable allowing a degree of flexibility when based on typical sites The level of positive margin represents the potential to introduce additional CIL charges. The table below shows the maximum available for CIL across the range of residential typologies and sub-markets tested. Further commentary on the scope for CIL is set out in the context of site specific testing. Sub Market Zone/Base Land Value Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Flats Conversion Student Apartments New Build 1 Low Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield Medium Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield High Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield Greenfield housing development demonstrates viable CIL rate potential of per square metre dependent on the sub-market area. For brownfield housing, the CIL rate potential is lower at per square metre. Both greenfield and brownfield apartment development demonstrate no margin to introduce CIL charges. Student Housing demonstrated more marginal viability at 8-49sqm. Commercial 1.18 The initial assessment of commercial land and property values indicate that there are no significant differences in values to justify differential sub-markets based on assumptions or differential CIL charging zones. The commercial category viability results are set out in the able below. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 5

7 Executive Summary NCS Charging Zone/Base Land Value Industrial (B1b B1c B2 B8) Office (B1a) Hotel (C1) Residential Institution (C2) Community (D1) Leisure (D2) Agricultural (A1-A5) Sui Generis Food Supermarket Retail A1 General Retail A1-A5 Commercial Viability Results for Plan Wide Viability Assessment General Zone Greenfield Brownfield - 149, ,563-1,530,593-1,625,431-1,564,296-1,709,370-3,071,765-3,219, , , , , ,522 Car Sales - 233,421 Car Repairs - 649,036 1,413,489 1,193,766 64,925 54, It can be seen that food supermarket retail and general retail uses demonstrate positive viability. All of the remaining commercial use class appraisals indicate negative viability It should be stressed that whilst the generic appraisals showed that most forms of commercial and employment development are not viable based on the test assumptions, this does not mean that this type of development is not deliverable. For consistency a full developer s profit allowance was included in all the commercial appraisals. In reality many employment developments are undertaken direct by the operators. If the development profit allowance is removed from the calculations, then much employment development would be viable and deliverable. In addition, it is common practice in mixed use schemes for the viable residential element of a development to be used to cross subsidise the delivery of the commercial component of a scheme. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 6

8 Executive Summary 1.21 The above results for the most part restrict the potential to charge CIL across the area as indicated in the table below. NCS Charging Zone/Base Land Value Industrial (B1b B1c B2 B8) Office (B1a) Hotel (C1) Residential Institution (C2) Community (D1) Leisure (D2) Agricultural (A1-A5) Sui Generis Food Supermarket Retail A1 General Retail A1-A5 Maximum Commercial CIL Rates per sq m General Zone Greenfield Brownfield ,068-2, Car Sales Car Repairs It can be seen that only food supermarket retail, with CIL potential rate of per square metre, dependent on existing land use and general retail with potential rates of provide a margin to introduce CIL charges. It is therefore recommended on the existing evidence, that all non-retail categories should not be charged CIL based. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 7

9 Executive Summary Conclusions 1.23 The study demonstrates that most of the development proposed by the Local Plan is viable and deliverable taking account of the cost impacts of the policies proposed by the plan and the requirements for viability assessment set out in the NPPF. It is further considered that significant additional margin exists, beyond a reasonable return to the landowner and developer to accommodate CIL charges In terms of CIL, it is recommended that there are sufficient variations in residential viability to justify a differential zone approach to setting residential CIL rates across the Nottingham City area Taking account of the viability results, the generic nature of the tests, a reasonable buffer to allow for additional site specific abnormal costs, in the event Nottingham City Council wish to pursue CIL, we would recommend the following zonal rates. Nottingham City has a primarily brownfield residential delivery strategy and so the rates are set well within the lower brownfield viability margins and also take account of the delivery of development on the allocated sites. It is recommended that all Apartment development is zero rated. Residential CIL Apartments 0sqm Student Housing 0sqm 1 Low Zone Housing 15sqm 2 Medium Zone Housing 50sqm 3 High Zone Housing 100sqm 1.26 It is recommended that a single zone approach is taken to setting commercial CIL rates. The viability assessment results indicate that all non-retail commercial uses should be zero rated The retail viability assessment results indicate that differential rates could be legitimately applied to both types of retail use and, in the case of food supermarket development also to scale of development. Based on the viability assessment results and taking account of a reasonable viability buffer and the issues set out in paragraph 1.19, the following Commercial CIL rates are recommended. Citywide All Non-residential uses (excepting Retail) Citywide General Retail A1-A5 (excluding Food Supermarket) Food Supermarket A1 0sqm 80sqm 120sqm NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 8

10 Executive Summary 1.28 The study is a strategic assessment of whole plan viability and as such is not intended to represent a detailed viability assessment of every individual site. The study applies the general assumptions in terms of affordable housing, planning policy costs impacts and identified site mitigation factors based on generic allowances. It is anticipated that more detailed mitigation cost and viability information may be required at planning application stage to determine the appropriate level of affordable housing and planning obligation contributions where viability issues are raised. The purpose of the study is to determine whether the development strategy proposed by the Plan is deliverable given the policy cost impacts of the Plan The study illustrates that all greenfield and brownfield sites in the initial 0-5 year delivery period (i.e. the 5 year land supply) are viable based on the adopted assumptions Viability improves in both the medium term (6-10 years) and longer term (11-15 years) with all sites demonstrating positive viability In conclusion, the assessment of all proposed residential sites in Nottingham City has been undertaken with due regard to the requirements of the NPPF and the best practice advice contained in Viability Testing Local Plans. It is considered that all sites are viable across the entire plan period taking account of the Affordable/Low Cost Housing requirements and all policy impacts of the Local Plan as well as the introduction of CIL in the future. It should be noted that in order to test a worst case position the Developer Profit allowance is based on 20% return on GDV for all residential units and not on the split profit approach explained at Appendix It should be noted that this study should be seen as a strategic overview of plan level viability rather than as any specific interpretation of Nottingham City Council policy on the viability of any individual site or application of planning policy to affordable housing, CIL or developer contributions. Similarly the conclusions and recommendations in the report do not necessarily reflect the views of Nottingham City Council. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 9

11 2 Introduction 2.1 The purpose of the study is to assess the overall viability of the Nottingham City Local Plan and potential to introduce CIL charges by assessing the economic viability of development being promoted by the Plan. 2.2 In order to provide a robust assessment, the study first uses generic development typologies to consider the cost and value impacts of the proposed plan policies and determine whether any additional viability margin exists to accommodate a Community Infrastructure Levy. The study then goes on to assess the viability of the key strategic sites which are key to the overall development strategy. The individual site assessments take account of policies in the plan, affordable housing requirements, mandatory requirements to be introduced during the Plan period such as the National Housing Standards and Sustainable Construction requirements including SUDS, the potential Community Infrastructure Levy and site specific constraints to determine whether the proposed sites are viable and deliverable in the plan period. The NPPF and Relevant Guidance 2.3 The National Planning Policy Framework 2012 introduces a new focus on viability assessment in considering appropriate Development Plan policy. Paras provide guidance on Ensuring Viability and Deliverability in plan making. They state : Pursuing sustainable development requires careful attention to viability and costs in planmaking and decision-taking. Plans should be deliverable. Therefore, the sites and the scale of development identified in the plan should not be subject to such a scale of obligations and policy burdens that their ability to be developed viably is threatened. To ensure viability, the costs of any requirements likely to be applied to development, such as requirements for affordable housing, standards, infrastructure contributions or other requirements should, when taking account of the normal cost of development and mitigation, provide competitive returns to a willing land owner and willing developer to enable the development to be deliverable Local planning authorities should set out their policy on local standards in the Local Plan, including requirements for affordable housing. They should assess the likely cumulative impacts on development in their area of all existing and proposed local standards, supplementary planning documents and policies that support the development plan, when added to nationally required standards. In order to be appropriate, the cumulative impact of these standards and policies should not put implementation of the plan at serious risk, and should facilitate development throughout the economic cycle. Evidence supporting the assessment should be proportionate, using only appropriate available evidence It is equally important to ensure that there is a reasonable prospect that planned infrastructure is deliverable in a timely fashion. To facilitate this, it is important that local planning authorities understand Borough-wide development costs at the time Local Plans are drawn up. For this reason, infrastructure and development policies should be planned at the same time, in the Local Plan. Any affordable housing or local standards requirements that may be applied to development should be assessed at the plan-making stage, where possible, and kept under review. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 10

12 2 Introduction 2.4 In response to the NPPF, the Local Housing Delivery Group, a cross industry group of residential property stakeholders including the House Builders Federation, Homes and Communities Agency and Local Government Association, has published more specific guidance entitled Viability Testing Local Plans in June The guidance states as an underlying principle, that :- An individual development can be said to be viable if, after taking account of all costs, including central and local government policy and regulatory costs and the cost and availability of development finance, the scheme provides a competitive return to the developer to ensure that development takes place and generates a land value sufficient to persuade the land owner to sell the land for the development proposed. If these conditions are not met, a scheme will not be delivered. 2.6 The guidance recommends the following stages be completed in testing Local Plan viability:- 1) Review Evidence Base and align existing assessment evidence 2) Establish Appraisal Methodology and Assumptions (including threshold land values, site and development typologies, costs of policy requirements and allowance for changes over time) 3) Evidence Collation and Viability Modelling (including development costs and revenues, land values, developers profit allowance) 4) Viability Testing and Appraisal 5) Review of Outputs 2.7 The guidance is not prescriptive about the use of particular financial assessment models but advises that a residual appraisal approach which tests the ability of development to yield a margin beyond all the test factors to determine viability or otherwise is widely used and accepted. The guidance sets out the key elements of viability appraisal and the factors that need to be considered to ensure robust assessment. 2.8 The current study adheres to the principles of the NPPF and Viability Testing Local Plans and sets out its methodology and assumptions in the following sections. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 11

13 3 Methodology The Process There are a number of key stages to Viability Assessment which may be set out as follows. 1) Evidence Base Land & Property Valuation Study 1.1 Establish an area wide evidence base of land and property values for development in each sub-market area. The evidence base relies on the area wide valuation study undertaken by Heb Surveyors in ) Evidence Base Construction Cost Study 3.2 Establish an area wide evidence base of construction costs for each category of development relevant to the local area. The study will also indicate construction rates for professional fees, warranties, statutory fees and construction contingencies. The evidence base relies on the Construction Cost Study by Gleeds undertaken in 2014 and updated in 2015 (Appendix 2) In addition specific advice on reasonable allowances for abnormal site constraints was obtained from Gleeds and is outlined in the report. 3) Identification of Sub Market Areas 3.3 The Heb Valuation Evidence considered the existence of potential sub-markets within the study area which might inform the application of differential value assumptions in the Whole Plan testing or inform the creation of differential Charging Zones as part of the progression of a Community Infrastructure Levy. 4) Policy Impact Assessment 3.4 The study will establish the policies proposed by the plan that have a direct impact on the cost of development and apportion appropriate allowances based on advice from cost consultants, Gleeds, to be factored in the viability assessment. Typically cost impacts will include sustainable construction requirements based on National Housing Standards an, BREEAM standards. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 12

14 3 Methodology 5) Viability Appraisal Whole Plan Assessment & Generic CIL Tests 3.5 The study employs a bespoke model to assess Local Plan viability in accordance with best practice guidance (eg Local Housing Delivery group Viability Testing Local Plans and the RICS Financial Viability in Planning). The initial generic tests will be based on a series of development typologies to reflect the type of development likely to emerge over the plan period. The purpose of these tests is two-fold it will firstly assess cumulative impact of the policies proposed by the plan to determine whether the overall development strategy is deliverable. Secondly the model will identify the level of additional margin, beyond a reasonable return for the landowner and developer, which may be available for the introduction of CIL. 6) Site Specific Appraisal 3.6 The proposed allocated sites undergo very similar appraisal as outlined in the above methodology but site specific factors in terms of site area, housing numbers, housing mix, abnormal cost/mitigation factors are also assessed to ensure sites are deliverable. The tests also enable the draft CIL charges to be applied to determine if they are broadly viable in the context of actual site delivery. 7) Stakeholder Engagement 3.7 As part of the assessment process, initial findings are presented to representatives of the local property industry to determine if the methodology and assumptions are considered to be appropriate. The stakeholder event is used to inform study assumptions applied to Whole Plan Viability studies. The responses from the consultation event are collated and if it is determined that legitimate concerns have been raised, appraisal assumptions may be adjusted. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 13

15 3 Methodology The Development Equation CIL Sec 106 Contributions Sales Value of Completed Development Profit Fees & Finance Construction Land Development Value Development Cost 3.7 The appraisal model is illustrated by the above diagram and summarises the Development Equation. On one side of the equation is the development value i.e. the sales value which will be determined by the market at any particular time. The variable element of the value in residential development appraisal will be determined by the proportion and mix of affordable housing applied to the scheme. Appropriate discounts for the relevant type of affordable housing will need to factored into this part of the appraisal. 3.8 On the other side of the equation, the development cost includes the fixed elements i.e. construction, fees, finance and developers profit. Developers profit is usually fixed as a minimum % return on gross development value generally set by the lending institution at the time. The flexible elements are the cost of land and the amount of developer contribution (CIL and Planning Obligations) sought by the Local Authority. 3.9 Economic viability is assessed using an industry standard Residual Model approach. The model subtracts the Land Value and the Fixed Development Costs from the Development Value to determine the viability or otherwise of the development and any additional margin available for CIL. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 14

16 3 Methodology Viability Assessment Model 3.10 The NCS model is based on standard development appraisal methodology, comparing development value to development cost. The model factors in a reasonable return for the landowner with the established threshold value, a reasonable profit return to the developer and the assessed cost impacts of proposed planning policies to determine if there is a positive or negative residual output. Provided the margin is positive (ie Zero or above) then the development being assessed is deemed viable. The principles of the model are illustrated below. Development Value (Based on Floor Area) Eg 10 x 3 Bed 100sqm Houses x 2,200per sqm 2,200,000 Development Costs Land Value 400,000 Construction Costs 870,000 Abnormal Construction Costs (Optional) 100,000 Professional Fees (% Costs) 90,000 Legal Fees (% Value) 30,000 Statutory Fees (% Costs) 30,000 Sales & Marketing Fees (% Value) 40,000 Contingencies (% Costs) 50,000 Section 106 Contributions/Policy Impact Cost Assumptions/CIL (Strategic Site Testing Only) 90,000 Finance Costs (% Costs) 100,000 Developers Profit (% Return on GDV) 350,000 Total Costs 2,175,000 Output Viability Margin 50,000 Potential CIL Rate (CIL Appraisal only) 50 sqm 3.11 The model will calculate the gross margin available for developer contributions. The maximum rate of CIL that could be levied without rendering the development economically unviable is calculated by dividing the gross margin by the floorspace of the development being assessed It is important to note that the model applies % proportions and further % tenure splits to the housing scenarios to reflect affordable housing discounts which will generate fractional unit numbers. The model automatically rounds to the nearest whole number and therefore some results appear to attribute value proportions to houses which do not register in the appraisal. The fractional distribution of affordable housing discounts is considered to represent the most accurate illustration of the impact of affordable housing policy on viability. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 15

17 3 Methodology Land Value Assumptions 3.13 It is generally accepted that developer contributions (Affordable Housing, CIL and S106), will be extracted from the residual land value (i.e. the margin between development value and development cost including a reasonable allowance for developers profit). Within this gross residual value will be a base land value (i.e. the minimum amount a landowner will accept to release a site) and a remaining margin for contributions. Stage 1 Residual Valuation Development Value Development Costs Developers Profit Gross Residual Value Sales Revenue or Value of Completed Asset Construction, Fees, Sales Costs, Finance, etc Return on Investment For Land Purchase & Developer Contributions 3.14 The approach to assessing the land element of the gross residual value is therefore the key to the robustness of any viability appraisal. There is no single method of establishing threshold land values for the purpose of viability assessment in planning but the NPPF and emerging best practice guidance does provide a clear steer on the appropriate approach. Stage 2 Establishing Base Land Value Gross Residual Value Base Land Value Minimum Threshold At Which Landowner Will Sell Margin For CIL & Other Developer NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 16

18 3 Methodology Land Value Benchmarking (Threshold Land Values) Uplift Benchmark Value Benchmark Value For Viability Appraisal 3.15 The above diagram illustrates the principles involved in establishing a robust benchmark for land value. Land will have an existing use value (EUV) based on its market value. This is generally established by comparable evidence of the type of land being assessed (e.g. agricultural value for greenfield sites or perhaps industrial value for brownfield sites may be regarded as reasonable existing use value starting points and may be easily established from comparable market evidence) 3.16 The Alternative Use Value is established by assessing the gross residual value between development value and development cost after a reasonable allowance for development profit, assuming planning permission has been granted. The gross residual value does not make allowance for the impact of development plan policies on development cost and therefore represents the maximum potential value of land that landowners may aspire to In order to establish a benchmark land value for the purpose of CIL viability appraisal, it must be recognised that Local Authorities will have a reasonable expectation that, in granting planning permission, the resultant development will yield contributions towards infrastructure and affordable housing. The cost of these contributions will increase the development cost and therefore reduce the residual value available to pay for the land. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 17

19 3 Methodology 3.18 The appropriate benchmark value will therefore lie somewhere between existing use value and gross residual value based on alternative planning permission. This will of course vary significantly dependent on the category of development being assessed The key part of this process is establishing the point on this scale that balances a reasonable return to the landowner beyond existing use value and a reasonable margin to allow for infrastructure and affordable housing contributions to the Local Authority. Benchmarking and Threshold Land Value Guidance 3.20 Benchmarking is an approach which the Homes and Communities Agency refer to in Investment and Planning Obligations: Responding to the Downturn. This guide states: a viable development will support a residual land value at a level sufficiently above the site s existing use value (EUV) or alternative use value (AUV) to support a land acquisition price acceptable to the landowner The NPPF has introduced a more stringent focus on viability in planning considerations. In particular para 173 states:- To ensure viability, the costs of any requirements likely to be applied to development, such as requirements for affordable housing, standards, infrastructure contributions or other requirements should, when taking account of the normal cost of development and mitigation, provide competitive returns to a willing land owner and willing developer to enable the development to be deliverable 3.22 The NPPF recognises that, in assessing viability, unless a realistic return is allowed to a landowner to incentivise release of land, development sites are not going to be released and growth will be stifled. The most recent practical advice in establishing benchmark thresholds at which landowners will release land was produced by the Local Housing Delivery Group (comprising, inter alia, the Local Government Association, the Homes and Communities Agency and the House Builders Federation) in June 2012 in response to the NPPF. Viability Testing Local Plans states :- Another key feature of a model and its assumptions that requires early discussion will be the Threshold Land Value that is used to determine the viability of a type of site. This Threshold Land Value should represent the value at which a typical willing landowner is likely to release land for development, before payment of taxes (such as capital gains tax). Different approaches to Threshold Land Value are currently used within models, including consideration of: Current use value with or without a premium. Apportioned percentages of uplift from current use value to residual value. Proportion of the development value. Comparison with other similar sites (market value). We recommend that the Threshold Land Value is based on a premium over current use values and credible alternative use values. The precise figure that should be used as an appropriate premium above current use value should be determined locally. But it is important that there is evidence that it represents a sufficient premium to persuade landowners to sell. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 18

20 3 Methodology NCS Approach to Land Value Benchmarking (Threshold Land Values) 3.23 NCS has given careful consideration to how the Threshold Land Value (i.e. the premium over existing use value) should be established We have concluded that adopting a fixed % over existing value is inappropriate because the premium is tied solely to existing value which will often be very low - rather than balancing the reasonable return aspirations of the landowner to pursue a return based on alternative use as required by the NPPF. Landowners are generally aware of what their land is worth with the benefit of planning permission. Therefore a fixed % uplift over existing use value will not generally be reflective of market conditions and may not be a realistic method of establishing threshold land value We believe that the uplift in value resulting from planning permission should effectively be shared between the landowner (as a reasonable return to incentivise the release of land) and the Local Authority (as a margin to enable infrastructure and affordable housing contributions). The % share of the uplift will vary dependent on the particular approach of each Authority but based on our experience the landowner will expect a minimum of 50% of the uplift in order for sites to be released. Generally, if a landowner believes the Local Authority is gaining greater benefit than he is unlikely to release the site and will wait for a change in planning policy. We therefore consider that a 50:50 split is a reasonable benchmark and will generate base land values that are fair to both landowners and the Local Authority. The Shinfield Appeal Decision Wokingham (APP/X0360/A/12/ ) in January 2013 has provided clear support for this approach to establishing a reasonable return the landowner under the requirements of the NPPF. The case revolved around the level of affordable housing and developer contributions that could be reasonably required and in turn the decision hinged on the land value allowed to the applicant as a reasonable return to incentivise release of the site. The Inspector held that the appropriate approach to establishing the benchmark or threshold land value would be to split the uplift in value resulting from planning permission for the Alternative Use - 50:50 between landowner and the community. The Threshold Land Value is established as follows :- Existing Use Value + % Share Of Uplift from Planning Permission = Threshold Land Value 3.26 The resultant threshold values are then checked against market comparable evidence of land transactions in the Authority s area by our valuation team to ensure they are realistic. We believe this is a robust approach which is demonstrably fair to landowners and more importantly an approach which has been accepted at CIL and Local Plan Examinations we have undertaken. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 19

21 3 Methodology Worked Example Illustrating % over Existing Use vs % Share of Uplift 3.27 A landowner owns a 1 Hectare field at the edge of a settlement. The land is proposed to be allocated for residential development. Agricultural value is 20,000 per Ha. Residential land is being sold in this area for 1,000,000 per Ha. For the purposes of CIL viability assessment what should this Greenfield site be valued at? Using Fixed % over EUV the land would be valued at 24,000 ( 20, %) Using % Share of Uplift in Value the land would be valued at 510,000 ( 20, % of the uplift between 20,000 and 1,000,000) realising a market return for the landowner but reserving a substantial proportion of the uplift for infrastructure contribution. Benchmarking Based on % Share of Uplift in Land Value Gross Residual Value of Land Based on Planning Permission for Alternative Use Existing Use Value of Land (Cased on Comparable Evidence Assuming no alternative planning permission) Uplift in Value Resulting from Planning Permission Uplift In Value 50% To Landowner Existing Use Value Threshold Land Value 50% To Local Authority Margin For CIL NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 20

22 3 Methodology Brownfield and Greenfield Land Value Benchmarks 3.28 In order to represent the likely range of benchmark scenarios that might emerge in the plan period for the appraisal it will be necessary to test alternative threshold land value scenarios. A greenfield scenario will represent the best case for CIL as it represents the highest uplift in value resulting from planning permission. The greenfield existing use is based on agricultural value 3.29 The median brownfield position recognises that existing commercial sites will have an established value. The existing use value is based on a low value brownfield use (industrial). The viability testing firstly assesses the gross residual value (the maximum potential value of land based on total development value less development cost with no allowance for affordable housing, sec 106 contributions or planning policy cost impacts). This is then used to apportion the share of the potential uplift in value to the greenfield and brownfield benchmarks. This is considered to represent a reasonable scope of land value scenarios in that change from a high value use (e.g. retail) to a low value use (e.g. industrial) is unlikely Actual market evidence will not always be available for all categories of development. In these circumstances the valuation team make reasoned assumptions. Residential Benchmark 1 Greenfield Agricultural Residential (Maximum CIL Potential) Benchmark 2 Brownfield Industrial Residential Commercial Benchmark 1 Greenfield Agricultural Proposed Use (Maximum CIL Potential) Benchmark 2 Brownfield Industrial Proposed Use 3.31 The viability study assumes that affordable housing land has limited value as development costs form a very high proportion of the ultimate discounted sale value of the property. The appraisals apply a 30% proportion of the relevant market plot value to the affordable housing plots. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 21

23 3 Methodology Gross Residual Value Gross Residual Value Gross Residual Value Benchmark Value Local AuthorityMargin Local AuthorityMargin Benchmark Value Benchmark Value Landowner Margin Maximum Value With No Apportionment Of Uplift Landowner Margin Existing Use Value Existing Use Value Greenfield Brownfield Residual 3.32 The above diagram illustrates the concept of Benchmark Land Value. The level of existing use value for the three benchmarks is illustrated by the green shading. The uplift in value from existing use value to proposed use value is illustrated by the blue and gold shading. The gold shading represents the proportion of the uplift allowed to the landowner for profit. The blue shading represents the allowance of the uplift for developer contributions to the Local Authority. The Residual Value assumes maximum value with planning permission with no allowance for planning policy cost impacts. This benchmark is used solely to generate the brownfield and greenfield threshold values Whilst brownfield land evaluation with a higher benchmark land value will necessarily indicate that less viability margin exists for CIL, it should be acknowledged that brownfield sites will often contain existing buildings which may be used to claim CIL relief in calculating the net CIL liability. This should be taken into account in setting CIL rates. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 22

24 4 Appraisal Assumptions Development Categories 4.1 In order to ensure that the study is sufficiently comprehensive to inform a Differential Rate CIL system, all categories of development in the Use Classes Order will be considered, including a relevant sample of Sui Generis uses to reflect typical developments in the Nottingham City Local plan area, as follows :- Residential (C3) - Based on varying residential development scenarios and factoring in the affordable housing requirements of the Authority. Land values are assessed based on house type plots. Sales values are assessed on per sqm rates. Commercial - The following categories are considered. Land Values and Gross Development Values are assessed on sqm basis. Industry (B1(b)B1(c), B2, B8) Offices (B1a) Food Supermarket Retail (A1) - Series of Scale Based Tests General Retail (A1, A2, A3, A4, A5) Series of Scale Based Tests Hotels (C1) Residential Institutions (C2) Institutional and Community (D1) Leisure (D2) Agricultural Sui Generis - Vehicle Sales Sui Generis Car Repairs Sub Market Areas and Potential Charging Zones 4.2 The Heb valuation study considered evidence of residential land and property values across Nottingham City and concluded that there were sufficient distinctions between sales prices to are warrant differential value assumptions being made in the Whole Plan Viability Assessment and, potentially, a differential rate approach to CIL based on geographical zones. 4.3 The sub-market areas which may also form potential CIL Charging Zones are set out in the residential zone maps below. There were a few anomalies such as the Park which contains some of the highest value properties in the city but which is surrounded by much lower value residential areas of Radford. The zoning is intended to represent an overview of the tone of values in an area rather than a street specific analysis and also acknowledges the values of new development that are likely to emerge. In the previous example any significant new housing sites are likely to emerge in the lower value areas of Radford rather than in the tightly constrained Park area and therefore the whole area is contained within the Low Value zone for the purposes of CIL. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 23

25 4 Appraisal Assumptions Residential Sub Market Area/CIL Charging Zones 4.4 The variations in commercial values were not considered significant enough across the City to justify the application of differential assumptions based on sub-market areas or to indicate a differential charging zone approach to CIL. Affordable Housing 4.5 A series of residential viability tests have been undertaken, reflecting affordable housing delivery at the policy level of 20%. The following extract from a generic sample residential viability appraisal model illustrates how affordable housing is factored into the residential valuation assessment. The relevant variables (e.g. unit numbers, types, sizes, affordable proportion, tenure mix etc.) are inputted into the appropriate cells. The model will then calculate the overall value of the development taking account of the relevant affordable unit discounts. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 24

26 4 Appraisal Assumptions DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO Mixed Residential Development Apartments 10 BASE LAND VALUE SCENARIO Greenfield to Residential 2 bed houses 20 DEVELOPMENT LOCATION Urban Zone 1 3 Bed houses 40 DEVELOPMENT DETAILS 100 Total Units 4 bed houses 20 Affordable Proportion 30% 30 Affordable Units 5 bed house 10 Affordable Mix 30% Intermediate 40% Social Rent 30% Affordable Rent Development Floorspace 6489 Sqm Market Housing 2,163 Sqm Affordable Housing Development Value Market Houses 7 Apartments 65 sqm 2000 per sqm 910, bed houses 70 sqm 2200 per sqm 2,156, Bed houses 88 sqm 2200 per sqm 5,420, bed houses 115 sqm 2200 per sqm 3,542, bed house 140 sqm 2200 per sqm 2,156,000 Intermediate Houses 60% Market Value 3 Apartments 65 Sqm 1200 per sqm 210, Bed house 70 Sqm 1320 per sqm 415, Bed House 88 Sqm 1320 per sqm 209,088 Social Rent Houses 40% Market Value 4 Apartments 65 sqm 800 per sqm 187, Bed house 70 sqm 880 per sqm 369, Bed House 88 sqm 880 per sqm 185,856 Affordable Rent Houses 50% Market Value 3 Apartments 65 sqm 1000 per sqm 175, Bed house 70 sqm 1100 per sqm 346, Bed House 88 sqm 1100 per sqm 174, Total Units Development Value 16,459,184 It is important to note that the model applies % proportions and further % tenure splits to the housing scenarios which will generate fractional unit numbers. The model automatically rounds to the nearest whole number and therefore some results appear to attribute value proportions to houses which do not register in the appraisal. The fractional distribution of affordable housing discounts is considered to represent the most accurate illustration of the impact of affordable housing policy on viability. 4.6 The following Affordable Housing Assumptions have been agreed for the purpose of the residential viability appraisals. The assumptions relate to the overall proportion of affordable housing, the tenure mix between Intermediate, Social Rent and Affordable Rent housing types. Finally the transfer values in terms of % of open market value are set out for each tenure type. The transfer value equates to the assumed price paid by the registered housing provider to the developer and is assessed as a discounted proportion of the open market value of the property in relation to the type (tenure) of affordable housing. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 25

27 4 Appraisal Assumptions Affordable Housing Proportion % Tenure Mix % Intermediate Social Rent Affordable Housing 20% 40% 60% Transfer Values 66% 44% Affordable Rent 4.7 The affordable assumptions were applied to all residential scenario testing with the exception of the single dwelling test and the 10 unit infill housing test where the 10 unit policy based threshold was applied. For the smaller unit number tests the proportional and tenure splits result in fractions of unit numbers. In these cases the discounts may be considered to equate to the impact of off-site contributions. Development Density 4.8 Density is an important factor in determining gross development value and land value. Density assumptions for commercial development will be specific to the development category. For instance the floorplate for industrial development is generally around 50% of the site area to take account of external servicing, storage and parking, Offices will vary significantly dependent on location, town centre offices may take up 100% of the site area whereas out of town locations where car parking is a primary consideration, the floorplate may be only 25% of the site area. Food retailing generally has high car parking requirements and large site areas compared to floorplates. The land : floorplate assumptions for commercial development are as follows:- Industrial 2:1 Offices 2:1 General Retail 1.5:1 (shopping parades, local centres etc.) Food retail 3:1 Leisure 3:1 Hotels 2:1 Residential Institutions 1.5:1 Community Uses 1.5:1 Other Uses 2:1 4.9 Residential densities vary significantly dependent on house type mix and location. Mixed housing developments may vary from dwellings per Hectare. Town Centre apartment schemes may reach densities of over 150 units per Hectare. We generate plot values for residential viability assessment related to specific house types. The plot values allow for standard open space requirements per Hectare. The densities adopted in the study reflect the assumptions of the Local Authority on the type of development that is likely to emerge during the plan period. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 26

28 4 Appraisal Assumptions 4.10 The density assumptions for house types related to plot values are as follows :- Apartment 100 units per Ha 2 Bed House 40 units per Ha 3 Bed House 35 units per Ha 4 Bed House 25 units per Ha 5 Bed House 20 units per Ha Student Apartments 800 beds per Ha House Types and Mix 4.11 The study uses the following standard house types as the basis for valuation and viability testing as unit types that are compliant with National Housing standards and meet minimum Local Plan policy requirements. The assessment is intended to provide a worst case scenario as marginally larger unit types are unlikely to command higher plot values and so larger unit types will generally demonstrate improved levels of viability. Apartment 60 sqm 2 Bed House 75 sqm 3 Bed House 90 sqm 4 Bed House 120 sqm 5 Bed House 150 sqm Student Bed 12sqm 4.12 Housing values and costs are based on the same gross internal area. However apartments will contain circulation space (stairwells, lifts, access corridors) which will incur construction cost but which is not directly valued. We make an additional construction cost allowance of 18% to reflect the difference between gross and net floorspace. Residential Development Scenarios 4.13 The study tests a series of residential development scenarios to reflect general types of development that are likely to emerge over the plan period For residential development, five scenarios were considered. The list does not attempt to cover every possible development in the Borough but provides an overview of residential development in the plan period. 1. Mixed Housing (2, 3, 4 & 5 Bed Housing) 100 Units 2. Family Housing (3,4 & 5 Bed Housing) 50 Units 3. Apartments 100 Units 4. Small scale Infill Housing (Apts, 2 & 3 Bed Housing) 10 Units 5. Single Dwelling 1 Unit 6. Student Apartments 200 Units NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 27

29 4 Appraisal Assumptions Commercial Development Scenarios 4.15 The CIL appraisal tests all forms of commercial development broken down into use class order categories. For completeness the appraisal includes a sample of sui generis uses. A typical form of development that might emerge during the plan period, is tested within each use class The density assumptions for commercial development will be specific to the development category. For instance the floorplate for industrial development is generally around 50% of the site area to take account of external servicing, storage and parking. Offices will vary significantly dependent on location, town centre offices may take up 100% of the site area whereas out of town locations where car parking is a primary consideration, the floorplate may be only 25% of the site area. Food retailing generally has high car parking requirements and large site areas compared to floorplates The viability model also makes allowance for net:gross floorspace. In many forms of commercial development such as industrial and retail, generally the entire internal floorspace is deemed lettable and therefore values per sqm and construction costs per sqm apply to the same area. However in some commercial categories (e.g. offices) some spaces are not considered lettable (corridors, stairwells, lifts etc.) and therefore the values and costs must be applied differentially. The net:gross floorspace ratio enables this adjustment to be taken into account The table below illustrates the commercial category and development sample testing as well as the density assumptions and net:gross floorspace ratio for each category. In acknowledgement of consultation responses to initial retail viability work more detailed assessment of retail viability has been undertaken in respect to use and scale of development to reflect the type of general retail (A1-A5) and food supermarket (A1) development considered likely to emerge over the plan period. Commercial Development Sample Typology Unit Size & Land Plot Ratio Plot Ratio % Gross:Net Sample Unit Size Sqm Industrial B1b B1c B2 B % 1.0 Factory Unit Office B1a % 1.2 Office Building Food Retail A % 1.0 Supermarket General Retail A 1 A % 1.0 Roadside Type Shop Unit Residential Inst C % 1.2 Care Facility Hotels C % 1.2 Mid Range Hotel Community D % 1.0 Community Centre Leisure D % 1.0 Bowling Alley Agricultural % 1.0 Farm Store Sui Generis Car Sales % 1.0 Car Showroom Sui Generis VehicleRepairs % 1.0 Repair Garage NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 28

30 4 Appraisal Assumptions Sustainable Construction Standards 4.19 It is acknowledged that the Code for Sustainable Homes are being replaced by changes to the Building Regulations based on the National Housing Standards. The latest government guidance is that forthcoming Building Regulation changes will not impose standards beyond an equivalent of CoSH 4 and the cost rates adopted in the study reflect this The Commercial Viability assessments are based on BREEAM Excellent construction rates. Construction Costs 4.21 The construction rates will reflect allowances for external works, drainage, servicing preliminaries and contractor s overhead and profit. The viability assessment will include a 5% allowance for construction contingencies The following residential construction rates are adopted in the study to reflect National Housing Standards, Category 2 Dwellings and the water and space standards of Nottingham City Council. Whilst the Code for Sustainable Homes standards have been withdrawn, the cost parameters that inform them remain a useful guide to the cost implications of the National Housing standards and are considered within the study. Residential Construction Cost Sqm Apartments 1064 sqm 2 bed houses 907 sqm 3 Bed houses 907 sqm 4 bed houses 907 sqm 5 bed house 907 sqm Student New Build 1368 sqm Student Conversion 1302 sqm Commercial Construction Cost Sqm 552 Factory Unit 1264 Office Building 1134 Supermarket 785 Roadside Retail Unit 1218 Care Facility 1715 Mid Range Hotel 2451 Community Centre 903 Bowling Alley 485 Farm Store 1080 Car Showroom 962 Repair Garage NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 29

31 4 Appraisal Assumptions Abnormal Construction Costs 4.23 Most development will involve some degree of exceptional or abnormal construction cost. Brownfield development may have a range of issues to deal with to bring a site into a developable state such as demolition, contamination, utilities diversion etc. Whole Plan and CIL Viability Assessment is based on generic tests and it would be unrealistic to make assumptions over average abnormal costs to cover such a wide range of scenarios. In reality abnormal cost issues like site contamination are reflected in reductions to land values so making additional generic abnormal cost assumptions would effectively be double counting costs unless the land value allowances were adjusted accordingly It is considered better to bear the unknown costs of development in mind when setting CIL rates and not fix rates at the absolute margin of viability. Nevertheless, for the assessment of the LAPP sites, where there is specific evidence of abnormal site constraint costs, these have been factored into the study. The abnormal assumptions are set out in the LAPP Site Appraisal section. Policy Cost Impacts & Planning Obligation Contributions 4.25 The study seeks to review Whole Plan Viability and therefore firstly assesses the potential cost impacts of the proposed policies in the plan to determine appropriate cost assumptions in the viability assessments and broadly determine if planned development is viable CIL may replace some if not all planning obligation contributions. The second purpose of the study is to test the maximum margin available for CIL that is available from various types of development. CIL, if adopted, will represent the first slice of tax on development. Planning Obligations may be used to top up contributions on a site specific basis subject to viability appraisal at planning application stage. Nevertheless the CIL Guidance 2014 (contained in the National Planning Practice Guidance) indicates that Authorities should demonstrate that the development plan is deliverable by funding infrastructure through a mixture of CIL and planning obligation contributions in the event that the Authority does not intend to completely replace planning obligations with CIL Costs have been factored into the viability appraisals to reflect the impact of relevant development plan policy and the residual use of planning obligations for site specific mitigation. Based on historic evidence of planning obligation contributions over the last five years (excluding Affordable Housing which is factored in separately) the following cost allowances have been adopted in the study:- Residual Planning Obligations for site specific mitigation 1000 per dwelling 10 per sqm commercial NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 30

32 4 Appraisal Assumptions 4.28 Historical evidence demonstrates that where planning obligations have been charged these amount to an average of 1,947 per dwelling and 8 per sqm for commercial development (where Sec 106 contributions have been charged therefore the true average across all development would be lower, so the figures represent the worst case position). It is likely that CIL will replace a significant part of this funding requirement in the future. Therefore an ongoing allowance of 1000 per dwelling has been made to reflect potential future contributions for residential development. The allowance has been rounded up to 10sqm for commercial development Costs have been factored into the viability appraisals to reflect the impact of relevant development plan policies and the residual use of planning obligations for site specific mitigation. The cost impact of these mitigation measures has been assessed by Gleeds and may be summarised as follows :- ACESSIBILITY STANDARDS - 20sqm x 10% The appraisals test the impact of requiring 10% of homes to be built to Category 2 standard for accessibility. This is estimated to add 20sqm over National Housing Standards equivalent build cost allowance for 10% of units (ie 2sqm allowance overall) WATER CONSERVATION STANDARDS The higher optional water standard of 110 lpd is considered to be covered by the adopted construction cost rates (equivalent of CoSH Code 4) and do not require any additional allowance. ENERGY No additional allowance has been made for Zero Carbon costs in view of the Government s recent policy change on this issue. BREAAM Standards The construction costs for commercial development make allowance for BREAAM Excellent rating including additional professional fees. SPACE STANDARDS The residential unit sizes adopted in the appraisals comply with National Space Standards. The following table summarises the relevant policies in the Plan deemed to have an impact on development viability, that have been considered by the assumptions in the study. Local Plan Policy CC1 Sustainable Design and Construction Requirements BREEAM excellent for non-residential development Sustainable construction methods/use of recycled materials. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 31

33 4 Appraisal Assumptions Local Plan Policy CC3 Water EE4 Local Employment and Training Opportunities Requirements Optional Higher Standard for Water Consumption for residential dwellings. Sustainable Drainage Systems Employment/training packages to support City residents HO1 Housing Size, Mix and Provision of family homes on sites outside City Centre Choice (where appropriate) HO3 Affordable Housing 20% affordable housing on site above 15 dwellings or 0.5 hectares. HO4 Specialist and 10% Accessible and Adaptable homes on sites of 10 or Adaptable Housing more dwellings. DE1 Building Design and Use IN4 Developer Contributions National Space Standard for residential dwellings Site specific S106 to support local services such as transport, open space, education. Developers Profit 4.30 Developer s profit is generally fixed as a % return on gross development value or return on the cost of development to reflect the developer s risk. In current market conditions, and based on the assumed lending conditions of the financial institutions, a 20% return on GDV is used in the residential viability appraisals to reflect speculative risk on the market housing units. However it must be acknowledged that affordable housing does not carry the same speculative risk as it effectively pre-sold. There is significant evidence of this split profit approach being accepted as a legitimate approach in Whole Plan Viability and Community Infrastructure Levy Examinations and Affordable Housing Sec 106 BC Appeals. Separate evidence supporting this approach will be submitted. This evidence is set out at Appendix 3 NCS Approach to Developer Profit 4.31 In response to representations by house builders at a consultation event on the Viability Analysis the profit allowance on the affordable housing element has been increased from 6% to 10% and is considered to represent a reasonable approach to the competitive return required by the NPPF. It should also be recognised that a competitive profit will vary in relation to prevailing economic conditions and will generally reduce as conditions improve, generally remaining within a 15-20% range for speculative property In the generic commercial development assessments, a 17.5% profit return is applied in recognition that most development will be pre-let or pre-sold with a reduced level of risk. If it is considered that industrial and other forms of commercial are likely to be operator rather than developer led, this allowance may be further reduced to a 5-10% allowance to reflect an allowance for operational/opportunity cost rather than a traditional development risk. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 32

34 4 Appraisal Assumptions Property Sales Values 4.33 The sale value of the development category will be determined by the market at any particular time and will be influenced by a variety of locational, supply and demand factors as well as the availability of finance. The study uses up to date comparable evidence to give an accurate representation of market circumstances A valuation study of all categories of residential and commercial property has been undertaken by HEB Chartered Surveyors in July A copy of the report is attached at Appendix I. Residential Sales Values Charging Zone Sales Value sqm Apartment 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Student 1 Low 1,800 2,000 1,950 1,950 1,900 3,000 2 Medium 2,000 2,200 2,150 2,150 2,100 3,000 3 High 2,300 2,450 2,400 2,400 2,350 3,000 Commercial Sales Values Sqm Charging Zones Area Wide Industrial 700 Office 1350 Food Retail A General Retail A1-A Residential Inst 1250 Hotels 2500 Community 1077 Leisure 1350 Agricultural 400 Sui Generis Car Sales 1500 Sui Generis Vehicle Repairs 700 Land Value Allowances - Residential 4.35 Following the land value benchmarking uplift split methodology set out in Section 3 the following greenfield and brownfield existing residential land use value assumptions are applied to the study. The gross residual value (the maximum potential value of land assuming planning permission but with no planning policy, affordable housing sec 106 or CIL cost impacts). An example for Mixed Housing in the High Value zone is illustrated in the table below. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 33

35 4 Appraisal Assumptions Land Value Existing Greenfield (agricultural) Per Ha 457,000 Brownfield (equivalent general commercial) Per Ha Gross Residual Residential Value 2,358,065 per Ha Uplift 50% % of the uplift in value between existing use and the gross residual value of alternative use with planning permission is applied to generate benchmarked land values per Ha. These land values are then divided by the assumed unit type densities to generate the individual greenfield and brownfield plot values to be applied to the appraisals. EUV + 50% of Uplift in Value = Threshold Land Value Greenfield 20, % (2,358,065-20,000) = 1,189,033 per Ha Brownfield 457, % ( 2,358, ,000) = 1,407,533 per Ha Density Assumptions Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed LAND VALUES (Plot Values) Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Greenfield Brownfield The complete set of gross residual residential values for all the residential tests from which the benchmarked threshold land value allowances were derived, is set out in the table below. Apartments in the low and medium zones demonstrated negative residual land values so a minimum allowance of 250,000 per Ha was applied. Gross Residual Land Value per Ha Zone 1 Zone 2 Zone 3 Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Conversion Student New Build NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 34

36 4 Appraisal Assumptions Land Value Allowances - Commercial 4.38 The approach to commercial land value allowances is the same in principle. Obviously there will be a broad spectrum of residual land values dependent on the commercial use. A number of residual land calculations for commercial categories actually demonstrate negative values which is clearly unrealistic for the purpose of viability appraisal. Therefore where residual values are less than market comparable evidence the market comparable is used as the minimum gross residual figure. In the Nottingham City assessments only retail gross residual values exceeded these market comparable benchmarks The following provides an example threshold land value allowances food supermarket retail EUV + 50% of Uplift in Value = Threshold Land Value Greenfield 20, % ( 3,583,579-20,000) = 1,801,790 per Ha Brownfield 457, % ( 3,583, ,000) = 2,020,290 per Ha 4.41 The greenfield and brownfield land value threshold allowances are all set out within the commercial viability appraisals but in summary the gross residual values on which they are based may be summarised as follows :- Commercial Residual Land Values Industrial Land Values per Ha Area Wide Residual Land Value per Ha Office Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha Food Retail Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha < 3000sqm General Retail Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha Residential Institution Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha Hotel Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha Community Use Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha Leisure Land Values per Ha Residual Land Value per Ha Agricultural Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 35

37 4 Appraisal Assumptions Fees, Finance and Other Cost Allowances 4.42 The following industry standard fee and cost allowances are applied to the appraisals. Residential Development Cost Assumptions Professional Fees 8.0% Construction Cost Legal Fees 0.5% GDV Statutory Fees 1.1% Construction Cost Sales/Marketing Costs 2.0% Market Units Value Contingencies 5.0% Construction Cost Planning Obligations 1000 per Dwelling 20 per sqm Commercial Interest 5.0% 12 Month Construction 3-6 Mth Sales Void Arrangement Fee 1.0% Cost Stakeholder Consultation 4.43 A stakeholder consultation event was held on the 26 th June 2015 which was specifically focused on the Nottingham Core Housing Market Area and the viability work to inform local plans and CIL. At the event the methodology was shared with stakeholders representing the local property sector, to discuss the robustness of the assumptions and amend the approach as necessary. The stakeholders were invited to follow up the discussion with any detailed observations. The assumptions set out above reflect the consensus reached as a result of the meeting and subsequent dialogue and as a result changes were made to the methodology to address the comments and better reflect the issues in the Nottingham area. In particular, the profit assumptions in respect of the affordable housing element of the residential appraisals were increased from 6 to 10%, allowances for lifetime homes/accessible dwellings were added and zero carbon allowances were removed. It was also confirmed that student housing would be tested as an independent category. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 36

38 5 Viability Appraisal Results 5.1 The results of the generic Viability Testing are set out in the tables below. In order to reflect the policy position of the Council the residential viability tests were undertaken on the assumption that schemes would deliver 20% Affordable Housing and are based on a 20% profit allowance on the market housing element and a 10% profit allowance on the affordable element. NOTTINGHAM CITY Residential Viability Results for Plan Wide Viability Assessment Charging Zone/Base Land Value Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Conversion Student New Build 1 Low Greenfield 881, ,325-1,659, ,473 21,293 NA 79,605 Brownfield 249, ,758-1,857,532 57,431 11, ,127 18,406 2 Medium Greenfield 1,547, , , ,656 29,662 NA 79,605 Brownfield 732, , , ,169 20, ,127 18,406 3 High Greenfield 2,192,633 1,180,822-37, ,118 40,125 NA 79,605 Brownfield 1,525, , , ,631 30, ,127 18, Any positive figures confirm that the category of development tested is economically viable in the context of Whole Plan viability and the impact of planning policies. The level of positive viability indicates the potential additional margin for CIL charges. The second residential tables illustrate the potential CIL rates in per sqm for each rate of affordable housing delivery. The commercial table illustrates the potential CIL rates across the whole Authority area. 5.3 Each category of development produces a greenfield and brownfield result in each test area. These results reflect the benchmark land value scenario. The first result assumes greenfield development which generally represents the highest uplift in value from current use and therefore will produce the highest potential CIL Rate. The second result assumes that development will emerge from low value brownfield land. 5.4 It should be recognised that the CIL Rates that have emerged from the study are maximum potential rates, based on optimum development conditions. The viability tests are necessarily generic and do not factor in site specific abnormal costs that may be encountered on many development sites. The tests produce maximum contributions for infrastructure and therefore ultimate CIL charges should consider an appropriate viability buffer to account for additional unforeseen costs and site specific abnormals. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 37

39 5 Viability Appraisal Results Nottingham City Potential Residential CIL Charges Sub Market Zone/Base Land Value Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Flats Conversion Student Apartments New Build 1 Low Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield Medium Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield High Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield The results of the viability testing clearly demonstrate that Affordable Housing delivery at the Council s policy target of 20% enables delivery of all housing development proposed by the Plan in all sub-market areas with a substantial viability margin for flexibility and potentially permitting a significant viability margin for CIL. 5.6 The results also demonstrated that apartment development is not economically viable based on 20% affordable housing delivery and some flexibility in delivering affordable housing connected to apartment schemes may be required. 5.7 The student housing tests demonstrated that student apartment development is viable but has limited margin for CIL charges. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 38

40 5 Viability Appraisal Results NCS Commercial Viability Results for Plan Wide Viability Assessment General Zone Charging Zone/Base Land Value Greenfield Brownfield Industrial (B1b B1c B2 B8) - 149, ,563 Office (B1a) - 1,530,593-1,625,431 Hotel (C1) - 1,564,296-1,709,370 Residential Institution (C2) - 3,071,765-3,219,913 Community (D1) - 413, ,733 Leisure (D2) - 219, ,750 Agricultural (A1-A5) - 130,522 Sui Generis Food Supermarket Retail A1 General Retail A1-A5 Car Sales - 233,421 Car Repairs - 649,036 1,413,489 1,193,766 64,925 54,256 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 39

41 5 Viability Appraisal Results Potential Commercial CIL Charges NCS Maximum Commercial CIL Rates per sq m General Zone Charging Zone/Base Land Value Greenfield Brownfield Industrial (B1b B1c B2 B8) Office (B1a) Hotel (C1) Residential Institution (C2) Community (D1) Leisure (D2) Agricultural (A1-A5) Sui Generis Food Supermarket Retail A1 General Retail A1-A ,068-2, Car Sales Car Repairs Most of the above commercial use class appraisals indicated negative viability and therefore no margin to introduce CIL charges. Only food supermarket and general retail demonstrated significant positive viability. These results are typical of our experience of most Local Authorities commercial viability assessments. In order for viability assessment to be consistent between residential and commercial development, full development profit allowances are contained within all appraisals (assuming all development is delivered by third party developers requiring a full risk return). In reality much commercial development is delivered direct by business operators who do not require the development profit element. As such many commercial categories of development are broadly viable and deliverable despite the apparent negativity of the results. In addition, it is common practice in mixed use schemes for the viable residential element of a development to be used to cross subsidise the delivery of the commercial component of a scheme. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 40

42 6 Site Allocation Viability Appraisals 6.1 The study has undertaken specific Viability Appraisals of the residential sites proposed to be allocated by the Local Plan. In addition to the assumptions outlined above additional abnormal site constraint costs associated with the development of the individual sites have been applied to the individual site tests. Advice on cost allowances for these constraints was obtained from Gleeds and is summarised in the table below. It should be noted that in order to test a worst case position the Developer Profit allowance is based on 20% return on GDV for all residential units and not on the split profit approach explained at Appendix 3. Abnormal Site Development Costs Budget Cost /Hectare Archaeology 10,000 Typically, Archaeology is addressed by a recording/monitoring brief by a specialist, to satisfy planning conditions Intrusive archaeological investigations are exceptional and not allowed for in the Budget cost Flood Defence Works 25,000 Generally involves raising floor levels above flood level, on relevant sites Budget 2,000 per unit x 35 units/hect, apply to 1 in 3 sites Site Specific Access Works 20,000 New road junction and S278 works, allowance for cycle path linking Major off-site highway works not allowed for. Land Contamination 25,000 Heavily Contaminated land is not considered, as remediation costs will be reflected in the land sales values Allow for remediation/removal from site of isolated areas of spoil with elevated levels of contamination Ground Stability 20,000 Former Mining area. Allow raft foundations to dwellings, on 75% of sites Budget 2000 per unit x 35 units x 25% of sites Utilities 80,000 Allowance for Infrastructure Upgrade Site Specific Biodiversity Mitigation/Ecology 20,000 Allow for LVIA and Ecology surveys and mitigation and enhancement allowance. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 41

43 6 Site Allocation Viability Appraisals 6.2 Draft CIL charges are applied to the allocated site tests as well as the standard cost and value outlined in Section 4. The overall assumptions applied to the allocated site tests may be summarised as follows ALLOCATED SITE APPRAISAL GENERAL ASSSSUMPTIONS Affordable Housing Affordable Proportion% 20% Affordable Mix 40% Intermediate 60% Social Rent 0% Affordable Rent Transfer Value (% OMV) 66% Intermediate 44% Low Cost 0% Affordable Rent NB Not Applied to Student Housing Professional 8.0% Construction Cost Legal Fees 0.5% GDV Statutory Fees 1.1% Construction Cost Sales/Marketing Costs 2.0% Market Units Value Contingencies 5.0% Construction Cost 5.0% 12 Month Construction 6 Mth Sales Void Arrangement Fee 1.0% Cost Development Profit Market Hsg 20.0% of GDV Afford Hsg 20% of GDV CONSTRUCTION COSTS Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Student Sqm Abnormal Costs Archlogy (Ha) Flood (Ha) Access (Ha) Contam (Ha) Sec 106 & Policy Costs(unit) Ground Stability (Ha) Utilities Upgrade (Ha) Open Space NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 42

44 6 Site Allocation Viability Appraisals ALLOCATED SITE APPRAISAL MIXED HOUSING ASSUMPTIONS House Types Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed House Sizes (Sqm) Density Assumptions Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Housing Mix Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed % Mix 0% 0% 60% 30% 10% Affordable Housing Mix Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed % Mix 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% ALLOCATED SITE APPRAISAL APARTMENT ASSUMPTIONS House Types 1 Bed Apt 2 Bed Apt House Sizes (Sqm) Density Assumptions 1 Bed Apt 2 Bed Apt Housing Mix 1 Bed Apt 2 Bed Apt % Mix 50% 50% Affordable Housing Mix Apt 2 Bed % Mix 0% 0% NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 43

45 6 Site Allocation Viability Appraisals ALLOCATED SITE APPRAISAL STUDENT HOUSING ASSUMPTIONS House Types studio twodio 3bed 4bed 5/6bed House Sizes (Sqm) Density Assumptions studio twodio 3bed 4bed 5/6bed Housing Mix studio twodio 3bed 4bed 5/6bed % Mix 10% 10% 20% 20% 40% Affordable Housing Mix Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed % Mix 0% 0% 0% 0% 6.3 The Sales, Land Value and draft CIL Rate assumptions varied dependent on sub market area as follows :- LOW ZONE LAND VALUES (Plot Values) 1B Apt 2B Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Greenfield Brownfield SALES VALUES 1B Apt 2B Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Sqm 1,800 1,800 2,000 1,950 1,950 1,900 COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE LEVY 15 Per Sqm NB No CIL Applied to Apartments NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 44

46 6 Site Allocation Viability Appraisals MEDIUM ZONE LAND VALUES (Plot Values) 1B Apt 2B Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Greenfield Brownfield SALES VALUES 1B Apt 2B Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Sqm 2,000 2,200 2,200 2,150 2,150 2,100 COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE LEVY 50 Per Sqm NB No CIL Applied to Apartments HIGH ZONE LAND VALUES (Plot Values) Greenfield NA NA Brownfield NA NA 1B Apt 2B Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed SALES VALUES 1B Apt 2B Apt 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Sqm 2,300 2,300 2,450 2,400 2,400 2,350 COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE LEVY 100 Per Sqm NB No CIL Applied to Apartments STUDENT HOUSING LAND VALUES (Plot Values) studio twodio 3bed 4bed 5/6bed Greenfield Brownfield SALES VALUES studio twodio 3bed 4bed 5/6bed Sqm 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE LEVY 0 Per Sqm NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 45

47 6 Site Allocation Viability Appraisals Delivery Timescale 6.4 The delivery of housing and sites has been considered over a plan period of 15 years and broken down into 5 year delivery periods from 0-5 years, 6-10 years and years. Larger sites have assumed phased delivery across all three periods. 6.5 Based on forecasts from industry research (Savills for regional residential market trends and Gleeds for construction cost forecasts) the following broad assumption adjustments have been applied to the values and costs in the study in the three appraisal periods. There will obviously be significant fluctuations over a 15 year plan period with higher residential value growth likely in the early part of the cycle but the figures are considered to represent reasonable estimates for the purpose of the Viability Appraisal. Assumption Adjustments Residential Values Av Annual Increase % Construction Costs Av Annual increase % Delivery Period 0-5 Years 6-10 Years Years Value Adjustment 0% 27% 46% Costs Adjustment 0% 17% 29% 6.6 No adjustment is applied to current costs and values in the 0-5 year period or the generic CIL appraisals as required by the NPPF and Harman guidance. A period of 8 years of compounded adjustments is applied to the 6-10 year period of the SHLAA appraisals and 13 years for the year period. Adjustments are similarly applied to CIL Rates and Abnormal Site Constraint Costs in the SHLAA appraisals. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 46

48 6 Site Viability Appraisals r 6.7 The site specific testing indicates whether individual development sites are considered viable on a traffic light red, green, amber approach (having applied draft CIL rates as well as all of the policy cost impacts outlined in Section 4). Green Site considered broadly viable having made allowance for all reasonable development impacts, a standard developers profit and return to the landowner. Amber Site considered capable of viable development making allowance for all reasonable development impacts, a standard developers profit but acknowledging that landowners may need to accept land value reductions for abnormal site development costs if development is to proceed. Red Site not currently considered viable based on implementation of Council policies and standard returns to landowners. It should be recognised that sites in this category may be viable if (a) the abnormal costs of bringing the site into a developable state (including some up front infrastructure investment) are deducted from the land value, (b) the Council is minded to relax affordable housing or infrastructure contributions or (c) landowner/developers accept some reduced profit return to stimulate the development. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 47

49 6 Site Viability Appraisals r MIXED HOUSING LOW ZONE 0-5 YEAR DELIVERY Mixed Housing Viability Results Low Zone 0-5 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA9 Edwards Lane - Former Haywood School Detached Playing Field Greenfield 169,772 PA13 Edwards Lane - Former Haywood School Site Greenfield 397,908 PA15 Bulwell Lane - Former Coach Depot Brownfield 88,495 Woodhouse Way - Woodhouse Park (Formerly Nottingham Business PA17 Park South) Greenfield 1,960,204 PA19 Lortas Road Greenfield 340,870 PA23 Radford Road - Former Basford Gasworks Brownfield - 1,326 PA25 Chingford Road Playing Field Greenfield 323,363 PA32 Beechdale Road - South of Former Co-op Dairy Brownfield 17,584 PA33 Chalfont Drive - Former Government Buildings Brownfield - 49,090 PA37 Robin Hood Chase Brownfield 60,167 PA40 Daleside Road - Former Colwick Service Station Brownfield 48,539 PA42 Ilkeston Road - Radford Mill Brownfield 106,752 PA75 Canal Quarter - Crocus Street, Southpoint Brownfield 790,454 MIXED HOUSING LOW ZONE 6-10 YEAR DELIVERY Mixed Housing Viability Results Low Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA1 Bestwood Road - Former Bestwood Day Centre Brownfield 574,042 PA3 Eastglade, Top Valley - Former Eastglade School Site Greenfield 1,275,359 PA5 Ridgeway - Former Padstow School Detached Playing Field Greenfield 2,572,848 PA6 Beckhampton Road - Former Padstow School Detached Playing Field Greenfield 617,234 PA8 Padstow Road - Former Padstow School Site Greenfield 5,936,440 PA9 Edwards Lane - Former Haywood School Detached Playing Field Greenfield 2,008,353 PA10 Piccadilly - Former Henry Mellish School Playing Field Greenfield 1,039,984 PA12 Highbury Road - Former Henry Mellish School Site Greenfield 570,984 PA13 Edwards Lane - Former Haywood School Site Brownfield 630,999 PA14 Arnside Road - Former Chronos Richardson Brownfield 1,192,115 PA15 Bulwell Lane - Former Coach Depot Brownfield 171,384 Woodhouse Way - Woodhouse Park (Formerly Nottingham Business PA17 Park South) Greenfield 2,130,123 PA18 Vernon Road - Former Johnsons Dyeworks Brownfield 454,127 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 48

50 6 Site Viability Appraisals r MIXED HOUSING LOW ZONE 6-10 YEAR DELIVERY Mixed Housing Viability Results Low Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA20 Haydn Road/Hucknall Road - Severn Trent Water Depot Brownfield 416,901 PA22 Western Boulevard Brownfield 747,216 PA23 Radford Road - Former Basford Gasworks Brownfield 547,368 PA24 College Way - Melbury School Playing Field Greenfield 1,278,507 PA25 Chingford Road Playing Field Greenfield 3,044,975 PA26 Denewood Crescent - Denewood Centre Brownfield 610,300 PA29 Bobbers Mill Bridge - Land Adjacent to Bobbers Mill Industrial Estate Brownfield 245,459 PA30 Bobbers Mill Bridge - Bobbers Mill Industrial Estate Brownfield 148,052 PA31 Ascot Road - Speedo Brownfield 576,581 PA33 Chalfont Drive - Former Government Buildings Brownfield 4,814,970 PA38 Carlton Road - Former Castle College Brownfield 289,424 PA39 Carlton Road - Former Albany Works Site and Co-op Brownfield 213,488 PA42 Ilkeston Road - Radford Mill Brownfield 734,510 PA43 Salisbury Street Brownfield 285,982 PA44 Derby Road - Sandfield Centre Brownfield 2,598,668 PA51 Riverside Way Brownfield 711,151 PA57 Clifton West Greenfield 6,213,894 PA58 Green Lane - Fairham House Brownfield 927,631 PA59 Farnborough Road - Former Fairham Comprehensive School Brownfield 3,454,220 PA62 Brook Street East Brownfield 910,712 PA63 Brook Street West Brownfield 919,692 PA64 Creative Quarter - Sneinton Market Brownfield 895,356 PA72 Canal Quarter - Waterway Street Brownfield 583,715 PA74 Canal Quarter - Arkwright Street East Brownfield 357,501 PA80 Waterside - Cattle Market Brownfield 412,044 PA83 Waterside - Daleside Road, Trent Lane Basin Brownfield 3,952,050 PA11 Stanton Tip - Hempshill Vale Brownfield 1,959,368 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 49

51 6 Site Viability Appraisals r MIXED HOUSING LOW ZONE YEAR DELIVERY Viability Results Low Zone 11-15Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA3 Eastglade, Top Valley - Former Eastglade School Site Brownfield 1,250,777 PA18 Vernon Road - Former Johnsons Dyeworks Brownfield 1,078,587 PA20 Haydn Road/Hucknall Road - Severn Trent Water Depot Brownfield 753,778 PA26 Denewood Crescent - Denewood Centre Brownfield 1,814,813 PA27 Wilkinson Street - Former PZ Cussons Brownfield 4,178,303 PA30 Bobbers Mill Bridge - Bobbers Mill Industrial Estate Brownfield 1,858,834 PA33 Chalfont Drive - Former Government Buildings Brownfield 970,422 PA39 Carlton Road - Former Albany Works Site and Co-op Brownfield 97,591 PA44 Derby Road - Sandfield Centre Brownfield 851,593 PA72 Canal Quarter - Waterway Street Brownfield 251,463 PA73 Canal Quarter - Sheriffs Way/Arkwright Street Brownfield 3,447,143 PA74 Canal Quarter - Arkwright Street East Brownfield 390,721 PA80 Waterside - Cattle Market Brownfield 846,258 PA83 Waterside - Daleside Road, Trent Lane Basin Brownfield 1,962,309 PA85 Waterside - Trent Lane, Park Yacht Club Brownfield 7,681,685 PA11 Stanton Tip - Hempshill Vale Brownfield 5,058,931 MIXED HOUSING MEDIUM ZONE 0-5 YEAR DELIVERY Viability Results Medium Zone 0-5 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA28 Ransom Road - Hine Hall Greenfield 1,240,921 PA45 Prospect Place Brownfield 1,034,330 PA46 Derby Road - Former Hillside Club Brownfield 144,157 PA47 Abbey Street/Leen Gate Brownfield 576,770 MIXED HOUSING HIGH ZONE 0-5 YEAR DELIVERY Viability Results High Zone 0-5 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA36 Russell Drive - Radford Bridge Allotments Greenfield 706,228 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 50

52 6 Site Viability Appraisals r MIXED HOUSING HIGH ZONE 6-10 YEAR DELIVERY Viability Results High Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA35 Woodyard Lane - Siemens Brownfield 3,042,149 PA36 Russell Drive - Radford Bridge Allotments Greenfield 2,994,902 APARTMENTS LOW ZONE 6-10 YEAR DELIVERY Apartments Viability Results Low Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA34 Beechdale Road - Former Beechdale Baths Brownfield 247,403 PA41 Alfreton Road - Forest Mill Brownfield 673,768 PA65 Creative Quarter - Bus Depot Brownfield 112,027 PA66 Castle Quarter - Maid Marian Way, College Site Brownfield 163,354 PA70 Canal Quarter - Queens Road, East of Nottingham Station Brownfield 1,202,705 PA79 Waterside - Iremonger Road Brownfield 24,612 PA81 Waterside - Meadow Lane Brownfield 292,650 APARTMENTS LOW ZONE YEAR DELIVERY Apartments Viability Results Low Zone Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA65 Creative Quarter - Bus Depot Brownfield 912,782 PA66 Castle Quarter - Maid Marian Way, College Site Brownfield 283,109 PA69 Canal Quarter - Station Street/Carrington Street Brownfield 499,102 PA79 Waterside - Iremonger Road Brownfield 393,279 PA81 Waterside - Meadow Lane Brownfield 3,633,566 PA82 Waterside - Freeth Street Brownfield 3,375,281 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 51

53 6 Site Viability Appraisals r APARTMENTS MEDIUM ZONE 6-10 YEAR DELIVERY Apartments Viability Results Low Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA56 Sturgeon Avenue - The Spinney Brownfield 646,721 STUDENT HOUSING LOW ZONE 0-5 YEAR DELIVERY Student Housing Viability Results Low Zone 0-5 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability Talbot Tabot Street Brownfield 2,498,403 NSS 245 North Sherwood Street Brownfield 26,720 Siegel B Siegel I Maiden Lane Brownfield 680, As indicated at Section 6.5 above, the site specific test results for 6-10 years and years have been based on industry predictions for steady year on year increases in both costs and values with increases in values outstripping costs. This approach has produced viable results for all sites tested in the post 0-5 year periods. Given that economic cycles are notoriously difficult to predict and by way of a check and balance, the City Council requested that some sample tests were undertaken over the 6-10 year period, assuming a scenario with a more modest period of growth and costs and values rising at the same rate. The following tables, therefore, show the results for the low zone housing sites in this period assuming a 3% rise in both costs and in values. MIXED HOUSING LOW ZONE 6-10 YEAR DELIVERY (3% Growth Scenario) Viability Results Low Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA1 Bestwood Road - Former Bestwood Day Centre Brownfield 114,451 PA3 Eastglade, Top Valley - Former Eastglade School Site Greenfield 714,801 PA5 Ridgeway - Former Padstow School Detached Playing Field Greenfield 1,404,029 Beckhampton Road - Former Padstow School Detached PA6 Playing Field Greenfield 334,730 PA8 Padstow Road - Former Padstow School Site Greenfield 3,239,089 Edwards Lane - Former Haywood School Detached Playing PA9 Field Greenfield 961,403 PA10 Piccadilly - Former Henry Mellish School Playing Field Greenfield 579,048 PA12 Highbury Road - Former Henry Mellish School Site Greenfield 324,339 PA13 Edwards Lane - Former Haywood School Site Brownfield 150,842 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 52

54 6 Site Viability Appraisals r Viability Results Low Zone 6-10 Year Delivery Ref Site Size Units Type Viability PA14 Arnside Road - Former Chronos Richardson Brownfield 344,104 PA15 Bulwell Lane - Former Coach Depot Brownfield 35,237 Woodhouse Way - Woodhouse Park (Formerly Nottingham Business Park PA17 South) Greenfield 1,098,697 PA18 Vernon Road - Former Johnsons Dyeworks Brownfield - 7,667 PA20 Haydn Road/Hucknall Road - Severn Trent Water Depot Brownfield 76,311 PA22 Western Boulevard Brownfield 122,743 PA23 Radford Road - Former Basford Gasworks Brownfield 43,482 PA24 College Way - Melbury School Playing Field Greenfield 649,136 PA25 Chingford Road Playing Field Greenfield 1,450,809 PA26 Denewood Crescent - Denewood Centre Brownfield 161,853 PA29 Bobbers Mill Bridge - Land Adjacent to Bobbers Mill Industrial Estate Brownfield 28,165 PA30 Bobbers Mill Bridge - Bobbers Mill Industrial Estate Brownfield - 73,947 PA31 Ascot Road - Speedo Brownfield 121,484 PA33 Chalfont Drive - Former Government Buildings Brownfield 929,998 PA38 Carlton Road - Former Castle College Brownfield 78,526 PA39 Carlton Road - Former Albany Works Site and Co-op Brownfield 58,089 PA42 Ilkeston Road - Radford Mill Brownfield 179,514 PA43 Salisbury Street Brownfield 63,983 PA44 Derby Road - Sandfield Centre Brownfield 656,182 PA51 Riverside Way Brownfield 156,155 PA57 Clifton West Greenfield 3,050,416 PA58 Green Lane - Fairham House Brownfield 367,073 PA59 Farnborough Road - Former Fairham Comprehensive School Brownfield 1,251,271 PA62 Brook Street East Brownfield 348,709 PA63 Brook Street West Brownfield 358,456 PA64 Creative Quarter - Sneinton Market Brownfield 332,039 PA72 Canal Quarter - Waterway Street Brownfield 223,290 PA74 Canal Quarter - Arkwright Street East Brownfield 131,610 PA80 Waterside - Cattle Market Brownfield 113,880 PA83 Waterside - Daleside Road, Trent Lane Basin Brownfield 1,103,377 PA11 Stanton Tip - Hempshill Vale Brownfield 342, It can be seen that this has had a negative effect on viability and results for some sites show more marginal or negative viability (e.g. PA18 Vernon Road, Former Johnson s Dyeworks and PA30 Bobbers Mill Bridge). This indicates that, should economic conditions reflect this scenario, the Council will need to revisit its assumptions regarding Section 106 contributions and ensure a flexible policy approach to maintain site delivery. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 53

55 7 Conclusions Residential Viability Assessment 7.1 The Nottingham City Local Plan sets out the strategy to deliver housing over the plan period. The Plan Wide Viability assessment illustrated that firstly, in general terms, housing development proposed in all locations in the Nottingham City Local Plan are broadly viable and, secondly, can accommodate CIL charges whilst maintaining the Council s Affordable Housing aspirations. The assessment of residential land and property values indicated that the Authority did possess significantly different residential sub-markets that warrant differential value assumptions being made in the Whole Plan Viability Assessment and, potentially, a differential rate approach to CIL based on three geographical zones. These are set out in the zone maps at Section The viability results are summarised in the table below. The figures represent the margin of viability per sqm taking account of all development values and costs, plan policy impact costs and having made allowance for a competitive return to the landowner and developer. In essence a positive margin confirms whole plan viability and the level of positive margin represents the potential to introduce additional CIL charges. NOTTINGHAM CITY Residential Viability Results for Plan Wide Viability Assessment Charging Zone/Base Land Value Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Conversion Student New Build 1 Low Greenfield 881, ,325-1,659, ,473 21,293 NA 79,605 Brownfield 249, ,758-1,857,532 57,431 11, ,127 18,406 2 Medium Greenfield 1,547, , , ,656 29,662 NA 79,605 Brownfield 732, , , ,169 20, ,127 18,406 3 High Greenfield 2,192,633 1,180,822-37, ,118 40,125 NA 79,605 Brownfield 1,525, , , ,631 30, ,127 18,406 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 54

56 7 Conclusions Nottingham City Potential Residential CIL Charges Sub Market Zone/Base Land Value Mixed Residential Family Housing Apartments Small Infill Development Single Dwelling Student Flats Conversion Student Apartments New Build 1 Low Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield Medium Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield High Greenfield NA 33 Brownfield The results of the viability testing clearly demonstrate that Affordable Housing delivery at the Council s policy target of 20% delivery proposed by the Plan is viable with a substantial margin for flexibility and potentially permitting CIL charges. 7.4 The testing showed that the Nottingham City Local Plan Policies are broadly viable and all forms of housing development are capable of yielding significant levels of CIL. Greenfield housing development demonstrated viable CIL rate potential of dependent on the sub-market area. Brownfield housing demonstrated CIL rate potential of per sqm. For the purpose of CIL assessment, both Greenfield and Brownfield Apartment development demonstrated no margin to introduce CIL charges, though it should be recognised that these are generic appraisals and individual sites which may be developed more economically or command higher values due to their specific location may be broadly viable and deliverable. 7.5 The testing also demonstrated that student housing is viable and deliverable though the margins available for CIL charges are limited. Key Findings Commercial Viability Assessment 7.6 The initial assessment of commercial land and property values indicated that there were not significant differences in values to justify differential sub-market based assumptions or differential CIL charging zones. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 55

57 7 Conclusions 7.7 The commercial category viability results are set out in the table below. Only food supermarket retail with potential CIL rate charges of per sqm, dependent on existing land use and general retail with potential rates of , demonstrate positive viability. NCS Charging Zone/Base Land Value Industrial (B1b B1c B2 B8) Office (B1a) Hotel (C1) Residential Institution (C2) Community (D1) Leisure (D2) Agricultural (A1-A5) Sui Generis Food Supermarket Retail A1 General Retail A1-A5 Commercial Viability Results for Plan Wide Viability Assessment General Zone Greenfield Brownfield - 149, ,563-1,530,593-1,625,431-1,564,296-1,709,370-3,071,765-3,219, , , , , ,522 Car Sales - 233,421 Car Repairs - 649,036 1,413,489 1,193,766 64,925 54,256 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 56

58 7 Conclusions NCS Charging Zone/Base Land Value Industrial (B1b B1c B2 B8) Office (B1a) Hotel (C1) Residential Institution (C2) Community (D1) Leisure (D2) Agricultural (A1-A5) Sui Generis Food Supermarket Retail A1 General Retail A1-A5 Maximum Commercial CIL Rates per sq m General Zone Greenfield Brownfield ,068-2, Car Sales Car Repairs All of the remaining commercial use class appraisals indicated negative viability and therefore no margin to introduce CIL charges. It is therefore recommended that all non-retail categories should not be charged CIL based on the existing evidence. 7.9 It should be stressed that whilst the generic appraisals showed that most forms of commercial and employment development are not viable based on the test assumptions, this does not mean that this type of development is not deliverable. For consistency a full developer s profit allowance was included in all the commercial appraisals. In reality many employment developments are undertaken direct by the operators. If the development profit allowance is removed from the calculations, then much employment development would be viable and deliverable. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 57

59 7 Conclusions 7.10 We would recommend some caution in respect of food supermarket retail rates. Whilst the study has made a reasoned assessment of land values, transactional evidence is low due to lack of activity in the sector. As specific retail projects emerge it is likely that landowners will expect significant premiums in order to release sites, which may reduce viability levels significantly and this should be taken into consideration in rate setting. As a general rule we would recommend a buffer of around 30-40% for commercial retail rates and because rates cannot be set based on existing use (only on proposed use), brownfield rates should generally be used as the starting point. CIL Appraisal Conclusions 7.11 The study demonstrates that most of the development proposed by the Local Plan is broadly viable and deliverable taking account of the cost impacts of the policies proposed by the plan and the requirements for viability assessment set out in the NPPF. It is further considered that significant additional margin exists, beyond a reasonable return to the landowner and developer to accommodate CIL charges In terms of CIL, it is recommended that there are sufficient variations in residential viability to justify a differential zone approach to setting residential CIL rates across the Nottingham City area Taking account of the viability results, the generic nature of the tests, a reasonable buffer to allow for additional site specific abnormal costs, in the event Nottingham City Council wish to pursue CIL, we would recommend the following zonal rates. Nottingham City has a primarily brownfield residential delivery strategy and so the rates are set well within the lower brownfield viability margins and also take account of the delivery of development on the allocated sites. It is recommended that all Apartment development is zero rated. Residential CIL Apartments 0sqm Student Housing 0sqm 1 Low Zone Housing 15sqm 2 Medium Zone Housing 50sqm 3 High Zone Housing 100sqm 7.14 It is recommended that a single zone approach is taken to setting commercial CIL rates. The viability assessment results indicate that all non-retail commercial uses should be zero rated The retail viability assessment results indicate that differential rates could be legitimately applied to both types of retail use and, in the case of food supermarket development also to scale of development. Based on the viability assessment results and taking account of a reasonable viability buffer and the issues set out in paragraph 1.19, the following Commercial CIL rates are recommended. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 58

60 7 Conclusions Citywide All Non-residential uses (excepting Retail) Boroughwide General Retail A1-A5 (excluding Food Supermarket) Food Supermarket A1 0sqm 80sqm 120sqm CIL Revenue Potential 7.16 In order to estimate residential CIL over the plan period, the recommended CIL rate is applied to an average dwelling size of 90 sq metres for eligible dwellings. In Nottingham City, if a decision is made to implement CIL, the earliest it could be introduced is 2016/2017 ie Year 6 of the Plan period onwards. This would mean approximately 5,000 would be potentially liable for CIL. Assuming 20% of these are exempt as affordable Housing, the projected CIL liable floorspace is 4,000 x 90sqm = 360,000sqm 7.17 The floorspace projections for commercial categories of development that would be liable for CIL, over the plan period, are set out in the table below. Charging Zone Category CIL Rate Eligible Floorspace CIL Revenue Low Zone Housing ,120 5,086,000 Medium Zone Housing 50 8, ,600 High Zone Housing ,600 1,260,000 Citywide General Retail 80 3, ,000 Citywide Food Supermarket 120 9,000 1,080,000 Total 8,084,000 NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 59

61 7 Conclusions Allocated Site Viability Appraisal Conclusions 7.18 The viability testing of proposed residential sites in Nottingham City has been undertaken, accounting for the following policy impacts and key assumptions :- Greenfield or Brownfield Development Delivery Timescale Affordable Housing Delivery of 20% (excepting apartments and student housing) Key Planning Policy Cost Impacts Community Infrastructure Levy Residual Planning Obligation Allowances Site Specific Abnormal Costs and Mitigation Factors 7.19 The study is a strategic assessment of whole plan viability and as such is not intended to represent a detailed viability assessment of every individual site. The study applies the general assumptions in terms of affordable housing, planning policy costs impacts and identified site mitigation factors based on generic allowances. It is anticipated that more detailed mitigation cost and viability information may be required at planning application stage to determine the appropriate level of affordable housing and planning obligation contributions where viability issues are raised. The purpose of the study is to determine whether the development strategy proposed by the Plan is deliverable given the policy cost impacts of the Plan The study illustrated that all greenfield sites in the initial 0-5 year delivery period (ie the 5 year land supply) are broadly viable based on the adopted assumptions. Two of the brownfield sites demonstrate marginal viability but in both cases the abnormal costs associated with bringing the sites into a developable condition so it may be reasonably assumed that the land value will be adjusted to enable these sites to be viably delivered (it is normal practice for land prices to be reduced in ratio with any identified abnormal development costs) Viability improves in both the medium term (6-10 years) and longer term (11-15 years) with all housing sites demonstrating positive viability Based on the assumptions in the study whereby overall viability is predicted to improve over the short to medium term, all apartment development envisaged by the plan is considered to be viable and deliverable in the 6-15 year period In conclusion, the assessment of all proposed residential sites in Nottingham City has been undertaken with due regard to the requirements of the NPPF and the best practice advice contained in Viability Testing Local Plans. It is considered that all sites are broadly viable across the entire plan period taking account of the Affordable/Low Cost Housing requirements and all policy impacts of the Local Plan as well as the potential introduction of CIL in the future. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 60

62 7 Conclusions 7.24 It should be noted that this study should be seen as a strategic overview of plan level viability rather than as any specific interpretation of Nottingham City Council policy on the viability of any individual site or application of planning policy to affordable housing, CIL or developer contributions. Similarly the conclusions and recommendations in the report do not necessarily reflect the views of Nottingham City Council. NCS Nationwide CIL Service Page 61

63 Appendix 1 Heb Surveyors Valuation Report July 2015 NCS Nationwide CIL Service

64 1 LOCAL PLAN & COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE LEVY LAND AND PROPERTY VALUE APPRAISAL STUDY AS PART OF EVIDENCE BASE FOR AND ON BEHALF OF NOTTINGHAM CITY COUNCIL, BROXTOWE BOROUGH COUNCIL & RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL REPORT PREPARED BY heb CHARTERED SURVEYORS 17 THE ROPEWALK NOTTINGHAM NG1 5DU Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors Registered Valuers 22 JULY 2015

65 2 CONTENTS Page No Terms of Reference 3 An Introduction to CIL 4 The Evidence Base 5 The Study Area 8 Local Property Market Overview 9 Procedure & Methodology 10 Evidence Dates 15 Basis of Valuation 15 Potential CIL Charging Zones 16 Sector Specific Valuation Commentary 19 Conclusions 37 Limitation of Liability 37 Appendices Appendix 1 Potential CIL Charging Zone Maps, identifying typical property values 38 Appendix 2 Indicative Commercial & Residential Values Adopted 41 Appendix 3 Additional Valuation Data 43

66 3 TERMS OF REFERENCE As part of our instruction to provide valuation advice and assistance to Nottingham City Council, Broxtowe Borough Council and Rushcliffe Borough Council in respect Local Plan testing and possible Community Infrastructure Levy adoption, we are instructed to prepare a report identifying typical land and property values for geographical locations within the study area. These typical land and sale prices are to reflect new build accommodation and test categories have been broken down into land use types reflecting the broad divisions of the use classes order reflecting common development land use types specifically:- 1) Residential (C3 houses) 2) Residential (C3 apartments, including dedicated student housing) 3) Other residential institutions (C1, C2) 4) Food retail (supermarkets) 5) General retail (A1, A2, A3, A4, A5) 6) Offices (B1a Cat A fit out) 7) Industrial (B1, B/C, B2, B8) 8) Institutional and community use (D1) 9) Leisure (D2, including casinos) 10) Agricultural 11) Sui Generis (see later notes) It should be noted that although food supermarket retail falls under an A1 use, we have specifically assessed it as a separate category since it generally commands a much higher value than other retail categories. We have provided valuation guidance however it is up to each Authority to decide whether they wish to adopt a separate charging category for this use, or adopt a general retail charge, more reflective of all retail uses. The purpose of this value appraisal study is to provide part of the Evidence Base in support of Local Plan viability testing and the preparation of the Community Infrastructure preliminary draft charging schedules. We have assessed evidence from across the administrative areas to consider whether separate value zones may be appropriate, or whether a single zone rate can be applied. The report also provides evidence to justify whether a fixed rate or variable (by use type) CIL rate charging scheme might be appropriate within the district. 3

67 4 AN INTRODUCTION TO CIL The Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) is a charge which local authorities in England and Wales can apply to new development in their area. CIL charges will be based on the size, type and location of the development proposed. The money raised will be used to pay for strategic and other infrastructure required to support growth. Authorities wishing to charge CIL are required to produce a CIL charging schedule that sets out the rates that will be applied. This must be based on evidence of need for infrastructure and an assessment of the impact of CIL on the economic viability of development. If an Infrastructure Delivery Plan is in place, it will provide the underlying evidence for establishing a CIL system but it is not essential. CIL is intended to contribute to the Infrastructure intended to support new development as part of the Authority s development strategy. Relevant infrastructure might include:- Highways and Transport Improvements; Educational Facilities; Health Centres; Community Facilities & Libraries; Sports Facilities; Flood Defences; and Green Infrastructure CIL may be used in conjunction with planning obligation contributions to make up an identified funding deficit. CIL cannot currently be used to fund affordable housing. 4

68 5 THE EVIDENCE BASE The CIL Guidance advises that a charging authority must provide evidence on economic viability and infrastructure planning as background for examination. The legislation (Sec 212 (4) B) of the 2008 Planning Act requires that appropriate available evidence must inform a draft charging schedule. It is up to each individual charging authority to determine what valuation evidence is appropriate to demonstrate they have struck an appropriate balance between infrastructure funding and the potential effect of CIL on economic viability development within the District. A report commissioned from Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Registered Valuers (as in this instance) is generally deemed appropriate. Our evidence takes an area based view, by a broad sample of value to establish a fair indicative value tone for the study area. The CIL Guidance recommends that standard valuation models should be used to inform viability evidence. Where differential rates of CIL are proposed (rather than a flat fixed rate ) then Guidance advises that market sector sampling will be required to justify the boundaries of charging zones and the rates of different categories of development. The Guidance also confirms that the an Authority may adopt a pragmatic approach when assessing value evidence, and that adopted value judgments need not necessarily exactly mirror available evidence. The purpose of this report is to provide a bespoke valuation Evidence Base, specifically for assessing possible implementation of CIL. Whilst it is possible to assemble an evidence base from many different (and in some instances existing) information sources, we believe there is an inherent danger in this approach. The underlying assumptions for valuation or costs assessment in each data source may be different and a mix and match approach may be flawed when comparable evidence is scrutinised. 5

69 6 We consider our approach herein to be far reaching and sufficiently robust to be defensible at a CIL Examination (as evidenced by previous Inspector approvals elsewhere). The valuation evidence obtained to produce this report takes the form of an area wide approach as recommended by the guidance, and allows for economic viability of development to be considered as a whole, whereby all categories of development have been assessed. Land and property valuation evidence has been assembled for the following categories:- Residential (C3) land values per hectare, and development value based on dwelling type. Commercial land values per hectare and completed development values in the following categories:- Food Retail (supermarket) General Retail (A1, A2, A3, A4, A5) Bespoke Student accommodation Industrial (B1, B, B1c, B2, B8) Hotels (C1) Institutional and Community (D1) Offices (B1a) Residential Institutions (C2) Leisure (D2) Agricultural Sui Generis (sample based on indicative recent planning history) Valuation methodology has consisted primarily of collecting recent comparable transactions within all of the identified development categories prior to full analysis (more fully outlined under Procedure and Methodology ). Where evidence may be unavailable, for example new build stock, more unusual use classes and especially within certain locations, reasoned valuation assumptions have been taken. The key to our approach is to assess at what value land and property may reasonably come forward. Where appropriate, residual valuations have been undertaken to incorporate and verify figures. 6

70 7 It should be noted that there will inevitably be scope for anomalies to be identified within the charging area. This is to be expected (and is allowable under the CIL guidance). The values identified herein provide a fair and reasonable tone across the study area. This approach and methodology is deemed wholly acceptable under the CIL regulations and guidance, whereby it is accepted that inevitably valuation at an area wide level cannot be taken down to a micro economic geographical level. 7

71 8 THE STUDY AREA The study area comprises the administrative boundaries of Nottingham City and the Boroughs of Rushcliffe and Broxtowe. Situated in Central England it comprises three of the forty four councils that make up the East Midlands region, and the eight of Nottinghamshire. The study area includes the settlements of Nottingham City, West Bridgford and Beeston amongst several others Nottingham City covers an area of some 29 Sq Miles, and has an estimated population (2011 census) of 305,000 persons. Broxtowe Borough covers an area of 31 Sq miles, and has an estimated population of 110,000 persons. Rushcliffe Borough covers an area of 158 Sq miles, and has and estimated population of 111,000 persons. The study area is well served by road, rail and other transport links, including the M1 motorway, East Midlands airport, and numerous main line train stations. London is approximately 120 miles to the South, with the conurbations of Derby, Leicester, Sheffield, Lincoln and Birmingham all easily accessible. 8

72 9 LOCAL PROPERTY MARKET OVERVIEW The local economy is generally buoyant, and the location as a whole is largely prosperous although pockets of deprivation exist. Nottingham City tends to dominate the local economy, with Beeston and West Bridgford acting as the administrative centres for Broxtowe and Rushcliffe. Across the study area a wide range of property values can be demonstrated. Nottingham City tends to command the highest commercial property values, but generally has less a buoyant housing market (The Park and Wollaton being notable exceptions). Rushcliffe has a much more rural landscape, outside the urban area of West Bridgford and the main towns and villages. Rushcliffe is a much sought-after residential area, with many high value areas. Broxtowe has a combination of urban and rural landscapes, as well as a cross section of high lower value areas. Nottingham City dominates the market for retail and offices, while other commercial uses are more evenly distributed across the study area, often linked to the road network, especially the M1. 9

73 10 PROCEDURE & METHODOLOGY The Planning Practice CIL Guidance 2014 recommends that standard valuation models should be used to inform viability evidence, and this approach has been adhered to for the purpose of this report. Inevitably our methodology has varied to some extent with each property sector addressed, primarily due to the differing valuation techniques appropriate and required for that property type. More specific clarification is given within the chapter outlining methodology for each specific market category. Rather than simply relying on existing studies and published data tables, and to ensure a robust evidence base at Examination, our methodology favours an approach which is pragmatic and balances the reasonable expectations of landowners return with the contributions expected by the Local Authority for the infrastructure needs generated by new development, as advocated by the National Planning Policy Framework. Our approach pays due regard to market comparison evidence available in each of the charging categories to provide a sense checked output, bespoke to the authority. Our methodology is more thoroughly outlined later in this report under the residential valuation commentary. We believe this approach better reflects the realities of the property market and is therefore compliant with the best practice guidance in Viability Testing Local Plans (LHDG 2012) and Financial Viability in Planning (RICS 2012) Wherever possible we have incorporated an assessment of the transactional market comparison information that is available, adapting it through justifiable assumptions where necessary. This market sampling can then be used to confirm validity of our residual valuations. It should be appreciated that it has not always been possible to find a definitive piece of evidence for every property type in every potential zone. The CIL guidance accepts that this may inevitably be the case on occasion, and where appropriate, reasoned assumptions have been taken. With regards to our built property sales valuations, our methodology varies slightly between commercial property and residential property. 10

74 11 With commercial property we have scrutinised and adopted evidence from actual sales transaction evidence where possible, this is backed up where appropriate by market rent capitalisation whereby rental evidence (and estimated market rental levels) are capitalised through multiplication reflecting appropriate investment yield profiles to produce a capital value. Our residential sales values are based upon actual market comparable evidence, due to the fact that housing tends to offer a much more uniform product, with more easily identifiable sales value market evidence being available. This is backed up with stakeholder opinion where appropriate. Members of our professional team have made a number of visits to appropriate locations within the study area to back up our extensive desktop research. For the purposes of this report we have identified, assembled and fully analysed substantial amounts of individual comparable market evidence. Clearly it would be impractical to tabulate and include all of the information obtained within this report, however we will be happy to provide more detailed evidence on any aspect of our comparable database upon request. Additional comparable evidence can also be made available at Examination for discussion. For reasons of simplicity in reporting we have focussed on publishing data primarily for those categories where our subsequent viability tests have demonstrated a potential for levying a CIL charge. We should make clear however that we have also obtained and analysed market transactional data and valuation evidence for all other use categories including those where our subsequent viability tests have indicated a lack of sufficient viability for a charge to be considered. As well as our desktop and field research, we have carried out interviews with property agents and developers active within the study area, both in terms of collecting further market evidence but also to establish general market sentiment for each use category. All of the above information has been analysed, considered then distilled into the tabulated figures appended to this report which confirm our opinion as to appropriate indicative values in each category. It should be borne in mind that as with any study where artificial boundaries are imposed, certain anomalies may arise. 11

75 12 There is inevitably a limit to the scale with which this study can be reduced to, and accordingly it is entirely feasible that certain hot or cold spots may exist above or below the overall tone identified for the study area as a whole. Similarly, within the study area an individual site, building or piece of market evidence could fall outside the established tone. A typical example would be in a particularly rural area where there is generally not strong office demand however an individual, bespoke high quality office barn conversion could easily out-perform the average and typical figures quoted herein. In addition to the above market research, we have sought further comparable market evidence from a variety of data points including:- Zoopla / Rightmove Professional user subscriptions Co-Star System a nationwide subscription database covering commercial property issues EGI a further subscription database covering commercial property uses Heb s own residential and commercial databases of transactions. We are locally based valuers, development consultants and agents, and accordingly have an existing extensive knowledge of the locality Land Registry subscription data tables to establish residential sale values by area RICS Commercial Market Survey (quarterly) V.O.A Property Market Report 2012 (last published date) V.O.A. Residential Building Land Report (July 2010) for H.C.A (last published date) RICS Rural Land Survey 2015 (quarterly) Contact and discussions with regional house builders, Estate Agents and Developers Contact / interview of commercial property agents active within the District and region Discussions with Valuation Office / District Valuer as well as the Councils Property Services teams, with particular reference to the more unusual use class categories for example Institutional and Community. Nottingham HMA Employment Land Study, May

76 13 We have further sought local market information and market sentiment from local Stakeholders including (but not exclusively) Taylor Wimpey, Bellway Homes, Redrow Homes, Charles Church / Persimmon Homes, Barratt Homes, Peter James Homes, David Wilson Homes, Strata Homes, Bovis Homes, Bloor Homes, Crest Nicholson, Inside Land, Merriman Property, Saxondale Properties and Chesterford Properties (both hotel development specialists), Best Western Hotels, Oak Student Lettings, Rex Gooding Estate Agents, All of the above parties were contacted with a view to discussing an appropriate value tone for study area. In the majority of instances full cooperation was forthcoming although a small number of potential Stakeholders declined or were unable to fully engage in consultations (typically due to a lack of recent market activity). We believe this methodology has produced the best, most accurate and most recent evidence available to support the recommended CIL rates across the location. When considering this report it should be borne in mind that an element of valuation uncertainty has arisen in recent years primarily due to the turbulent and recessionary market conditions. The recent economic downturn has produced a dramatic fall in the quantity of property transactions taking place which in turn results in far fewer pieces of transactional market evidence that would ordinarily be available in more buoyant market conditions. Inevitably this produces a position where fewer pieces of market evidence are allocated to a larger area with fewer individual charging zones benefitting from quality comparable evidence specifically from within their own boundaries and more particularly for more unusual use classes. In such instances the evidence available must therefore be adapted using best and reasoned assumptions. On occasion we have been obliged to make reasoned subjective judgements as to our opinion of the likely use value for certain zones and uses. Similarly parts of our research comprises market opinion and value judgements gathered from the Stakeholders and property agents active within the area to form a likely value achievable if theoretical transactions had or were occurring. 13

77 14 It has been appropriate and necessary in some instances to value on the basis of alternative use. An example of this might be D1 (clinical), where in real market situations a D1 user will typically acquire a B1 (office) building by way of a subject to planning deal. After an allowance has been made for alteration, the values would typically be broadly similar. The adoption of best, reasoned and justifiable assumptions, is permitted under the CIL guidelines which specify that an authority must consider the effect on viability for each development category. The figures reported herein may appear to be somewhat irregular. This is primarily due to the fact that in practice the property market still operates largely through imperial measurements which we have been obliged to convert to metric for the purposes of this report. By way of example 60 per sq ft becomes per sq m. 14

78 15 EVIDENCE DATES As with any property valuation the date of comparable evidence is critical in terms of achieving a realistic outcome to the study. For this reason we have strived to obtain the most up to date information available. The majority of our comparable evidence was obtained from January 2013 to July Where it has been necessary to analyse older evidence, appropriate judgements have been made by a fully qualified valuation team to adapt the evidence to an appropriate present day figure. We are happy to discuss any individual piece of market evidence upon request, to provide full details including data information where appropriate. BASIS OF VALUATION Unless stated otherwise (for example land value benchmarking ), we have prepared our valuation figures on the basis of Market Value which is defined in the valuation standards published by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors as:- The amount for which a property should exchange at the date of valuation between a willing buyer and willing seller in an arm s length transaction after proper marketing wherein the parties had both acted knowledgably, prudently and without compulsion. 15

79 16 POTENTIAL CIL CHARGING ZONES Residential From our own local market knowledge, we are aware that values range considerably across what is a large and varied geographical area. This is verified further by opinion provided by house builder stakeholders It is accepted that within the study area there are particularly high value hot spots, generally being the most desirable village locations. Inevitably appraisals must take a high level approach with a limit to the scale at which geographical zones can be assessed. To more forensically assess potential zones and confirm the opinion of stakeholders, we obtained Land Registry data for average house price sales over the period January Dec The data was tabulated and analysed on a by Ward basis to produce the heat maps attached at Appendix 1. The findings very much confirm our own and stakeholder opinions, and have also been sense-checked by each authority. Following the sense-check process, the following issues were considered further. i) The Park and Radford Ward in Nottingham City, where one of the study area s highest value addresses (The Park) falls within the same ward as one of the lowest (Radford). This produced a relatively high over-all average house price figure. It was considered that this would unduly threaten potential development in the Radford area, and accordingly a pragmatic decision was taken to include the ward in a lower banding. The Park is a relatively small, well established location, unlikely to produce further development of any significance. 16

80 17 ii) Beeston Central ward initially produced an lower than unexpected average price, especially in comparison to the adjoining Beeston Rylands ward. Concern was raised that the town centre location contained a higher proportion of flats in the sample, than other locations. This in turn had potential to skew the figure to a lower overall average (since typically a flat will sell at a lower price than a house). To address this, the house price data set was re-run to exclude all apartment sales and ensure that wards were being assessed on a like for like basis. The resulting figures were in fact very similar to those produced in the initial appraisal, and made little or no difference to potential value zone boundaries. Although Beeston Central undoubtedly contains a number of well sought-after locations, a closer examination of socio-economic data verifies that it is influenced by other factors in part. We can confirm that following the additional testing we are content with the residential test value zones as adopted, and shown at Appendix 1. Commercial Our research has identified a much less noticeable range for commercial property, with more limited information available. This is due in part to the general lack of new build activity in the commercial market as a result of the economic downturn. The majority of commercial activity is contained within the urban areas, especially Nottingham City. Retail, office, hotel and other commercial functions tend to favour the urban locations, although the M1 junctions act as a draw for Business Parks and warehousing. Within the rural locations, more limited commercial activity exists across all sectors, predominantly convenience retailing. 17

81 18 In summary we do not believe that there is sufficient fine grained evidence to warrant a subdivision into separate CIL charging zones for commercial property. Inevitably the overall lack of tangible quality new build market evidence would mean an arbitrary decision is required as to where boundaries should be drawn which may not be defendable at Examination. While it is certainly the case that retail uses will be at a premium in the urban areas, high street retail is seldom developed from new (more typically a refurbishment of long established existing stock), and even if it were, the established high street locations would not attract CIL since there would be little or no increase in floor area. The most typical retail likely to emerge is from the roadside / convenience sector. Commercial zoning may produce other anomalies, for example a low value retail location near the motorway, would produce strong warehouse demand. Accordingly a one size fits all approach to adopting catch all commercial zoning would be flawed Accordingly in our opinion a single commercial rate should be applied where appropriate, at a level which does not unduly threaten development as a whole across the entire study area. 18

82 19 SECTOR SPECIFIC VALUATION COMMENTARY 1) Residential C3 (houses and apartments) Base Land Values When assessing an appropriate tone for residential development land values, our starting point was to carry out a residual land appraisal whereby a typical development scenario was appraised. In simplified terms this was achieved by assessing the end property value (total projected value of sales), then deducting from this figure the cost of construction, including professional fees, finance and other standard costs of development. The resultant figure is the maximum price which may be available for land acquisition, which in turn determines likely aspirational market values. As a starting point for viability testing, this residual appraisal was carried out without deduction for Affordable Housing, Section 106 contributions or any other Local Authority policy based contributions, to give an indication of the theoretical maximum possible land value which might be appropriate in the study area, based on a given development scenario. The residual approach is more thoroughly outlined (with results) within the Development Equation section of the CIL Viability Testing report. Once the residual land value figure has been calculated it is assessed against other sources of land value information. Qualified property valuers reasoned assumptions and judgement is applied to the market information that is available to produce a sense check land value which is both fair and realistic in current market conditions and not simply academic exercise to produce a theoretical land value which may not bear scrutiny when compared against current market activity. This pragmatic approach balances the reasonable expectation of land owners return with the contributions expected by a Local Authority for infrastructure needs generated by new development, as advocated by the National Planning Policy Framework. We believe this approach better reflects the realities of the property market and is therefore compliant with the best practice guidance in Viability Testing Local Plans (LHDG 2012) and Financial Viability in Planning (RICS 2012). 19

83 20 The residual figure is contained in the Viability Testing report. Where a negative residual value is produced, we have provided a separate figure which states our opinion as RICS Registered Valuers of a realistic land value from the market comparison approach (adopting comparable evidence where available). This methodology is replicated for all property use types, with a minimum land value (based on market value figure) adopted for uses where the residual suggests a negative value or one below market value. It is a fact of real market activity that sites are purchased when a residual may suggest a low or negative value. Buyers often over-pay for a variety of reasons the market does not function perfectly with the benefit of perfect information, developers may be optimistic in a rising market, or special purchaser / ransom situations. A specific development type may show a negative value, but the fact of competition from other possible uses will ensure a minimum level is achieved. Furthermore, a self-builder will not need to demonstrate a developer s profit. Accordingly market evidence can on occasion suggest a figure above residual levels, which is sensible and pragmatic to adopt. The value data contained within this report has been adopted in the NCS Viability Study for the location, and thereafter subjected to Benchmarking to establish a minimum allowance for land that represents a reasonable return for the landowner, as required by the NPPF. In greenfield development scenarios, this is quite straightforward in that the benchmark is established by considering the existing greenfield use value generally taken to be agricultural land value. The benchmark for brownfield land is more complex. It assumes that land has some form of established use and therefore value (which will be much higher than an undeveloped green field plot). The range of established brownfield land values is obviously quite wide dependent on location and use. However for the purpose of viability appraisal it must be assumed that the land has a low value or redundant use that makes it available for alternative use. Industrial land value is therefore generally used as a relatively low value use that might be brought forward for more lucrative alternative development (often residential use). 20

84 21 Industrial base values will not always be appropriate to represent the sort of land that is likely to come forward for alternative use. For instance in high value commercial locations (motorway corridors, airports etc) the industrial value will be much higher than other types of base brownfield land likely to be released for alternative use (e.g. residential). It will be a matter for the valuer to use reasoned assumptions for an appropriate brown field figure. Where a residual appraisal demonstrates negative or marginal land values (usually due to low market sale values), it is accepted that all land must have a basic value and a reasonable base value will be allocated by the valuer. This may often be the market value of the land based on comparable evidence. New Build Residential Values Per sq m The Community Infrastructure Levy is applied to future new build housing within the location. It therefore follows that the methodology used to determine the CIL rates is applied to real evidence collated from the existing new / nearly new homes market wherever possible. An extensive survey of this market was conducted within the study area and immediate surround. Wherever possible we have adopted new build evidence since this generally attracts a premium over and above existing stock, and more particularly over Land Registry average figures where the results may be skewed by an unknown sample size and where no reference is available to the size, number of bedrooms and quality of the constituent properties. New home developments are predominantly built by larger volume developers and tend to offer a relatively uniform size style and specification across any geographical area. It also follows that the majority of proposed developments that will attract CIL will constitute similar construction and styles. Having established like for like comparable evidence, this was further analysed and tabulated to specify new home types, i.e. apartments and 2, 3,4 and 5 bed homes. 21

85 22 Market research was therefore focused on the above criteria by identifying new or nearly new home developments where possible in the study area or surrounding comparable locations, that were under construction or recently completed. Data for individual house types on these developments was analysed and sale prices achieved obtained from developer / house builders, Land Registry Data, or other sources. Where necessary, additional supporting information was gathered on each development using asking prices with an assumed reduction made according to negotiated discounts as provided by the developer, local agents and professional judgement / assessment of the results. Where new home data was found lacking, nearly new or modern transactions and asking prices were analysed and adapted. We have contacted or attempted to contact the volume home builders currently or recently active within the location. In most instances we were grateful to receive full assistance and cooperation although in a few instances the developer was unavailable for comment, unwilling or unable to provide assistance. Naturally we would be happy to take on board any opinion at a later date in this respect if pertinent. Market sentiment and additional data obtained from stakeholders included at Appendix 3:- General sentiment from general house builders contacted was that a varying value zone approach was fair and sensible to adopt in this instance. By way of a further sense check the Zoopla Price Index* for pin-point locations within the study area currently suggests average prices of 2,131 sq m for Bingham (Rushcliffe), 2,200 sq m for Radcliffe on Trent (Rushcliffe), 2,080 sq m for Cotgrave (Rushcliffe), 2,551 sq m for West Bridgford (Rushcliffe) and 2,099 sq m for Nottingham City, 2,165 Sq m for Beeston (Broxtowe) 1,819 sq m for Stapleford (Broxtowe) and 2,206 sq m for Chilwell (Broxtowe). Figures are based on averages for all sales, not limited to new build. This will generally produce a lower average price than new build figures alone, since the averages will include varying degrees of age and quality. After adjustment to reflect a new build premium, our figures are further verified as being appropriate. *As at 22/5/15, detached housing. 22

86 23 In addition to the stakeholder evidence above, additional background evidence is listed at Appendix 3. It was noticeable at the time of producing our report that Nottingham City has only limited new build housing development underway. With a few exceptions the market has recently been apartment lead within the city boundary. 2) Other Residential (C1, C2, Student Accommodation) Bespoke Student Accommodation Nottingham is home to two major universities, and accordingly the student residential sector is a major feature of the local property market. New development is focused towards the city centre, both in terms of new build and conversion of obsolete offices. Residents are increasingly drawn from the more traditional established student suburbs. The city centre tends to serve Nottingham Trent University. More peripheral locations in the city and Broxtowe are likely to see ongoing demand for development, where in reach of the main Nottingham University campus. Weekly gross rents are currently in the region of per week (albeit often for a 50 week rental), depending on location and specification. Rents are generally charged inclusive of utilities and broadband. Capital values are in the region of 40,000-60,000 per bed space, again depending on location and specification. Typical room sizes are sq m, or 25 sqm for studios. Capital values per sq m will typically range from 2,500-4,000. C1 Hotels We consider the most likely scenario for hotel development within the study area (as a whole) is from the budget sector of the hotel market, for example Premier Inn and Travel Lodge. We consider it unlikely that a 5 star or hotel spa complex will be constructed, and our evidence is therefore based from the budget sector. 23

87 24 Obtaining substantial amounts of clean hotel value data is often problematic due to the fact that developers are commonly subject to confidentiality clauses. Furthermore hotel transaction are often complicated by the presence of management contracts or other arrangements not comprising straight forward lease / sale arrangements. Notwithstanding this we have consulted widely with hotel development specialists to establish a fair and appropriate tone. Our figures are based on our own market knowledge as well as opinion from consultees including Chesterford Properties and Saxondale Properties (both specialist development companies active on behalf of Travel Lodge and Premier Inn), Harpine Investments Ltd (hotel investment specialists) and Best Western Hotels (Estates Department). From our market knowledge and consultees opinions, it is apparent that the budget sector hotel operators will typically pay in the region of 3,000 per room per annum which when capitalised at a rate of 7% produces a maximum sale value per room of 43,000. It has been established that a typical budget hotel room extends to approximately 17 sq m, which equates to an overall sales value per sq m in the region of 2,500. In establishing an appropriate land value we have initially carried out a residual appraisal for a typical budget hotel development, thereafter assessing further input from hotel specialist consultees. Our residual demonstrated negative land value prior to any Local Authority charge. We have therefore adopted what we consider to be an appropriate minimum land (open market) value for appraisal purposes. C2 (including C2a) Residential Institutions We should make clear that this property sub sector is typically challenging to provide a mean value for. This is partly due to a lack of quality transactional evidence but also due to the wide range of property types falling within the categorisation. 24

88 25 Many of the categories within the C2 use class rarely change hands on the open market, since most are likely to be held by Government, Local Authorities or other public sector bodies. Examples of this include schools, detention centres, training centres, hospitals, and military barracks. We have previously discussed likely values for this use category with various representatives of the Valuation Office Agency, and are typically advised that as an organisation they too often have difficulty in identifying suitable market evidence. Even where such evidence is available there is a subjective judgement to make with regards to arriving at a mean figure appropriate to the wide variety of uses within the category. The Economic Development departments at various Borough, District and County Councils have previously indicated that when acquiring sites and buildings for these types of uses, they are often transferred from other public bodies for other policy reasons and often at nil value. When sites are acquired from the private sector the policy is simply to pay the market value for whatever is the most likely alternative use of the site (e.g. retail, office, industrial etc) with this in mind in terms of land value figures similar to those adopted for B1 (offices and industrial Employment land) would be appropriate as a mean value for this category. With regards to end unit values, the lack of a properly functioning private sector market for accommodation of this nature has resulted in us adopting a mean figure based on construction costs (Contractors Test). It should also be borne in mind that this figure would in practice need adjusting up or down according to the complexity and specification of the individual property being assessed within the property category. We have then cross referenced these figures against potential alternative use values. 25

89 26 We have been advised by our contacts in various Local Authorities property and economic development departments that their own internal book valuations tend to follow this methodology i.e. contractors test (build cost) allowing for depreciation. The mean figures shown are not as sensitive to locational factors than other property categories, primarily due to the fact that typically the properties within this category are not market driven in terms of location. Ordinarily local public need will determine location. One potential notable exception to the above comments would be nursing homes. Private nursing homes are an increasingly popular development sector which will typically pay enhanced values over and above the sector mean values provided herein. Notwithstanding this we do not believe it equitable or appropriate to allow this one exception to unrealistically increase the values across the whole use class category. Nursing home valuations are carried out on the basis of analysing a specific home s net profitability. Adapting a theoretical tone for this use would be inherently risky, since income varies widely dependent on the level of care provided which could range from basic to high intensity / dementia specific. Furthermore, whether the home serves a Public Authority contract or is run on a purely private basis. The above factors mean that individual room rates could vary from say 400 1,000 per week. Accordingly we would warn against adopting an assumed profit figure then calculating working through to a value per m², due to the inherent risk of producing a figure which threatens the future viability of certain sectors within the market category. For this reason we have adopted a more general, reflective figure which could be considered as more appropriate for these categories as a whole. Bearing in mind the above factors, we have appraised 4,000 sq m care facility for the purposes of this report. 3) Food Retail (Supermarket) In terms of valuations, our food retail valuations are based on the comparable / comparison and investment methods. 26

90 27 From our market knowledge we are aware that there has been a cooling off in demand for new sites from the supermarket occupiers which in turn has begun to depress values from recent peak levels. From a typical peak value of c. 3.7M per hectare, land values are increasingly falling back towards c. 2.5M per hectare. For supermarket / food retail outlets, we have appraised a typical food store format of 3,000 sq m (32,000 sq ft) with a site area of 1 hectare (2.5 acres). The sales figures that we have quoted within our report are based on a rental level per sq m multiplied by the appropriate capitalisation level to provide a gross sales figure per m². For the study area we have utilised a figure of sqm / per sq ft with a capitalisation yield of 6%. This yield is conservative bearing in mind food stores will most likely be occupied by one of the major supermarket brands such as Tesco, Sainsburys, Asda or Morrisons, by way of an institutional lease. Supermarket land sale information is often difficult to obtain. Typically confidentiality clauses may relate to transactions. Furthermore supermarket sites are often pieced together by way of a lengthy site assembly process. Often smaller, key parts of potential sites are purchased at a premium, not reflective of a more realistic per hectare figure for the site as a whole. Similarly, rental and sales deal information is often subject to confidentiality clauses. In addition, supermarket transactions are relatively scarce compared to say residential or industrial sales. In this respect our comparable information has been drawn from a relatively wide geographical area, not always specific to the study area. This is fully justifiable in valuation terms. Typically food store values are driven by the availability of planning consent (triggering competitive bidding) rather than exact location specifics. This tends to level values to a similar tone, region wide. Accordingly we have considered some evidence from outside the study area. 27

91 28 The most relevant aspects of our evidence are tabulated at Appendix 3. Typically superstore rental evidence ranges from between 160 to 270 per sq m, with capital values up often in the range of sq m, and yields typically as low as 4.5-5%. In this respect our rental / sales value can be seen as a conservative assessment. We have included a separate appraisal of supermarket / food superstore values for information purposes, however it is for the Authority to decide whether they wish to incorporate a separate CIL charging category for this use, or proceed by way of a general retail category more reflective of retail as a whole. 4) General Retail (A1, A2, A3, A4, A5) Established retail is dominated by the town centres, with new developments likely to emerge distributed across the study area, primarily constituting roadside retail and convenience shopping. Our retail valuations are primarily based on the capital / comparison and investment methods. For the purpose of this report, we have categorised other retail as all other retail except supermarket food stores. Other retail therefore encompasses high street retail, edge of town and out of town retail as well as restaurants and drive through and so forth. In practice, High Street development will be mainly limited to re-development of existing buildings, therefore limiting CIL charging (which is only levied on new, additional floor area). In terms of producing a sales value per m², we have again utilised a rental level per sq m and capitalised this using appropriate yield to arrive at a sales value per m². However, town centre retail units are valued on a Zoned Area basis as opposed to arterial road, edge of town or out of town retail, which use an overall rental per sq m. Our figure is one consistent with retail rents for edge of centre and arterial road retail and can therefore be applied across all geographical retail locations. 28

92 29 We have then considered rentals for arterial roadside retail units, centres and convenience shopping within the study area, which using comparable evidence produces a rental in the region of 130 per sq m ( 12 per sq ft), capitalised at a yield of 7.5%. All of the above methodology has been considered then applied to the test assumed property, i.e. a 300 sq m roadside unit. We believe that this is the most likely form of new retail development to emerge. Established high street retail is seldom developed from new (more typically a refurbishment of long established existing stock), and even if it were, the established high street location would not attract CIL since there would be little or no increase in floor area. On a similar basis to supermarket evidence, roadside retail transactional levels tend to be similar over a wide geographical area, since values are generally driven by availability of retail planning, and footfall demographics. Similarly the established national multiple occupiers all typically have a set rental range payable across any given region. Accordingly some appropriate available evidence has been drawn from outside the immediate study area. Our most pertinent information is listed at Appendix 3. We believe the figures adopted can be considered as being safe and conservative. Within the general retail category other occupier types for example bulky goods warehouse style retail can command significantly higher figures than those specified, often to a similar level to supermarket retail. To assess a fair tone for the category and the area as a whole we have been more conservative in our assessments. 5) Offices (B1a, Cat A fit out) The market for offices in the study area remains subdued, with speculative development non-existent. Employment land values across the study area vary considerably, usually due to the motorway network or the urban centres. A range of 200, ,000 per Ha could be considered appropriate. 29

93 30 The level of comparable information available for office sales is limited in the subdued market, particularly with reference to new build accommodation. We consider that a figure of approximately 1,350 per sqm can be considered as appropriate for a new build. Our offices valuations are primarily based upon the comparable capital comparison methodology. Where appropriate, rental evidence has been capitalised through the adoption of investment yields. Our research has confirmed that typically there is little difference between land values for office, industrial and many other commercial uses. Generally such land is simply categorised as employment land and sold as being suitable for a variety of end users, thereafter purchasers appraising and undertaking such schemes as they deem appropriate. Demand is limited across the study area post Credit Crunch with enquiry levels significantly reduced. It should also be noted that across the subject area (and indeed the region as a whole) speculative development has virtually ceased. This is primarily due to recessionary conditions, but also influenced by the recent removal of empty property rates liability limitation. Typically developers controlling much of the available land only prepared to enter into specific pre-let or design and build packages with parties if a market price/rent can be agreed which is artificially above what could be considered as true market value level. With regards to the valuation figures quoted we have made the following assumptions:- 1. That land values are given for cleared sites, free from contamination and generally ready for development without undue remedial works and with services connected or easily available. 30

94 31 2. Office values quoted are for a newly constructed, grade A office development, capable of sub division if required into units of 2,500 sq ft 5,000 sq ft (this size range will exclude abnormally high premium prices for small units, whilst not unduly discounting for quantum). It should be remembered that the figures quoted should be considered as a mean for the area and inevitably anomalies could arise. 6) Industrial (B1b/c, B2, B8) The majority of our comments for the office category (above) will apply equally for the industrial use classes. We have not repeated them in the commentary here but would recommend that this section is read in conjunction with Section 5 (above). It is noticeable however that there are encouraging signs of improvement in the industrial market, when compared to offices. Our methodology is again based mainly on the capital comparison and investment methods, through assessment of transactional evidence. It should again be noted however that something of a short fall of available evidence exists for new build across the area. Where appropriate, rental evidence has been capitalised through adopting investment yields. Generally, industrial rents (non-secondary stock) vary between 4.50 to 5.50 per sq ft ( 48 to 60 per sqm), and an investment yield of approximately 8% could be considered appropriate. When preparing our figures we have assumed:- 1. The land is cleared and ready for development without unduly onerous remediation being required, with sites generally serviceable and appropriate planning in place. 2. Our appraisal assumes a new build industrial/warehouse development of c. 10,000 sq ft and capable of division into units of approximately 5,000 sq ft (to avoid premium or discount for quantum) with say 5% office content. 31

95 32 To an extent the minimum new build value is self-determining i.e. when the cost of construction is taken into account developers are simply unwilling to enter into design and build agreements unless a minimum price is agreed with the purchaser that reflects the cost of the construction plus developers profit. In this respect it is noticeable that only limited difference in headline sales figures across the study area as a whole. As with office land, a marked lack of transactional evidence and data table evidence is noticeable. 7) Institutional and Community (D1) Non-residential institutions comprise an extremely wide variety of use types and associated values. In practice many uses within this category rarely if ever change ownership on the open market. For obvious reasons there is little private sector market for law courts, libraries, schools, museums, art galleries, places of worship and the like (particularly new build which is the basis of valuation). Notwithstanding this, we believe that there would be a reasonable healthy demand for certain uses including day nurseries, crèches, and health centres. Accordingly a potentially large range of possible values exist. This has made adopting a mean valuation figure difficult, more so due to a notable lack of relevant comparable evidence for this category. On a similar basis to the C2 category, we are aware that where transactions do take place they are often between Government departments or other public bodies where there is a typically a policy motive and accordingly a conveyance occurs at nil charge. Where a public body acquires a site or premises for this type of use from the private sector they will typically pay open market value for the likely alternative use, and we believe in this respect it is appropriate to adopt as a mean figure values similar to those for employment land (office and industrial) as a base figure for land values. As with C2 use, the wide spectrum of potential sub-categories and specifications therein cause some uncertainty in ascribing a fair mean value. 32

96 33 Typically, public bodies will adopt a build cost (depreciated contractors test) methodology for internal valuation purposes. In assessing a fair mean value for the category we believe that it is justifiable to assess potential alternative uses. In this respect we believe that many of the categories within this section could potentially be occupied for more traditional office use and accordingly we have adopted a discounted figure based upon values contained within the office section of this report. It should again be borne in mind however that this is a mean figure and in practice some properties would require adjustment up or down depending on specification, build complexity etc. This figure has then been cross referenced against new build costs. Once the above matters have been considered, we have appraised a theoretical 200 sq m community centre. 8) Leisure (D2, including Casinos) The D2 leisure market incorporates principally uses such as cinema, bingo hall, casino, gymnasium and swimming baths. The leisure market, perhaps more than any other property sector, is more likely to involve new build properties rather than conversions of existing buildings into a leisure use. Again we have used the comparable method of valuation where appropriate and available in relation to the leisure sector although comparable information in relation to swimming baths and leisure centres is somewhat restricted. We consider it extremely likely that any leisure activity (principally gymnasium, casino and cinema) will be restricted to more densely more populated locations within the urban area. Our appraisal assumes a standard, modern, portal frame leisure box unit typical of Bowling Alley use or similar. Typically rental levels for leisure operators are in the region of per sq m ( 8-10 per sq ft) and we have utilised the capitalisation yield of 7.5%. 33

97 34 In terms of land values for leisure use, we have undertaken traditional development (residual) appraisals and made assumptions regarding the likely competing land use value to produce the land values per hectare quoted in the value schedule. 9) Agriculture The valuation figures have been obtained through various data points and information referenced previously in this report, primarily the RICS rural land market survey. Agricultural land continues to perform well despite recessionary market conditions. Prices for farmland generally remain buoyant driven by increasing demand and restricted supply. Our research for the region suggests typical values for all types of farmland of approximately 20,000 per hectare. The 2014 RICS Rural Land Market Survey (quarter 4) has also confirmed that across the East Midlands region as a whole average agricultural land prices are approximately 20,000 per hectare. Our report has allocated an average figure across the whole of the region, which should be considered as being for guidance and information purposes only. We do not believe it appropriate within the scope of this report to provide more detailed, area specific banding. The valuation of agricultural land is extremely site specific, down to a field by field basis. The quality of soil for each individual plot of land is paramount, with other factors being taken into account for example the existence of sporting rights. Accordingly to give a truly accurate reflection on values across the area with this estate analysis down to a micro level which we do not believe is desirable or appropriate for the purposes of this report. We would be happy to give further comment if required. 34

98 35 With regards to unit sale values, we have assumed that the theoretical valuation applies to a barn of simple warehouse type construction for example a 500 sq m farm store. Obviously our figures would need adjusting for anything more specific and bespoke for example cold storage, milking facilities etc. New build agricultural buildings rarely appear individually on the open market as they are typically sold as part of larger farm sales. Our valuation assumes that the market value will in effect be the cost of constructing such a building from new, since an agricultural occupier is unlikely to purchase a building on an adjoining farm, when he is permitted under simplified planning regulations to construct accommodation on his own site. By default therefore the market value can be typically defined as the cost of construction. 10) Sui Generis Uses To ensure full compliance with CIL regulations and guidance we have considered potential uses falling under the Sui Generis use category. Sui Generis planning uses comprise of any planning use not specifically allocated to one of the other uses classes, covered above. Clearly this category potentially includes an indeterminable number and variety of other types of property. By way of example Sui Generis uses might include petrol filling stations, retail warehouse clubs, amusement arcades, launderettes, taxi hire offices, motor vehicle sales, nightclubs, builders yards, scrap yards. In order to comply with guidance and give consideration to the category, we have sought advice from DCLG. We are advised that an appropriate methodology in this instance is to obtain planning history records from the Local Authority being appraised and assessing appropriate values for uses granted consent falling under Sui Generis within the proceeding 5 year period. Accordingly, our opinion is provided in respect of:- 1) Car showroom use 2) Vehicle repairs 35

99 36 As with previous categories, our figures and values reported here are on the basis of an average tone across the study area. Sui Generis uses tend to be limited in number and accordingly there is a noticeably lack of good comparable market evidence. In certain instances we have been obliged to make our best reasoned assumptions by adjusting historic evidence or transactional evidence from uses which are not dissimilar. By way of example, motor repairs will often (both land and buildings) occupy what would otherwise be considered as industrial sites / buildings. Similarly vehicle sales (particularly franchise dealers the most likely developers / buyers of new build accommodation and therefore relevant to CIL) will typically require an urban based prominent location and will therefore often consider roadside retail and / or business park sites. The majority of main motor dealerships in the general area are represented in well-established locations and accordingly motor trade site transactions have not occurred to a significant extent for some period of time. In each instance we have assumed that land values are based on cleared sites, free from contamination and generally ready for development without any unduly onerous remediation works and with services connected or easily available. Building values assume new build property, constructed to a good standard. Vehicle Sales Our valuation assumes a typically main franchise dealer (new build) with main road frontage and typical external sales display and customer parking areas. In terms of building values we have assumed a ratio of 50% showroom / display, with 50% workshop, ancillary, staff and office admin accommodation. This has produced an average figure for the two constituent parts, (typically showroom accommodation will produce a higher value than the balance of the workshop and ancillary accommodation). 36

100 37 Motor Cycle / Car Vehicle Repair Typically this use will occupy existing or new build accommodation which will otherwise be utilised for industrial (particularly B2) general employment uses. Conclusions Subsequent to the matters discussed above, the conclusions of our report can be summarised as follows:- 1) We can confirm that sufficient evidence has been found to justify considering a variable rate CIL regime with differing value levels appropriate across the various development categories and across four separate residential value bands and a single commercial zone (subject to further viability appraisals). 2) heb Chartered Surveyors are fully accredited RICS Registered Valuers, and our conclusions as to appropriate tone indicative values across development categories within the study area are tabulated and summarised within the value tables and zone map appended. Limitation of Liability For limitation of liability this report is provided for the stated purpose and is for the sole use of the named client. The report may not be disclosed to any other party (unless where previously authorised) and no responsibility is accepted for third party issues relying on the report at their own risk. Neither the whole or any part of this report nor any reference to it may be included in any published document, circular or statement nor published in any way without prior written approval of the form and context of which it may appear. We shall be pleased to discuss any aspect of this report Yours faithfully heb Chartered Surveyors 37

101 38 APPENDIX 1 Residential Value Zones 38

102 39 39

103 40 40

104 41 APPENDIX 2 INDICATIVE RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY VALUES Sales Values Charging Zone Sales Value sqm Apartment 2 Bed 3 Bed 4 Bed 5 Bed Band 1 1,800 2,000 1,950 1,950 1,900 Band 2 2,000 2,200 2,150 2,150 2,100 Band 3 2,300 2,450 2,400 2,400 2,350 Band 4 2,400 2,650 2,600 2,600 2,550 INDICATIVE COMMERCIAL PROPERTY VALUES Sales Values per Sqm Industrial 700 Office 1350 Food Retail 3000 Other Retail 1750 Residential Inst 1250 Hotels 2500 Student Accom 3,000 Community 1077 Leisure 1350 Agricultural 400 Sui Generis Car Sales 1500 Sui Generis Vehicle Repairs

105 42 COMMERCIAL LAND VALUES (Given where residual methodology requires minimum land price adoption) Commercial Land Values Industrial Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha 457,000 Office Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha 457,000 Residential Institution Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha 457,000 Hotel Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha Community Use Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha 457,000 Leisure Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha 600,000 Agricultural Land Values per Ha Comparable Land Value per Ha 20,000 Sui Generis Land Values per Ha Car Sales 850,000 Sui Generis Land Values per Ha Vehicle Repairs 457,000 42

106 43 APPENDIX 3 ADDITIONAL VALUATION DATA 43

107 Residential Evidence Schedule - Apartments Address Beds Size SqM Price SqM Comment NOTTINGHAM CITY COUNCIL Apartments Flat 29, Block 2 The Hicking Building, Queens Road ,367 13/01/2015 Flat 47, Block 1 The Hicking Building, Queens Road ,645 19/12/ Curlew Wharf, Castle Marina ,320 24/02/ George St Trading House, George Street ,910 20/02/2015 Flat 38, Block 3 The Hicking Building, Queens Road ,786 10/03/2015 2b Park Rock, Castle Boulevard ,700 10/03/ Raleigh Square, Raleigh Street /12/ Park West, Derby Road ,600 03/02/ Turneys Court, Nottingham ,169 30/01/ Swindell Close, Nottingham ,807 30/01/2015 Flat 4, Vellum House, Watermark Close ,553 30/01/2015 Flat 25, Regent Court, Derby Street ,977 20/01/ Nottingham One, Canal Street ,957 SSTC Residential Address Beds Size SqM Price SqM Comment BROXTOWE BOROUGH COUNCIL Apartments 27 Wharton Cres, Beeston ,705 19/12/ Aria Court, Stapleford ,710 13/02/ The Lace Mill, Beeston ,093 04/03/2015

108 Johnson Way, Chilwell ,080 27/06/ Wharton Cres, Beeston ,706 19/12/2014 Bramcote Lane, Wollaton , Hartwell Court, Church Street, Eastwood 59 1,831 20/01/ Hartwell Court, Church Street, Eastwood 43 2,709 19/12/ Hartwell Court, Church Street, Eastwood 46 2,565 27/11/ Hartwell Court, Church Street, Eastwood 50 1,960 18/11/2014 Bramcote Lane, Wollaton ,200 RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL Apartments Address Beds Size SqM Price SqM Comment Residential Flat 17, Seymour Place, West Bridgford ,500 06/02/ Lea Court, Mill Hill, Bingham ,177 24/10/ Lea Court, Mill Hill, Bingham ,900 26/09/ Lune Way ,230 03/12/ Cooper Gardens, Ruddington ,700 20/02/ Caudale Court, Gamston ,052 16/02/ Woodhouse Gardens, Ruddington ,407 26/11/ Regency Point, Radcliffe Road, West Bridgford ,539 13/01/2015 Flat C, 19 Fox Road, West Bridgford ,070 06/02/2015 Flat 4, Centenary House, Musters Road, West Bridgford ,561 20/01/ Harvard House, Rivermead, West Bridgford ,644 19/01/ Hilton Grange, Hilton Crescent, West Bridgford ,958 16/01/2015 3

109 Residential Evidence Schedule Houses NOTTINGHAM CITY COUNCIL BARRATT HOMES Houses Address Beds Price Comment SqM Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 2 2,439 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price. Nottingham City / Broxtowe borders. Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 3 2,464 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price. Nottingham City / Broxtowe borders. Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 3 2,048 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price. Nottingham City / Broxtowe borders. Town house. Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 4 2,268 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price. Nottingham City / Broxtowe borders. Plot 80, Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 3 2,243 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 31, Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 4 1,780 Quoting price less deduction. The Morpath, Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 3 2,171 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 28, Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 4 1,815 Quoting price less deduction. The Morpath, Woodhouse Park, Woodhouse Way 3 2,300 Quoting price less deduction. STRATA HOMES, SHERWOOD - NOTTINGHAM CITY Recently commenced onsite at Edwards Lane, Sherwood, Nottingham City. Strata Homes have confirmed ranging from 1,670 per sq m to 2,152 per sq m (net). BELLWAY HOMES, BEECHDALE - NOTTINGHAM CITY Bellway Homes have confirmed Chalfont Drive, forthcoming development appraised at c. 2,000 per sq m (approximately 12 months ago). 4

110 4847 BROXTOWE BOROUGH COUNCIL Houses Address Beds Price SqM Comment BELLWAY HOMES, Hassocks Lane, BEESTON - BROXTOWE Bellway Homes have confirmed initial releases at Hassocks Lane, Beeston first sales confirmed at approximately 2, per sq m. 5

111 48 RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL REDROW HOMES THE WILLOWS, EAST LEAKE, RUDDINGTON Houses Address Beds Price SqM Comment The Letchworth 3 2,296 The Shrewsbury 4 2,344 The Cambridge 4 2,220 The Shaftsbury 4 2,188 The Sunningdale 4 2,302 The Marlborough 5 2,232 RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL BARRATT HOMES LANTERN FIELDS, EAST LEAKE & HOLLYGATE PARK, COTGRAVE Houses Address Beds Price SqM Comment Lantern fields, East Leake 2 2,606 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price Lantern fields, East Leake 3 2,470 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price Lantern fields, East Leake 4 2,189 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price Plot 15, Lantern fields, East Leake 4 2,206 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 4, Lantern fields, East Leake 4 2,428 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 31, Lantern fields, East Leake 4 2,110 Quoting price less deduction. The Cambridge Lantern fields, East Leake 4 2,386 Quoting price less deduction. 6

112 49 48 Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 2 2,064 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 3 2,028 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,340 May 2015 developer confirms typical current sale price Plot 46, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 3 1,958 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 93, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 3 1,988 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 6, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 3 2,058 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 40, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 3 2,109 Quoting price less deduction. Plot 47, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,243 Quoting price less deduction. RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL DAVID WILSON HOMES - HOLLYGATE PARK, COTGRAVE Houses Address Beds Price SqM Comment Plot 451, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,257 Development underway none sold quoting prices less deduction Plot 410, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,393 Development underway none sold quoting prices less deduction Plot 408, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,075 Development underway none sold quoting prices less deduction Plot 412 Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,075 Development underway none sold quoting prices less deduction Plot 413, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 4 2,087 Development underway none sold quoting prices less deduction Plot 452, Hollygate Park, Cotgrave 2,105 Development underway none sold quoting prices less deduction 7

113 RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL BLOOR HOMES - SILK GARDENS, RUDDINGTON Houses Address Beds Price SqM Comment Silk Gardens, Ruddington 2,554 Quoting price less deduction. Silk Gardens, Ruddington 5 2,300 Quoting price less deduction. Silk Gardens, Ruddington 4 2,618 Quoting price less deduction. Bloor Homes have confirmed recent sales completions, typically 220 per sq ft ( 2,368 per sq m) RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL JELSON HOMES - REACH, WILFORD LANE, RUDDINGTON Houses Address Beds Price SqM Comment The Saxony 3 2,729 Exclusive, high spec development. 3 / 4 bed. Quoting price less deduction. The Aylesbury 6 2,340 Exclusive, high spec development. TAYLOR WIMPEY, EAST MIDLANDS - RUSHCLIFFE Taylor Wimpey confirmed most recent sales at the recently completed Ruddington Place, Wilford, in the region of 210 per sq ft ( 2,260 per sq m) & have appraised a new site in West Bridgford at approximately 2,475 per sq m. BELLWAY HOMES, RUDDINGTON - RUSHCLIFFE Bellway Homes have confirmed initial releases at Wheatley Fields, with quoting prices based at 2,583 per sq m to 2,798 per sq m. Initial sales have achieved up to 2691 SqM 8

114 48 51 BELLWAY HOMES, WEST BRIDGFORD - RUSHCLIFFE Bellway Homes have confirmed A recently acquired site at Greythorn Drive, West Bridgford appraised at approximately 2,691 per sq m. PETER JAMES HOMES, EAST MIDLANDS - RUSHCLIFFE Recently started at East Leake developer s appraisal of value for the location stated at c. 2,368 to 2,475 per sq m. Initial sales confirmed at c. 2,583. In addition, our proposed figures were discussed with Gareth Staff of Inside Land ( formerly Barratt Homes, David Wilson Homes, Redrow Homes) & Christopher Merriman of Merriman Property (landowner, developer & agent), both of whom verified their board appropriateness. 9

115 Residential INDIVIDUAL PROPERTIES, NEW BUILD OR MODERN SPECIFICATION Address Beds Size SqM Price SqM Comment NOTTINGHAM CITY COUNCIL Houses 6 Lenton Avenue, The Park ,315 16/03/2015 5a Tattershall Drive, The Park ,928 09/02/ Ardmore Close, Sneinton ,050 18/12/2014 Residential Address Beds Size SqM Price SqM Comment BROXTOWE BOROUGH COUNCIL Houses 20 Rufford Avenue, Bramcote ,894 20/03/ Bramcote Lane, Beeston ,806 23/01/ Chewton Street, Eastwood ,604 18/12//2014 Residential Address Beds Size SqM Price SqM Comment RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL Houses 49 Swale Grove, Bingham ,225 30/01/ Woodpecker Close, Bingham ,793 13/02/

116 Stanstead Avenue, Tollerton ,416 27/02/ Swallow Drive, Bingham ,708 23/01/ Julian Road, West Bridgford ,929 27/02/ Bleaberry Close, West Bridgford ,577 05/03/ Edwalton Lodge Close, Edwalton ,473 24/03/ Berkeley Crescent, Radcliffe on Trent ,388 20/03/ Chapelfield Grove, Bingham ,259 30/10/ Starnhill Way, Bingham ,457 18/12/ Starnhill Way, Bingham ,440 04/12/ Starnhill Way, Bingham ,290 28/11/ Starnhill Way, Bingham ,415 14/11/ Lune Way ,230 03/12/ Starnhill Way, Bingham ,320 31/10/

117 54 48 ADDITIONAL 2014 EVIDENCE Property / Development Developer Value Information Notes The Point, Arnold Bellway Homes Developer has confirmed 28 private sales in 2014, with Zone ½ fringe. typical sales prices ranging from 1,800 per sq m to 2,153 per sq m. Generally in this location they would anticipate sales rates of 180 to 190 per sq ft, say 1,940 to 2,045 per sq m. In 2013, 2 bed flats achieved approximately 1,950 to 2,070 per sq m. Park Mews, Mapperley Bellway Homes The Consultee has also confirmed that the (now completed) development in Mapperley generally achieved 2,115 per sq m for flats, 2,100 to 2,300 per sq m for 3 bed starter homes & 1,870 to 1,950 per sq m for 4 bed detached homes. Fringe of Nottingham City Highlands, Arnold Barratt Homes Barratt have confirmed indicative sales values ranging from 172 to 200 per sq ft ( 1,852 to 2,153 per sq m). Lime Tree Gardens, Mapperley Chartwell Grange, Mapperley Regency Heights, Mapperley Taylor Wimpey Developer confirmed extremely buoyant sales with values generally between 1,830 to 2,261 per sq m. Recent indicative sales have been at 1,991 per sq m & 2,153 per sq m for 3 bed end terrace, 2,002 for 5 bed detached & 2,271 per sq m for 4 bed detached. Willmark Homes Developer has confirmed from July 2013 to April 2014 range from between 1,800 per sq m to 2,222 per sq m. Willmark Homes Developer confirms Mapperley sales at Regency Heights from Sept 2012 to April 2014 range from between 1,800 per sq m to 2,227 per sq m. Fringe of Nottingham City. 2013/14 sales. Fringe of Nottingham City Sales. Nottingham City Fringe. Nottingham City Fringe. 12

118 48 55 NEW BUILD OR MODERN AVAILABLE Address Beds Price SqM Comment RUSHCLIFFE BOROUGH COUNCIL Houses The Banks, Bingham 6 2,153 Quoting less deduction Carlston Lane, Harby, Melton Mowbray 5 2,242 Gilbert & Hall new development Skylark Close, Bingham 4 2,248 Ashness Close, Gamston 4 2,867 Starnhill Way, Bingham 4 2,357 Wibboughly Drive, Ruddington 4 2,209 Walcott Drive, West Bridgford 4 2,838 Cloxton House, Bramley Close, East Bridgford 4 2,426 New build Ellis House, Bramley Close, East Bridgford 4 2,639 New build The Heights, West Bridgford 4 2,569 Main Road, Bulcote, Burton Joyce 6 2,261 Study area fringe Main Road, Bulcote, Burton Joyce 6 2,463 Study area fringe Highcourt Drive, Keyworth 5 2,225 Plot A, Blomfield, Aslockton 4 2,588 High spec new build development. Contracts exchanged. Plot D, Blomfield, Aslockton 3 2,787 High spec new build development. Sale agreed. Plot E, Blomfield, Aslockton 4 2,629 High spec new build development. Quoting less deduction. Plot G, Blomfield, Aslockton 4 2,765 High spec new build development. Quoting less deduction. Plot H, Blomfield, Aslockton 4 2,850 High spec new build development. Quoting less deduction. Valarian Way, Bingham Modern. Sizes obtained from developers, developers websites, energy performance certificate data, or scaled from floor plans. Where used, quoting prices have been adjusted by a 5% deduction to reflect probable sales price following negotiations and incentives. Our discussions with house builder stakeholders have confirmed that a 5% discount is an appropriate figure although currently falling as the market improves. Garages deducted. 13

119 48 56 Retail Evidence Schedule SUPERMARKETS (HEB RESEARCH) ADDRESS TENANT SIZE SQ FT RENT PER SQ FT RENT PER SQ M COMMENT Aldershot Morrisons 78, May Sale reported at c sq m 4.25% Alfreton Tesco 87, Sale & lease back Jan 2013 at 438 psf ( 4720 sq m. 5% Alfreton Road, 170, Sutton in Ashfield Tesco Local 4, Rent review August 2010 Ashford Sainsburys 151, Aug Sale reported at 4.1%. Devalues to c sq m before costs. Basingstoke Rd, Reading Aldi 16, Oct 2014 pre-let. Investment funding available at 6% = 242 (includes pub and gym elements) Bassaleg Rd Newport Spar 4, Roadside site. Investment offered at 6.5% sq m Bassaleg Rd Newport ST Davids Hospice 1, Roadside site. Investment offered at 6.5% sq m Bevedere, London Asda 68, FH % yield per sq m March 2014 Bolnore Village, Haywards Heath Co-Op 3, Sept 2011 review. Neighbourhood centre. Brentwood Sainsburys 104, Nov Sale reported at 4.08 %. Devalues to c. 8,431 sq m before costs Bridge Street, Clay Cross Pets at Home 5, New letting Nov 2011 Brighton Road, 279, CR2 6EQ Morrisons Local 4, Investment available at 6% sq m Broadbridge Heath Retail Park Carpetright 9, Managing agent confirms rents at park vary from per Sq ft. Mid-point Bulwell, Notts Iceland 4, Sold at % Canute Place, Knutsford Sainsburys Local 3, Confidential letting 2010 quoting terms listed. Carlton Road, Nottingham Asda TBC Deal agreed for proposed Asda superstore Chapel Rd, Worthing Tesco Local 4, Cheadle Hulme Waitrose 41, Sale 2009 at 4055 sq m, 4.6 % Chesterfield Lockford Lane Tesco 140, Investment sold at 5618 sq m 5% Chesterfield Road South, Mansfield Tesco 91, New letting March Sale and LB sq m Church Lane, Bedford Aldi 16, Letting May 2010 Civic Way, Swadlincote Sainsburys 66, Open market letting Nov Investment also sold at 4.45% Clevedon, Bristol Morrisons 30, Sept 11 Rent Review 14

120 57 48 Clytha Pk Rd Newport Tesco Express 4, Investment now offered at 6.5% sq m Coggeshall Road, Essex, CM7 Tesco Express 3, Investment available at 6% - 2,482 per sq m. Coldhams Lane, Cambridge Sainsburys 81, Rent review Dec 2009 Congleton Tesco 49, Sold 2012 at 4.9% sq m Cooden Sea Rd, Bexhill On Sea Tesco Express 4, Jan Investment sold at 5.5% sq m Corringham Road, Gainsborough Spar 4, New letting Aug 2011 Cotgrave Notts Sainsburys Local 5, Sold sq m 5.53% Cowbridge Cattle Market Waitrose 22, New build 2012 Crawley Avenue, Crawley Sainsburys 93, RR Crickets Parade, 12, Worthing Co-Op 7, Review Crookes, Sheffield Sainsbury s Local 3, Quoting 3480 sq m, 6% Crowborough Tesco 27, Sold 4.29% ( 3,422 per sq m) Dennison Road Bodmin Sainsburys 34,980 Investment available (Feb 2014) at 5.25% sq m Desborough, Northants Tesco 24, c. Letting Jan 2011 Discovery Retail Park Newport Aldi 12, Roadside retail. Rent passing. FH available at 7.2% - c sq m gross Diss Tesco 50, Sale & lease back Jan 2013 at ( 4660 sq m).5% Dover Morrisons 50, Sold March 5% ( 3,664 per sq m) Downs Court, Eastbourne Tesco 4, Ebbw Vale Tesco 58, Sale & lease back Jan 2013 at psf ( 4508 sq m) 5.2% Ecclesall Rd Sheffield CoOp 26, ERV at review. Investment offered Oct - 2,688 sq m Embassy Court, Welling Tesco 84, Letting June Investment sold at 5% in June 2011 Farrar Road, Bangor Asda 46, New letting Dec Investments sold at 5% in Dec 2011 Ferndown, Dorset M&S 15, Forward funding deal offered Oct 5% sq m Fishergate, Preston Sainsburys Local 4, New letting, Aug Investment offered at 6% sq m based on occupied area. Former NBSM Premises, Broad Street, One Stop Stores Ltd 2, year lease, 5 th and 10 th year break options. Barry Garth Rd Bangor M&S Food Store 18, Investment available at 5.8% - 3,380 sq m Gatehouse Lane Burgess Hill Tesco Local Rent passing. Jan 2011 review. Gloucester Morrisons 71, Funding deal Jan 2013 at 4.65% - devalues to c sq m Goring Rd Worthing Tesco Local 5, review Halifax, Sowerby Bridge Tesco 40, Investment sold July Quoting terms based on 5% yield sq m Halstead, Essex Sainsburys 18, Apr-10 Hanging Hill Lane Brentwood Tesco Express 4, May 2012 letting 15

121 58 48 Haselet Avenue, East Crawley Tesco Metro 5, Investment sold at 5.9% - 1,810 per sq m assume c. 10 Hattersley, Manchester Tesco 93, Sale agreed at 2697 Sq M (5.3%) Havelock Rd Hastings Tesco 3, Jan-10 Haywards Heath Sainsburys 4, High St, Barnet Sainsburys Local 5, Investment offered Sept 3,594 psf 6.5% High St, Weedon Bec Tesco Express 4, letting. Investment available 2014 at 6.5% = 1950 sq m High Street, 32-34, Brentwood, Essex Iceland Foods 12, investment sold at 5.3% - 2,340 per sq m. Houghton Regis Asda 51,000 Confidential transaction Developer unable to disclose, but confirmed psf fair tone across UK and 1m- 1.5m max per acre land Huddersfield Rd Oldham Tesco Extra 158, Jan Investment available at 5.28% sq m. Includes 9,000 sq ft of ancillary retail. Keyworth Nottingham Sainsbury s Local 4, Sold sq m 5.5% Kipling Dr, Derby Tesco 55, , Sale and Leaseback Dec FH Lakeside Retail Park, No 1, Scunthorpe Pets At Home 10, Rent passing until Investment available at 2940 per sq m, 6.5% (Oct 2014) Lakeside Retail Park, No 2, Scunthorpe Halfords 10, Rent passing until Investment available at 2940 per sq m, 6.5% (Oct 2014) Lakeside Retail Park, No 3, Scunthorpe Harveys 9, Rent passing until Investment available at 2940 per sq m, 6.5% (Oct 2014) Lakeside Retail Park, No 4, Scunthorpe Currys / PC World 15, Rent passing until Investment available at 2940 per sq m, 6.5% (Oct 2014) Leicester, Beaumont Leys Tesco 125, Feb 2008 RR. Incl PFS Leigh, Manchester Morrisons 64, Forward funding deal at 3532 sq m, 5% Leigh, Manchester Tesco 119,000 Funding deal at 4523 Sq M (includes Cineworld on site) Linden Drive, Lutterworth Co-op Food 3, Nov 2014 letting (devalued at per sq ft at ground & 7.25 per sq ft stores). Investment available at 6.5% - 2,500 sq m sales Littlemoor, Chesterfield Co-op Food 4, Pre-funding deal. Investment offered 2015 at 6.5% sq m sales Lysander Road, Stoke on Trent Tesco 70, New letting Macclesfield Sainsburys 74, Sale and Leaseback sq m, 4.9%.Sold on in 2011 at 5272 sq m, 4.5% Maldon Tesco 103, Sale & lease back Jan 2013 at ( 5550 sq m). 5% Mallory Rd, Peterborough Halfords 19, rent passing. Investment available at 6.75 % sq m Manchester, Fallowfields Sainsburys 55, Sold sq m, 4.15% Manchester Trafford Centre Asda 102, RR 2007 Mansfield, Woodhouse Road One Stop 2, Available at % March, Cambs Sainsburys 32, ERV stated at 22 psf ( sq m). Quoting 4.5% net yield = 4067 sq m capital value Marlborough, Wilts Morrisons 6, Rent review. Investment available at 7% Dec 2014 (includes flats over) Mawney Road, Romford, Essex Tesco Express 2, New letting March

122 59 48 Meadow Rise, Billericay, Essex Tesco Express 4, New letting August Mickleover, Derby Sainsburys Local 2, S&L at 5.62 % 2010 Milton Keynes, Kingston Tesco 136, RR Moor Lane Clitheroe Sainsburys 29, Dec 2013 review Moseleys Yard, Nantwich Cooperative (Local) 2,890 sq Sold 5.5% - 3,526 per sq m. ft Moulsham Street, Chelmsford, Essex Tesco Express 4, New letting. New Bridge St Parade, Clay Cross, Fulton Frozen foods 2, New build, New letting Jan 2012 Chesterfield New Bridge Street, Clay Cross Jack Fulton 2, New letting January 2012 Newbury Sainsburys 133, Sold 4.5% ( 4,982 per sq m) Newcastle Avenue, Worksop Sainsburys Local 4, New letting April 2009 Newport Rd Risca NP11 Tesco 80, funding deal at 5,866 sq m. FH Newton Le Willows Tesco 33,967 Confidential transaction believed to be in region of 4357 sq m, 4.5%. Unconfirmed. Ocean Road, South Shields Morrisons 60, Open market letting August 2010 Oldham Tesco 157, Available at 3154 sq m, 4.9% Park Crescent, No 39-41, Barry Sainsburys 3, Convenience store letting carried out October 1012 Parker Rd, Ore Valley, Hastings One Stop 2, Investment available at 8.7% (mixed use scheme to include offices) Peasley Cross Lane, St Helens Tesco 140, Investments sold June % Penbroke Park, Crawley Tesco Local 5, July 2007 freehold investment sold at yield equating to 5.9% - 1,810 per sq m Plaza Parade Worthing Co-Op 2, Passing rent Pollgate, BNF26 6RE Somerfield 4,173 Freehold investment sold 8,000 per sq m Poynton Waitrose 25, Rent Review 2010 Prescott, Merseyside Tesco 119, Rent review June 2010 Princess Street, Knutsford Waitrose (local 12, Investment 5% July ,269 per sq m. format) Pulborough, Sussex Sainsburys 29, Sold 4.25% ( 4,347 per sq m) Radcliffe on Trent, Notts Tesco Local 7, Size per sq ft est. Rent adjusted via assumed anciliary areas. Investment offered Oct 2014 at 6.5% - 1,958 sq m overall or 3,321 adjusted Richardson Way, Coventry Tesco 103, Investment sold at 4.57% in Sept 2011 Ropemaker Park, BN27 3GU KFC 1, review. Investment available at 2700 sq m (6.5%) Ropemaker Park, BN27 3GU Tesco Express 3, March Investment available at 2700 sq m (6.5%) Rustington, Worthing Tesco Local 4, Rye Road, Hawkhurst Budgens 13, Jun-08 17

123 48 60 Sale M&S 17, Rent review 2011 Saxmundham, Suffolk Tesco 25, Letting May 2012 Seamer Rd Retail Park A, Scarborough Currys / PC World 16, Rent passing from 2013 review. Investment available (Dec 2014) at 7% sq m Seamer Rd Retail Park B, Scarborough Carpetright 12, Rent passing from 2013 review. Investment available (Dec 2014) at 7% sq m Seamer Rd Retail Park, Scarborough B&M Bargains 10, New letting 2013 Seaside Road, 346, Eastbourne Co-op 3, Pre-let October 2011 Serpentine Green, Peterborough Tesco 136, Rent review Dec 2008 Sheldon, Birmingham Morrisons 105, Letting March 2010 Shrewsbury Tesco Sale and Leaseback believed to equate to 5% yield Spilby, Lincs Sainsburys 14,039 Investment available at 2900 per sq m (5%) Spring St, Bury Asda 51, Investment available at 6% sq m Sept 2013 St Helens Tesco 140, Funding deal at 5.15 % (approx sq m when devalued) St Martins Place, Dorchester Sainsburys Local 4, Investment available at 6.5% (with adjoining retail) - 3,205 sq m. Oct 2014 Stanway, Colchester Sainsburys 147, Letting Dec 2010 Stephensons Drive, Leicester One Stop 2, Roadside convenience store. Feb 2011 Sutton Park Rd Seaford Tesco Express 4, Investment available at 6% sq m Temple Mill Lane, Dronfield Co-Op (local) 1, Dec 2011 letting Tesco, Newport Rd NP11 6YD Tesco 80, purchase for 43.6m as a forward funding deal 5,866 sq m Tewkesbury Road, Cheltenham Sainsburys 97, Rent review Dec 2008 Thorne Road Retail Park, Doncaster Iceland 8, New letting Nov 2011 Thorpe Road, Melton Mowbray Tesco 49, Investments sold at 5.75% May 2009 Trentham Lakes, Stoke Aldi 15, , Freehold deal. Discount food retailer. Jan 2009 Warley Hill Brentwood Tesco Express 5, Investment sold at 5.75% sq m Sept 2013 Washdyke Lane, Immingham Coop 19, Rent Review Dec 2011 Washway Rd, Sale M&S 17, Feb 2011 review Washway Road, Sale, Manchester Tesco 2, Rent devalued after 5psf allowance to stores. Nov 2014 letting. Investment available at 6.2% sq m sales ( 2192 overall) Waterhouse Lane, Chelmsford, Essex Tesco Express 4, Investment sold at 6% per sq m West Bromwich Tesco 380, Sale & lease back Jan Mixed retail scheme overall rent. 5.9% West Road, Congleton Tesco Express 4, Roadside retail. Investment sold at 6.5% - 1,995 per sq m Westgate Otley Waitrose 31, Sept 2012 review Whalley Range Tesco Express 4, Investment 5.85% - 2,821 per sq m Wivelsfield Road, Haywards Heath Sainsburys Local 4, Investment sold at 5.3% - 3,458 sq m 18

124 61 48 Woodhouse Road, Mansfield One Stop 2, New letting January 2011 High St Weedon Bec Tesco Exp 4, Aug 2012 letting. Investment available at 6.5% SqM South Sheilds Town Centre Morrisons 73, Letting Investment available at 5.25 % SqM High St Maldon Morrisons 4, Sept 2014 letting. Investment available at 5.75 % SqM keymer Road, Hassocks Sainsburys 4, Nov 2014 letting. Sale agreed for FH at 5.75 % - 3,246 Abbey Walk, Selby Sainsburys 30, Aug 2013 Rent review. Investment available at 6.25%, to include additional units. Devalues to 2807 on food store Warley Road Blackpool Morrisons 4, Investment available at 6% SQM. Rent set May 2014 Wigton Road Carlilse Coop 16, Rent set Investment sold at 2,606 SqM, 6% Stonecot Hill, Sutton Asda 10, Forward funding deal. Pre-pack sale available at 4.25% SqM Queens Park, London M&S 5, June 2014 letting Aldegate London Tesco 3, April 2013 letting Clifton Rd Isleworth Tesco 3, March 2015 letting. Investment available at 5.5 % = 3,096 SQM KEYMER ROAD HASSOCKS BN6 8AN Sainsburys 4, /11/2014 NG2 Nottingham Homebase 80, Investment available at 7% SqM High St Poole Sainsburys Local 4, Investment available at 2837 SqM % Scotland Rd, Carlisle Sainsburys local 4, rent review. Investment offered March 6.3% - 4,058 SQM (incl Coral unit) Barking Rd Plaistowe Tesco Express 3, Investment available April 3967 SqM = 5.6% Caerleon Rd Newport Tesco Express 4, Investment available at 1640 SqM - 6% The Sqaure, Lymington Tesco Express 3, Investment available at 2,316 Sq M (incl ancil) 6.5% April 2015 Wigmore Lane, Luton Asda 81, Investment sold at 5326 per SqM - 4.3% July Portland Rd, Hove E.Sussex Sainsburys Local 4, Jan 2105 Rent. Investment available May 3,692 (6%) Long Row, Nottingham Tesco Express 5, Rent review 2013 High St, Poole Sainsburys Local 4, Investment available at 2,838 SqM (June 2015) 6.25% Nicholson Street, Edinburgh Tesco Metro 16, Feb 2105 rent review. Investment available at 3509 SqM - 5.5% Tonbridge Rd Maidstone Sainsburys 3, Rent set July Investment available at 5.5% - 3,840 SqM Spring Rd Southampton Morrisons 4, Rent set July Investment available at 5.5% - 3,000 SqM Booker Av, Liverpool Coop 4, Rent set July Investment available at 6% SqM Mill St Bideford Coop 8, Investment available at 2880 SqM (5.75%). Gross price / rent includes basement and 1st fl Station Hill, Chippenham Sainsburys 5, Investment available at 2025 psm % Witham, Essex Aldi 16, Aug Investment available at 2743 SqM % Kingswood, Bristol Coop 4, Let Investment available at 6.4% - 2,641 SqM 19

125 62 48 Loose Road, Maidstone Sainsburys 4, New letting June Investment offered at 5.4% SqM Washway Rd, Sale Coop 4, (ATL) Sept Rent devalued to allow for 1st floor at 5psf. Investment offered at 6.3% SQM The Strand, Liverpool Tesco Express 4, rent review Aug 2015 Queens Drive Nottingham Homebase 80, Sold Aug ,250 SqM For the reasons stated in the sector specific commentary, we have considered Supermarket evidence locally, regionally and nationally. This demonstrates a typical rental value for supermarket use of per sqm. When capitalised at a yield of 6%, this demonstrates that our adopted figures are justifiable, and can be considered conservative. 20

126 General Retail Evidence Schedule HEB Research Address Tenant Size sq ft Rent per sq ft (per SqM) Comment Queens Drive Nottingham Homebase 80, ( ) 2247 SqM sale, Aug DW Fitness, Netherfield DW Fitness 45,732 sq ft 1570 sq m investment sale Oct %. Leisure use. Carlton Hill Nottingham Victoria Retail Park Netherfield Nottingham Madford Retail Park Arnold Nottingham Carlton Square Carlton Nottingham 107 High Street Arnold Nottingham 41D Plains Road Mapperley Nottingham Mansfield Road Arnold Nottingham 6-8 Mansfield Road Daybrook, Nottingham Carphone Warehouse, Iceland Foods, Tesco Stores, Savers Health & Beauty 13,211 sq ft ( ). Average Roadside retail development sold at freehold price equating to 2,200 per sq m. 6.15% yield. June 2011 Various 180,000 sq ft ( ) Average rent for 6 units. Investments sold Sept ,400 freehold price (5.45%) Curry s / PC World 20,000 sq ft Rent review 2011 Various Various to ( to ) District shopping centre. Investment offered at 8% yield Private 1,610 sq ft ( 110) Standalone roadside unit. Sept 2011 letting Private 1,082 sq ft ( ) Roadside unit. March 2011 letting Wickes 23,564 sq ft ( 1,782) Capital value (freehold price) for investment sale at 7.3% Nov 2012 Carpetright Plc 39,125 sq ft ( ) & ( ) Freehold investment sold. Freehold price equated to 1,185 per sq m. Feb 2010 Radcliffe on Trent, Notts Tesco Local 7, ( 216) Size per sq ft est. Rent adjusted via assumed ancillary areas. Investment offered Oct 2014 at 6.5% - 1,958 sq m overall or 3,321 adjusted 21

127 Station Road, Beeston Pets Corner 1, ( 146) Quoting rent. New Tesco s development ancillary unit. 1-3 Station Road, Beeston Mr & Mrs Baig ( 246) August 2013 letting. New Tesco development ancillary unit. 38 Market Place, DE75 7EG One Stop 2, ) Broxtowe fringe location rent review. 3 Main Road, Radcliffe on Trent Vacant 2, ( ) Former Spa roadside premises. Quoting rent (adjusted). Ashday Retail Park Argos, Home Bargains, Kennelgate 20, ( 151) Investment available. Rental tone stated. Rented available Feb ,309 per sq m (6%). Broxtowe fringe location Long Row, Nottingham Tesco Express 5, ( 191) Nottingham centre rent review Upper Parliament Street, Nottingham Burger King 3, ( 567) Areas / rental based on ground & first floor. (Further allowance to be made for ancillary second / third). Investment available at 5.5% 9,790 per sq m (ground & first only).a- typical 100% prime. 22

128 65 48 MARKET EVIDENCE FROM CO-STAR / FOCUS DATA BASE Co-Star research confirms current quoting rents for Nottingham range from 192 SqM to 318 SqM, and from 192 to 202 SqM for the West Bridgford (Rushcliffe) sub-market, and SqM for Beeston (Broxtowe) sub-market.

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