Market Briefing Vientiane, Laos Q4/2016

Transcription

1 Savills Research - Subscription form Savills Market Research Indochina Market Briefing Vientiane, Laos Q4/216 Macro Indicators Unit Value YoY Growth rate (%) Area Square kilometre 23,612 N/A Population (*) Million people GDP (**) US$ billion Registered FDI (**) US$ billion International visitors (**) Million people Source: United Nations, The World Bank, Laos Tourism Development Department. (*) preliminary census result of 216, (**) 215 full year estimate Laos has recently been among the fastest growing economies in the region with GDP growth at 7% pa over the last decade. Laos is rich in resources, particularly agriculture, forestry, hydropower and minerals. In 215, Laos attracted a total of US$1.8 billion of foreign direct investment (FDI). The most popular sector was electricity generation, followed by agriculture. Laos had considerable success in developing its tourism industry that is now only second to mining in GDP contribution. From , tourist arrivals increased 15.6% pa.

2 US$/m²/mth % m² retail/person QMR Brief - Vientiane Q4/216 RETAIL: Still in nascent stage In Q4/216, the total modern retail stock was approximately 85,2 m² from eight projects, almost double that of 213. Chanthabuly district is the largest supplier with 55,8 m² or a 65% share. Thirteen future projects will supply approximately 16,5 m², most are under construction or planning with undetermined scales. With.1 m² retail per person, retail density in Vientiane is low compared to regional cities, representing strong potential for future growth. FIGURE Retail density Retail area 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, thousand m² retail OFFICE: Higher rent, lower occupancy In Q4/216, the total office stock was 52, m² net lettable area (NLA) from 11 projects. Vientiane stock is smaller than that of other cities in Southeast Asia at only.6% of Bangkok, 1% of Jakarta, 3% of Ha Noi and Ho Chi Minh City, 17% of Yangon and 28% of Phnom Penh. In 217, one project will launch in Chanthabuly district. From 218 onwards, eight projects will come online; however, the scale of these projects is unconfirmed. Office demand from Asian tenants is expected to increase in step with higher FDI to Laos. thousand m 2 FIGURE 2 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, SERVICED APARTMENT: Highest occupancy but lowest average rent In Q4/216, 1 projects in four districts supplied approximately 515 units, increasing 3% YoY. Vientian s stock was only 3% of Bangkok s, 13% of Ha Noi s and 34% of Yangon s. FIGURE 3 Average rent Occupancy (RHS) Up to Q4/218, there are four new projects will available in Vientiane, one of which will supply 1 units. The developers are wholly foreign-owned enterprises (Vietnamese) and joint ventures between Laos and Chinese/Vietnamese Yangon Bangkok Ha Noi Ho Chi Minh Phnom Penh Vientiane

3 US$/room/night QMR Brief - Vientiane Q4/216 HOTEL: Lower ARR due to large stock In Q4/216, there were 41 three to five-star hotels in Vientiane supplying approximately 3,1 rooms. FIGURE 4 ARR RevPAR Occupancy In Q4/216, the ARR of the three to five-star segments in Vientiane was approximately US$63/room/night; the average occupancy was 74%; RevPAR was US$47/room/night. The large stock created competition, pushing the ARR lower than prior years. Vientiane experienced higher occupancy than other provinces as it is a gateway for travelers joining overland tours. According to the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC), in 216, Laos ranked 7 th (out of 184 countries) with the total contribution of travel and tourism to GDP increasing 6.6 percent. In 217, three 5-star hotels with approximately 56 rooms are expected to open star 4-star 3-star % APARTMENT: Lack of supply In Q4/216, the total apartment stock was approximately 1, units. The Laos Real Estate market is growing quickly and has attracted the attention of investors from China and other ASEAN countries. As there is no law separating the ownership of property from the land it is on, there are few apartment developments. Asking prices range from US$1, US$4,/m 2. Pricing in Vientiane is lower than other regional cities such as Yangon, Ho Chi Minh and Ha Noi. Active projects with absorption exceeding 5%. US$/m 2 FIGURE 5 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, The Laos apartment market has great potential due to lack of supply but faces similar challenges as other emerging markets. VILLA TOWNHOUSE: Low housing demand In Q4/216, the total stock was approximately 1,119 dwellings from six projects, of which villas accounted for 7% share FIGURE 6 Seven future projects are planned in Vientiane. Due to low housing demand, all future projects are in planning and have not released an implementation program. 3% Villa Villa/townhouses have an asking price range from US$5 US$19,/m2. As the villa/townhouse market in Vientiane only started to develop in 29, there are limited transactions, with only three projects recording good absorption rates at over 5 percent. 7% Townhouse With greater international connectivity and trade, and more capital flowing into the economy, the demand for landed housing will increase.

4 Savills Research - Subscription form SAVILLS PROVIDES MARKET REPORTS FOR MAJOR SECTORS IN ALL LARGE CITIES OF VIETNAM AND THE REGION. VIETNAM REGIONAL

5 About Savills Our Research and Consultancy Services are the most Over 22 years innovative in Vietnam Over 2.5 M. Savills Vietnam is the Leader in Media Exposure Established in Vietnam since 1995 The 1 st International Property Firm in the Country Discover our Strategic Research Tools sqm under management Savills Vietnam is recognized globally We have won multiple awards both globally and regionally #1 Number one agency in transaction volume with over US$1 M transacted each year Over 8 staff and growing We are larger than all our competitors combined AWARD WINNING INTERNATIONAL RECOGNITION Best Real Estate Agency in Vietnam for 8 consecutive years from 21 to 217 Best Property Consultancy in Vietnam for 8 consecutive years from 21 to 217 Best Real Estate Agency and Best Lettings Agency in Asia Pacific 216 to 217 Savills has topped the real estate agents/ advisors in the 217 UK Business Superbrand chart for the ninth consecutive year, ahead of all industry competitors. Savills has retained its title as The Times Graduate Employer of Choice for property for the ninth consecutive year. Savills Research Savills plc Troy Griffiths Deputy Managing Director Savills HCMC TGriffiths@savills.com.vn Do Thu Hang Associate Director, Advisory Services Savills Hanoi DThuHang@savills.com.vn Savills is a leading global real estate service provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. The company established in 1855, has a rich heritage with unrivalled growth. It is a company that leads rather than follows, and now has over 7 offices and associates throughout the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East. This report is for general informative purposes only. It may not be published, reproduced or quoted in part or in whole, nor may it be used as a basis for any contract, prospectus, agreement or other document without prior consent. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, Savills accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from its use. The content is strictly copyright and reproduction of the whole or part of it in any form is prohibited without written permission from Savills Research.