First Quarter Home Sales Decline as Prices Continue to Rise

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1 Date: 4/22/19 For Release: Immediately For More Information Contact: Michael Theo, WRA President & CEO, , or David Clark, Economist, ECON Analytics, LLC and Professor of Economics, quette University, , First Quarter Home Sales Decline as Prices Continue to Rise MADISON, Wis. Existing home sales fell sharply in ch, and declining inventories put more pressure on home prices, according to the most recent examination of the state housing market by the Wisconsin REALTORS Association (WRA). Home sales fell 14.1 percent in ch 2019 compared to that same month last year, and median prices were up 6.3 percent to $185,000 over that same period. The first quarter picture was similar but a bit brighter, with first quarter home sales down 7.4 percent, relative the first quarter of 2018, and the quarterly median price up 5.5 percent to $179,300 over the past year. The economy is in good shape, and that puts a lot of pressure on a housing market with limited supply, said WRA Chairman Jean Stefaniak. In fact, the Wisconsin unemployment rate has ranged between 2.9 percent and 3.1 percent over the last 12 months, and the most recent estimate for February is at the low end of that range. In addition, while job growth is not as robust as it has been the last couple of years, there were still 11,400 nonfarm jobs created over the 12 months ending in February The bitter temperatures and heavy snowfall likely slowed buyer traffic in January and February, which contributed to fewer closed sales in ch, Stefaniak said, but she blamed most of the slowdown on the sparse supply of homes for sale, not the weather-related reduction in demand. REALTORS can t sell properties that aren t on the market, and the available supply continues to be very tight, she said. In fact, there were just 3.8 months of supply in ch, which is down from 4.3 months a year earlier. Metropolitan counties, which include Wisconsin s larger cities, had just 3.2 months of supply in ch, whereas micropolitan counties, which include towns and smaller cities, had 4.4 months of supply. The housing market has tightened up everywhere, but it s really tight in the urban communities, said Stefaniak. Only the less populated rural counties had a balanced market, at 6.4 months of available housing supply. With this level of price pressure, we would expect to see a significant erosion in housing affordability, said WRA President & CEO Michael Theo, but he noted there have been mitigating factors. Luckily a slight reduction in mortgage rates, combined with moderate growth in family income, has helped keep Wisconsin housing relatively affordable, he said. The Wisconsin Affordability Index measures the portion of the median-priced home that a buyer with median family income can afford to buy, assuming a healthy 20 percent down payment and a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage on the remaining balance. The index fell from 214 in ch 2018 to 203 in ch The index still shows that a typical buyer is qualified to purchase more than twice the median-priced home, which is remarkable given how much housing prices have appreciated over the past seven years, said Theo. Median prices began rising in spring 2012, after a significant slide resulting from the Great Recession. Since ch 2012, the median price has increased by slightly over 50 percent. Although housing is less affordable today than in 2012, there are still good deals to be had in today s market, said Theo, but he indicated that buyers need to have their financing lined up and they need the guidance of a REALTOR who is experienced. Sellers definitely have the advantage in this market, so moving quickly is critical when your REALTOR finds the right home for your needs, said Theo. The Wisconsin REALTORS Association is one of the largest trade associations in the state, representing over 16,400 real estate brokers, salespeople and affiliates statewide. All county figures on sales volume and median prices are compiled by the Wisconsin REALTORS Association and are not seasonally adjusted. Median prices are only computed if the county recorded at least 10 home sales in the quarter. All data collected by the Wisconsin REALTORS Association is subject to revision if more complete data becomes available. Beginning in June 2018, all historical sales volume and median price data from 2015 forward at the county level have been re-benchmarked using the Relitix system that accesses MLS data directly and in real-time. Data prior to January 2015 is derived from the Techmark system that also accessed MLS data directly. The Wisconsin Housing Affordability Index is updated monthly with the most recent data on median housing prices, mortgage rates and estimated median family income data for Wisconsin. Data on state foreclosure activity is compiled by Dr. Russ Kashian at the University of Wisconsin Whitewater. 1

2 Summary of Wisconsin Housing Statistics Monthly Year-to-Date % Change % Change Unit Sales 5,235 6, % 13,195 14, % Median Price $185,000 $174, % $179,300 $169, % New Listings 8,510 10, % x x x Total Listings 26,386 30, % x x x Months of Inventory % x x x Average Days on ket % x x x WI Housing Affordability Index % x x x Price Range Total 2019 Listings Housing Price Range Statistics Average Total Sold Days on (Apr ket 2019) (Apr ) Total Volume Sold (Apr ) Months of Inventory (Apr ) $0-$124,999 5, ,573 $1,629,659, $125,000 - $199,999 5, ,806 $4,116,871, $200,000 $349,999 8, ,936 $6,799,224, $350,000 - $499,999 3, ,487 $3,024,676, $500,000 and higher 3, ,659 $2,626,056, Inventory by Urban Classification type Metropolitan Counties Combined Micropolitan Counties Combined Rural Counties Combined All Wisconsin Counties Metropolitan counties include: Brown, Calumet, Chippewa, Columbia, Dane, Douglas, Eau Claire, Fond du Lac, Green, Iowa, Kenosha, Kewaunee, La Crosse, athon, Milwaukee, Oconto, Ozaukee, Outagamie, Pierce, Racine, Rock, Sheboygan, St. Croix, Washington, Waukesha, and Winnebago. Micropolitan counties include: Dodge, Dunn, Florence, Grant, Jefferson, Lincoln, Manitowoc, inette, Menominee, Portage, Sauk, Shawano, Walworth and Wood. Rural counties include: Adams, Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Buffalo, Burnett, Clark, Crawford, Door, Forest, Green Lake, Iron, Jackson, Juneau, Lafayette, Langlade, quette, Monroe, Oneida, Pepin, Polk, Price, Rusk, Richland, Sawyer, Taylor, Trempealeau, Vernon, Vilas, Washburn, Waupaca and Waushara.

3 Report Criteria: Reflecting data for: ch 2019 State: WI Type: Residential Median Price Sales Months Inventory Avg Days On ket Central Adams 140, , % % % % Clark 90,450 99, % % % % Juneau 148, , % % % % athon 170, , % % % % quette 114,000 93, % % % % Portage 162, , % % % % Waushara 130, , % % % % Wood 124, , % % % % Central al Total 150, , % % % % Median Price Sales Months Inventory Avg Days On ket North Ashland 50,000 49, % % % % Barron 161, , % % % % Bayfield 165, , % % % % Burnett 135, , % % % % Douglas 121,450 94, % % % % Florence NA NA NA NA NA NA % NA NA NA Forest NA NA NA % % % Iron NA NA NA % % % Langlade 102,450 70, % % % % Lincoln 141, , % % % % Oneida 173, , % % % % Polk 212, , % % % % Price 136,450 85, % % % % Rusk 69,900 77, % % % % Sawyer 270, , % % % % Taylor 155, , % % % % Vilas 202, , % % % % Washburn 164, , % % % % North al Total 150, , % % % %

4 Median Price Sales Months Inventory Avg Days On ket Northeast Brown 175, , % % % % Calumet 164, , % % % % Door 200, , % % % % Fond du Lac 124, , % % % % Green Lake 138, , % % % % Kewaunee 106,900 80, % % % % Manitowoc 114,000 87, % % % % inette 112, , % % % % Menominee NA NA NA 1 NA NA % 217 NA NA Oconto 154, , % % % % Outagamie 174, , % % % % Shawano 120,000 89, % % % % Waupaca 142, , % % % % Winnebago 135, , % % % % Northeast al Total 154, , % 1,014 1, % % % Median Price Sales Months Inventory Avg Days On ket South Central Columbia 181, , % % % % Crawford NA 126,250 NA % % % Dane 281, , % % % % Dodge 148, , % % % % Grant 152, , % % % % Green 172, , % % % % Iowa 180, , % % % % Jefferson 207, , % % % % Lafayette NA NA NA % % % Richland NA 150,900 NA % % % Rock 161, , % % % % Sauk 189, , % % % % South Central al Total 229, , % 1,079 1, % % %

5 Median Price Sales Months Inventory Avg Days On ket Southeast Kenosha 180, , % % % % Milwaukee 160, , % 821 1, % % % Ozaukee 287, , % % % % Racine 163, , % % % % Sheboygan 150, , % % % % Walworth 221, , % % % % Washington 253, , % % % % Waukesha 295, , % % % % Southeast al Total 197, , % 1,976 2, % % % Median Price Sales Months Inventory Avg Days On ket West Buffalo NA NA NA % % % Chippewa 172, , % % % % Dunn 169, , % % % % Eau Claire 177, , % % % % Jackson 135, , % % % % La Crosse 180, , % % % % Monroe 157, , % % % % Pepin NA NA NA % % % Pierce 232, , % % % % St. Croix 230, , % % % % Trempealeau 143,400 96, % % % % Vernon 151, , % % % % West al Total 183, , % % % %

6 Statewide Median Price Statewide Sales Statewide Avg Days On ket 185, , % 5,235 6, % % Statewide Months Inventory Statewide New Listings Statewide Total Listings % 8,510 10, % 26,386 30, % Listing Price Range Current Properties For Sale Price Range Stats Avg Days On ket (sold listings) Number of Sales in Prev 12 months Total Sales in Prev 12 Months Months Inventory $0 - $124,999 5, ,573 1,629,659, $125,000 - $199,999 5, ,806 4,116,871, $200,000 - $349,999 8, ,936 6,799,224, $350,000 - $499,999 3, ,487 3,024,676, $500,000+ 3, ,659 2,626,056, Months of Inventory by Broad Urban-Rural Classification Category ch 2019 ch 2018 Metropolitan Counties Combined Micropolitan Counties Combined Rural Counties Combined State Total

7 Report Criteria: Reflecting YTD data through: ch 2019 State: WI Type: Residential Central Adams 135,000 96, % % Clark 91, , % % Juneau 112,250 95, % % athon 164, , % % quette 112,000 95, % % Portage 163, , % % Waushara 120, , % % Wood 107,000 98, % % Central al Total 141, , % % North Ashland 73,000 70, % % Barron 150, , % % Bayfield 140, , % % Burnett 131, , % % Douglas 118, , % % Florence NA NA NA NA NA NA Forest 99, , % % Iron 154, , % % Langlade 107,450 70, % % Lincoln 121, , % % Oneida 170, , % % Polk 199, , % % Price 135, , % % Rusk 75,000 98, % % Sawyer 225, , % % Taylor 139, , % % Vilas 187, , % % Washburn 125, , % % North al Total 143, , % 1,110 1, %

8 Northeast Brown 177, , % % Calumet 180, , % % Door 195, , % % Fond du Lac 131, , % % Green Lake 127, , % % Kewaunee 114, , % % Manitowoc 111,750 90, % % inette 122,000 86, % % Menominee NA NA NA % Oconto 164, , % % Outagamie 171, , % % Shawano 99, , % % Waupaca 142, , % % Winnebago 141, , % % Northeast al Total 154, , % 2,501 2, % South Central Columbia 172, , % % Crawford 97, , % % Dane 279, , % 1,351 1, % Dodge 150, , % % Grant 150, , % % Green 172, , % % Iowa 177, , % % Jefferson 212, , % % Lafayette 120, , % % Richland 125, , % % Rock 152, , % % Sauk 189, , % % South Central al Total 225, , % 2,666 2, %

9 Southeast Kenosha 175, , % % Milwaukee 154, , % 2,100 2, % Ozaukee 290, , % % Racine 160, , % % Sheboygan 151, , % % Walworth 194, , % % Washington 228, , % % Waukesha 285, , % % Southeast al Total 188, , % 4,991 5, % West Buffalo 151, , % % Chippewa 155, , % % Dunn 157, , % % Eau Claire 180, , % % Jackson 144, , % % La Crosse 184, , % % Monroe 149, , % % Pepin 117, , % % Pierce 217, , % % St. Croix 232, , % % Trempealeau 137, , % % Vernon 133, , % % West al Total 179, , % 1,146 1, % YTD Statewide Median Price YTD Statewide Sales 179, , % 13,195 14, %

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