OFFICE QUICK STATS SUMMARY & OUTLOOK MARKET TRENDS VACANCY & NET ABSORPTION ECONOMIC STATS
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1 VENTURA COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 QUICK STATS Direct Vacancy 13.9% Overall Vacancy 14.3% Lease Rate FSG $2.25 Gross Absorption Under Construction MARKET TRENDS Current Quarter 34,43 SF 18,112 SF Change from Last Quarter Year Overall Vacancy Rental Rates Gross Absorption Under Construction OFFICE SUMMARY & OUTLOOK The Ventura County office market witnessed vacancy rates edge lower from 14.4% to 14.3%, during the quarter. Average asking rents increased 4.7%, year over year, moving from $2.15 FSG to $2.25 FSG. Gross absorption finished with 34, square feet of activity, while net absorption posted a gain of 19, square feet for the quarter. Under construction activity was unchanged during the quarter, with 18, square feet currently underway, as the market has not delivered any new space this year. Unemployment rates have declined from 5.4% to 4.7%, year over year, and is equal to California (4.7%) and above the U.S. at 4.1%. The office market remains more balanced between landlord and tenant, with vacancy generally trending lower and rents rising at more normalized rates, with overall activity and demand pretty remaining steady. Job creation will remain the key to increased office demand. Non-farm employment grew by 3.%, year over year, adding 9, new jobs. The investment and sale market for office buildings in Ventura County continues to see solid activity levels as the total square footage sold in 216 recorded its second highest total since 27, with 1.2 million square feet and is on pace to match that total for 217. The capital markets remain active with plenty of liquidity, but we do expect interest rates to rise in the coming year, which is expected to slow price growth. We expect vacancy levels to trend slightly lower in the coming quarters, and expect rents to increase another 3% to 4% for most submarkets in the coming year. VACANCY & NET ABSORPTION ECONOMIC STATS Current Month Previous Year Sep. 17 Sep. 16 Unemployment 4.7% 5.4% Rate (MSA) Change in # +1,5 +9, Of Jobs (MSA) % Change for +.5% +3.% Jobs (MSA) 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, (5,) (1,) (15,) (2,) (25,) Net Absorption SF Overall Vacancy 18.% 16.% 14.% 12.% 1.% 8.% 6.% 4.% 2.%.%
2 VENTURA COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 VACANCY RENTAL RATES & TIME ON THE MARKET 17.% $ % 15.% 14.% 13.% $2.2 $2.1 $2. $1.9 $ % $ % $ % $1.5. Direct Vacancy Overall Vacancy Avg. Rent (FSG) Time to Lease (Months) Overall vacancy rates (including sublease space) decreased during the quarter, moving from 14.4% to 14.3%. Of the six submarkets within the Ventura County market, the Calabasas submarket ended the quarter with the lowest total vacancy of 9.%, followed by Westlake and Agoura Hills at 12.2%, respectively, Thousand at 13.6%, the at 14.1%, and Simi Valley/ finishing the quarter at 25.7%. Since the third quarter of 216, overall vacancy rates have increased from 14.% to 14.3%, but still remains below its 5-year average of 15.%. Average asking rates increased 4.7%, year over year, moving from $2.15 FSG to $2.25 FSG. Of the six submarkets within the Ventura County market, the Westlake submarket ended the quarter with the highest average asking rate of $2.7 FSG, followed by Calabasas at $2.48 FSG, Thousand at $2.25 FSG, Simi Valley/ at $2.22 FSG, Agoura Hills at $2.18 FSG, and the finishing the quarter at $2. FSG. Average rents were unchanged during the quarter, remaining at $2.25 FSG. ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, (1,) (2,) 18, 16, 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, (3,) Net Absorption SF Gross Absorption SF SF Newly Completed SF Under Construction During the quarter gross absorption totaled 34, square feet of activity, down 1% compared to the previous quarter, and lower by 22% compared to a year ago. Net absorption finished the quarter with a gain of 19, square feet, but has lost 158, square feet for the year. In 216, the market gained 63, square feet, after gaining 25, square feet in 215, +247, square feet in 214, and a gain of 26, square feet in 213. Overall activity and demand levels have slowed some in 217, and we expect demand levels to remain near current levels as we head into the final quarter of the year. Under construction activity was unchanged during the quarter with 18,112 square feet currently underway, as the market delivered 121, square feet of new space in 216. During 215, the market added 13, square feet of new space, after delivering 1, square feet during 214, and 18, square feet in 213. During the past five years, the market has averaged approximately 78, square feet of new space deliveries, annually. We expect to see new development activity remain at lower levels heading into 218, as demand and rental rate growth has begun to slow, along with limited available development sites.
3 VENTURA COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 MARKET SNAPSHOT Total Direct Direct Total Total Inventory Vacant Vacancy Vacant w/ Sublet Vacant w/ Sublet SUBMARKETS Square Footage Square Footage Rate Square Footage Rate *Agoura Hills 1,282, , % 157, % *Calabasas 2,577, , % 231,139 9.% Thousand 2,228,777 32, % 32, % 4,613, , % 56, % 2,558, , % 658, % 7,31,57 1,3, % 1,3, % Ventura County Totals 2,571,895 2,869, % 2,94, % Office Market Inventory Office Vacancy Rates 36% *Agoura Hills 6% *Calabasas 13% Thousand 11% 3.% 25.% 2.% 15.% % 22% 1.% 5.%.% *Agoura Hills *Calabasas Thousand Vacancy- Direct Vacancy w/ Sublease Rate Average Low-High Square Feet Square Feet Gross Absorption Asking Rent Asking Rent Built in Under Square Feet SUBMARKETS FSG Range FSG 217 Construction Current Quarter *Agoura Hills $2.18 $1.3-$2.8 18,112 55,12 *Calabasas $2.48 $1.-$3.4 55,74 Thousand $2.25 $1.3-$ ,23 $2.7 $1.35-$3.75 9,36 $2.22 $1.3-$2.95 6,541 $2. $1.-$3.15 8,448 Ventura County Totals $2.25 $1.-$ ,112 34,43 $3. $2.5 $2. $1.5 $1. $.5 $. *Agoura Hills *Calabasas Office Rental Rates Thousand Ventura County Totals 2, 18, 16, 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, *Agoura Hills New Construction Activity *Calabasas Thousand Ventura County Totals Average Asking Rent FSG Square Feet Built in 217 Square Feet Under Construction
4 VENTURA COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OFFICE BUILDING SALE TREND ANALYSIS TOTAL SALES TRANSACTIONS Market Q LA County , Orange County Inland Empire Ventura County Totals 1, ,61 1,364 1,51 1,72 1,998 1,891 1,643 TOTAL TRANSACTION DOLLAR VALUE (MILLIONS) Bldg. SF Q LA County $2,663.7 $753.9 $1,162.5 $2,72. $3,238.3 $5,95. $7,352.4 $4,867. $9,624.7 $6,7.5 Orange County $725.3 $364.9 $521.9 $625.9 $783.3 $1,385.1 $1,596.8 $2,86. $2,51.5 $1,612.2 Inland Empire $356.9 $85.7 $96. $131.3 $166.7 $237.3 $336.9 $643.3 $457.2 $386.1 Ventura County $93.9 $29.6 $81.3 $56.4 $43.2 $57.1 $247.8 $164.5 $169.4 $17.7 Totals $3,839.8 $1,234.1 $1,861.8 $2,885.6 $4,231.4 $7,629.5 $9,534. $8,48.9 $12,752.8 $8,113.6 TOTAL SQUARE FEET SOLD Bldg. SF Q LA County 11,846,815 5,577,741 6,24,699 9,72,267 15,65,333 23,586,15 23,497,172 17,578,857 25,17,86 19,356,334 Orange County 3,283,77 2,31,918 3,58,113 3,865,353 6,76,68 7,299,964 8,172,286 12,259,97 11,85,393 6,881,526 Inland Empire 2,124,94 957,23 1,94,559 1,742,48 2,322,85 2,461,316 2,919,294 5,376,785 3,419,994 3,748,149 Ventura County 476,21 141,646 37,79 397, , ,369 1,551,626 1,66,791 1,186, ,322 Totals 17,73,853 8,78,328 11,15,45 15,725,641 23,982,663 34,26,799 36,14,378 36,282,34 41,518,75 3,89,331 AVERAGE PRICE / SF Bldg. SF Q LA County $ $ $ $ $265.8 $ $ $36.4 $43.47 $ Orange County $ $194.5 $ $192.7 $ $28.43 $27.81 $ $ $26.17 Inland Empire $ $ $13.39 $ $ $13.38 $ $ $17.65 $154.6 Ventura County $27.86 $ $ $ $13.87 $14.6 $29.36 $ $ $ Averages $ $214.3 $21.98 $223.8 $ $ $ $ $ $ MEDIAN PRICE / SQUARE FOOT Bldg. SF Q LA County $ $ $ $24.94 $ $ $266.2 $ $3.16 $ Orange County $ $ $ $ $19. $24.49 $ $ $ $ Inland Empire $ $ $ $ $123.9 $ $ $ $16.64 $ Ventura County $ $297.9 $22.17 $ $ $ $18.41 $ $19.56 $194.4 Median Average $ $ $2.83 $2.15 $ $ $ $247.7 $ $ MEDIAN $ PSF INCREASE Bldg. SF Q LA County -1.% -18.5% -3.2% 19.2% -4.5% 14.% 7.4% 5.1% -2.9% Orange County -28.7% -14.3% 12.4% -12.1% 7.6% 9.4% 1.3% 12.6% -6.5% Inland Empire -23.8% -11.6% -18.8% -8.4% 1.9% 7.% -1.% 2.9% 6.7% Ventura County 17.1% -31.9% 6.4% -14.7% -4.5% 3.% 18.2% -1.6% 2.% Totals -15.% -17.7% -.3% 8.7%.3% 11.% 2.3% 12.7% -4.3%
5 Median Price PSF Annual Increase Square Footage Sold Average Price PSF Number of Transactions Transaction $ Volume (Millions) VENTURA COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OFFICE BUILDING SALE TREND ANALYSIS Number of Transactions Transaction Volume $ 1,2 $12,. 1, $1,. 8 $8,. 6 $6,. 4 $4,. 2 $2, Q LA County , Orange County Inland Empire Ventura County ,, Square Footage Sold $ Q LA County $2,663.7 $753.9 $1,162.5 $2,72. $3,238.3 $5,95. $7,352.4 $4,867. $9,624.7 $6,7.5 Orange County $725.3 $364.9 $521.9 $625.9 $783.3 $1,385.1 $1,596.8 $2,86. $2,51.5 $1,612.2 Inland Empire $356.9 $85.7 $96. $131.3 $166.7 $237.3 $336.9 $643.3 $457.2 $386.1 Ventura County $93.9 $29.6 $81.3 $56.4 $43.2 $57.1 $247.8 $164.5 $169.4 $17.7 $5. Average Price PSF $45. 25,, $4. 2,, $35. $3. 15,, $25. 1,, $2. $15. 5,, $1. $ Q 11,846,815 5,577,741 6,24,699 9,72,267 15,65,333 23,586,15 23,497,172 17,578,857 25,17,86 19,356,334 LA County Orange County 3,283,77 2,31,918 3,58,113 3,865,353 6,76,68 7,299,964 8,172,286 12,259,97 11,85,393 6,881,526 Inland Empire 2,124,94 957,23 1,94,559 1,742,48 2,322,85 2,461,316 2,919,294 5,376,785 3,419,994 3,748,149 Ventura County 476,21 141,646 37,79 397, , ,369 1,551,626 1,66,791 1,186, ,322 Median Price PSF $ Q LA County $ $ $ $ $265.8 $ $ $36.4 $43.47 $ Orange County $ $194.5 $ $192.7 $ $28.43 $27.81 $ $ $26.17 Inland Empire $ $ $13.39 $ $ $13.38 $ $ $17.65 $154.6 Ventura County $27.86 $ $ $ $13.87 $14.6 $29.36 $ $ $ % Change Median Price PSF $35. $325. $3. $275. $25. $ % 2.% 1.% $2. $175. $15. $125. $1. $75. $5. $25. $ Q LA County $ $ $ $24.94 $ $ $266.2 $ $3.16 $ Orange County $ $ $ $ $19. $24.49 $ $ $ $ Inland Empire $ $ $ $ $123.9 $ $ $ $16.64 $ Ventura County $ $297.9 $22.17 $ $ $ $18.41 $ $19.56 $194.4.% -1.% -2.% -3.% -4.% Q LA County -1.% -18.5% -3.2% 19.2% -4.5% 14.% 7.4% 5.1% -2.9% Orange County -28.7% -14.3% 12.4% -12.1% 7.6% 9.4% 1.3% 12.6% -6.5% Inland Empire -23.8% -11.6% -18.8% -8.4% 1.9% 7.% -1.% 2.9% 6.7% Ventura County 17.1% -31.9% 6.4% -14.7% -4.5% 3.% 18.2% -1.6% 2.%
6 VENTURA COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 MARKET REPORT OVERVIEW SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MARKET MAP METHODOLOGY & TERMINOLOGY Methodology Non-owner occupied, office buildings that are 1, square feet and greater. Direct Vacant SF Space that is vacant and ready for occupancy by a user. The space is being offered for lease or sale directly from the landlord. Total Vacant W/ Sublet SF Space that is vacant and ready for occupancy by a user. The space is being offered for lease or sale by the landlord or for sublease by the current tenant. DAUM OFFICES LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA 81 S. Figueroa Street, Suite 6 Los Angeles, CA LOS ANGELES NORTH, CALIFORNIA 2182 Burbank Boulevard, Suite 21 Woodland Hills, CA SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, CALIFORNIA Westinghouse Place, Suite 312 Valencia, CA MID-COUNTIES, CALIFORNIA 1381 Cerritos Corporate Drive, Suite C Cerritos, CA ORANGE COUNTY, CALIFORNIA 44 MacArthur Boulevard, Suite 95 Newport Beach, CA VENTURA & SANTA BARBARA, CALIFORNIA 751 Daily Drive, Suite 15 Camarillo, CA Direct Vacancy Rate Total vacant direct space (vacant space for lease or sale from the landlord or owner) divided by the total rentable square footage for existing buildings only. Vacancy W/ Sublet Rate Total vacant direct space and sublease space divided by the total rentable square footage for existing buildings only. Gross Absorption The total change in occupied space over a given period of time, counting space that is occupied but not space that is vacated by tenants. Gross absorption differs from leasing activity, which is the sum of all space leased over a certain period of time. SAN GABRIEL VALLEY, CALIFORNIA Crossroads Pkwy. N, Suite 1 City of Industry, CA SOUTH BAY, CALIFORNIA 125 W. 19th Street, Suite 42 Gardena, CA INLAND EMPIRE, CALIFORNIA 3595 E. Inland Empire Boulevard, Bldg. 5 Ontario, CA PHOENIX ARIZONA 172 E. Highland Avenue, Suite 12 Phoenix, AZ The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources deemed reliable and has incorporated third-party data which has not been independently verified by DAUM. While we do not doubt its accuracy, DAUM makes no guarantee or warranty as to its completeness or accuracy. Due to the dynamic (constantly changing) database which DAUM uses to compile and analyze markets contained in this report, previously published statistics may vary from the data published in this report. Statistics and data have been revised to reflect changes in the following categories: existing buildings being verified and added to the database, new or revised occupancy information gathered, new construction being added to the inventory, building demolitions and renovations, as well as other factors that would necessitate revisions to the data and the properties surveyed. This methodology allows us to present the most current and up-to-date information, trend analysis and comparative statistics for this report. Net Absorption The net change in occupied space over a given period of time, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy (move ins) and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy (move outs). Under Construction Planned buildings for which construction has started but have not yet been granted a Certificate of Occupancy. Planned buildings are not included. Completed in 217 New buildings with original construction completed in the year 217 and granted a Certificate of Occupancy. Renovated buildings are not included.
OFFICE QUICK STATS SUMMARY & OUTLOOK MARKET TRENDS VACANCY & NET ABSORPTION ECONOMIC STATS
INLAND EMPIRE OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 QUICK STATS Direct Vacancy 11.4% Overall Vacancy 11.7% Lease Rate FSG $1.83 Gross Absorption Under Construction MARKET TRENDS Current Quarter 529,634 SF 45,24 SF
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LOS ANGELES SAN GABRIEL VALLEY OFFICE SECOND QUARTER 218 QUICK STATS Direct Vacancy 11.1% Overall Vacancy 11.4% Lease Rate FSG $2.32 Gross Absorption Under Construction MARKET TRENDS Current Quarter 345,68
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ORANGE COUNTY OFFICE THIRD QUARTER 217 QUICK STATS Direct Vacancy 12.1% Overall Vacancy 12.9% Lease Rate FSG $2.61 Gross Absorption Under Construction MARKET TRENDS Current Quarter 2,479,293 SF 379, SF
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LOS ANGELES NORTH OFFICE FOURTH QUARTER 217 QUICK STATS Direct Vacancy 11.8% Overall Vacancy 12.5% Lease Rate FSG $2.75 Gross Absorption Under Construction MARKET TRENDS Current Quarter 1,6,941 SF 89,158
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